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Xinyi Glass Holdings (HK:0868)
:0868

Xinyi Glass Holdings (0868) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0868

Xinyi Glass Holdings

(0868)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
HK$11.00
▲(29.26% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is primarily driven by stable profitability and a solid balance sheet, offset by revenue decline and limited cash flow visibility. Technicals support the uptrend but are stretched on RSI/Stoch, while valuation is relatively supportive with a modest dividend.
Positive Factors
Profitability & Margins
Sustained high gross, net and operating margins indicate durable pricing power and effective cost control across product lines. That margin cushion supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and resilience to raw‑material or volume shocks over the next 2–6 months.
Balance Sheet Strength
A favorable debt-to-equity profile and consistent equity growth provide financial flexibility to fund capex, weather cyclical downturns, and pursue selective investments. Strong balance-sheet metrics reduce refinancing and liquidity risk over the medium term.
Scale & Strategic Partnerships
Large production scale, established distribution and OEM partnerships create entry barriers and predictable demand. Focus on energy-efficient glass aligns with sustainability trends, supporting structural demand and product differentiation over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline Trend
Declining top-line despite healthy margins signals demand weakness or adverse mix that can erode scale advantages and restrict growth options. If revenue contraction continues, it could pressure fixed-cost absorption and weaken long‑term profitability.
Limited Cash Flow Visibility
Absence of recent free cash flow figures hampers assessment of actual cash generation and dividend or capex sustainability. Over a 2–6 month horizon, unclear FCF trends increase uncertainty around funding for growth and debt servicing.
Cyclical End-Market Exposure
Heavy exposure to construction and automotive end markets ties revenue to macro cycles. Economic slowdowns can materially reduce volumes and delay recovery, creating persistent earnings volatility that limits visibility into medium‑term performance.

Xinyi Glass Holdings (0868) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Xinyi Glass Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXinyi Glass Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells automobile, construction, float, and other glass products for commercial and industrial applications. The company operates through three segments: Float Glass, Automobile Glass, and Architectural Glass. It is also involved in the manufacturing and sale of automobile rubber and plastic components, as well as electronic glass; trading of automobile glass; and research and trading of glass. In addition, the company offers logistic and related services; supply chain services; operates a wind farm for electricity generation; and manufactures automatic machines for solar glass factory and other glass related industries, as well as holds properties and car parks. The company serves automobile glass manufacturing; wholesale and distribution; automobile repair; motor vehicle manufacturing; curtain wall engineering and installing; architectural and furniture glass manufacturing; electronic and household appliances manufacturing; and float glass wholesale and distribution companies. It sells its products in approximately 140 countries and territories, including the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, the United States, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, as well as countries in Asia, the Middle East, Europe, Africa, and the Americas. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyXinyi Glass generates its revenue primarily through the sale of glass products across its various segments. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of float glass, which is used in construction and automotive applications, and automotive glass, which serves the growing automotive industry. The company benefits from economies of scale due to its large production capacity and extensive distribution network. Additionally, Xinyi Glass has established strategic partnerships with various automotive manufacturers and construction companies, enhancing its market reach and stability. The company's focus on innovation, such as developing energy-efficient glass products, also positions it favorably in a market increasingly driven by sustainability concerns. Overall, Xinyi Glass's revenue model is supported by robust demand in both domestic and international markets, bolstered by its reputation for quality and reliability in glass manufacturing.

Xinyi Glass Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid with strong gross/net margins and healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins, and the balance sheet is stable with favorable leverage and consistent equity growth. However, declining revenue is a key risk, and missing recent cash flow/free cash flow detail reduces confidence in current cash generation.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows strong gross and net profit margins, indicating effective cost management. However, recent revenue has declined from previous years, which could be concerning. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reinforcing profitability. The decline in revenue growth rate is a potential risk factor.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a favorable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating good financial leverage. Return on equity is positive, suggesting efficient use of equity to generate profit. The equity ratio is also strong, showcasing stability and financial health. Consistent stockholders' equity growth further strengthens financial resilience.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis is limited due to missing recent cash flow data. Historically, operating cash flow has been positive, but there is a lack of data on free cash flow trends, which limits comprehensive analysis. The absence of recent free cash flow growth rate and other key ratios presents potential risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.71B23.75B26.80B25.75B30.46B18.62B
Gross Profit6.51B7.16B8.61B7.47B14.50B7.67B
EBITDA4.73B5.66B8.36B6.94B14.00B7.57B
Net Income1.97B3.59B5.37B5.13B11.56B6.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.11B51.16B50.81B52.23B56.50B45.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.95B1.68B2.39B4.06B9.59B5.53B
Total Debt7.06B7.79B8.19B13.54B15.55B11.66B
Total Liabilities14.02B14.58B14.95B20.14B21.79B17.10B
Stockholders Equity35.00B36.48B35.75B31.97B34.60B27.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.03B941.50M1.63B4.67B8.77B1.32B
Operating Cash Flow5.52B5.95B5.00B7.34B11.77B4.94B
Investing Cash Flow-3.32B-6.00B122.29M-7.08B-5.84B-4.06B
Financing Cash Flow-1.54B-2.21B-6.18B-5.40B-2.12B-1.02B

Xinyi Glass Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.51
Price Trends
50DMA
9.50
Positive
100DMA
9.22
Positive
200DMA
8.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
57.73
Neutral
STOCH
46.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0868, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.55, below the 50-day MA of 9.50, and below the 200-day MA of 8.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0868.

Xinyi Glass Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
HK$47.78B12.242.65%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
40
Underperform
HK$875.79M-0.47-177.42%-11.62%-138.95%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0868
Xinyi Glass Holdings
10.80
3.18
41.66%
HK:3300
China Glass Holdings Limited
0.52
0.16
44.44%

Xinyi Glass Holdings Corporate Events

Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Glass Clarify Pricing on Connected Electricity Supply Deal
Jan 22, 2026

Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Glass have issued a supplemental joint announcement clarifying the pricing mechanism under their Electricity Framework Agreement for continuing connected transactions involving the sale of surplus electricity generated by Xinyi Solar’s rooftop solar panels to Xinyi Glass. The parties explained that the annual transaction cap of RMB35.4 million is based on historical electricity purchases and the maximum output that can be transmitted directly from Xinyi Solar’s rooftop systems to Xinyi Glass without using the State Grid, and that the agreed charges will not exceed the historical weighted average electricity rate paid by Xinyi Glass at the relevant locations. Under the arrangement, Xinyi Glass will benchmark the Xinyi Solar tariff against prevailing State Grid rates and independent third-party quotations where available, and Xinyi Solar will apply a 15%–20% discount to the State Grid rate to determine the monthly electricity bills, a structure the boards say reflects arm’s-length, market-comparable terms and will be subject to strict internal control procedures. The clarification underscores both companies’ efforts to monetise surplus solar generation, manage energy costs and demonstrate regulatory compliance in related-party energy supply transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0868) stock is a Hold with a HK$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Glass Holdings stock, see the HK:0868 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Group Units Clarify Valuation Basis in Jinzhai Wind Power Connected Deal
Jan 16, 2026

Xinyi Glass Holdings, Xinyi Electric Storage, Xinyi Energy and Xinyi Solar jointly issued a supplemental announcement on their connected transaction involving the sale and purchase of an equity interest in Jinzhai Wind Power, clarifying valuation and compliance details related to the deal. The companies disclosed that the valuation of Jinzhai Wind Power as of 31 October 2025, prepared by independent valuer Graval Consulting, was conducted using a discounted cash flow method under the income approach and is therefore treated as a profit forecast under Hong Kong Listing Rules, with Ernst & Young having reviewed the arithmetic accuracy of the forecast calculations and confirming no shareholdings or subscription rights in the Xinyi groups. The boards further explained that the free cash flow to the firm model was adopted over a 13-year projection period to 2037, reflecting the expected remaining life of the wind farm’s turbines, thereby providing investors with more transparency on how the equity interest’s market value was determined in the context of the connected transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0868) stock is a Hold with a HK$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Glass Holdings stock, see the HK:0868 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Glass Justify Lower 2026 Cap for Connected Equipment Purchases Amid Stabilising Solar Glass Market
Jan 16, 2026

Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Glass issued a supplemental joint announcement clarifying the basis for the proposed 2026 annual cap of RMB107.3 million under their production equipment purchase agreement, a connected transaction between the two related groups. They explained that the unusually low purchase volume in the first 11 months of 2025, with only RMB1.2 million used against a cap of RMB168.8 million, stemmed from a deliberate slowdown in capacity expansion amid a supply-demand imbalance in the solar glass sector, production line suspensions, and the use of spare parts from under-utilised facilities. Despite a sharp interim profit decline at Xinyi Solar in 2025, the directors do not expect continued deterioration and argue that 2024’s higher purchase level is a more realistic guide for 2026 demand. The proposed lower cap, at roughly half of the 2023–2024 actual transaction amounts, is positioned as reflecting a stabilising market, planned capacity expansion and normal equipment utilisation as industry conditions and solar glass supply-demand dynamics are expected to improve in China and overseas.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0868) stock is a Hold with a HK$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Glass Holdings stock, see the HK:0868 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Glass and Xinyi Solar Formalise 2026 Intra-Group Solar Power Supply Deal
Dec 24, 2025

Xinyi Glass Holdings Limited and its affiliate Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited have entered into an Electricity Framework Agreement under which members of the Xinyi Solar group will supply surplus electricity from their distributed rooftop solar power generation systems to members of the Xinyi Glass group from 1 January to 31 December 2026. As Xinyi Glass is a substantial shareholder of Xinyi Solar and both companies share common controlling shareholders, the arrangement is classified as a continuing connected transaction for both issuers under Hong Kong listing rules, triggering reporting and announcement requirements but remaining exempt from circular and independent shareholders’ approval due to its relatively small transaction size; the deal underscores closer operational integration between the glass and solar units while formalizing intra-group energy supply on regulated terms.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0868) stock is a Hold with a HK$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Glass Holdings stock, see the HK:0868 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Glass, Xinyi Solar Renew Connected Production Equipment Purchase Deal for 2026
Dec 24, 2025

Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Glass have renewed their production equipment procurement arrangement, with subsidiaries of both companies signing a new 2026 Production Equipment Purchase Agreement on 24 December 2025 to cover purchases from 1 January to 31 December 2026. As Xinyi Glass is a substantial shareholder of Xinyi Solar and both groups are under common controlling shareholders, the renewed equipment purchases are classified as continuing connected transactions under Hong Kong listing rules, triggering reporting and announcement obligations but remaining exempt from shareholder approval and circular requirements because the deal size falls between 0.1% and 5% of the relevant percentage ratios.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0868) stock is a Hold with a HK$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Glass Holdings stock, see the HK:0868 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Group Units Reorganise Stake in Jinzai Wind Power via Connected Transaction
Dec 23, 2025

Xinyi Glass Holdings, together with its affiliated listed entities Xinyi Energy, Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Electric Storage, has entered into an equity transfer agreement under which Xinyi Energy (Fanchang) will acquire an equity interest in Jinzai Wind Power from Xinyi Glass (Wuhu) and XES Anhui Power, further consolidating renewable power assets within the Xinyi group structure. The transaction is classified as a connected transaction for Xinyi Glass, Xinyi Energy, Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Electric Storage under the Main Board and GEM Listing Rules, but because the relevant percentage ratios are above 0.1% and below 5%, it will only be subject to reporting and announcement requirements and will not require circulars, independent financial advice or independent shareholders’ approval, streamlining execution while maintaining disclosure obligations for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0868) stock is a Hold with a HK$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Glass Holdings stock, see the HK:0868 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026