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Morgan Sindall Group PLC (GB:MGNS)
LSE:MGNS
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Morgan Sindall (MGNS) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:MGNS

Morgan Sindall

(LSE:MGNS)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
5,318.00p
▲(11.96% Upside)
Morgan Sindall's strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management, is the primary driver of its stock score. Technical indicators suggest a stable market position with a slight bullish trend. The valuation is reasonable, offering a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective execution of its business strategy, contributing to long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial stability and provides flexibility for future growth opportunities.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management ensures the company can fund operations and investments, supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to invest in new projects or return capital to shareholders, impacting long-term growth.
Margin Pressure
While margins are stable, the relatively low net profit margin suggests limited pricing power or cost pressures, which could affect profitability.
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Volatility in free cash flow may pose challenges in maintaining consistent capital allocation strategies, affecting long-term financial planning.

Morgan Sindall (MGNS) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Morgan Sindall Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMorgan Sindall Group plc is a UK-based construction and regeneration company that operates through several sectors, including Construction & Infrastructure, Fit Out, and Property Services. The company provides a wide range of services, such as building construction, civil engineering, and facilities management, catering to both public and private sector clients. With a commitment to sustainable practices, Morgan Sindall focuses on delivering innovative solutions that enhance communities and create lasting value.
How the Company Makes MoneyMorgan Sindall generates revenue primarily through its various construction and infrastructure projects, which include public and private sector contracts for building and civil engineering works. The company operates on a mixed contract basis, taking on fixed-price contracts, cost-reimbursable contracts, and framework agreements. Key revenue streams include construction services, fit-out works, and property development, with significant income derived from long-term partnerships with government entities and private organizations. Additionally, Morgan Sindall benefits from its ability to engage in regeneration projects, which often involve public-private partnerships, enhancing its earnings potential. The company's focus on sustainability and innovation also attracts investment and grants that contribute to its revenue.

Morgan Sindall Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Morgan Sindall exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, stable profit margins, and prudent cash flow management. The company's low leverage and effective equity utilization position it well for future growth, despite minor fluctuations in free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Morgan Sindall has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trend, with a notable increase of 10.4% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 11.7%, and the net profit margin improved to 2.9%. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown resilience despite industry challenges, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, reflecting prudent financial management. Return on equity improved to 20.3%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 30.4%, indicating a solid equity base supporting its assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Morgan Sindall's cash flow management is commendable, with a free cash flow growth rate of -39% due to prior year high free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.98 suggests strong cash generation capability. Free cash flow to net income ratio at 0.84 indicates effective capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.70B4.55B4.12B3.61B3.21B3.03B
Gross Profit568.90M529.90M446.70M370.90M382.80M315.80M
EBITDA227.20M209.30M162.90M111.00M147.00M89.10M
Net Income152.10M131.70M117.70M60.90M97.90M45.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.25B2.13B2.03B1.79B1.71B1.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments450.90M544.20M541.30M431.70M468.60M400.50M
Total Debt147.50M118.50M144.40M134.00M163.40M118.70M
Total Liabilities1.57B1.48B1.46B1.30B1.23B1.06B
Stockholders Equity677.30M647.20M568.10M496.20M474.20M420.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow141.60M110.60M181.40M42.90M102.50M171.90M
Operating Cash Flow152.30M128.80M196.00M54.70M110.50M177.70M
Investing Cash Flow-18.50M4.70M-11.00M8.30M-4.50M-7.40M
Financing Cash Flow-103.60M-101.80M-78.90M-66.80M-80.80M-29.80M

Morgan Sindall Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4750.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4606.05
Positive
100DMA
4477.29
Positive
200DMA
4017.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.14
Negative
RSI
64.98
Neutral
STOCH
99.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MGNS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4750 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4501.00, above the 50-day MA of 4606.05, and above the 200-day MA of 4017.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:MGNS.

Morgan Sindall Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£1.09B7.9724.69%3.17%-1.17%12.31%
78
Outperform
£900.43M16.6710.87%3.21%4.40%31.59%
76
Outperform
£2.14B14.0224.19%2.46%6.93%21.50%
76
Outperform
£739.32M16.3319.85%2.12%7.13%17.31%
76
Outperform
£1.72B21.3717.29%2.24%3.88%5.10%
72
Outperform
£3.29B18.8016.34%1.24%9.97%-15.46%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:MGNS
Morgan Sindall
4,750.00
1,091.43
29.83%
GB:BBY
Balfour Beatty
704.00
268.79
61.76%
GB:HILS
Hill & Smith Holdings
2,255.00
242.04
12.02%
GB:KLR
Keller Group plc
1,624.00
196.14
13.74%
GB:KIE
Kier Group plc
224.50
86.46
62.63%
GB:RNWH
Renew Holdings plc
934.00
-69.79
-6.95%

Morgan Sindall Corporate Events

Other
Morgan Sindall CEO Disposes of Shares in Market Transaction
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group PLC announced a transaction involving the disposal of 28,458 ordinary shares by its Chief Executive, John Morgan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a managerial decision impacting the company’s shareholding structure, potentially influencing investor perception and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £52.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Morgan Sindall Expects Strong 2025 Performance, Driven by Fit Out Division
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group PLC has announced that its financial performance for 2025 is expected to significantly exceed previous expectations, driven by strong results from its Fit Out division. The company’s secured order book has increased, reflecting confidence in future growth, while the balance sheet remains robust with higher than anticipated average daily net cash. The Group’s strategic partnerships and investments continue to support its growth trajectory, although some divisions face increased investment costs.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £4738.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Morgan Sindall Updates Share Capital Information
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group PLC has announced its issued share capital as of September 30, 2025, which consists of 48,018,729 ordinary shares with voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders and others with notification obligations under the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, as it serves as the denominator for calculating changes in their interest in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £4738.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Morgan Sindall Announces Share Capital and Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group plc has announced that as of August 31, 2025, its issued share capital consists of 48,018,284 ordinary shares, each with voting rights, and the company holds no treasury shares. This information is crucial for shareholders and others with notification obligations to determine if they need to notify their interest or changes in interest under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Hold with a £4612.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Morgan Sindall CFO Acquires Shares in Compliance with Market Regulations
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group plc announced a transaction involving its Chief Financial Officer, Kelly Gangotra, who acquired 660 shares of the company at a price of £45.098125 per share. This transaction, disclosed in compliance with the Market Abuse Regulation, took place on the London Stock Exchange on 4 August 2025, and reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency in its financial dealings.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £4000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025