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Gold.com, Inc. (GOLD)
NYSE:GOLD
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Gold.com (GOLD) AI Stock Analysis

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GOLD

Gold.com

(NYSE:GOLD)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
▼(-10.75% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial resilience (major debt reduction) alongside strong revenue growth, tempered by very thin margins and operating-pressure signals. Valuation is a meaningful positive given the very low P/E, while technicals are a mild headwind due to negative MACD and price sitting below key moving averages. The latest earnings call was constructive (record results and synergy/market-structure tailwinds), though cost and integration/financing risks remain.
Positive Factors
Robust revenue growth and platform scale
Sustained, very strong top-line expansion and a rapidly growing DTC base indicate durable market penetration and network effects. Scale supports higher minting and distribution throughput, larger customer lifetime value potential, and creates structural barriers versus smaller competitors.
Negative Factors
Extremely thin and volatile profit margins
Very low gross margins leave limited buffer for fixed costs or market shocks, making profitability highly sensitive to volume mix and commodity price structure. This undermines sustainable free cash generation and raises execution risk during normalization of market conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust revenue growth and platform scale
Sustained, very strong top-line expansion and a rapidly growing DTC base indicate durable market penetration and network effects. Scale supports higher minting and distribution throughput, larger customer lifetime value potential, and creates structural barriers versus smaller competitors.
Read all positive factors

Gold.com (GOLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gold.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gold.com, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a precious metals trading company. It operates in three segments: Wholesale Sales & Ancillary Services, Direct-to-Consumer, and Secured Lending. The Wholesale Sales & Ancillary Services s...
How the Company Makes Money
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Gold.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q3-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a distinctly positive performance quarter: record top‑line growth (Q3 revenue +244%), a swing to profitable results (Q3 net income ~$60M vs. a loss prior year), large EBITDA and adjusted earnings improvements, expanded liquidity and storage, and tangible benefits from recent acquisitions and the Tether partnership. Key operational metrics (gold and silver ounces sold, platform scale, minting capacity) strengthened materially. Offsetting risks include materially higher SG&A, rising interest and amortization costs largely tied to acquisitions and financing, a YoY decline in organic new customer acquisition, larger inventories and sensitivity to market structure (backwardation/contango). On balance, the positive financial and strategic developments substantially outweigh the challenges, though the company remains exposed to market volatility and integration/financing costs.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Q3 revenue increased 244% to $10.3 billion from $3.0 billion a year ago; excluding $4.3 billion of forward sales, revenues grew $2.9 billion or 187%. Nine‑month revenue rose 142% to $20.5 billion from $8.4 billion; excluding $7.4 billion of forward sales, nine‑month revenue increased 95%.
Negative Updates
Large Increase in SG&A Expenses
Q3 SG&A rose 134% to $78 million from $33 million a year ago; nine‑month SG&A increased 130% to $197 million. Approximately 75%–84% of the period‑over‑period SG&A increase was attributable to acquisitions (SGI, Pinehurst, AMS, Monnex); excluding those, Q3 SG&A rose ~$11.6M.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue Growth
Q3 revenue increased 244% to $10.3 billion from $3.0 billion a year ago; excluding $4.3 billion of forward sales, revenues grew $2.9 billion or 187%. Nine‑month revenue rose 142% to $20.5 billion from $8.4 billion; excluding $7.4 billion of forward sales, nine‑month revenue increased 95%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that market conditions have moderated into a more “normalized” contango environment—which they expect to see fully benefit Q4 (Apr–Jun) as backwardation-related headwinds abate—and emphasized continued integration and SG&A/gross‑profit synergies from recent acquisitions (Monnex, Sunshine now 100% owned, SGI, Pinehurst, AMS), ongoing M&A, and prioritized capital deployment (debt paydown, inventory, acquisitions, buybacks, dividends), with any special dividend to be revisited after Q4 (the board declared the regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.00). Key metrics cited in support: Q3 revenue $10.3B (+244% YoY) with gross profit $176M (1.7% margin) and net income ≈$60M ($2.09 diluted), adjusted pre‑tax income $87M, EBITDA $103.4M, cash $143.0M, non‑restricted inventory $1.319B, storage roughly doubled from $1.1B to ~$2.2B, Q3 ounces sold of 538k oz gold (+25% YoY) and 34.6M oz silver (+120% YoY), total DTC customers ~4.7M (+40% YoY) with 292,800 new Q3 DTC customers (≈58% from Monnex), secured loan portfolio $126M (+46% YoY), and strategic Tether investments of 3,370,787 shares at $44.50 ($150M total) plus $20M of XAUT.

Gold.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is very strong (TTM +46.8%) and the balance sheet is meaningfully de-risked by a large debt reduction, but profitability quality is a key drag with extremely thin gross margin (~0.7%) and negative EBIT/EBITDA in TTM. Cash flow is positive (TTM FCF ~$111M) yet inconsistent historically and sharply down versus the prior period (FCF -60.8%), keeping the score in the mid-range.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.02B10.98B9.70B9.29B8.16B7.61B
Gross Profit160.16M210.92M173.25M294.67M261.76M210.20M
EBITDA-60.70M90.39M133.71M247.22M215.71M223.46M
Net Income80.51M17.32M68.55M156.36M132.54M159.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.17B2.22B1.83B1.55B1.44B1.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments143.61M77.74M48.64M39.32M37.78M101.41M
Total Debt105.32M906.72M775.11M670.58M597.72M484.57M
Total Liabilities3.27B1.51B1.17B945.18M952.19M827.64M
Stockholders Equity847.32M649.52M607.63M599.12M488.61M362.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow111.14M141.67M45.16M-52.05M-92.05M-54.77M
Operating Cash Flow124.15M152.35M60.93M-47.27M-89.17M-52.65M
Investing Cash Flow-124.85M-104.67M-63.60M6.84M-60.56M-130.39M
Financing Cash Flow29.96M-18.58M11.98M-12.27M86.11M232.13M

Gold.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price48.18
Price Trends
50DMA
42.88
Negative
100DMA
46.85
Negative
200DMA
37.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.88
Positive
RSI
45.99
Neutral
STOCH
19.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOLD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 48.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.45, above the 50-day MA of 42.88, and above the 200-day MA of 37.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GOLD.

Gold.com Risk Analysis

Gold.com disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gold.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gold.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison

Gold.com Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Gold.com adds Tether-affiliated director amid board transition
Neutral
Mar 16, 2026
On March 16, 2026, TPM, S.A. de C.V., exercising its nomination rights as a significant shareholder of Gold.com, Inc., designated Juan Sartori for a seat on the company’s Board of Directors, and the Board approved his appointment. Sartori, w...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026