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Ground Rents Income Fund (GB:GRIO)
LSE:GRIO
UK Market

Ground Rents Income Fund (GRIO) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Ground Rents Income Fund

(LSE:GRIO)

46Neutral
Ground Rents Income Fund PLC's stock score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance and weak technical indicators. While the balance sheet is stable, profitability issues and inconsistent cash flow growth pose challenges. Technical analysis signals are unfavorable, with bearish trends and oversold conditions. Valuation is uncertain, with no P/E ratio and a modest dividend yield. Corporate events add some strategic uncertainty.

Ground Rents Income Fund (GRIO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ground Rents Income Fund Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGround Rents Income Fund PLC is a real estate investment trust externally managed by Braemar Estates (Residential) Ltd, Asset Management Arm. The firm invest in long dated United Kingdom ground rents. It acquire a portfolio of freeholds and head leases, offering the potential for income generation from ground rents, that is both secure and hedged against inflation, and the potential for capital growth from active asset management. Ground Rents Income Fund PLC was launched in August, 2012 and is based in England, United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyGround Rents Income Fund makes money through the collection of ground rent payments from leaseholders of properties within its portfolio. These rents are typically inflation-linked, providing a reliable and predictable income stream that can increase over time. The company's revenue model focuses on acquiring high-quality ground rent assets with strong covenants, ensuring consistent cash flow. Additionally, GRIO may benefit from lease extensions and enfranchisement premiums, which occur when leaseholders opt to extend their lease or purchase the freehold of their property. These transactions can provide significant additional revenue opportunities beyond regular ground rent collections.

Ground Rents Income Fund Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company exhibits a mixed financial performance. The balance sheet shows financial stability with a strong equity position and no debt, but the income statement highlights profitability issues with negative revenue and net income. Cash flow generation is adequate but inconsistent, suggesting operational challenges.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company's income statement shows significant volatility, with negative revenue and net income in the latest period. Gross profit margin is also negative, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. However, there is a positive EBIT in the latest year, suggesting some operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with no debt in the latest year, improving the debt-to-equity ratio to a favorable level. The equity ratio is strong, indicating good financial stability. However, the decline in total assets over time is a concern.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights moderate operational cash flow relative to net income, suggesting reasonable cash generation. Free cash flow is positive, indicating good cash management, but growth is inconsistent over the periods analyzed.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.81M-26.96M1.16M-6.17M-129.28K4.21M
Gross Profit
5.81M-26.96M1.16M-7.04M-1.12M4.21M
EBIT
2.61M57.97M-1.12M-6.97M1.19M-1.59M
EBITDA
-26.65M0.00-4.08M-18.91M0.00-1.09M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-24.04M-29.71M-1.12M-7.52M1.19M-1.59M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.46M5.53M1.60M1.91M1.09M2.44M
Total Assets
114.83M79.59M110.45M112.24M122.34M128.49M
Total Debt
20.79M0.0020.85M20.73M19.11M18.99M
Net Debt
19.33M-5.53M-1.60M18.82M18.02M16.56M
Total Liabilities
24.61M23.10M24.25M23.71M22.63M25.93M
Stockholders Equity
90.22M56.49M86.20M88.52M99.71M102.56M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.21M2.08M735.37K2.95M2.27M2.14M
Operating Cash Flow
1.21M2.08M735.37K2.95M2.27M2.14M
Investing Cash Flow
3.71M3.56M149.85K42.80K419.47K-1.50M
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-1.72M-1.20M-2.17M-4.04M-4.34M

Ground Rents Income Fund Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.50
Price Trends
50DMA
31.16
Negative
100DMA
27.72
Positive
200DMA
27.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Positive
RSI
19.14
Positive
STOCH
64.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GRIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.20, below the 50-day MA of 31.16, and above the 200-day MA of 27.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 19.14 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:GRIO.

Ground Rents Income Fund Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
£8.89B14.705.18%4.46%-9.88%
68
Neutral
£223.28M73.631.05%7.36%
65
Neutral
£3.59B19.753.17%6.34%-30.83%
61
Neutral
$4.43B16.13-3.23%11.37%6.25%-21.19%
54
Neutral
£4.00B37.901.61%7.42%-1.73%
50
Neutral
£1.14B-2.09%6.57%6.08%
46
Neutral
1.75%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GRIO
Ground Rents Income Fund
28.50
-3.70
-11.49%
GB:BLND
British Land Company plc
359.60
-9.01
-2.44%
GB:HMSO
Hammerson plc R.E.I.T.
220.40
-46.66
-17.47%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
539.00
-61.95
-10.31%
GB:SREI
Schroder Real Estate ate ate Investment
43.75
2.37
5.73%
GB:SGRO
Segro plc (REIT)
616.80
-221.78
-26.45%

Ground Rents Income Fund Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ground Rents Income Fund Ends Offer Period as Victoria Property Withdraws Interest
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Ground Rents Income Fund plc has announced that Victoria Property will not be making a firm offer for the company, concluding the offer period as per the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers. The company remains committed to its strategic plan, which was reaffirmed by shareholders in November 2024, indicating a continued focus on its existing operational goals and stability for stakeholders.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ground Rents Income Fund PLC Passes All Resolutions at AGM
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

Ground Rents Income Fund PLC successfully held its Annual General Meeting on 13 February 2025, where all proposed resolutions were passed. Key resolutions included the re-election of directors, appointment of auditors, and renewal of authorities related to share allotment and purchase, reflecting shareholder confidence and strategic positioning for future operations.

M&A Transactions
Ground Rents Income Fund Receives Fifth Offer from Victoria Property
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

Ground Rents Income Fund plc has received a fifth non-binding cash offer from Victoria Property Holdings Limited, proposing to acquire all shares at 40.0 pence per share. The Board considers this offer undervalued, though it has provided Victoria Property access for due diligence in hopes of receiving an improved proposal before the extended deadline of 25 February 2025.

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ground Rents Income Fund Advances Risk Reduction and Legal Actions Amid Market Challenges
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

Ground Rents Income Fund PLC has made significant progress in reducing risk and enhancing portfolio liquidity amid uncertainties in leasehold reform and building safety legislation. The company completed disposals amounting to £11.6 million, primarily to repay debt, and is pursuing legal action against the government regarding the Leasehold and Freehold Reform Act 2024. Additionally, they are addressing building safety defects, with ongoing efforts to resolve issues in affected properties. These developments are influencing the company’s assessment of potential acquisition offers from Victoria Property Holdings Limited.

M&A Transactions
Ground Rents Income Fund Rejects Fourth Acquisition Proposal from Victoria Property
Negative
Jan 31, 2025

Ground Rents Income Fund plc has received a fourth proposal from Victoria Property Holdings Limited to acquire its entire share capital at an increased price of 37.5 pence per share. Despite the offer being 10.3% higher than the previous proposal, GRIO’s board has rejected it, citing that it materially undervalues the company. The board also declined Victoria Property’s request for an extension to the PUSU deadline and access to additional due diligence, indicating that sufficient information is already available for a fair proposal. The situation leaves uncertainty about any future firm offer, with stakeholders awaiting further developments.

Business Operations and Strategy
Gracefavour Limited Increases Stake in Ground Rents Income Fund
Neutral
Jan 30, 2025

Ground Rents Income Fund PLC has announced a change in its voting rights, with Gracefavour Limited increasing its holdings to 11.06%. This acquisition indicates a strategic move by the shareholder, reflecting confidence in the company’s future prospects and potentially influencing its governance. The change might impact investor perceptions and the company’s decision-making process, highlighting the importance of maintaining shareholder relationships.

Ground Rents Income Fund Reports Valuation Decline Amid Regulatory Challenges
Jan 15, 2025

Ground Rents Income Fund announced a significant decrease in its portfolio valuation and net asset value for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2024, largely due to ongoing leasehold reform and building safety challenges which have negatively impacted market sentiment. Despite these challenges, the company has made progress in executing its investment policy with shareholder support, including asset sales and debt refinancing, while rejecting a takeover offer from Victoria Property Holdings that undervalued the company.

Ground Rents Income Fund Sees Shift in Voting Rights
Jan 14, 2025

The Ground Rents Income Fund PLC has experienced a change in its shareholder voting rights, with MIGO Opportunities Trust PLC increasing its stake from 3.9146% to 4.3641% as of January 10, 2025. This change in voting rights may impact the company’s decision-making processes and future strategic directions, reflecting a slight shift in power dynamics among its stakeholders.

Ground Rents Income Fund Rejects Undervalued Offer from Victoria Property
Jan 8, 2025

Ground Rents Income Fund plc has received several unsolicited non-binding indicative cash offers from Victoria Property Holdings Limited, which were all rejected by the board for undervaluing the company. The latest offer, priced at 34 pence per share, represents a 50.9% discount to the company’s NAV, leading the board to advise shareholders to take no action while they seek further feedback and continue executing their asset realization strategy.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.