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Volution Group Plc (GB:FAN)
LSE:FAN

Volution (FAN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:FAN

Volution

(LSE:FAN)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
638.00 p
▲(12.32% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:12/11/25
Volution's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its score. While technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's robust cash flow and strategic growth initiatives support its stability and future prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Double-digit reported revenue growth and positive organic expansion indicate durable end-market demand and successful product adoption. Sustained organic growth demonstrates pricing and volume strength in building ventilation markets, supporting resilient top-line performance over the medium term.
Cash Generation & Efficiency
Very strong cash conversion and high ROIC show the business converts profits to cash efficiently and uses capital effectively. This cash generation underpins organic investment, debt servicing after acquisitions and operational resilience, preserving strategic optionality over the next several quarters.
Geographic Diversification
Expansion from 4 to 17 countries and majority non-U.K. revenue materially reduces single-market risk and steadies revenue against local cycles. Broader geographic footprint supports scale, cross-border distribution efficiencies and a more balanced long-term revenue base.
Negative Factors
Higher Leverage
Rising leverage after acquisitions increases interest exposure and reduces financial flexibility. Higher debt levels combined with increased financing costs leave the company more sensitive to rate rises or cash-flow shocks, constraining capital allocation choices over the medium term.
Margin Pressure from Acquisitions
Acquisition-led dilution trimmed adjusted margins, signaling integration or mix challenges. If recently acquired businesses sustain lower margins or require restructuring, margin recovery could be delayed, limiting the durability of operating leverage despite revenue gains.
Regional & Segment Weakness
Persistent weakness in key European markets and an underperforming OEM segment create structural headwinds. These pockets of soft demand can cap overall growth and require targeted investment or repositioning to restore local competitiveness and margins over the coming quarters.

Volution (FAN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Volution Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolution Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies ventilation products to residential and commercial construction markets in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, Australasia, and internationally. The company offers unitary extractor fans for use in bathrooms and kitchens; MVHR and MEV systems; rigid, semi-rigid, and flexible ducting products and accessories; mechanical heat recovery units; air handling units, fan coils, and hybrid ventilation products; underfloor heating, heated towel rails, radiators, and storage and panel heaters; wall, box, and tower fans, as well as portable air conditioners; hand dryers and insect killers; and sensors, controllers, and ducting products. It also manufactures blowers and motors for the heating and ventilation industry, such as direct and belt-drive fans, fandecks, double inlet centrifugal blowers, motorized impellers, and combustion blowers. The company sells its products principally under the Vent-Axia, Manrose, Diffusion, Airtech, National Ventilation, Breathing Buildings, Torin-Sifan, Fresh, PAX, VoltAir, Kair, Air Connection, inVENTer, Ventilair, ClimaRad, ERI, Rtek, Simx, and Ventair brands. Volution Group plc was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Crawley, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolution makes money primarily by selling ventilation and indoor air quality products to customers in the building and construction supply chain. Its core revenue stream is product sales across residential and commercial ventilation categories, including (where applicable) items such as extractor fans, mechanical ventilation with heat recovery (MVHR) systems, and associated accessories/controls. Revenue is generated through distribution channels that typically include wholesalers, distributors, and building materials merchants, as well as sales to contractors, installers, and original equipment/manufacturing customers depending on the market. Earnings are driven by unit volumes (linked to construction activity and refurbishment demand), product mix (higher-specification and more energy-efficient systems generally carrying higher selling prices), and the company’s ability to design and manufacture products efficiently across its brand portfolio. Information on specific material partnerships or customer concentration is null.

Volution Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 09, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with significant revenue growth, successful acquisitions, and strategic geographic expansion. While there were minor challenges such as a slight reduction in profit margins and regional market weaknesses, the positive aspects, particularly the strong cash conversion, geographic diversification, and sustainability progress, outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 20.6%, with a 5.7% organic growth on a constant currency basis. The highest revenue growth was in the U.K. at 9.5%.
Successful Acquisition
The Fantech acquisition contributed significantly to inorganic revenue growth, making it the largest acquisition to date.
Cash Conversion and Leverage
Cash conversion was 109%, and leverage decreased to 1.2x despite significant acquisitions.
Sustainability Progress
Significant progress on ESG metrics, with 77.3% of revenue from low carbon sales and improvements in accident frequency rate.
Geographic Expansion
Increased presence from 4 to 17 countries, with 63% of revenue from non-U.K. customers.
Strong Performance in Australasia
Adjusted operating profit increased by 83.5% in the Australasia region, largely due to the Fantech acquisition.
Negative Updates
Operating Profit Margin Reduction
Adjusted operating profit margin slightly reduced from 22.5% to 22.3% due to Fantech dilution.
Challenges in Continental Europe
The market in Germany and the Nordics remains weak, impacting overall performance in these regions.
OEM Segment Challenges
The OEM segment had been a drag on performance over the last few years but showed signs of improvement.
Increased Financing Costs
Finance costs increased by 40% year-over-year due to borrowings for Fantech and ClimaRad acquisitions.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Volution reported a strong fiscal year 2025, highlighting several key metrics. Revenue increased by 20.6%, or nearly 22% on a constant currency basis, with organic revenue growth at 5.7%. The highest revenue growth was seen in the U.K. at 9.5%, supported by regulatory developments. Despite a slight reduction in adjusted operating profit margin to 22.3% due to the Fantech acquisition, the organic margin expanded by 50 basis points. Cash conversion was robust at 109%, and the company maintained a leverage ratio of 1.2x after significant acquisitions. Return on invested capital stood at 25.2%. The company also made progress in ESG initiatives, with 71.2% of revenue from low carbon sales and an improvement in the accident frequency rate. Looking forward, Volution is optimistic about continued organic and inorganic growth, supported by strategic investments in capacity and operational excellence.

Volution Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volution demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability. Despite increased leverage, the company's cash flow generation remains robust, supporting its financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Volution has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 15.47% increase in the latest year, supported by a solid gross profit margin. The net profit margin is healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, a slight decline in EBIT suggests potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity remains strong, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Volution's cash flow performance is robust, with a positive free cash flow growth rate and strong operating cash flow to net income ratio. This indicates good cash generation relative to earnings, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years.
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue459.96M419.11M347.61M328.01M307.70M272.59M
Gross Profit223.87M205.62M178.27M143.36M127.80M110.16M
EBITDA109.36M91.04M82.76M79.13M73.11M58.38M
Net Income51.48M41.53M42.80M37.37M35.61M20.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets690.58M602.45M430.31M440.65M411.37M383.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments106.35M18.78M18.24M21.24M14.63M19.96M
Total Debt290.35M183.42M85.99M120.46M108.03M108.32M
Total Liabilities402.78M332.47M184.39M214.40M203.06M198.69M
Stockholders Equity287.80M269.99M245.92M226.25M208.21M185.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow78.70M78.41M68.33M56.83M31.97M45.73M
Operating Cash Flow86.57M84.97M75.71M64.79M38.98M50.43M
Investing Cash Flow-31.50M-115.34M-19.59M-37.48M-24.26M-46.69M
Financing Cash Flow44.92M30.54M-58.83M-17.82M-19.63M-2.40M

Volution Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price568.00
Price Trends
50DMA
652.18
Negative
100DMA
640.88
Negative
200DMA
633.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-26.24
Positive
RSI
25.71
Positive
STOCH
10.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:FAN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 568 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 636.80, below the 50-day MA of 652.18, and below the 200-day MA of 633.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -26.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.71 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:FAN.

Volution Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£1.12B11.0518.46%1.68%20.57%-3.18%
74
Outperform
£265.35M117.956.14%3.48%-3.93%41.83%
66
Neutral
£88.54M7.4518.04%4.63%12.60%6.64%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
£725.56M18.007.59%3.19%5.88%107.36%
58
Neutral
£9.00M36.16-11.61%-27.62%-228.90%
57
Neutral
£158.55M212.001.61%4.39%-3.51%-67.38%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:FAN
Volution
568.00
19.22
3.50%
GB:ALU
Alumasc
247.50
-72.40
-22.63%
GB:NXR
Norcros
295.00
74.55
33.82%
GB:GEN
Genuit Group
289.00
-72.85
-20.13%
GB:TON
Titon Holdings
80.00
7.50
10.34%
GB:SRAD
Stelrad Group Plc
124.50
-1.52
-1.21%

Volution Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Volution lifts revenue, margins and dividend on strong first-half growth
Positive
Mar 12, 2026

Volution Group reported a strong first half to its 2026 financial year, with revenue up 21.7% to £228.7m and adjusted operating profit rising 21.1%, driven by volume-led organic growth of 4.2% at constant currency and contributions from acquisitions. The group lifted its interim dividend by 17.6%, maintained robust cash generation with leverage at 1.3 times, and expanded low-carbon products to 72.1% of revenue.

All three regions – the UK, Continental Europe and Australasia – delivered organic revenue and profit growth, with margin gains supported by favourable sales mix, sourcing initiatives and efficiency measures. Recent acquisitions, including Fantech and the completed purchase of AC Industries in Australia, are broadening Volution’s reach into fast-growing segments such as underground gold and copper mining ventilation, reinforcing its strategic position despite ongoing construction market headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £779.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Updates Market on Total Voting Rights and Share Capital
Neutral
Mar 2, 2026

Volution Group plc has confirmed that its issued share capital comprises 200,000,000 ordinary shares of 1 pence each, of which 1,584,751 are held in treasury, resulting in 198,415,249 voting rights currently in issue. The disclosure, made under the UK Financial Conduct Authority’s transparency rules, provides investors with the denominator needed to assess whether they must report holdings or changes in their interest in the company, underscoring Volution’s ongoing compliance with market disclosure requirements.

The clarification of total voting rights helps ensure accurate monitoring of significant shareholdings and supports transparency for institutional and retail shareholders. While the announcement is largely technical, it may influence how investors evaluate their reporting obligations and positions in Volution’s shares, particularly in the context of regulatory thresholds for stake disclosures in the UK market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £794.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Volution Sets Date for Half-Year Results and Analyst Briefing
Neutral
Feb 24, 2026

Volution Group plc will publish its half-year results for the six months to 31 January 2026 on 12 March, with management hosting an analyst presentation in London and via live stream. The scheduled update underscores the group’s continued engagement with the investment community and will offer investors and analysts fresh insight into trading performance and strategic progress in the energy-efficient air quality sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £779.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Updates Total Voting Rights Following Treasury Share Position
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026

Volution Group plc has confirmed that its issued share capital comprises 200,000,000 ordinary shares of 1 pence each, of which 1,589,751 are held in treasury, leaving 198,410,249 shares carrying voting rights. The updated voting rights figure provides a new denominator for investors assessing disclosure thresholds under UK transparency rules, ensuring shareholders and the market have clarity on Volution’s capital base and facilitating accurate reporting of significant shareholdings in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Volution Completes Acquisition of Australia’s AC Industries to Deepen Australasian Reach
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Volution Group plc has completed the acquisition of AC Industries in Australia, a provider of ducting solutions for copper and gold mines, strengthening its presence in the Australasian market. The deal expands Volution’s product offering into specialised mining ventilation infrastructure and further broadens its regional footprint, underlining the group’s strategy of building scale in key geographies and adjacent air-movement applications ahead of its forthcoming half-year results in March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution CFO Transfers 271,186 Company Shares to Spouse
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

Volution Group plc has disclosed that its Chief Financial Officer, Andy O’Brien, has transferred 271,186 ordinary shares in the company to his spouse, Rowenna O’Brien, for nil consideration, in a transaction carried out outside the main market on 26 January 2026. The move, formally notified under market abuse regulations, represents an internal reallocation of share ownership within the director’s family rather than a disposal into the market, and therefore does not immediately alter the company’s overall share capital or free float but is relevant for transparency around insider holdings and governance reporting.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Confirms Updated Total Voting Rights of 198.4 Million Shares
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Volution Group plc has confirmed that its issued share capital consists of 200 million ordinary shares of 1 pence each, of which 1,589,905 shares are held in treasury, leaving 198,410,095 voting rights currently in issue. The disclosure, made in line with UK Financial Conduct Authority transparency rules, provides investors with the reference figure needed to assess whether they must notify the company and regulators about holdings or changes in holdings, thereby supporting clear oversight of Volution’s shareholder base and voting structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:FAN) stock is a Buy with a £780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Volution stock, see the GB:FAN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025