Genius Group Limited (GNS) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $33.30M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 897.85K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.45
• Revenue Growth: -64.39%
• EPS Growth: -305.82%
• Country: US
• Employees: 133
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Education & Training Services
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 81,808,820
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 800,984
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 897,853
• PEG Ratio: 0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.65
• Price to Sales (P/S): 6.95
• P/FCF Ratio: -3.83
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.10
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 6.39
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 22.93
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -1.64
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 43 Neutral
• Price Target: $0.39 ▼(-47.60% Downside)
• Action: Upgraded Date: 03/12/26
• Date: Action: Upgraded 03/12/26

The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance: collapsing gross margin, very large and widening losses, and ongoing negative free cash flow, alongside KPI evidence of declining segment revenues. Technicals add pressure with a clear downtrend versus major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

Revenue Rebound

A 45.9% revenue rebound in 2025 demonstrates the company can drive meaningful top‑line recovery across its education offerings. Durable demand recovery helps support scale economics, provides a larger base to pursue margin improvements and funds strategic initiatives over the next 2–6 months.

Improved Leverage

Substantially lower leverage (debt/equity 0.12x) materially reduces refinancing and solvency risk, increasing financial flexibility. A stronger capital structure supports investment in product development, M&A or operating scale without immediate refinancing pressure, a durable structural benefit.

AI Strategy & 2026 Outlook

The AI‑driven education plan and guidance for 2026 (48% revenue growth and positive adjusted EBITDA) represent a structural shift to higher‑margin, scalable digital products. If executed, this repositions the business model toward recurring, tech‑led education revenue and stronger long‑term profitability.

Negative Factors

Collapsed Gross Margin

A collapse in gross margin from 32.6% to 13.4% indicates structural margin pressure from pricing, cost inflation or product mix shifts. Persistent low gross margins undermine the ability to leverage revenue growth into profits and make long‑term margin recovery essential to sustainable returns.

Persistent Negative Cash Flow

Negative operating and free cash flow across years, with FCF worsening in 2025, shows the business remains cash‑consumptive. Continued cash burn limits organic reinvestment, forces reliance on asset sales or external funding, and increases execution risk for strategic initiatives over the medium term.

Large Losses & Negative Returns

Very large net losses and deeply negative ROE signal the company currently destroys shareholder capital. Such entrenched unprofitability hampers ability to attract capital, erodes investor confidence and raises execution risk for turnaround plans even if top line recovers.

Genius Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genius Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides entrepreneur education system business development tools and management consultancy services to entrepreneurs and entrepreneur resorts. Its courses, products, and services form a full entrepreneur education curriculum together with a full suite of tools for students. The company also owns entrepreneur resorts in Bali and South Africa, which run entrepreneur retreats and workshops; and Genius Café, an entrepreneur beach club in Bali, as well as Genius Central, an entrepreneur co-working hub in Singapore. In addition, it offers home childcare and investment education services; operates entrepreneur education campus that provides a range of programs from pre-primary through primary school, secondary school, and vocational college; and provides career-focused on-campus and online programs at the Master's, Bachelor's, and Associate degree level, as well as certificate and continuing education programs. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Singapore.

How the Company Makes Money

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Genius Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite a strong 2025 revenue rebound (+45.9% YoY) and improved leverage (debt-to-equity down to 0.12x), overall fundamentals are weak: gross margin collapsed (32.6% to 13.4%), net losses widened materially (net margin -659% in 2025), and operating/free cash flow remain negative with free cash flow worsening in 2025. Segment KPI insights also indicate sustained revenue declines across key education segments and Campus revenue ending since mid-2024, adding uncertainty to growth quality.

Income Statement

Revenue rebounded strongly in 2025 (+45.9% YoY), but profitability materially deteriorated: gross margin fell sharply (32.6% in 2024 to 13.4% in 2025) and losses widened meaningfully (net margin -314% in 2024 to -659% in 2025). Operating profitability is consistently negative across the period, indicating the business has not yet found a scalable cost structure despite periods of growth.

Balance Sheet

Leverage has improved substantially versus 2022: debt-to-equity declined from very high levels (3.52x in 2022) to low levels in 2025 (0.12x), alongside a much larger equity base. However, returns remain deeply negative (ROE -61.9% in 2025), signaling that the stronger capital structure is being weighed down by ongoing losses.

Cash Flow

Cash generation remains a clear weak spot: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every year shown, and 2025 free cash flow deteriorated further (down 70.4% YoY). While the cash burn improved dramatically versus 2024 (operating cash flow -$13.3M in 2025 vs. -$46.3M in 2024), the business is still not self-funding and continues to consume cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.75M	8.39M	7.91M	23.06M	18.19M	12.78M
Gross Profit	1.60M	1.12M	2.58M	11.54M	8.64M	2.76M
EBITDA	-22.35M	-24.78M	-23.98M	220.76K	-53.38M	-2.67M
Net Income	-34.63M	-55.27M	-24.88M	-5.66M	-55.25M	-4.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	85.03M	136.94M	101.06M	43.21M	91.26M	17.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.69M	2.42M	1.61M	625.02K	5.72M	1.78M
Total Debt	4.89M	10.90M	14.31M	7.75M	25.19M	3.18M
Total Liabilities	17.19M	40.32M	21.64M	23.50M	77.30M	9.61M
Stockholders Equity	62.23M	89.25M	73.78M	14.03M	7.16M	3.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-51.50M	-15.23M	-46.85M	-12.98M	-9.48M	-3.96M
Operating Cash Flow	-44.94M	-13.31M	-46.35M	-12.41M	-8.24M	-3.08M
Investing Cash Flow	-7.58M	-2.21M	-8.09M	-2.84M	-10.09M	-882.11K
Financing Cash Flow	54.36M	16.60M	55.36M	9.85M	21.94M	3.10M

Genius Group Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.75
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.41, above the 50-day MA of 0.49, and below the 200-day MA of 0.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNS.

Genius Group Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
STG	68 Neutral	$62.43M	1.53	51.85%	―	-0.84%	-11.01%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
AACG	48 Neutral	$31.83M	15.35	-13.01%	―	11.62%	80.22%
GNS	43 Neutral	$33.30M	-1.05	-50.93%	―	-64.39%	-305.82%
YQ	41 Neutral	$23.10M	-1.75	-45.82%	―	-48.17%	35.62%

Genius Group Limited Corporate Events

Genius Group Files Form 6-K After March Earnings Call

Genius Group Limited, a Singapore-based foreign private issuer in the education and training sector, maintains a U.S. listing and reports under Form 20-F. The company focuses on technology-enabled education services and regularly engages with investors through structured presentations and webcasts.

On March 9, 2026, Genius Group filed a Form 6-K noting that it had held its earnings call earlier that day at 8:30 a.m. ET, with a recording made available on its investor relations website. The filing also furnished investors with the accompanying materials, including an investor presentation, the webcast script and an earnings press release, underscoring the company’s emphasis on transparency and detailed financial communication to the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNS) stock is a Sell with a $0.49 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genius Group Limited stock, see the GNS Stock Forecast page.

Genius Group Unveils AI Education Strategy and Projects 48% Revenue Surge for 2026

Genius Group Limited, a Singapore-based AI-powered, Bitcoin-first education provider, operates three main units—Genius School, Genius Academy and Genius Resorts—offering programs from preschool to adult reskilling, alongside destination learning centers and an emerging Genius City model. The company focuses on AI-driven curricula in entrepreneurship, investing and future-of-work skills across more than 100 countries.

On February 19, 2026, Genius Group released its AI-powered Education Plan and 2026 financial outlook, forecasting a 48% jump in annual revenue to $20–$22 million and positive adjusted EBITDA from operations of $1.5–$2.0 million. Management expects all three operating units to be profitable in 2026, with Genius School and Genius Academy each targeting over $6 million in revenue and Genius Resorts more than $8 million, while development of the Genius City business unit continues toward a planned completion by the end of 2027.

Genius School plans to scale its preschool and K–12 ProEd programs, expand its Genie AI mentor and launch Starlink-connected “Future School Space Capsules” as it aims for profitable operations above $6 million in revenue next year. Genius Academy is targeting similar revenue through growth in property investor education, its Entrepreneur and Bitcoin academies, microcourses, Bali-based AI labs and new AI-powered educator tools from Genius Studios.

Genius Resorts expects over $8 million in 2026 revenue by growing its network of learning-focused resorts and beach clubs, expanding its global licensing model and advancing Phase One of Genius City’s hubs in Bali. The strategy underscores Genius Group’s push to capitalize on rising global demand for AI-enabled education solutions for both children and adults as AI adoption accelerates, positioning the company toward a more sustainable, profit-focused growth path.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNS) stock is a Sell with a $0.49 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genius Group Limited stock, see the GNS Stock Forecast page.

Genius Group Trims Bitcoin Holdings to Cut Debt and Rebalance Treasury

Between December 29, 2025, and February 6, 2026, Genius Group Limited sold 96 bitcoin at an average price of about US$73,238 per coin, raising roughly US$7.0 million in gross proceeds that were used primarily to pay down its Bitcoin-backed loan. As of February 6, 2026, the company reported holding 84.15 bitcoin in treasury and an outstanding loan balance of approximately US$3.3 million, stating that it holds no other debt and signalling an intention to continue actively managing its bitcoin position alongside debt repayment and potential share buybacks in an effort to maximize shareholder value and support the profitability of its core operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GNS) stock is a Sell with a $0.49 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genius Group Limited stock, see the GNS Stock Forecast page.