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Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GB:GPE)
:GPE

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GPE) AI Stock Analysis

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Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T.

(LSE:GPE)

62Neutral
Great Portland Estates plc shows robust operational momentum through leasing successes and strategic acquisitions, contributing positively to market positioning. However, significant profitability and cash flow challenges, coupled with negative valuation metrics, weigh down the stock's overall attractiveness. The company's strong balance sheet and recent corporate initiatives offer growth opportunities, but improvements in profitability are essential for a more favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Strategy
The recent acquisition of One Chapel Place for £56m represents a significant value opportunity, with a capital value well below prevailing area values.
Leasing and Rentals
Great Portland's leasing update shows the company secured 74 new leases and renewals generating annual rent of £37.7m, on average 10.6% ahead of ERV.
Negative Factors
Equity Market Conditions
The equity market has largely turned its back on London Office REITs, causing shares to remain at depressed levels.
Market Sentiment
Negative sentiment towards the Office sector in London and globally means the 40%+ share price discount to NTA may not lead to an upward share re-rating.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GPE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWe are a FTSE 250 property investment and development company owning £2.6 billion of real estate in central London. We proactively manage our portfolio, flexing our activities in tune with London's property cycle to deliver long-term out-performance. We create in-demand spaces that people want to be part of; helping our occupiers, local communities and the city to thrive.
How the Company Makes MoneyGPE generates revenue primarily through rental income derived from its portfolio of high-value commercial properties in central London. The company leases office and retail spaces to a diverse range of tenants, ensuring a steady stream of rental income. Additionally, GPE engages in property development and redevelopment projects, which can lead to capital appreciation and increased rental values. The company may also sell properties when market conditions are favorable, realizing gains from the increased value of developed or redeveloped assets. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other real estate firms or investors can also contribute to GPE's earnings, allowing for shared investment risks and returns on larger-scale projects.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Great Portland Estates plc is experiencing revenue growth; however, significant profitability challenges are evident with negative margins. Despite a moderate leverage position, cash flow issues require strategic improvements in operational efficiency and cost management.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
The company has experienced a modest revenue growth rate of 4.61% from the previous year. However, the significant negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational challenges. The net profit margin is also negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. While revenue is increasing, the profitability metrics require attention.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, demonstrating a manageable level of leverage. Return on equity is currently negative due to net losses, impacting overall profitability. The equity ratio remains healthy at 63.87%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges relative to reported net losses. Free cash flow is also negative, which can constrain future investments and financial flexibility. The company needs to improve cash flow generation from operations.
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
95.40M91.20M84.20M88.50M102.40M
Gross Profit
62.10M57.20M52.10M62.10M73.00M
EBIT
-294.50M19.90M14.60M30.80M45.50M
EBITDA
-288.50M31.30M16.20M39.60M47.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-307.80M-163.90M167.20M-201.90M51.80M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
22.90M19.40M16.70M11.10M94.90M
Total Assets
2.48B2.51B2.78B2.56B2.75B
Total Debt
815.50M527.20M589.70M533.20M489.80M
Net Debt
792.60M507.80M573.00M522.10M394.90M
Total Liabilities
895.00M588.20M662.40M588.30M550.20M
Stockholders Equity
1.58B1.92B2.11B1.97B2.20B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-7.70M5.60M15.90M24.50M43.10M
Operating Cash Flow
-7.60M5.80M16.20M24.90M43.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-231.70M105.10M-31.40M-118.30M-72.90M
Financing Cash Flow
242.80M-108.20M6.30M9.60M-14.80M

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price309.00
Price Trends
50DMA
286.47
Positive
100DMA
286.31
Positive
200DMA
310.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.50
Negative
RSI
59.13
Neutral
STOCH
93.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 309 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 292.40, above the 50-day MA of 286.47, and below the 200-day MA of 310.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GPE.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBUTG
79
Outperform
£4.20B8.949.95%4.18%7.75%276.67%
71
Outperform
£9.35B15.465.18%4.24%-9.88%
GBDLN
70
Neutral
£2.21B19.013.29%4.08%3.70%
68
Neutral
£3.83B21.053.17%5.95%-30.83%
GBGPE
62
Neutral
£1.25B-1.38%2.20%-2.73%91.05%
59
Neutral
$2.69B11.490.09%8679.75%5.56%-16.50%
47
Neutral
£4.28B40.541.61%6.94%-1.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GPE
Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T.
309.00
-12.16
-3.79%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
581.50
-26.01
-4.28%
GB:SGRO
Segro plc (REIT)
688.00
-147.50
-17.65%
GB:UTG
Unite Group plc
875.00
-19.25
-2.15%
GB:DLN
Derwent London plc REIT
1,963.00
-39.41
-1.97%
GB:BLND
British Land Company plc
383.40
12.34
3.33%

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Announces New Board Appointment
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced the appointment of Vicky Jarman, a Non-Executive Director of the company, to the board of AerCap Holdings N.V., a company listed on the New York Stock Exchange. This strategic move could enhance the company’s governance and broaden its industry connections, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning positively.

Spark’s Take on GB:GPE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:GPE is a Neutral.

Great Portland Estates plc has demonstrated strengths in operational performance through strategic leasing and acquisitions, but these are offset by significant profitability and cash flow challenges. While its strong balance sheet and recent corporate initiatives present growth opportunities, the negative valuation metrics weigh heavily on the stock’s attractiveness. Overall, the stock presents a moderate outlook, with potential improvements hinging on resolving profitability issues.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:GPE stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Unveils Enhanced Social Impact Strategy for London
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has launched version 2.0 of its Social Impact Strategy, ‘A Fairer Future for London,’ aimed at enhancing its focus on impactful community initiatives. The updated strategy emphasizes promoting inclusive communities, delivering healthier and greener spaces, and nurturing strong partnerships to amplify social impact. The company aims to measure success through outcomes like long-term employment opportunities and increased biodiversity, aligning with its sustainability and diversity commitments.

Spark’s Take on GB:GPE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:GPE is a Neutral.

Great Portland Estates plc shows operational strengths with successful leasing and strategic acquisitions in premium locations, contributing positively to its outlook. However, ongoing profitability and cash flow challenges significantly weigh down the overall score. Valuation concerns due to negative earnings further impact the attractiveness of the stock.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:GPE stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great Portland Estates Exceeds Leasing Targets with Strong Year-End Performance
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has reported a robust end to its financial year, surpassing its leasing targets with a 60% increase in net operating income since November. The company secured 32 new leases in the last quarter, generating £18.2 million in annual rent, 10% above estimated rental value (ERV). For the year, GPE signed 74 new leases totaling £37.7 million, 10.6% above ERV. The company anticipates continued strong demand for its premium office spaces, supported by a favorable market with a surplus of demand over supply. Recent acquisitions and development projects, such as the purchase of One Chapel Place and the refurbishment of The Courtyard, position GPE to capitalize on market opportunities and enhance its portfolio in prime London locations.

Spark’s Take on GB:GPE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:GPE is a Neutral.

Great Portland Estates plc is facing profitability challenges and cash flow issues, impacting its financial performance. While the company shows strong operational momentum and strategic growth through corporate events, its valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. The technical analysis indicates short-term positive momentum, but longer-term challenges persist. Overall, the company’s strategic initiatives and leasing successes provide a moderate outlook, reflected in the overall stock score.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:GPE stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great Portland Estates Secures New Leasing Deals, Boosting Revenue
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced nine new Fully Managed leasing deals, securing £7.2 million in annual rent across 33,500 sq ft of office space. This achievement highlights strong demand for GPE’s premium offerings, with significant leasing momentum and increased net operating income, indicating positive prospects for upcoming building launches.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Directors Participate in Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced that its Executive Directors participated in the company’s 2010 Share Incentive Plan (SIP), acquiring Partnership Shares and receiving Matching Shares. This initiative reflects the company’s commitment to aligning employee interests with shareholder value, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence in the company’s governance and operational strategies.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Expands West End Portfolio with Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Mar 24, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has acquired Cypress Dynasty Limited, which owns the freehold interest in One Chapel Place, W1, for £56.0 million. This acquisition enhances GPE’s portfolio in the West End, offering significant redevelopment potential to expand the building to approximately 57,000 sq ft. The strategic location near Bond Street and the Elizabeth line, combined with plans to enhance sustainability and workspace quality, positions GPE to meet the high demand for premium office space in London. This acquisition is part of GPE’s broader investment strategy, having invested £162 million in West End properties since last summer, aiming to create best-in-class office environments.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Highlights Strong Growth in Flex Office Sector
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc (GPE) is hosting an Investor & Analyst Zoom session to discuss its Flex office activities, highlighting strong operational momentum and a compelling investment case. The company reports faster-than-expected leasing of new deliveries and a promising new acquisition under offer, indicating future growth. GPE’s unique Flex offering includes premium, fully managed office spaces that are not co-working environments, targeting corporate clients and delivering significant income and value growth.

Business Operations and Strategy
BlackRock Increases Stake in Great Portland Estates to 17%
Neutral
Mar 20, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, as BlackRock, Inc. has increased its voting rights in the company to 17% following recent acquisitions of shares and financial instruments. This development highlights BlackRock’s growing influence within the company, potentially impacting future strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Portland Estates Receives Major Holdings Notification from BlackRock
Neutral
Mar 19, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced that it received a notification of major holdings from BlackRock, Inc., indicating an acquisition or disposal of voting rights. As of March 17, 2025, BlackRock holds 16.67% of the voting rights in Great Portland Estates, reflecting a slight increase from the previous 16.53%. This change in holdings could influence the company’s shareholder dynamics and potentially impact its strategic decisions.

Business Operations and Strategy
BlackRock Increases Stake in Great Portland Estates
Neutral
Mar 18, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, as BlackRock, Inc. has increased its holdings in the company. The notification reveals that BlackRock now holds 16.53% of the voting rights, up from 16.28%, indicating a strategic move that could impact the company’s governance and influence its future decisions. This development may have implications for stakeholders, as it reflects BlackRock’s growing interest and potential influence in the company’s operations.

Business Operations and Strategy
GPE Secures Landmark Office Space Deal with Next
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has secured its largest Fully Managed office space deal to date, leasing over 11,500 sq ft to retailer Next at 31 Alfred Place, Fitzrovia. This deal, part of a broader leasing success at the newly refurbished building, underscores the strong demand for GPE’s premium office offerings and highlights the company’s strategic positioning in the competitive London real estate market.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BlackRock Adjusts Holdings in Great Portland Estates
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, with BlackRock, Inc. adjusting its holdings in the company. As of March 4, 2025, BlackRock’s voting rights in Great Portland Estates stand at 16.28%, reflecting a slight adjustment from previous levels. This notification highlights BlackRock’s continued influence and investment in the company, which could have implications for its strategic direction and stakeholder engagement.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Enhances Employee Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced the acquisition of ordinary shares by its Executive Directors under the company’s 2010 Share Incentive Plan (SIP). The plan allows employees to purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with their salary, which the company matches by awarding two ‘Matching Shares’ for each ‘Partnership Share’ acquired. This initiative reflects the company’s commitment to employee investment and aligns with its strategic goals, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and reinforcing its position in the real estate sector.

Executive/Board Changes
Great Portland Estates Director Takes on New Role at Aston Martin
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced that Vicky Jarman, a Non-Executive Director, has been appointed to the board of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc as a Non-Executive Director. This appointment, effective from March 1, 2025, positions Jarman as Chair of Aston Martin’s Audit & Risk Committee and a member of its Nomination and Remuneration Committees, potentially strengthening the governance and strategic oversight at Aston Martin.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Achieves High Customer Satisfaction Scores
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc (GPE) announced a leading Net Promoter Score (NPS) of +26.1, outperforming the industry benchmark of +13.6. This high score underscores GPE’s strong customer loyalty and satisfaction, attributed to the quality of their spaces and effective communication. The company’s focus on a Customer First approach has resulted in an 88% retention rate for its Fully Managed portfolio and over 99% rent collection within seven days, demonstrating its robust operational performance and industry positioning.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Portland Estates Notified of BlackRock’s Increased Holdings
Neutral
Feb 17, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced on February 17, 2025, that it received a Notification of Major Holdings from BlackRock, Inc., indicating a change in voting rights due to an acquisition or disposal. As of February 14, 2025, BlackRock’s total voting rights in the company increased slightly to 16.28%, comprising direct and indirect holdings. This notification is significant as it reflects BlackRock’s continued interest and influence in Great Portland Estates, potentially impacting company decisions and stakeholder considerations.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Secures Key Leasing Deals at Piccadilly Estate
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has successfully secured four new Fully Managed leasing deals at its Piccadilly Estate, achieving a net premium of 98% compared to traditional leases. This success underscores strong demand for GPE’s offerings, enhancing its confidence for future projects, including the launch of a new premium office space at 170 Piccadilly.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Portland Estates Reveals Change in BlackRock’s Voting Rights
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has received a notification of major holdings from BlackRock, Inc., indicating a change in their voting rights. As of February 11, 2025, BlackRock’s voting rights decreased to 16.13% from 16.82%, reflecting a shift in their investment stance within the company. This announcement highlights a material change in stakeholder holdings, which may influence future corporate governance and decision-making processes at Great Portland Estates.

Business Operations and Strategy
GPE Secures New Tenants at 31 Alfred Place
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced the successful leasing of approximately 10,800 sq ft of Fully Managed office space at the newly refurbished 31 Alfred Place, WC1, with an additional 3,400 sq ft under offer. The deals were concluded faster than anticipated and at rates exceeding expected rental values. Four new tenants, including Smartly, BBL/P, Casual Films, and a multinational retailer, are set to occupy the space, reflecting strong demand for GPE’s premium workspaces. This achievement highlights GPE’s strategic positioning in the market, reinforcing their reputation for delivering sought-after office environments in central London.

Executive/Board Changes
GPE Announces Leadership Changes: William Eccleshare Appointed New Chair
Neutral
Feb 4, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc (GPE) announced the appointment of William Eccleshare as the new Non-Executive Chair Designate, effective from May 1, 2025. He will succeed Richard Mully, who is retiring after over eight years of service, at the 2025 Annual General Meeting in July. William brings a wealth of experience in executive and non-executive roles across the advertising and media sectors, having held leadership positions at Centaur Media plc, Britvic plc, and Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, among others. Additionally, Karen Green will assume the role of Senior Independent Director following Nick Hampton’s departure in April 2025. The transition aims to leverage William’s expertise in marketing, business transformation, and growth to strengthen GPE’s strategic direction and market opportunities.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Announces Monthly Share Incentive Plan Investments
Positive
Feb 3, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced the monthly investment details related to its 2010 Share Incentive Plan (SIP). Under the SIP, employees can contribute from their salary to purchase ‘Partnership Shares,’ with the company matching these purchases by awarding two ‘Matching Shares’ for each one purchased by the employee. This announcement, detailing purchases made by executive directors on January 31, 2025, reflects the company’s commitment to employee engagement and long-term investment in its workforce, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

Business Operations and Strategy
GPE Achieves Rapid Leasing Success at Farringdon’s New Office Development
Positive
Jan 28, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has successfully leased over 11,300 sq ft of office space at its new Fully Managed development, SIX, located in Farringdon, London. This rapid leasing, surpassing expected rental values, reflects strong market demand for GPE’s hassle-free, high-quality workspaces. The new tenants include Treatwell, Clavium, and the Green Finance Institute, occupying various floors of the 48,000 sq ft building. The successful leases highlight GPE’s strategic positioning in the real estate market, as they continue to attract diverse businesses with their innovative office solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great Portland Estates Reports Strong Q3 Leasing Performance
Positive
Jan 22, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc (GPE) has reported a strong leasing performance for Q3, securing £9.0 million in new deals, which is 16.3% above the estimated rental value (ERV). This success reflects high demand for GPE’s premium office spaces and supports a positive outlook in terms of rental growth and tenant retention. Despite volatile macroeconomic conditions, GPE’s occupational markets remain robust, with significant interest in their ongoing development projects and Fully Managed offices. The company has made strategic acquisitions and investments amounting to £200 million, positioning it well for future growth. The increase in vacancy rates to 6.3% indicates a strategic move to introduce new high-class office spaces to the market, such as the SIX St Andrew Street scheme, which has already attracted strong leasing interest.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.