tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Ocado Group plc (GB:OCDO)
LSE:OCDO

Ocado Group (OCDO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
306 Followers

Top Page

GB

Ocado Group

(LSE:OCDO)

54Neutral
Ocado's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses as key risks. However, improved operational efficiency and growth in retail revenue provide positive momentum. The strategic focus on employee engagement and stakeholder alignment is beneficial but does not offset valuation challenges.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow
Ocado's free cash flow is guided to be better than previous estimates due to lower capital expenditures.
Financial Efficiency
Ocado is guiding for a substantial reduction in technology costs, implying improved financial efficiency.
Negative Factors
Expansion Delays
The delay in Kroger's go-live of CFCs affects Ocado's anticipated timeline for expansion.
Growth Expectations
Kroger's earnings call suggests no imminent commitment to new CFCs, impacting Ocado's growth expectations.
Market Sentiment
The sell-off in Ocado's shares reflects weakened sentiment around Kroger already.

Ocado Group (OCDO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ocado Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOcado Group plc operates as an online grocery retailer in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Ocado Retail, UK Solutions & Logistics, and International Solutions. It also sells general merchandise products on its Ocado.com; provides online retail solutions; and offers customer fulfillment centre and logistics services. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Hatfield, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyOcado Group generates revenue primarily through its Ocado Retail and Ocado Solutions segments. Ocado Retail earns money by selling groceries online directly to consumers, leveraging a sophisticated delivery network and automated fulfillment centers. The joint venture with Marks & Spencer enhances its product offering and market reach. Ocado Solutions, on the other hand, earns revenue by providing technology and services to international retail partners seeking to implement or enhance their online grocery operations. This includes licensing its proprietary technology platform, offering support services, and sometimes entering into revenue-sharing agreements with partners. Key partnerships with global retailers, such as Kroger in the US and Coles in Australia, significantly contribute to Ocado's earnings and international expansion strategy.

Ocado Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ocado Group is facing significant financial challenges reflected in declining revenues and persistent losses. While there is some improvement in operating cash flow, high leverage and negative free cash flow pose ongoing risks. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and reduce costs to improve profitability and financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ocado Group has seen a decline in total revenue from the previous year, with the 2024 revenue dropping significantly by over 50%. The gross profit margin is unusually high due to total revenue and gross profit being equal, suggesting potential data issues. The company continues to face challenges with profitability, as indicated by negative EBIT and net income margins. This reflects ongoing operational inefficiencies and cost challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses long-term financial risks. Stockholders' equity has decreased over recent years, reflecting financial strain. However, the equity ratio indicates that equity financing still supports a substantial portion of total assets, providing some stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved significantly, indicating better cash management. However, free cash flow remains negative, suggesting high capital expenditures and ongoing challenges in generating positive cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, which is a positive indicator of cash generation compared to earnings.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.00B1.21B2.83B2.51B2.50B2.33B
Gross Profit
-315.90M1.21B69.30M629.20M707.40M636.50M
EBIT
-315.30M-336.60M-333.20M-508.50M-266.30M-172.70M
EBITDA
166.50M219.40M76.80M-74.70M124.10M167.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-216.60M-336.20M-314.00M-455.50M-223.20M-134.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
753.40M743.40M884.80M1.33B1.47B2.11B
Total Assets
2.29B4.16B4.43B4.81B4.38B4.00B
Total Debt
608.20M1.70B1.96B1.91B1.83B1.41B
Net Debt
-142.40M967.90M1.08B577.10M359.80M-301.60M
Total Liabilities
1.23B2.99B2.92B2.88B2.67B2.17B
Stockholders Equity
1.05B1.19B1.49B1.84B1.59B1.76B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-171.80M-130.50M-454.20M-760.40M-698.00M-214.00M
Operating Cash Flow
196.30M268.90M82.20M25.50M-7.30M237.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-452.10M-353.70M-500.10M-735.00M-532.70M-695.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-10.90M-24.30M-10.10M547.10M282.50M1.53B

Ocado Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price299.00
Price Trends
50DMA
282.49
Positive
100DMA
295.67
Positive
200DMA
329.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
7.01
Negative
RSI
55.92
Neutral
STOCH
81.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:OCDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 299 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 283.06, above the 50-day MA of 282.49, and below the 200-day MA of 329.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:OCDO.

Ocado Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£313.92M7.6113.65%6.32%7.75%-21.78%
GBMKS
72
Outperform
£7.96B15.5917.19%0.74%6.87%22.36%
71
Outperform
£22.52B14.1410.18%3.62%
63
Neutral
$9.90B14.433.80%201.21%4.14%9.08%
60
Neutral
£58.46M-20.11%-15.67%45.17%
60
Neutral
£5.61B40.982.25%5.31%2.66%80.49%
54
Neutral
$2.51B-14.70%14.31%55.08%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:OCDO
Ocado Group
299.00
-51.00
-14.57%
GB:CARD
Card Factory
92.40
2.97
3.32%
GB:WINE
Naked Wines plc
77.40
22.25
40.34%
GB:MKS
Marks and Spencer
403.00
155.10
62.57%
GB:SBRY
J Sainsbury plc
248.00
-1.71
-0.68%
GB:TSCO
Tesco plc
345.60
73.62
27.07%

Ocado Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.26% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted substantial revenue growth, improved operational efficiency, and increased customer satisfaction, with some challenges related to capacity and a minor technical issue during a peak period. The strategic focus on enhancing customer value and operational efficiency positions the company well for future growth.
Highlights
Significant Retail Revenue Growth
Retail revenue grew by 17.5% to GBP 716 million in Q4 and by 13.9% to GBP 2.668 billion for the full fiscal year 2024.
Increase in Average Orders and Active Customer Base
Average orders per week grew by 16.9% to 476,000 in Q4, with an active customer base increase of 12.1% to 1.1 million.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
CFC efficiency improved with average units per hour rising to 220, up 15% year-on-year, and the Luton CFC reaching 269 UPH.
Customer Satisfaction and NPS Growth
NPS score increased by 4.9 percentage points, marking the highest NPS in the industry.
Strategic Focus on Customer Proposition and Smart Growth
Ocado plans to continue focusing on unbeatable choice, unrivaled service, and good value while increasing customer lifetime value and operational efficiency.
Lowlights
Technical Issue During Christmas Period
A technical issue affected a CFC during the Christmas period, impacting a small proportion of orders despite overall high performance.
Capacity Challenges
Despite exceeding design capacity during Christmas, there are ongoing discussions about potential capacity expansion at Erith and no plans to reopen Hatfield.
Company Guidance
During the Ocado Q4 2024 Analyst Call, CEO Hannah Gibson highlighted several key performance metrics and strategic initiatives that drove the company's successful year. Retail revenue for the quarter grew by 17.5% to GBP 716 million, with volumes on ocado.com increasing by 17% year-on-year and average orders per week rising by 16.9% to 476,000. For the full fiscal year, retail revenue increased by 13.9% to GBP 2.668 billion, while the active customer base expanded by 12.1% to 1.1 million customers. The average basket value also saw a modest rise of 1% to GBP 122.09. Operational efficiency improved, with average units per hour (UPH) at their CFCs increasing by 15% to 220, and the newest CFC in Luton achieving 269 UPH. Ocado's focus on enhancing customer service and value perceptions led to their Net Promoter Score (NPS) increasing by 4.9 percentage points. Looking forward to FY 2025, Ocado anticipates continued sales volume growth, aiming for mid-high single-digit adjusted EBITDA margins in the midterm, with further advancements in operational efficiency and capacity utilization.

Ocado Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Ocado Group’s Major Holdings Adjusted by Lingotto Investment
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

Ocado Group PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Lingotto Investment Management LLP adjusting its financial instruments, resulting in a new total of 13.09% voting rights. This change reflects a strategic shift in investment, potentially impacting Ocado’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Spark’s Take on GB:OCDO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, (GB:OCDO) is a Neutral.

Ocado’s overall score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses as key risks. However, improved operational efficiency and growth in retail revenue provide positive momentum. The strategic focus on employee engagement and stakeholder alignment is beneficial but does not offset valuation challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on (GB:OCDO) stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ocado Group Announces Sharesave Scheme Options for Executives
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

Ocado Group has announced the grant of options under its Sharesave Scheme to key executives, including the CEO and CFO. This scheme allows employees to purchase shares through accumulated savings over three years, reflecting Ocado’s commitment to employee investment and alignment with company growth. The grant of options signifies Ocado’s strategic focus on enhancing employee engagement and retaining top talent, which may positively impact its operational efficiency and market positioning.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ocado Group Aligns Executive Incentives with New Share Plans
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Ocado Group has announced the granting of awards under its Performance Share Plan, Annual Incentive Plan, and Restricted Share Plan to key personnel, including executives like the CEO and CFO. These awards, which are subject to performance measures and vesting periods, reflect Ocado’s commitment to aligning management incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and market positioning.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ocado Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Ocado Group plc has announced its total voting rights as of March 31, 2025, with 835,306,540 issued ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. The announcement highlights that the company does not hold any shares in treasury and provides details on shares held by trustees for employee benefit plans, which are treated as treasury shares in financial statements. This disclosure is crucial for shareholders and stakeholders to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s rules.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ocado Group Sees Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Mar 24, 2025

Ocado Group PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Lingotto Investment Management LLP increasing its stake in the company. The acquisition of financial instruments has resulted in Lingotto holding a total of 12.27% of voting rights, up from a previous 11.06%. This change in holdings could potentially influence Ocado’s strategic decisions and impact its market positioning, as significant stakeholders may have a greater say in company operations.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ocado Group Enhances Stakeholder Alignment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Ocado Group plc announced the participation of its directors and senior management in the Ocado Share Incentive Plan (SIP), allowing them to purchase ordinary shares at market value with monthly salary deductions and receive matching shares. This initiative is part of Ocado’s strategy to align the interests of its management with those of shareholders, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder engagement positively.

Other
Ocado Group Announces Significant Share Purchase by Associated Entity
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

Ocado Group plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of 100,000 ordinary shares at £2.25 each by Warby Ltd, a company closely associated with Adam Warby, the Chair of Ocado Group. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects insider confidence and could influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s market position and future prospects.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ocado Group Seeks Block Listing for Employee Share Schemes
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

Ocado Group plc has applied for a block listing of 6,300,000 ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange, intended to satisfy share awards under various employee share schemes. This move is expected to enhance employee engagement and retention, aligning with Ocado’s strategic focus on innovation and growth in the competitive online grocery market.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ocado Group Releases 2024 Annual Financial Report and Announces 2025 AGM
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

Ocado Group has released its Annual Financial Report for 2024 and announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting scheduled for April 29, 2025. The report, which includes financial statements and details of significant events from the past year, is available on Ocado’s website and the Financial Conduct Authority’s National Storage Mechanism. This announcement follows the company’s preliminary results released in February, highlighting Ocado’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Ocado Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Ocado Group plc announced its total voting rights as of February 28, 2025, amounting to 833,902,853 issued ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. The announcement clarifies that certain shares held by trustees for employee benefit plans are treated as treasury shares and excluded from earnings per share calculations, impacting how stakeholders assess their interests under regulatory guidelines.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ocado Group Releases Preliminary 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

Ocado Group plc has released its preliminary financial results for the year ending December 1, 2024. The results are accessible on their corporate website and have been submitted to the Financial Conduct Authority’s National Storage Mechanism. An investor presentation is scheduled for February 27, 2025, which will include a Q&A session. This announcement provides stakeholders with insights into Ocado’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ocado Group Directors Join Share Incentive Plan
Neutral
Feb 20, 2025

Ocado Group plc announced its directors and persons with managerial responsibilities are participating in the company’s Share Incentive Plan, allowing employees to purchase ordinary shares at market value with monthly salary deductions. This move is part of Ocado’s strategy to align employee interests with company performance, potentially impacting its operations by fostering a more invested workforce.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ocado Announces Total Voting Rights and Capital Structure
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

Ocado Group has reported that it has a total of 833,861,956 issued ordinary shares, each carrying one vote, with none held in treasury. Of these, 10,511,727 shares are managed by the Employee Benefit Trust and are excluded from earnings per share calculations. This information is crucial for shareholders and stakeholders for compliance with FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Ocado Group Experiences Significant Voting Rights Shift
Jan 16, 2025

Ocado Group PLC has been informed of a significant change in its voting rights structure. Lingotto Investment Management LLP, based in London, has increased its holdings, crossing a notable threshold with 11.06% total voting rights as of January 10, 2025. This adjustment in holdings, from a previous 5.09%, suggests a strategic repositioning that could impact Ocado’s operational dynamics and influence stakeholder decisions.

Ocado Group Executives Participate in Share Incentive Plan
Jan 16, 2025

Ocado Group plc has announced the participation of its key executives in The Ocado Share Incentive Plan, a tax-advantaged scheme allowing employees to purchase shares at market value with monthly salary deductions. This strategic move is part of the company’s broader effort to align management interests with shareholder value, enhancing its operational stability and potentially boosting investor confidence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.