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Tracsis plc (GB:TRCS)
:TRCS

Tracsis (TRCS) AI Stock Analysis

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Tracsis

(LSE:TRCS)

63Neutral
Tracsis stands on solid financial footing with robust balance sheet strength, but recent profitability challenges dampen the outlook. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and high valuation metrics raise concerns. However, strategic contract wins and shareholder support provide optimism for future growth.
Positive Factors
International Growth
Tracsis expanded its RCM offering in North America with key hardware and software contracts for a large transit customer, reinforcing its long-term international growth potential.
Revenue Growth
The company has made big strides preparing for the next cycle of higher margin recurring revenue growth with investments in operational and sales staff that has resulted in 200% increase in the company's pipeline with several multi-year deals in the latter stages of procurement to be announced.
Smart Ticketing
The major multi-year PAYG Tap Converter contract secured during the period strengthens the company’s position in smart ticketing.
Negative Factors
Execution Risk
Execution risk has increased due to uncertainties in UK rail procurement and North America contract timelines.
Government Uncertainty
Mobilising spend in the UK within the CP7 budget is still uncertain and GBR has yet to be fully created, causing conservative estimates at this stage.
Revenue Estimates
Despite a growing pipeline, revenue estimates are reset to reflect continued uncertainty in the UK with changes in government and weaker RCM activity.

Tracsis (TRCS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Tracsis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTracsis plc is a leading technology company that specializes in providing software, hardware, and services for the transportation and traffic management sectors. The company is headquartered in the United Kingdom and operates across various segments including rail, bus, and road. Tracsis's core offerings include advanced data capture, analytics, and decision support solutions that enhance operational efficiency and safety in transport networks.
How the Company Makes MoneyTracsis generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software products and services, targeted towards transportation management and optimization. The company offers a range of solutions including scheduling, resource optimization, and traffic management systems, which are sold to rail operators, infrastructure providers, and local authorities. Tracsis also provides consulting and professional services that support the implementation and ongoing optimization of its technology solutions. In addition, the company benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major transport operators and governmental bodies, which contribute significantly to its recurring revenue streams.

Tracsis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tracsis demonstrates solid financial health with stable revenue and a strong balance sheet. However, recent declines in profitability and free cash flow growth suggest challenges that may need addressing to maintain its financial trajectory. The company’s low leverage and strong equity position provide a cushion against potential risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tracsis has shown a consistent revenue growth over the years, despite a slight decline in the most recent year. The gross profit margin remains strong, but recent profitability, as indicated by the net profit margin, has seen a significant decline. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, suggesting increased operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The return on equity has decreased, reflecting challenges in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid asset base supported by shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a stable operating cash flow to net income ratio, although free cash flow has declined. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, ensuring sufficient liquidity to cover net income, but the growth rate of free cash flow shows recent pressure.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
79.39M81.02M82.02M68.72M50.24M48.00M
Gross Profit
44.52M46.01M44.35M37.24M30.54M27.60M
EBIT
4.11M967.00K7.25M5.82M4.28M9.26M
EBITDA
12.48M9.04M14.59M9.55M10.57M9.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.68M488.00K6.81M1.50M2.36M2.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
18.49M19.77M15.31M17.19M25.39M17.92M
Total Assets
54.27M102.81M100.90M105.59M93.52M84.66M
Total Debt
417.00K1.86M2.09M2.77M2.06M2.11M
Net Debt
-18.07M-17.91M-13.22M-14.42M-23.33M-15.81M
Total Liabilities
17.93M34.64M33.13M45.14M36.86M31.63M
Stockholders Equity
36.34M68.17M67.77M60.45M56.66M53.02M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
8.26M6.55M7.73M7.06M8.96M10.17M
Operating Cash Flow
10.77M8.50M9.56M8.19M9.36M10.55M
Investing Cash Flow
-9.61M-2.02M-7.49M-14.54M-595.00K-15.40M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.82M-2.10M-1.99M-2.03M-1.20M-1.34M

Tracsis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price310.00
Price Trends
50DMA
365.75
Negative
100DMA
430.94
Negative
200DMA
531.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.16
Positive
RSI
44.00
Neutral
STOCH
14.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TRCS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 310 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 354.03, below the 50-day MA of 365.75, and below the 200-day MA of 531.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:TRCS.

Tracsis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£6.93B20.2125.35%2.93%1.94%16.26%
GBKLR
75
Outperform
£973.70M6.9325.66%3.52%0.70%60.51%
GBGNS
67
Neutral
£1.06B147.63-0.73%1.99%-0.22%-111.98%
63
Neutral
£94.23M191.360.72%0.77%-1.22%-92.99%
GBSFR
58
Neutral
£56.40M17.941.55%19.27%6.00%-84.54%
57
Neutral
$19.95B9.66-12.05%2.76%5.40%-24.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TRCS
Tracsis
310.00
-536.41
-63.37%
GB:ITRK
Intertek
4,368.00
-365.74
-7.73%
GB:SFR
Severfield
19.20
-34.08
-63.96%
GB:KLR
Keller Group plc
1,362.00
317.90
30.45%
GB:GNS
Genus plc
1,610.00
-122.98
-7.10%

Tracsis Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Tracsis PLC Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Tracsis PLC has announced that as of April 1, 2025, the company has a total of 30,396,027 ordinary shares in issue, each carrying one vote, with no shares held in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interest in the company’s share capital under the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Tracsis Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Tracsis plc has announced that the total number of ordinary shares in the company is 30,394,884, each carrying one vote, with no shares held in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interest in the company’s share capital as per the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tracsis Reports Modest Revenue Growth Amid UK Rail Market Challenges
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

Tracsis, a leading transport technology provider, reported modest revenue growth for the first half of the fiscal year 2025, despite challenges in the UK rail market due to CP7 funding impacts. The company achieved significant contract wins, including a major PAYG Tap Converter system and the first intercity deployment of TRACS Enterprise in the UK. Although the adjusted EBITDA margin decreased due to revenue mix changes and lower profitability in Traffic Data & Events, Tracsis expects stronger performance in the second half of FY25, supported by a robust order book and ongoing strategic initiatives in the UK and North America. The company’s diversification into the North American market and its focus on digital transformation position it well for sustainable growth and value creation for shareholders.

Other
Tracsis PLC Announces Changes in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

Tracsis PLC announced a change in its voting rights structure, as Canaccord Genuity Group Inc., based in Vancouver, Canada, has reduced its voting rights in the company. The voting rights decreased from 5.0053% to 4.9981%, indicating a minor adjustment in stakeholder influence. This adjustment reflects a slight shift in the ownership dynamics within the company, potentially affecting future decision-making processes.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Tracsis PLC Announces Change in Major Shareholdings
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

Tracsis PLC has announced a change in major shareholdings, revealing that Canaccord Genuity Group Inc., a financial services company based in Vancouver, Canada, has adjusted its voting rights in Tracsis. As a result, Canaccord’s total voting rights in Tracsis have increased to 5.0053%, crossing the previous threshold of 4.9930%. This adjustment in voting rights may influence Tracsis’s decision-making process and could have implications for its governance and stakeholder relations.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tracsis Secures Major Contract for Nationwide PAYG Rail Ticketing System
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Tracsis plc has signed a multi-year contract with the Rail Settlement Plan to implement a Tap Converter system for pay-as-you-go travel across National Rail in the UK. This contract aligns with the government’s vision to modernize rail travel and is expected to significantly enhance Tracsis’ market position by expanding their accredited ticketing platform beyond London. With expected deployment in 2026, the contract will provide a long-term revenue opportunity for Tracsis, driven by transaction volumes from commuter adoption.

Other
Tracsis PLC Announces Change in Major Shareholder Voting Rights
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

Tracsis PLC, a company involved in the technology sector, has announced a change in the voting rights of its shares. The notification was triggered by Canaccord Genuity Group Inc., based in Vancouver, Canada, crossing a major threshold. This threshold crossing resulted in a decrease in their voting rights from 5.2379% to 4.9930%, indicating a reduction in their stake in Tracsis. This change in holdings can potentially impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence future corporate decisions.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Tracsis PLC Discloses Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

Tracsis PLC has announced the total number of ordinary shares in issue, which stands at 30,394,041 shares, each carrying one vote. This figure is significant for shareholders, as it serves as the basis for determining their shareholding interests and any changes according to regulatory requirements.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tracsis Expands Tap&Pay App for ScotRail
Positive
Jan 29, 2025

Tracsis has announced the expansion of its Tap&Pay smart ticketing app developed for ScotRail, following a successful pilot. The app, utilizing Tracsis’ Hopsta platform, offers seamless, ticket-free rail travel and promises best value fares, currently available for Strathclyde and Edinburgh routes. This development enhances consumer choice and is expected to improve the travel experience, although it’s in the early adoption phase and not expected to significantly impact FY25 revenue.

Executive/Board Changes
Tracsis Awards Share Options Under Incentive Plan
Neutral
Jan 23, 2025

Tracsis has announced the award of share options to key executives, including the CEO and CFO, as part of its Long Term Incentive Plan (LTIP). The plan aims to retain and motivate senior leadership by linking option awards to performance targets based on Group profitability and Total Shareholder Return, aligning with strategic goals and shareholder interests.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tracsis AGM Resolutions Passed Unanimously by Shareholders
Positive
Jan 22, 2025

Tracsis plc announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting held on January 22, 2025, were successfully passed by shareholders. These resolutions included key decisions such as the re-appointment of board members, approval of the remuneration report and policy, auditor appointments, and other governance changes, reflecting continued shareholder support and aligning with the company’s strategic objectives.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.