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Gold.com (GOLD)
NYSE:GOLD

Gold.com (GOLD) AI Stock Analysis

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GOLD

Gold.com

(NYSE:GOLD)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$62.00
▲(7.88% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven by improving financial stability (better leverage and a turnaround to positive free cash flow) and strong technical momentum (price well above key moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are capped by weak profitability/returns and a demanding valuation (P/E 123.5, no dividend), while the latest earnings call was net constructive but acknowledged margin, cost, and market-structure headwinds.
Positive Factors
Robust Revenue Growth
Sustained, multi-period top-line expansion demonstrates strong product-market fit and growing direct-to-consumer scale. High revenue growth supports unit economics improvements as fulfillment automation and mint capacity scale, providing durable demand tailwinds and optionality to absorb integration costs.
Positive Operating & Free Cash Flow
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow strengthens financial flexibility and funds organic investments, working capital and a new dividend. Reliable cash generation reduces dependence on dilutive equity or costly debt over the medium term, supporting capital allocation and resilience through cycles.
Strengthened Liquidity & Strategic Capital
The Tether PIPE and related commercial arrangements materially boost liquidity, governance alignment, and access to lower-cost gold leasing. This structural capital partnership plus expanded credit capacity enhance funding optionality and reduce interest-cost sensitivity over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Very Thin Profitability
Extremely compressed margins signal weak current earnings power and low return on invested capital. Even with revenue growth, tiny margins limit reinvestment and shareholder returns and make profitability highly sensitive to cost increases, mix shifts, and commodity trading swings.
Elevated SG&A and Acquisition Costs
Rapid acquisition-driven expense increases raise the company's fixed-cost base and create integration risk. If acquisition synergies are delayed, persistent elevated SG&A will compress margins and require sustained higher revenue to justify the enlarged cost structure.
Market & Trading Volatility Exposure
Material exposure to precious-metal market structure and forward-sales dynamics causes earnings and cash-flow volatility. Trading losses and forward-sale timing can quickly erode profits and increase financing needs, making performance contingent on external commodity market conditions.

Gold.com (GOLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gold.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGold.com, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a precious metals trading company. It operates in three segments: Wholesale Sales & Ancillary Services, Direct-to-Consumer, and Secured Lending. The Wholesale Sales & Ancillary Services segment sells gold, silver, platinum, and palladium in the form of bars, plates, powders, wafers, grains, ingots, and coins. This segment also offers various ancillary services, including financing, storage, consignment, logistics, and various customized financial programs; and designs and produces minted silver products. The Direct-to-Consumer segment provides access to an array of gold, silver, copper, platinum, and palladium products through its websites and marketplaces. It operates five company-owned websites targeting specific niches within the precious metals retail market. This segment also operates as a direct retailer of precious metals to the investor community and markets its precious metal products on television, radio, and the internet, as well as through customer service outreach. The Secured Lending segment originates and acquires commercial loans secured by bullion and numismatic coins; and serves coin and precious metal dealers, investors, and collectors. The company serves customers, including financial institutions, bullion retailers, industrial manufacturers and fabricators, sovereign mints, refiners, coin and metal dealers, investors, collectors, and e-commerce and other retail customers. It has operations in the United States, rest of North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Africa, and Australia. A-Mark Precious Metals, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyA-Mark generates revenue primarily through the buying and selling of precious metals, earning profits from the spread between purchase and sale prices. Key revenue streams include wholesale trading of bullion and coins, where the company capitalizes on market fluctuations and customer demand. Additionally, A-Mark offers storage and logistics services for precious metals, which also contribute to its earnings. The company has established significant partnerships with mining companies, financial institutions, and other entities in the precious metals market, further enhancing its revenue potential through increased transaction volumes and service offerings.

Gold.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive trajectory driven by strong top-line growth (Q2 revenues +136%), improved EBITDA (+109% Q2) and significant strategic developments — most notably the Tether investment, enhanced liquidity, acquisitions, and accelerating customer and fulfillment metrics. Management acknowledged meaningful headwinds including trading losses from silver market backwardation (estimated ~$10–$12M swing), materially higher interest expense and elevated SG&A tied to acquisitions and performance accruals, and short-term operational strain from rapid volume spikes. Overall, the positives (substantial revenue and adjusted-profit growth, strengthened cash and inventory, transformative strategic partnership with Tether, and scale-up of fulfillment and manufacturing capacity) appear to outweigh the transitory and integration-related challenges highlighted in the call.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Rebrand and NYSE Relisting
Completed rebrand to Gold.com and relisted on the New York Stock Exchange in December 2025, reinforcing corporate identity as a global precious metals platform.
Major Strategic Investment from Tether
Tether affiliate to purchase approximately $125 million of common shares at $44.50 with an additional ~$25 million subject to regulatory clearance; includes board nomination rights, expected gold leasing facility of no less than $100 million, commercial agreements for storage/logistics and offering Tether stablecoins through DTC channels, and Gold.com to invest $20 million of proceeds in Tether's XAUT.
Revenue Growth — Q2 and YTD
Q2 fiscal 2026 revenues increased 136% to $6.5 billion (from $2.7 billion); excluding $2.5 billion of forward sales, revenues increased 69% (≈ $1.2 billion). Six-month revenues increased 86% to $10.1 billion.
Profitability and Cash Strength
Reported net income of $11.6 million in Q2 (EPS $0.46) vs $6.6 million (EPS $0.27) a year ago. Cash on hand rose to $152 million from $78 million at fiscal year-end.
Strong Non-GAAP and EBITDA Performance
Adjusted net income before provision for income taxes for Q2 rose 74% to $23.2 million. EBITDA for Q2 increased 109% to $33.9 million; 6-month EBITDA increased 42% to $48.2 million.
Inventory and Balance Sheet Resources
Nonrestricted inventories increased to $1.031 billion from $795 million, supporting sales and fulfillment capacity.
Customer and Volume Growth
DTC new customers in Q2 totaled 96,100, up 47% YoY and 38% QoQ; total DTC customers ~4.4 million, a 37% increase YoY. Gold ounces sold in Q2: 545,000 ounces (up 17% YoY and 24% QoQ).
Acquisitions and Expansion
Closed acquisition of Monex Deposit Company; increased equity interest in Atkinsons Bullion & Coins to 49.5%; recent acquisitions (SGI, Pinehurst, AMS) contributed materially to revenue and customer growth.
Operational Scale and Fulfillment Throughput
AMGL Las Vegas facility throughput ramping: exceeded 120,000 packages in December/January; target to ship ~150,000 packages/month as automation and software improvements complete, with capacity and ambition for higher volumes.
Improved Gold Minting and Manufacturing Capacity
Management describes meaningful mint production capacity and ability to scale manufacturing (examples cited: prior peaks and current ramp plans), positioning the company to meet rising silver demand.
Negative Updates
Trading Losses from Silver Backwardation
Backwardation in the silver market contributed to trading losses and higher interest expense in Q2. Management estimated a year-over-year swing of roughly $10–$12 million (from contango gains to backwardation losses) for comparable periods.
Rising Interest Expense
Interest expense increased 57% YoY to $16.3 million in Q2 (from $10.4 million), driven by increased product financing arrangements, precious metal leases and trading credit facility usage; 6-month interest expense rose 42% to $28.9 million.
SG&A and Acquisition-Related Cost Increases
SG&A rose 132% YoY to $59.8 million in Q2 (including $30 million of expenses from recent acquisitions) due to higher compensation (including $21 million performance accruals), advertising (+$5M), consulting (+$2.7M) and facility costs.
Compression in Gross Margin Percentage
Gross profit increased in absolute terms to $93.0 million (up 109%), but gross margin declined to 1.44% of revenue from 1.63% in prior-year Q2, reflecting lower trading profits and mix effects despite higher sales.
Silver Volume Weakness YoY
Silver ounces sold in Q2 were 18.6 million, down 15% YoY and down 31% for the 6-month period (29.0M oz), indicating year-over-year weakness in silver volume despite a strong QoQ rebound (+79% QoQ).
Increased Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation & amortization rose 65% to $7.6 million in Q2, primarily due to amortization of intangibles from recent acquisitions, adding recurring non-cash expense pressure.
Operational Strain and Preorder Delays
Surging demand led to rapid volume increases (spike in Dec/Jan) requiring additional hires and resulting in some delayed deliveries and higher percentage of preorders; certain popular SKUs (e.g., U.S. Silver Eagles) remain on allocation and can be scarce.
Minority Investment Shortfall Impacting GAAP
Noncontrolling interests were negative (~$1.892 million) in the quarter, attributed in part to investee Sunshine Mint consolidation timing and U.S. Mint-related demand swings; management views this as largely transitory.
Revenue Volatility from Forward Sales and Market Conditions
Quarter included significant forward sales ($2.5 billion in Q2, $3.0 billion YTD) which affect comparability. Market volatility (sharp intraday swings in silver) creates operational and liquidity stress and requires careful capital and hedging management.
Company Guidance
Management guided that fiscal Q3 demand remains elevated with premium spreads expanding and silver market backwardation easing toward contango—a development they expect to be positive for trading—and said they can adjust weekly mint production to manage inventory; operational targets include scaling logistics to roughly 150,000 packages/month once automation is fully online (they tested >120,000 packages in December and January and referenced a combined ~275,000-packages figure for that period), and ramping mint output toward prior peak rates (management cited historical production of ~200,000 oz/week at Silver Towne and discussed goals to materially increase ounces produced); strategically, the company announced a $125 million equity investment from Tether (with ~$25 million additional post‑clearance, totaling $150 million at $44.50/share), a gold‑leasing facility of no less than $100 million, and a $20 million Gold.com investment in Tether’s XAUT, all of which management expects will materially lower interest expense versus current dollar lines (which bear roughly 6–7% today); the board also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share payable March 4, 2026.

Gold.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue growth (+31.3%) and a clear rebound in operating/free cash flow (FCF $316M) support financial stability, and leverage improved (debt-to-equity ~0.46). Offsetting this, profitability has collapsed versus prior years with extremely thin TTM margins and low ROE (~1.2%), indicating weak current earnings power.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Revenue growth is strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (+31.3%), building on a multi-year upward trend. However, profitability has deteriorated sharply versus prior years: TTM gross margin (~2.0%), operating margin (~0.5%), and net margin (~0.06%) are very thin, with net income down materially from 2021–2023 levels. Overall, the company is growing the top line but currently struggling to convert that growth into earnings.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage looks more manageable in the latest period, with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.46 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from ~1.1–1.4 in prior annual reports, which reduces balance-sheet risk. The trade-off is weak current returns for shareholders: return on equity is low in TTM (~1.2%) compared with much stronger levels in 2021–2023. Overall balance-sheet risk appears improved, but profitability on the equity base has softened meaningfully.
Cash Flow
64
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength in the most recent period, with positive operating cash flow ($323M) and free cash flow ($316M) in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), a notable improvement from negative operating/free cash flow in 2021–2023. Free cash flow is also broadly in line with reported earnings in TTM, supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is volatility: free cash flow growth is down sharply in TTM (-31.7%), and historical cash flow swings raise questions about consistency through the cycle.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.68B10.98B9.70B9.29B8.16B7.61B
Gross Profit34.01M210.92M173.25M294.67M261.76M210.20M
EBITDA-151.24M90.39M133.71M247.22M215.71M223.46M
Net Income12.47M17.32M68.55M156.36M132.54M159.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.81B2.22B1.83B1.55B1.44B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments152.05M77.74M48.64M39.32M37.78M101.41M
Total Debt307.33M906.72M775.11M670.58M597.72M484.57M
Total Liabilities3.10B1.51B1.17B945.18M952.19M827.64M
Stockholders Equity653.81M649.52M607.63M599.12M488.61M362.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow283.40M141.67M45.16M-52.05M-92.05M-54.77M
Operating Cash Flow295.64M152.35M60.93M-47.27M-89.17M-52.65M
Investing Cash Flow-154.72M-104.67M-63.60M6.84M-60.56M-130.39M
Financing Cash Flow-26.64M-18.58M11.98M-12.27M86.11M232.13M

Gold.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.47
Price Trends
50DMA
46.12
Positive
100DMA
36.74
Positive
200DMA
29.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.14
Positive
RSI
59.49
Neutral
STOCH
34.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.82, above the 50-day MA of 46.12, and above the 200-day MA of 29.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GOLD.

Gold.com Risk Analysis

Gold.com disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gold.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gold.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison

Gold.com Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Gold.com Expands Revolving Credit Facility and Financing Capacity
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

On February 13, 2026, Gold.com, Inc. amended its existing revolving credit facility by entering into an Incremental Facility Agreement and First Amendment with CIBC Bank USA and other lenders, raising total revolving commitments to $427.5 million. The amendment also increased limits on secured leases to $600 million, ownership-based financing to $1.1 billion, and expanded caps on inventory per location, in-transit inventory, and major counterparty exposure, effectively enlarging the company’s financing capacity and operational flexibility for future growth and balance-sheet management.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOLD) stock is a Buy with a $72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold.com stock, see the GOLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Gold.com Secures $150 Million PIPE from Tether Affiliate
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Gold.com entered into a $150 million PIPE equity financing with TPM, an affiliate of Tether Global Investments Fund, involving the sale of 3,370,787 common shares at $44.50 each, an 11.9% discount to the 10-day NYSE VWAP. The first tranche of 2,840,449 shares closed on February 6, 2026 for $126.4 million, while a second tranche of 530,337 shares for $23.6 million remains subject to Hart-Scott-Rodino clearance.

Under the deal, Gold.com will allocate $20 million of proceeds to purchase XAU₮, a gold-backed stablecoin sponsored by a TPM affiliate, and the parties will seek additional gold lending, gold storage and related commercial arrangements. TPM secured board nomination and registration rights via an Investor Rights Agreement, and agreed to a 90-day lock-up that restricts sales and hedging of its shares, signaling a deeper strategic and governance link between Gold.com and a major digital-asset investor.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOLD) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold.com stock, see the GOLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Gold.com Rebrands and Moves to NYSE
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 2, 2025, A-Mark Precious Metals, Inc. officially changed its name to Gold.com, Inc. and transferred its stock listing from Nasdaq to the New York Stock Exchange, adopting the new trading symbol ‘GOLD’. This rebranding effort, which included launching a new corporate website, aims to strengthen the company’s market presence without affecting stockholder rights or the stock’s CUSIP number.

The most recent analyst rating on (GOLD) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gold.com stock, see the GOLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026