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Morgan Sindall Group PLC (GB:MGNS)
LSE:MGNS

Morgan Sindall (MGNS) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:MGNS

Morgan Sindall

(LSE:MGNS)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
5,444.00p
▲(14.73% Upside)
Morgan Sindall's strong financial performance and positive corporate events are the primary drivers of its high score. The technical analysis indicates a strong upward trend, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The valuation is fair, providing a balanced investment opportunity.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective execution of its business strategy, contributing to long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial stability and provides flexibility for future growth opportunities.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management ensures the company can fund operations and investments, supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to invest in new projects or return capital to shareholders, impacting long-term growth.
Margin Pressure
While margins are stable, the relatively low net profit margin suggests limited pricing power or cost pressures, which could affect profitability.
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Volatility in free cash flow may pose challenges in maintaining consistent capital allocation strategies, affecting long-term financial planning.

Morgan Sindall (MGNS) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Morgan Sindall Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMorgan Sindall Group plc operates as a construction and regeneration company in the United Kingdom. It operates through five segments: Construction & Infrastructure, Fit Out, Property Services, Partnership Housing, and Urban Regeneration divisions. The Construction & Infrastructure segment provides infrastructure services to highways, rail, energy, water, and nuclear markets; and construction services in education, healthcare, commercial, defense, industrial, leisure, and retail markets. The Fit Out segment specializes in fit out and refurbishment projects in commercial, central, and local government offices, as well as education markets. This segment also provides office interior design and build services. The Property Services segment offers responsive repairs and planned maintenance services for social housing and the public sector. The Partnership Housing segment engages in mixed-tenure development; building and developing homes for open market; sale and affordable rent; design and build house contracting; and planned maintenance and refurbishment activities. The Urban Regeneration segment works with landowners and public sector partners to transform the urban landscape through the development of multi-phase sites and mixed-use regeneration, including residential, commercial, retail, and leisure facilities. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyMorgan Sindall generates revenue primarily through its various construction and infrastructure projects, which include public and private sector contracts for building and civil engineering works. The company operates on a mixed contract basis, taking on fixed-price contracts, cost-reimbursable contracts, and framework agreements. Key revenue streams include construction services, fit-out works, and property development, with significant income derived from long-term partnerships with government entities and private organizations. Additionally, Morgan Sindall benefits from its ability to engage in regeneration projects, which often involve public-private partnerships, enhancing its earnings potential. The company's focus on sustainability and innovation also attracts investment and grants that contribute to its revenue.

Morgan Sindall Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Morgan Sindall exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, stable profit margins, and prudent cash flow management. The company's low leverage and effective equity utilization position it well for future growth, despite minor fluctuations in free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Morgan Sindall has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trend, with a notable increase of 10.4% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has remained stable around 11.7%, and the net profit margin improved to 2.9%. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown resilience despite industry challenges, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, reflecting prudent financial management. Return on equity improved to 20.3%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 30.4%, indicating a solid equity base supporting its assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Morgan Sindall's cash flow management is commendable, with a free cash flow growth rate of -39% due to prior year high free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.98 suggests strong cash generation capability. Free cash flow to net income ratio at 0.84 indicates effective capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.70B4.55B4.12B3.61B3.21B3.03B
Gross Profit568.90M529.90M446.70M370.90M382.80M315.80M
EBITDA227.20M209.30M162.90M111.00M147.00M89.10M
Net Income152.10M131.70M117.70M60.90M97.90M45.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.25B2.13B2.03B1.79B1.71B1.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments450.90M544.20M541.30M431.70M468.60M400.50M
Total Debt147.50M118.50M144.40M134.00M163.40M118.70M
Total Liabilities1.57B1.48B1.46B1.30B1.23B1.06B
Stockholders Equity677.30M647.20M568.10M496.20M474.20M420.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow141.60M110.60M181.40M42.90M102.50M171.90M
Operating Cash Flow152.30M128.80M196.00M54.70M110.50M177.70M
Investing Cash Flow-18.50M4.70M-11.00M8.30M-4.50M-7.40M
Financing Cash Flow-103.60M-101.80M-78.90M-66.80M-80.80M-29.80M

Morgan Sindall Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4745.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4642.60
Positive
100DMA
4551.90
Positive
200DMA
4258.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
55.90
Negative
RSI
55.51
Neutral
STOCH
67.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MGNS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4745 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4741.25, above the 50-day MA of 4642.60, and above the 200-day MA of 4258.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 55.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:MGNS.

Morgan Sindall Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£1.16B8.6224.69%3.08%-1.17%12.31%
78
Outperform
£1.82B22.7217.29%2.34%3.88%5.10%
78
Outperform
£2.26B14.8124.19%2.49%6.93%21.50%
76
Outperform
£3.45B19.8616.34%1.80%9.97%-15.46%
74
Outperform
£910.55M16.9810.87%3.19%4.40%31.59%
71
Outperform
£510.21M15.5927.48%3.65%5.78%-6.80%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:MGNS
Morgan Sindall
4,810.00
1,214.01
33.76%
GB:BBY
Balfour Beatty
711.50
280.39
65.04%
GB:GFRD
Galliford Try
526.00
148.36
39.29%
GB:HILS
Hill & Smith Holdings
2,285.00
442.63
24.03%
GB:KLR
Keller Group plc
1,684.00
358.54
27.05%
GB:KIE
Kier Group plc
217.00
84.15
63.34%

Morgan Sindall Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Morgan Sindall Confirms Total Voting Rights at Year-End
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Morgan Sindall Group plc has confirmed that, as of 31 December 2025, its issued share capital comprises 48,022,962 ordinary shares of 5p each, all carrying voting rights, with no shares held in treasury. This disclosure sets the official total number of voting rights in the company at 48,022,962, providing the reference denominator for shareholders and other obligated parties to assess and report any notifiable interests or changes in their holdings under the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, thereby supporting regulatory compliance and market transparency around the company’s ownership structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £5444.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Morgan Sindall Announces Additional Listing of Shares
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group plc has announced a block listing application for 36,000 Ordinary Shares to be added to the Official List of the UK Listing Authority and traded on the London Stock Exchange. These shares, expected to be admitted on 18 December 2025, will fulfill options granted under the Morgan Sindall Sharesave Plan (2018), aligning with the company’s strategy to incentivize and reward its employees.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £5444.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Morgan Sindall Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group plc announced that as of November 30, 2025, its issued share capital comprised 48,021,934 ordinary shares with voting rights, with no treasury shares held. This information is crucial for shareholders and others with notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, as it serves as the denominator for calculating changes in their interest in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £5318.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Morgan Sindall Discloses Share Transactions by Key Personnel
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group plc has disclosed transactions involving the purchase of shares by Mark Robson, a Non-executive Director, and Rachel Robson, a person closely associated with him. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, involved the reinvestment of interim dividends into ordinary shares of the company. This notification fulfills the company’s obligations under the EU Market Abuse Regulation, highlighting transparency in managerial financial activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £5318.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Morgan Sindall Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group plc announced that as of October 31, 2025, its issued share capital consisted of 48,021,093 ordinary shares with voting rights, and it holds no treasury shares. This information is relevant for shareholders and others with notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, as it serves as the denominator for calculating required notifications of interest changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £5318.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Other
Morgan Sindall CEO Disposes of Shares in Market Transaction
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

Morgan Sindall Group PLC announced a transaction involving the disposal of 28,458 ordinary shares by its Chief Executive, John Morgan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a managerial decision impacting the company’s shareholding structure, potentially influencing investor perception and market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MGNS) stock is a Buy with a £52.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Morgan Sindall stock, see the GB:MGNS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025