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Ground Rents Income Fund (GB:GRIO)
LSE:GRIO
UK Market

Ground Rents Income Fund (GRIO) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GRIO

Ground Rents Income Fund

(LSE:GRIO)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
17.50 p
▼(-27.08% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance driven by collapsing revenue and persistent losses, alongside deteriorating recent free cash flow. Technical indicators further pressure the score, showing a clear downtrend with negative MACD and the price far below key moving averages. Valuation has limited influence due to missing P/E and dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Moderate leverage / balance sheet support
A relatively low-to-moderate debt-to-equity ratio and a sizeable equity base (52.2m in 2025) provide structural financial flexibility for a REIT. This reduces near-term refinancing pressure and preserves capacity to manage liabilities or opportunistic asset repositioning over several months.
Negative Factors
Collapsing revenue and recurring net losses
A dramatic revenue collapse and repeated net losses materially weaken core earnings power. For a REIT this undermines rental income sustainability, constrains retained earnings, and diminishes the firm's ability to fund distributions or invest, posing a substantive medium-term operational risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage / balance sheet support
A relatively low-to-moderate debt-to-equity ratio and a sizeable equity base (52.2m in 2025) provide structural financial flexibility for a REIT. This reduces near-term refinancing pressure and preserves capacity to manage liabilities or opportunistic asset repositioning over several months.
Read all positive factors

Ground Rents Income Fund (GRIO) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ground Rents Income Fund Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ground Rents Income Fund PLC is a real estate investment trust externally managed by Braemar Estates (Residential) Ltd, Asset Management Arm. The firm invest in long dated United Kingdom ground rents. It acquire a portfolio of freeholds and head l...
How the Company Makes Money
GRIO generates revenue primarily through the collection of ground rents from its portfolio of leased properties. Ground rents are typically paid by property owners to GRIO in exchange for the right to use the land, often on a long-term basis, such...

Ground Rents Income Fund Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial performance is constrained by very weak income statement trends: steep revenue declines (2025: -95.1%, 2024: -24.2%) and recurring net losses (2025: -4.3m; 2024: -29.7m). The balance sheet is a relative positive with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.16–0.34), but shrinking assets and negative ROE indicate ongoing profitability pressure. Cash flow remains positive, yet free cash flow fell sharply in 2025 (-76.5% to 0.43m), reducing confidence in durability.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.95M-26.96M1.16M5.60M5.69M
Gross Profit4.85M-26.96M1.16M4.73M4.71M
EBITDA2.01M2.32M-4.08M-18.91M3.81M
Net Income-4.32M-29.71M-1.12M-7.52M1.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets63.13M79.59M110.45M112.24M122.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.28M5.53M1.60M1.91M1.09M
Total Debt8.16M19.33M20.85M20.73M19.11M
Total Liabilities10.96M23.10M24.25M23.71M22.63M
Stockholders Equity52.17M56.49M86.20M88.52M99.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow426.98K2.08M735.37K2.95M2.27M
Operating Cash Flow426.98K2.08M735.37K2.95M2.27M
Investing Cash Flow9.59M3.56M149.85K42.80K419.47K
Financing Cash Flow-11.27M-1.72M-1.20M-2.17M-4.04M

Ground Rents Income Fund Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.00
Price Trends
50DMA
17.55
Negative
100DMA
21.00
Negative
200DMA
24.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Negative
RSI
11.54
Positive
STOCH
38.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GRIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.10, above the 50-day MA of 17.55, and below the 200-day MA of 24.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 11.54 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:GRIO.

Ground Rents Income Fund Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
£60.38M4.8510.22%8.23%8.48%207.85%
72
Outperform
£420.67M3.3411.57%7.17%1.60%211.81%
71
Outperform
£164.07M9.167.33%7.43%-10.95%-30.09%
60
Neutral
£409.59M6.817.51%5.15%-3.98%412.08%
58
Neutral
£6.67M-3.10-21.56%307.61%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
43
Neutral
-5.76
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GRIO
Ground Rents Income Fund
17.00
-10.50
-38.18%
GB:AEWU
AEW UK REIT
103.40
14.84
16.76%
GB:CREI
Custodian REIT
86.20
22.55
35.43%
GB:API
Standard Life Investments Property Income
1.75
-0.03
-1.69%
GB:PCTN
Picton Property Income
80.20
18.68
30.36%
GB:AIRE
Alternative Income REIT Plc
75.00
11.06
17.29%

Ground Rents Income Fund Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ground Rents Income Fund Flags Major Hit From Proposed UK Ground Rent Cap
Negative
Jan 27, 2026
Ground Rents Income Fund plc has warned that the UK Government’s draft Commonhold and Leasehold Reform Bill, which would cap most long residential ground rents in England and Wales at £250 per year, falling to a nil value after 40 years...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Ground Rents Income Fund Reports 2025 Results Amidst Strategic Shifts
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025
Ground Rents Income Fund PLC reported a reduction in its portfolio valuation by 9% to £56.2 million for the year ending September 2025, with asset sales helping to reduce its bank loan significantly. The company is navigating legislative chal...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ground Rents Income Fund Refinances Loan to Extend Term and Reduce Costs
Positive
Dec 2, 2025
Ground Rents Income Fund plc has refinanced its £8.235 million loan facility with Santander UK plc, extending the loan term to January 2028 and reducing the interest margin. The refinancing provides the company with additional time to execute...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ground Rents Income Fund Secures Improved Loan Terms
Positive
Dec 2, 2025
Ground Rents Income Fund plc has refinanced its £8.235 million loan facility with Santander UK plc, extending the loan term to January 2028 and reducing the interest margin. The refinancing aligns with the company’s strategy to realize ...
Executive/Board Changes
Ground Rents Income Fund Appoints New Independent Non-Executive Director
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025
Ground Rents Income Fund plc, a company involved in the real estate investment sector, has announced the appointment of Judith MacKenzie as an Independent Non-Executive Director, effective from 17 November 2025. This appointment is significant as ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026