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Longfor Group Holdings Ltd. (HK:0960)
:0960

Longfor Group Holdings (0960) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Longfor Group Holdings

(OTC:0960)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
Longfor Group Holdings presents a balanced investment profile. The strong valuation score, with a low P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield, is a key strength. The technical analysis also suggests moderate positive momentum. However, financial performance is a concern due to declining profit margins, high leverage, and inconsistent cash flows, indicating potential risks. Overall, while there are challenges, the stock's undervaluation and dividend yield provide reasons for cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Making strides in balance sheet optimisation with positive cashflow and liquidity safety.
Recurring Income
Longfor has established a rapidly growing recurring income stream from its shopping mall, rental housing, and property service businesses, adding resilience to its earnings profile.
Negative Factors
Development Market Challenges
Development earnings could head into the red due to challenges from the downturn in the physical market, with ASP pressure and possible impairments weighing on development margins.
Earnings and Revenue Decline
Longfor released a profit warning after market close, noting FY24 core earnings may fall 35-40% on lower development revenue and margin compression.

Longfor Group Holdings (0960) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Longfor Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLongfor Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development, investment, and management businesses in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development; Property Investment; and Property Management and Related Services and Others segments. The Property Development segment develops and sells office and commercial premises, and residential properties. The Property Investment segment leases investment properties, including shopping malls and rental housing. The Property Management and Related Services and Others segment provides property management and related services, as well as hotel operation and other activities. It also offers space, housing agency, and housing decoration services. The company was formerly known as Longfor Properties Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Longfor Group Holdings Limited in June 2018. Longfor Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyLongfor Group Holdings generates revenue through three main streams: property development, property investment, and property management. The core revenue driver is the development and sale of residential properties, where the company acquires land, develops housing projects, and sells residential units. In addition, Longfor invests in and manages commercial properties such as shopping malls and office buildings, generating stable rental income. The property management segment provides services to residential and commercial properties, ensuring sustained income through management fees. Longfor's strategic partnerships with other real estate companies and local governments further enhance its project development capabilities and market reach, contributing to its financial success.

Longfor Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Longfor Group Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement indicates pressure on profitability and revenue volatility, with declining gross and net profit margins. The balance sheet reflects high leverage and declining equity growth, though there is some reduction in debt levels. Cash flow analysis raises concerns due to recent unreported cash flows, suggesting potential liquidity issues. Overall, the company faces challenges in maintaining profitability and managing debt, with potential risks from fluctuating cash flows.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The gross profit margin shows a declining trend from 29% in 2019 to 16% in 2024, indicating pressure on costs or pricing power. Net profit margin also decreased from 12% in 2019 to 8% in 2024. Revenue has shown fluctuations, with a peak in 2022 followed by a decline, suggesting volatility in sales. EBIT and EBITDA margins have similarly decreased, reflecting tighter operating conditions.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio increased from 1.83 in 2019 to 1.28 in 2024, indicating reduced leverage but still a high debt level. ROE decreased from 19% in 2019 to 6% in 2024, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio remained stable, but the declining trend in stockholders' equity growth suggests pressure on asset management.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Free cash flow has fluctuated significantly, with a sharp decline in 2024. The company has not reported operating or free cash flow in 2024, indicating potential issues in cash generation. Historically, operating cash flow has been positive but inconsistent, contributing to uncertainty in cash flow stability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
127.47B180.74B250.57B223.38B184.55B
Gross Profit
20.41B30.58B53.04B56.54B54.03B
EBIT
11.86B19.82B40.91B40.26B41.70B
EBITDA
12.14B20.24B41.42B40.65B41.88B
Net Income Common Stockholders
10.40B12.85B24.36B23.85B20.00B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
38.40B59.23B72.13B88.19B77.45B
Total Assets
665.64B700.41B786.77B875.65B765.16B
Total Debt
206.69B207.48B223.31B227.10B195.38B
Net Debt
158.74B156.21B151.22B138.99B118.37B
Total Liabilities
420.16B463.95B553.60B653.77B572.43B
Stockholders Equity
161.43B151.97B142.10B124.95B108.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
0.0032.16B9.66B28.00B35.86B
Operating Cash Flow
0.0033.01B9.96B28.53B36.73B
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-11.61B-12.41B-48.73B-41.40B
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-34.27B-13.56B31.30B20.90B

Longfor Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.95
Price Trends
50DMA
10.08
Negative
100DMA
10.12
Negative
200DMA
10.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
51.24
Neutral
STOCH
74.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0960, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.82, below the 50-day MA of 10.08, and below the 200-day MA of 10.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:0960.

Longfor Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$66.82B5.746.64%0.67%-30.30%-25.60%
61
Neutral
$2.86B10.960.41%6.08%5.73%-21.25%
$10.35B5.74
13.28%
$14.74B7.833.52%5.13%
$9.51B19.362.17%0.24%
$8.88B-2.30%1.86%
67
Neutral
HK$41.66B19.592.19%0.78%-30.23%-40.59%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0960
Longfor Group Holdings
9.80
-1.53
-13.50%
CHVKF
China Vanke Co
0.65
0.01
1.56%
CHKGF
CK Asset Holdings
4.30
0.63
17.17%
SNLAF
Sino Land Co
1.03
0.02
1.98%
WARFF
Wharf (Holdings)
2.76
-0.14
-4.83%
HK:0247
Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Limited
19.20
1.75
10.03%

Longfor Group Holdings Corporate Events

Longfor Group Announces AGM and Key Resolutions for 2025
Apr 24, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited has announced its upcoming annual general meeting scheduled for June 18, 2025, where shareholders will consider resolutions including the approval of audited financial statements, a final dividend, and the re-election of several directors. Additionally, the company seeks authorization for the board to issue new shares and manage treasury shares, which could impact its market operations and shareholder value.

Longfor Group Reports Strong Contracted Sales in March 2025
Apr 9, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited announced its unaudited operating statistics for March 2025, reporting aggregated contracted sales of RMB16.95 billion and a total contracted sales area of 1,188,000 sqm. In March alone, the company achieved RMB7.01 billion in contracted sales, with significant contributions from regions such as the Yangtze River Delta and Western China. The company’s recurring income as of March 2025 was approximately RMB6.55 billion. These figures highlight Longfor Group’s strong market presence and operational performance, although investors are advised to interpret the data cautiously due to its unaudited nature.

Longfor Group Announces Board Changes with New Non-Executive Director Appointment
Mar 28, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited, a company incorporated in the Cayman Islands, has announced changes in its board of directors. Mr. Xia Yunpeng has resigned as a non-executive director and from various board committees, while Ms. Sun Jiahui has been appointed to these roles. Ms. Sun brings over a decade of legal experience and holds degrees from Tsinghua University and Georgetown University. Her appointment is effective from March 28, 2025, and she will receive an annual director’s fee of HK$400,000. The Board has expressed gratitude to Mr. Xia for his contributions and welcomed Ms. Sun to her new role.

Longfor Group Announces New Board and Committee Structure
Mar 28, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited has announced the composition of its board of directors and the membership of its five board committees, effective from March 28, 2025. The announcement outlines the roles and responsibilities of the executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors, highlighting the leadership structure that will guide the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Longfor Group Holdings Enhances Board Governance with New Nomination Committee
Mar 28, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited has established a Nomination Committee to identify and recommend suitable candidates for its Board of Directors. This move is aimed at enhancing the governance structure by ensuring the Board is composed of qualified individuals, including a majority of independent non-executive directors. The Committee will meet at least once annually and is responsible for developing nomination guidelines consistent with applicable laws and regulations. This initiative is expected to strengthen the company’s leadership and align its operations with industry standards, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

Longfor Group Declares Final Dividend for 2024 with Scrip Option
Mar 28, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited announced its annual results for the year ending December 31, 2024, declaring a final ordinary cash dividend of RMB 0.1 per share. Shareholders have the option to receive dividends in cash or opt for scrip shares, with the relevant details to be announced. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to providing shareholder value and may impact its financial strategies and investor relations.

Longfor Group Reports Stable Growth in Investment Segments Amidst Market Challenges
Mar 28, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited announced its annual results for the year ended December 31, 2024, reporting contracted sales of RMB101.12 billion and a revenue of RMB127.47 billion. The company’s investment property operation and property service segments saw a 7.4% increase in revenue, contributing significantly to the company’s profits. Despite a decrease in consolidated total borrowing by 8.5% and maintaining a net debt to equity ratio of 51.7%, the company faced a decline in profit attributable to owners, which stood at RMB10.40 billion. The board recommended a total dividend of RMB0.32 per share, reflecting a cautious yet stable financial strategy amidst a challenging market environment.

Longfor Group Unveils New Employee Incentive Scheme
Mar 18, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited has announced the adoption of a Restricted Share Award Scheme designed to incentivize and retain key employees by granting them shares in the company. This initiative aims to motivate employees, align their interests with the company’s long-term objectives, and enhance operational stability by involving them in the company’s growth. The scheme allows for the purchase of up to 5% of the company’s total issued share capital, with shares held in trust until they vest with selected participants, thereby potentially strengthening the company’s market position and stakeholder relations.

Longfor Group Announces 2024 Scrip Dividend Scheme
Mar 18, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited has announced a scrip dividend scheme for its 2024 interim dividend, allowing shareholders to receive dividends in the form of new shares instead of cash. The market value of the new shares has been set at HK$10.8360, and shareholders have the option to elect for new shares or cash by submitting an election form by March 26, 2025. This initiative is expected to provide flexibility to shareholders and potentially enhance the company’s equity base.

Longfor Group Announces Interim Dividend with Scrip Option
Mar 18, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited announced an interim dividend of RMB 0.22 per share for the six months ending June 30, 2024. Shareholders have the option to receive the dividend in cash or convert it into scrip shares at a rate of HKD 10.836 per share. The dividend will be paid in Hong Kong dollars, with a conversion rate of RMB 1 to HKD 1.08448. This announcement reflects Longfor’s financial strategy to provide returns to its shareholders while maintaining flexibility in capital management.

Longfor Group Schedules Board Meeting to Approve Year-End Results
Mar 18, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for March 28, 2025, to approve the company’s final results for the year ended December 31, 2024, and to consider the payment of a final dividend. This meeting is significant as it will determine the company’s financial performance and potential shareholder returns, impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Longfor Group Issues Profit Warning Amid Declining Revenue
Mar 12, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited has issued a profit warning, indicating a significant decrease in its financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2024. The company expects a 35% to 40% drop in core net profit attributable to shareholders compared to the previous year, primarily due to a decline in revenue and gross profit margin in its property development segment. This announcement suggests potential challenges for the company’s operations and could impact investor confidence.

Longfor Group Announces Interim Dividend with Scrip Option
Mar 5, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited announced its unaudited interim results for the six months ending June 30, 2024, declaring an interim dividend of RMB 0.22 per share. Shareholders have the option to receive their dividends in cash or convert them into scrip shares, with the conversion price to be announced. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and may influence investor decisions regarding dividend preferences.

Longfor Group Announces Interim Dividend with Scrip Option
Feb 21, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings Limited has announced its unaudited interim results for the six months ending June 30, 2024, declaring an interim cash dividend of RMB 0.22 per share, with a scrip option available. This financial update reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value through dividends, with the exchange rate set at RMB 1 to HKD 1.08448. The payment will be made on April 8, 2025, with the option for partial election of scrip shares, indicating a strategic approach to maintaining financial flexibility and investor satisfaction.

Longfor Group Reports Strong Sales in January 2025
Feb 11, 2025

Longfor Group Holdings reported unaudited operating statistics for January 2025, revealing total contracted sales of RMB4.46 billion with a GFA of 338,000 sqm. Sales attributable to shareholders were RMB3.01 billion with a GFA of 215,000 sqm. The regional sales distribution highlighted Western China as the leading area. The Group’s aggregated recurring income was RMB2.16 billion, with service and operating income contributing significantly. These figures are preliminary and may vary upon final auditing, advising investors to be cautious.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.