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Hippo Holdings (HIPO)
NYSE:HIPO
US Market

Hippo Holdings (HIPO) AI Stock Analysis

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Hippo Holdings

(NYSE:HIPO)

62Neutral
Hippo Holdings' overall score of 62 reflects strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, offset by valuation concerns due to ongoing losses and a negative P/E ratio. The company shows promising revenue growth and operational improvements but faces challenges in achieving profitability. The stock's technical outlook is stable, supporting a moderate investment potential.

Hippo Holdings (HIPO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Hippo Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHippo Holdings Inc. provides home protection insurance in the United States and the District of Columbia. Its insurance products include homeowners' insurance against risks of fire, wind, and theft; and commercial and personal lines of products. The company distributes insurance products and services through its technology platform; and offers its policies online, over the phone, or through licensed insurance agents. It provides care and protection for homeowners, as well as operates an integrated home protection platform. The company is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyHippo Holdings makes money primarily through underwriting homeowners insurance policies. The company generates revenue by collecting premiums from policyholders in exchange for providing insurance coverage. Hippo differentiates itself by using advanced data analytics and technology to assess risk and price policies more accurately than traditional insurers. Additionally, Hippo partners with reinsurers to manage its risk exposure, allowing it to share a portion of the premiums in exchange for risk transfer. The company may also earn revenue from investment income generated by investing the premiums it collects. Key factors contributing to Hippo's earnings include its ability to attract and retain policyholders, its underwriting expertise, the efficiency of its technology platform, and its strategic partnerships with reinsurers.

Hippo Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hippo Holdings shows strong revenue growth and improved EBIT margin, reflecting better operational efficiency. However, persistent net losses and negative ROE indicate challenges in profitability. The balance sheet remains stable with no debt, but the company struggles with generating returns on equity. Positive cash flow changes are encouraging, yet historical volatility in cash flows suggests potential sustainability risks.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Hippo Holdings has demonstrated notable revenue growth of 77.4% in 2024, reflecting robust top-line expansion. However, net profitability remains a challenge, with a negative net profit margin of -10.88% due to persistent losses. The EBIT margin has improved significantly to 58.98%, indicating better operational efficiency. Despite these improvements, the absence of EBITDA data limits comprehensive margin analysis.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity base with an equity ratio of 23.47%, although this has decreased from previous years. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0, highlighting negligible leverage, which is beneficial in minimizing financial risk. However, the negative ROE of -11.18% signals inefficiency in generating returns for shareholders, impacting the balance sheet strength.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a positive turnaround in free cash flow, growing from a negative position in previous years to $47.2 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.17, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. However, historical volatility in cash flows suggests potential sustainability risks.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
372.10M209.70M119.70M91.20M51.60M
Gross Profit
372.10M209.70M119.70M91.20M51.60M
EBIT
0.00-1.90M-329.60M-370.70M-143.30M
EBITDA
0.000.00-310.00M-356.20M-110.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-40.50M-273.10M-326.50M-367.90M-141.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
197.60M142.10M519.30M784.70M452.30M
Total Assets
1.54B1.52B1.57B1.64B979.40M
Total Debt
10.00M14.80M28.90M0.00273.00M
Net Debt
-187.60M-127.30M-165.60M-775.60M-179.30M
Total Liabilities
1.18B1.14B975.40M19.90M279.10M
Stockholders Equity
362.10M377.90M589.90M859.60M-199.60M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
47.20M-139.10M-181.20M-141.90M-74.80M
Operating Cash Flow
47.50M-92.40M-161.50M-124.50M-65.40M
Investing Cash Flow
30.30M57.60M-405.90M-30.00M-2.30M
Financing Cash Flow
-40.10M-14.60M-6.80M480.80M518.10M

Hippo Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.83
Price Trends
50DMA
28.00
Negative
100DMA
28.02
Negative
200DMA
23.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.74
Positive
RSI
36.30
Neutral
STOCH
15.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HIPO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.93, below the 50-day MA of 28.00, and above the 200-day MA of 23.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HIPO.

Hippo Holdings Risk Analysis

Hippo Holdings disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hippo Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hippo Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$441.37M7.5424.08%10.84%16.40%
76
Outperform
$4.43B101.7860.58%20.37%111.74%
70
Outperform
$2.03B82.1610.41%158.57%
69
Neutral
$3.28B2.80%56.54%
63
Neutral
$14.35B9.948.94%4.37%16.34%-11.76%
62
Neutral
$622.78M-10.95%77.44%85.53%
59
Neutral
$1.58B-3.07%15.97%78.77%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
24.80
2.97
13.61%
TRUP
Trupanion
37.26
10.86
41.14%
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings
15.53
4.66
42.87%
GSHD
GooseHead Insurance
121.83
62.40
105.00%
ROOT
Root
125.17
57.06
83.78%
OSCR
Oscar Health
13.37
-0.64
-4.57%

Hippo Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -16.09% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong positive sentiment with significant achievements in revenue growth, profitability, and operational efficiency. The company successfully navigated through challenges such as the wildfires and legacy portfolio issues, and remains optimistic about future growth and profitability.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Year and Quarter
2024 was declared the most successful year and quarter in Hippo's history. The company achieved positive adjusted EBITDA in Q4, doubled annual revenue, and improved gross loss ratio by nearly 30 percentage points.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Hippo achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA of $8.5 million in Q4 2024, ahead of guidance, marking a significant milestone for the company.
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew by 58% year-over-year to $102 million in Q4 2024, driven by higher premium retention and volume increases across segments.
Improved Loss Ratios
HHIP gross loss ratio improved by three percentage points year-over-year to 50%, with the non-PCS loss ratio improving by 20 percentage points to 43%.
Spinnaker Fronting Business Growth
The Insurance as a Service segment grew by 22% year-over-year, demonstrating consistent long-term growth and profitability.
Future Guidance
2025 revenue guidance raised to $465 million, with expectations to turn net income profitable by Q4 2025.
Lowlights
Impact of Wildfires
The preliminary pretax estimates of cat losses from wildfires in Los Angeles were approximately $42 million, affecting financial results in Q1 2025.
Legacy Portfolio Exposure
The losses from the wildfires were related to legacy HHIP policies, highlighting a continued exposure to older, less profitable policies.
Decline in Hippo Home Insurance Program
An 8% decline in the Hippo home insurance program segment due to efforts to manage exposure to high cat geographies.
Company Guidance
During Hippo's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance for 2025, emphasizing their goal of achieving net income profitability by the end of the year. Despite a $42 million pretax loss from Los Angeles wildfires, Hippo reported a strong Q4 2024, achieving an adjusted EBITDA of $8.5 million and a revenue run rate of approximately $410 million. For 2025, Hippo raised its revenue guidance to $465 million, indicating a projected annual growth rate of 25% and 27% when excluding the First Connect platform. The company improved its HHIP gross loss ratio to 73% for 2024, with a non-cat loss ratio below 45% in Q4, and expects further improvement in 2025. Hippo also saw a 10% year-over-year increase in total generated premium, reaching $295 million, driven by a 22% growth in their Insurance as a Service segment. Additionally, sales and marketing, technology, and general administrative expenses decreased by 19% year-over-year, reflecting an increased operating efficiency.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.