Strong Full-Year EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA of $13.5 billion for FY2025, with the industrial segment contributing close to $10 billion and marketing delivering $2.9 billion adjusted EBIT (back in the middle of the new range).
Second-Half Momentum and Half-on-Half Recovery
50% increase in EBITDA half-on-half across the business; industrial EBITDA rose ~65% H2 vs H1, driving strong year-end momentum and improved spot illustrative EBITDA (> $18 billion industrial combined at spot).
Metals Outperformance (Copper & Zinc)
Copper and zinc were major contributors: copper prices rose from ~$8,600 to ~$12,400 (approx. +44% year-to-year reference on the period noted), zinc added roughly $800 million of year-on-year EBITDA (including ~ $500 million from Kazzinc).
Marketing Franchise Resilience
Adjusted marketing EBIT of $2.9 billion for the year; performance driven by metals trading (copper and zinc arbitrage/conc. tightness) and a return to stronger trading opportunities in H2.
Operational Delivery and Guidance Track Record
Achieved production guidance across key commodities for the second consecutive year; operational improvements and discipline credited for meeting guidance after a weak H1.
Copper Growth Pipeline and Strategic Advances
Material copper optionality: acquisition of Quechua adjacent to Antapaccay/Coroccohuayco (enhances optionality and plant access), MARA and Pachon RIGI processes advancing (MARA expected in H1), Alumbrera restart targeted for first production in 2028, and NewRange (Minnesota JV) resource increased by ~1 billion tonnes with ~20–21 of 23 phase-1 permits in place.
DRC Engagement and Value Recognition
Signed a non-binding MOU with U.S. government-backed Orion/CMC for DRC assets (KCC and MUMI cited combined ~ $9 billion value) — seen as a confidence boost for DRC investment; land access also secured for KCC to expand to ~300,000 tpa copper and extend mine life into the 2040s.
Balance Sheet, Cash Returns and Capital Discipline
Declared a $2.0 billion dividend; returned over $27 billion to shareholders since 2021; net debt management focused on a long-term ~$10 billion target; spot illustrative free cash flow around $7 billion (presentation spot case) and continued disciplined CapEx guidance (average ~$6.5 billion 2026–2028).