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Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc (GB:OSEC)
LSE:OSEC
UK Market

Octopus AIM VCT 2 (OSEC) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:OSEC

Octopus AIM VCT 2

(LSE:OSEC)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
35.00p
▼(-1.13% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, volatile revenue, and persistent negative operating/free cash flow—despite a debt-free balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, but overbought RSI/Stoch temper the outlook. Valuation is mixed (reasonable yield but negative P/E due to losses), and the planned fundraising is modestly supportive but not enough to offset cash-flow concerns.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with zero debt provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to navigate economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities without the burden of interest payments.
High Dividend Yield
A high dividend yield can attract income-focused investors, providing a steady income stream and potentially supporting the stock price even during periods of market volatility.
Investment in Growth Companies
Investing in growth-oriented companies positions the trust to benefit from potential high returns, aligning with its strategy to provide long-term capital growth and tax-free dividends to investors.
Negative Factors
Profitability Issues
Ongoing profitability issues indicate operational challenges, which can limit the company's ability to reinvest in its portfolio and sustain dividend payouts, potentially affecting long-term growth prospects.
Negative Cash Flows
Persistent negative cash flows highlight liquidity challenges, which can constrain the company's ability to fund new investments and meet operational needs, impacting its financial health and growth capacity.
Revenue Volatility
Revenue volatility suggests instability in the company's income streams, which can lead to unpredictable financial performance and complicate strategic planning, affecting investor confidence and long-term growth.

Octopus AIM VCT 2 (OSEC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Octopus AIM VCT 2 Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOctopus AIM VCT 2 plc is a venture capital trust specializing in investments in AIM quoted companies. It seeks to invest in various sectors such as financial services, healthcare equipment, food producers, business services, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, travel and leisure, industrial engineering, oil equipment, support services, general retailers, software, and media. The fund typically makes investments in the United Kingdom region. It typically makes investments between $23.27 million and $465.38 million.
How the Company Makes MoneyOctopus AIM VCT 2 makes money primarily through capital appreciation of its investments and dividend income generated by the companies in its portfolio. The trust identifies and invests in high-potential growth companies listed on the AIM, benefiting from their upward trajectory in valuation and any dividends they pay out. Additionally, as a venture capital trust, Octopus AIM VCT 2 offers tax incentives to investors, which can enhance the attractiveness of investing in the trust. The company's earnings are also influenced by its strategic partnerships with industry experts and its ability to leverage the broader resources of Octopus Investments, which provides access to a robust network and deep industry insights.

Octopus AIM VCT 2 Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial profile is pressured by deteriorated profitability and persistent cash burn (negative operating and free cash flow across all years), despite a conservatively positioned balance sheet with no debt. Equity has trended down and ROE is negative, while revenue has been highly volatile; 2024 losses are smaller than 2022–2023 but consistency remains weak.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Profitability has deteriorated sharply: the latest annual period (2024) shows a net loss of £0.4m and negative operating profit, following very large losses in 2022–2023. Revenue is highly volatile, including a steep decline in 2024 (down ~75% year over year) after much higher levels in 2020–2021. A key positive is that losses in 2024 are far smaller than 2022–2023, indicating some normalization, but overall earnings consistency is weak.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with no reported debt across all periods (debt-to-equity at 0.0), which reduces financial risk and provides flexibility. However, equity has trended down materially from 2021 to 2024, consistent with multi-year losses and/or portfolio value changes, and returns on equity are currently negative (2024), signaling that capital is not being productively converted into profits at present.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow is negative in every reported year (including 2024), and free cash flow is also consistently negative, with 2024 showing a larger cash outflow than 2023. While the size of accounting losses improved in 2024, cash flows did not turn positive, highlighting ongoing cash burn and limited self-funding capacity in the current run-rate.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-5.36M1.66M724.00K-2.37M18.74M18.27M
Gross Profit-5.35M248.00K-15.18M-34.19M20.71M16.75M
EBITDA-5.86M-399.00K-15.71M-36.70M18.09M0.00
Net Income-7.23M-399.00K-15.71M-36.70M18.09M17.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.14M79.60M85.17M102.58M135.62M105.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.52M1.59M31.73M30.13M35.40M14.84M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities367.00K536.00K484.00K791.00K762.00K1.39M
Stockholders Equity80.77M79.06M84.69M101.79M134.85M104.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-492.00K-7.35M-5.02M-8.20M-14.37M-5.62M
Operating Cash Flow-892.00K-418.00K-935.00K-2.13M-2.04M-1.10M
Investing Cash Flow2.98M-5.13M4.54M-4.17M-5.51M7.72M
Financing Cash Flow-5.31M-5.23M-1.40M3.63M12.62M6.34M

Octopus AIM VCT 2 Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.40
Price Trends
50DMA
35.22
Positive
100DMA
34.92
Positive
200DMA
34.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
94.75
Negative
STOCH
79.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:OSEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.70, above the 50-day MA of 35.22, and above the 200-day MA of 34.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 94.75 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:OSEC.

Octopus AIM VCT 2 Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
54
Neutral
-14.12-10.50%3.08%77.84%64.90%
49
Neutral
-9.81-8.81%8.92%-87.94%-242.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:OSEC
Octopus AIM VCT 2
36.00
1.54
4.47%
GB:GV1O
Gresham House Renewable Energy VCT 1 PLC
33.00
-2.00
-5.71%
GB:GV1A
Gresham House Renewable Energy VCT 1 Plc Class A
5.05
0.00
0.00%
GB:PUAL
Puma Alpha VCT Plc
90.50
-9.00
-9.05%
GB:TPV
Triple Point VCT 2011 PLC
87.50
1.97
2.30%
GB:PU13
Puma VCT 13 PLC
119.50
0.00
0.00%

Octopus AIM VCT 2 Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Octopus AIM VCTs Launch Up to £60m Fundraising via New Share Offer
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc and its sister fund Octopus AIM VCT plc have published a prospectus for a new share offer seeking to raise up to £30 million, with the potential to increase by a further £30 million, through the issuance of new ordinary shares in both vehicles. The offer, which has been approved by the Financial Conduct Authority, sets out fee arrangements under which Octopus Investments Limited, the investment manager and a related party, will receive an initial 3% charge on gross funds raised, an additional charge of up to 2.5% on subscriptions from direct investors, and an ongoing 0.5% annual fee on the net asset value of shares held by those direct investors for up to nine years. The boards of both VCTs, advised by Howard Kennedy Corporate Services LLP, have concluded that these related-party terms are fair and reasonable for shareholders, and the fundraising—open now and scheduled to run across the 2025/26 and 2026/27 tax years unless closed earlier—aims to provide fresh capital to deploy into AIM-listed growth companies while offering investors access to VCT tax benefits.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:OSEC) stock is a Hold with a £36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Octopus AIM VCT 2 stock, see the GB:OSEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Reports Active Portfolio Rebalancing and Stable Capital Base
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has reported an updated, unaudited valuation of its investment portfolio as at 30 November 2025, detailing holdings across a broad range of AIM-quoted and unquoted growth companies, with significant positions in software and computer services, healthcare providers, medical equipment, pharmaceuticals, technology hardware and food producers, as well as several overseas-incorporated investee businesses. The trust highlighted that since 30 November 2025 it has made £2.5 million of new investments and £9.3 million of disposals in portfolio companies, and has also realised £0.6 million from current asset investments, while shareholders’ equity stood at £77.4 million at the period end with no material change in capitalisation since, underlining an active approach to portfolio management and a stable capital base for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:OSEC) stock is a Hold with a £35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Octopus AIM VCT 2 stock, see the GB:OSEC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Sets 2026 Departure Date for Long-Serving Chair
Neutral
Jan 9, 2026

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has announced that its long-serving chair, Keith Mullins, will retire from the board following the company’s Annual General Meeting scheduled for May 2026, marking the end of his tenure that began in September 2005. The board has begun recruiting a new non-executive director, signalling an orderly and extended succession process designed to ensure continuity of governance and leadership stability for investors as the trust plans for a transition at the top.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:OSEC) stock is a Hold with a £35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Octopus AIM VCT 2 stock, see the GB:OSEC Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Confirms Total Voting Rights and Share Capital
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has confirmed that, as of 31 December 2025, its issued share capital comprises 207,787,410 ordinary shares of 0.01p each, with no shares held in treasury, resulting in total voting rights of 207,787,410. This updated share capital and voting rights figure will be used by shareholders to assess whether they must disclose holdings or changes in their stake under the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, ensuring continued compliance and transparency in the company’s shareholder reporting.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:OSEC) stock is a Hold with a £35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Octopus AIM VCT 2 stock, see the GB:OSEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Octopus AIM VCTs Plan Up to £60m Fundraise via New Share Offer
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc and Octopus AIM VCT plc plan to launch a new prospectus offer of ordinary shares for subscription across the 2025/2026 and 2026/2027 tax years, subject to regulatory approval. The joint fundraising aims to secure up to £30 million with an additional over-allotment capacity of up to £30 million, with the prospectus expected to be published in mid-January 2026 on the Octopus Investments website and the National Storage Mechanism, signaling continued capital-raising efforts to support investment into AIM-quoted growth companies and sustain the trusts’ deployment pipeline for investors.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Cuts Share Capital After Buyback
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has bought back and cancelled 1,968,953 ordinary shares at 35.37p per share on 18 December 2025, as part of its ongoing share capital management. Following the transaction, the company’s issued share capital and total voting rights stand at 207,787,410 ordinary shares, a figure that shareholders will use to assess disclosure thresholds under the Financial Conduct Authority’s transparency rules.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Updates on Total Voting Rights and Capital
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has announced that its issued share capital as of November 30, 2025, consists of 209,756,363 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This update is significant for shareholders as it provides the denominator for calculating their interest in the company, in compliance with the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Issues New Shares Under Dividend Reinvestment Scheme
Neutral
Nov 27, 2025

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has announced the issuance of 1,922,614 new ordinary shares as part of its Dividend Reinvestment Scheme, offering shareholders an alternative to receiving cash dividends. This move increases the company’s total share capital to 209,756,363 shares, with the new shares expected to begin trading on the London Stock Exchange by early December 2025. This issuance may affect shareholders’ voting rights and interests under FCA regulations.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Adjusts Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has announced the purchase and cancellation of 1,464,844 of its ordinary shares, each priced at 34.6572p. This transaction adjusts the company’s issued share capital and total voting rights to 207,833,749 ordinary shares, impacting shareholder calculations under the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Announces Total Voting Rights and Capital
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has announced its total issued share capital as of October 31, 2025, consisting of 209,298,593 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This figure is relevant for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules, impacting how they manage their investments in the company.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Announces Share Buyback and Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc, a company involved in managing venture capital trusts, has announced the purchase and cancellation of 887,052 of its ordinary shares at a price of 36.394p per share on October 23, 2025. This transaction reduces the company’s total issued share capital to 209,298,593 ordinary shares, impacting the total voting rights and potentially affecting shareholder calculations under the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Octopus AIM VCT 2 Announces New Fundraising Initiative
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Octopus AIM VCT 2 plc has announced its intention to launch a new offer for subscription later this tax year, aimed at both current shareholders and potential new investors. This move signifies the company’s strategy to raise additional funds, potentially impacting its financial growth and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025