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Zenith Energy Ltd (GB:ZEN)
LSE:ZEN

Zenith Energy (ZEN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ZEN

Zenith Energy

(LSE:ZEN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
8.00 p
▲(123.46% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash flow health and a high P/E valuation, despite strong revenue growth and an improving leverage profile. Technicals are supportive with strong momentum, but overbought readings reduce confidence in the near-term setup.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Zenith's ~60.6% top-line growth signals durable demand for its storage and terminal services and improving facility utilization. Sustained revenue expansion helps absorb fixed costs, supports reinvestment in capacity, and strengthens negotiating leverage with customers over the medium term.
Operating Margin Improvement
Positive EBIT/EBITDA and improving operating margins indicate the business is realizing operational efficiencies and scaling benefits across terminals. Durable margin gains increase resilience to volume swings and improve the company's ability to fund maintenance capex and service debt over time.
Leverage Improvement
A reduced debt-to-equity of 0.74 reflects an improving leverage profile and stronger balance sheet stability. Lower leverage decreases refinancing risk, enhances financial flexibility for strategic investments, and supports longer-term operational resilience in a cyclical industry.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Despite a 44.82% FCF increase, ongoing negative operating and free cash flows point to persistent cash deficits. Weak cash generation constrains internal funding for capex and working capital, raises dependency on external financing, and limits the firm's ability to sustainably execute growth plans.
Low Gross Margin
A gross margin of just 3.73% shows the core storage and handling business earns very thin direct profits. Such narrow margins leave little buffer against rising energy, labor, or input costs and make long-term profitability and margin sustainability vulnerable to adverse cost or pricing shifts.
Low ROE & Profit Volatility
ROE of 1.66% combined with historically volatile profits indicates limited returns on shareholder capital and weak earnings predictability. This undermines long-term reinvestment efficacy, may increase cost of capital, and complicates strategic planning and investor confidence over multiple quarters.

Zenith Energy (ZEN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Zenith Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZenith Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, explores for and develops oil and natural gas in Italy, the Republic of the Congo, and internationally. It also produces and sells electricity and condensate, as well as engages in oil and gas drilling activities. The company was formerly known as Canoel International Energy Ltd. and changed its name to Zenith Energy Ltd. in October 2014. Zenith Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyZenith Energy primarily makes money by charging customers fees for the use of its infrastructure and logistics services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) storage and terminaling fees for holding bulk liquids in tanks at its facilities; (2) throughput/handling fees for receiving, transferring, blending (where offered), and loading/unloading products via road, rail, pipeline, or marine interfaces at terminals; and (3) ancillary service fees tied to operating and maintaining terminal infrastructure (e.g., scheduling, product movements, and other site-specific services included in customer contracts). Earnings are driven by contracted capacity/volume commitments and customer utilization of terminal services, with revenue influenced by factors such as facility occupancy, throughput volumes, pricing terms in service agreements, and the mix of products handled. Specific details on material partnerships, customer concentration, contract structures (e.g., minimum volume commitments), or segment-level revenue breakdown are null.

Zenith Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (+60.58%) and improving operating margins are positives, but financial quality is mixed: low gross margin (3.73%), historically volatile profitability, and weak cash generation with negative operating and free cash flows. Leverage has improved (debt-to-equity 0.74), but ROE remains low (1.66%).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Zenith Energy has shown significant revenue growth with a 60.58% increase in the latest year, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the gross profit margin is low at 3.73%, and the net profit margin is volatile, though it improved to 50.72% from negative figures in previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are positive, reflecting operational improvements, but the historical volatility in profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.74, indicating a manageable level of leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity is low at 1.66%, suggesting limited efficiency in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall balance sheet shows a trend towards better financial stability.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Zenith Energy's cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating and free cash flows. Despite a 44.82% growth in free cash flow, the company still faces cash flow deficits. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues relative to reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and profitability, but overall cash flow health is weak.
BreakdownMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.15M1.79M13.16M8.24M596.00K
Gross Profit80.00K-3.23M2.66M3.78M-1.84M
EBITDA9.41M-33.42M-4.94M-2.00M-1.60M
Net Income1.09M-42.37M-12.83M64.44M3.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets164.72M140.02M262.91M259.30M119.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.20M207.00K1.44M1.15M1.63M
Total Debt48.50M41.68M33.94M18.34M12.74M
Total Liabilities99.09M90.04M171.26M156.21M95.63M
Stockholders Equity65.63M49.98M91.65M103.09M23.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.38M-4.24M-16.27M-13.19M-9.87M
Operating Cash Flow-10.97M-4.19M-15.84M-13.13M-9.81M
Investing Cash Flow1.24M-593.00K-430.00K-2.17M-202.00K
Financing Cash Flow12.71M3.55M16.56M14.82M10.43M

Zenith Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.58
Price Trends
50DMA
3.80
Positive
100DMA
3.57
Positive
200DMA
5.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Negative
RSI
90.16
Negative
STOCH
78.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ZEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.20, below the 50-day MA of 3.80, and below the 200-day MA of 5.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 90.16 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ZEN.

Zenith Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
55
Neutral
£51.29M40.54-2.87%65.32%97.00%
53
Neutral
£18.75M
53
Neutral
£17.29M-0.66-45.38%
50
Neutral
£23.24M-3.81-54.57%
47
Neutral
£38.21M-1.36-31.73%-2.69%-5.00%
47
Neutral
£26.48M-5.90-12.26%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ZEN
Zenith Energy
7.90
-1.25
-13.66%
GB:EOG
Europa Oil & Gas (Holdings)
1.43
0.80
128.00%
GB:SOU
Sound Energy
8.00
1.00
14.29%
GB:CHAR
Chariot Oil & Gas
1.33
-0.30
-18.47%
GB:MATD
Petro Matad
1.25
-0.45
-26.47%
GB:PRD
Predator Oil & Gas Holdings Plc
3.25
0.05
1.56%

Zenith Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Zenith Energy Pays Coupons on 2029 Multi-Currency Bonds
Positive
Mar 2, 2026

Zenith Energy has confirmed it has fully paid recent coupon obligations on its multi-currency 2029 Euro Medium Term Notes listed on the Vienna MTF. The timely coupon payments underscore the company’s ability to meet its debt commitments, supporting its credibility with bondholders and reinforcing its financial discipline as it advances its international energy portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ZEN) stock is a Hold with a £4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenith Energy stock, see the GB:ZEN Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Zenith Energy retires Euro Medium Term Note at maturity
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

Zenith Energy Ltd. has repaid in full, at maturity, its Euro Medium Term Note listed on the Vienna MTF and the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, marking the successful discharge of this specific bond obligation. The repayment underscores the company’s ability to meet its debt commitments, which may be viewed positively by bondholders and equity investors watching its financial discipline and access to capital markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ZEN) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenith Energy stock, see the GB:ZEN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Zenith Energy Meets Coupon Payments on 2027 Multi-Currency Bonds
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

Zenith Energy has paid in full the latest coupon instalments on its 2027 multi-currency Euro Medium Term Notes listed on the Vienna MTF of the Vienna Stock Exchange. The timely servicing of these bond coupons underscores the company’s ability to meet its debt obligations, supporting its financial credibility in capital markets and providing reassurance to bondholders and other stakeholders about its ongoing cash flow strength and balance sheet discipline.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ZEN) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenith Energy stock, see the GB:ZEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Zenith Energy Retires Euro Medium Term Note in Full
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

Zenith Energy Ltd. has fully repaid its Euro Medium Term Note listed on the Vienna MTF and the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, settling principal of EUR 50,000 and a final coupon of EUR 3,656.25 for a total payment of EUR 53,656.25. The repayment removes this specific debt instrument from Zenith’s capital structure, modestly strengthening its balance sheet and signalling continued focus on managing obligations as it pursues growth from its portfolio of producing and low-risk exploration assets in North Africa, the US and Europe.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ZEN) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenith Energy stock, see the GB:ZEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Zenith Energy Adds 10 MWp Agrivoltaic Project as Italian Solar Pipeline Reaches 120.5 MWp
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Zenith Energy has acquired a 10 MWp agrivoltaic solar development project in Italy’s Piedmont region through its subsidiary WESOLAR, paying up to €768,215 for the land subject to permits and targeting Ready-to-Build status within 12–15 months. The project deepens the company’s presence in one of Italy’s most industrialised and power-hungry areas, bringing its Italian solar portfolio to 120.5 MWp across Piedmont, Puglia and Lazio and enhancing the potential value of a pipeline that was independently valued at €27.5m when it stood at 110.5 MWp; Zenith plans to keep advancing projects to Ready-to-Build, selectively sell parts of the pipeline and construct chosen assets, while pursuing further acquisitions as it builds scale in the country’s rapidly growing photovoltaic market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ZEN) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenith Energy stock, see the GB:ZEN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesLegal Proceedings
Zenith Energy Bolsters ICSID Legal Team for Tunisia Arbitration with Appointment of Andrea Pinna
Negative
Jan 26, 2026

Zenith Energy has strengthened the legal team representing its UK subsidiary claimants in arbitration proceedings against the Republic of Tunisia at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes by appointing Andrea Pinna, a partner at international disputes boutique Pinna Goldberg. Pinna, an experienced arbitration counsel with a strong track record in investor-state and energy-sector disputes and in matters involving sovereign immunity, will work alongside the company’s existing high-profile legal advisers as Zenith prepares for final hearings scheduled for April 2026 in its claim under the UK-Tunisia Bilateral Investment Treaty, which seeks redress and compensation for what the company describes as arbitrary and unlawful actions that led to the sequestration and expropriatory termination of its Tunisian operations and assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ZEN) stock is a Hold with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zenith Energy stock, see the GB:ZEN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026