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Volution Group Plc (GB:FAN)
:FAN

Volution (FAN) AI Stock Analysis

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Volution

(LSE:FAN)

78Outperform
Volution's strong financial performance and positive corporate events, including a successful acquisition and strategic leadership changes, are key strengths. The technical analysis shows upward momentum but suggests caution due to potential overvaluation. The valuation indicates a higher-than-average P/E ratio, which may be justified by growth prospects. Overall, Volution is positioned well for future growth, but investors should monitor leverage and market conditions.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Accelerating top line growth and stronger margins in the UK and Fantech.
Market Positioning
Volution continues to outperform its underlying markets at a top line level, and further progress its margin superiority relative to peers.
Mergers and Acquisitions
The integration of the largest ever transaction, Fantech, ahead of schedule, brings a greater weighting of commercial end markets and expanded geographic footprint.
Revenue Diversification
The deal lifts Australasia to ~30% of group revenue, progressing the strategy to diversify revenue exposure away from the UK.
Negative Factors
Valuation Concerns
The level of EPS growth is not adequately reflected in the current valuation, and a Buy recommendation is reaffirmed on the stock.
Valuation Range
The valuation of 11.5x EV/EBITA is considered towards the lower end of the company's 5-year range.

Volution (FAN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Volution Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVolution Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies ventilation products to residential and commercial construction markets in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, Australasia, and internationally. The company offers unitary extractor fans for use in bathrooms and kitchens; MVHR and MEV systems; rigid, semi-rigid, and flexible ducting products and accessories; mechanical heat recovery units; air handling units, fan coils, and hybrid ventilation products; underfloor heating, heated towel rails, radiators, and storage and panel heaters; wall, box, and tower fans, as well as portable air conditioners; hand dryers and insect killers; and sensors, controllers, and ducting products. It also manufactures blowers and motors for the heating and ventilation industry, such as direct and belt-drive fans, fandecks, double inlet centrifugal blowers, motorized impellers, and combustion blowers. The company sells its products principally under the Vent-Axia, Manrose, Diffusion, Airtech, National Ventilation, Breathing Buildings, Torin-Sifan, Fresh, PAX, VoltAir, Kair, Air Connection, inVENTer, Ventilair, ClimaRad, ERI, Rtek, Simx, and Ventair brands. Volution Group plc was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Crawley, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyVolution Group plc generates revenue primarily through the sale of its ventilation products and systems. The company's key revenue streams include the residential and commercial sectors, where they provide both standard and customized ventilation solutions. Additionally, Volution benefits from its strong distribution network and strategic partnerships with builders, contractors, and distributors, facilitating broad market reach. The focus on energy efficiency and sustainable building solutions further drives demand, supporting the company's earnings and market position.

Volution Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Volution displays strong financial performance with solid profitability, financial stability, and robust cash flow generation. The income statement shows strong revenue growth and healthy profit margins. The balance sheet is stable, with moderate leverage and effective shareholder equity utilization. The cash flow statement highlights significant free cash flow growth and effective cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Volution has demonstrated strong revenue growth of approximately 6% in the latest period, with a solid gross profit margin of 51.3% and a net profit margin of 12.3%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 20.2% and 24.0% respectively, indicating a robust operating performance. These metrics suggest solid profitability and operational efficiency, though continued focus on maintaining cost efficiencies will be important.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating moderate leverage which is manageable. The return on equity is a respectable 17.4%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 57.1%, suggesting a strong capital structure. The balance sheet reflects financial stability, though any increase in leverage should be monitored.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Volution's cash flow statement highlights a significant free cash flow growth rate of 20.2% year-over-year, and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.77, which indicates effective cash generation capabilities. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.60, showing strong cash conversion. Overall, the company exhibits a strong cash flow position, supporting its financial health.
Breakdown
Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
347.61M328.01M307.70M272.59M216.64M
Gross Profit
178.27M143.36M127.80M110.16M79.94M
EBIT
70.36M58.56M49.66M38.62M14.85M
EBITDA
83.51M79.13M73.11M58.38M37.64M
Net Income Common Stockholders
42.80M37.37M35.61M20.84M9.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
18.24M21.24M14.63M19.96M18.49M
Total Assets
430.31M440.65M411.37M383.98M326.47M
Total Debt
85.99M120.46M108.03M108.32M92.20M
Net Debt
67.75M99.21M94.49M88.86M73.71M
Total Liabilities
184.39M214.40M203.06M198.69M150.91M
Stockholders Equity
245.92M226.25M208.21M185.29M175.56M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
68.33M56.83M31.97M45.73M34.62M
Operating Cash Flow
75.71M64.79M38.98M50.43M39.17M
Investing Cash Flow
-19.88M-37.48M-24.26M-46.69M-5.15M
Financing Cash Flow
-58.83M-17.82M-19.63M-2.40M-27.00M

Volution Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price538.00
Price Trends
50DMA
531.74
Positive
100DMA
540.21
Negative
200DMA
535.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.11
Positive
RSI
48.23
Neutral
STOCH
20.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:FAN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 538 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 543.85, above the 50-day MA of 531.74, and above the 200-day MA of 535.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:FAN.

Volution Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBFAN
78
Outperform
£1.09B27.3716.36%1.64%7.32%-6.70%
CRCRH
75
Outperform
£59.74B17.5716.07%1.95%1.78%15.53%
GBPSN
69
Neutral
£3.84B14.387.71%4.99%15.42%4.45%
GBKIE
67
Neutral
£555.54M12.9710.20%3.97%8.04%6.94%
62
Neutral
$8.05B13.604.04%3.11%3.70%-14.19%
60
Neutral
£1.02B25.007.71%1.45%-61.69%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:FAN
Volution
538.00
121.74
29.25%
GB:KIE
Kier Group plc
125.00
0.50
0.40%
GB:PSN
Persimmon
1,191.50
-26.95
-2.21%
GB:WOSG
Watches of Switzerland Group PLC
413.40
72.60
21.30%
CRH
CRH plc
87.97
4.90
5.90%

Volution Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volution Group Sees Change in Shareholder Structure with Aberdeen Group Acquisition
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced a change in its shareholder structure, with Aberdeen Group plc acquiring a significant voting rights stake of 5.146702% in the company. This acquisition marks Aberdeen Group’s increased influence in Volution’s decision-making process, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Volution Group Reports Strong H1 2025 Performance and Successful Fantech Acquisition
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

Volution Group plc reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with an 8.9% increase in revenue and a 10.4% rise in adjusted operating profit. The company completed its largest acquisition to date, Fantech, contributing to its growth despite challenging market conditions. The integration of Fantech is progressing well, and the company continues to benefit from structural growth drivers such as tightening building regulations and increased awareness of indoor air quality. Volution’s focus on efficiency, cost management, and sustainable practices, including increased use of recycled plastics, positions it well for future growth, with full-year earnings expected to exceed consensus.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volution Group Strengthens Board with New Appointments
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

Volution Group plc has appointed Celia Baxter and Emmanuelle Dubu as independent Non-Executive Directors, effective March 5, 2025. Celia Baxter, with extensive experience in executive remuneration and industrial businesses, will also serve as the Remuneration Committee Chair Designate. Emmanuelle Dubu brings over 30 years of international engineering and manufacturing experience to the board. These appointments are expected to strengthen Volution’s board discussions and support its global growth strategy.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Volution Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced its total voting rights as of March 3, 2025, with an issued share capital of 200,000,000 ordinary shares, where 198,034,906 shares carry voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Financial Disclosures
Volution Group to Announce Half-Year Results in March 2025
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced that it will release its half-year results for the six months ending on January 31, 2025, on March 13, 2025. This announcement is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s performance and market positioning, potentially impacting stakeholders’ perspectives on its operational and financial health.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Volution Group Announces Strategic Leadership Appointment
Positive
Feb 4, 2025

Volution Group plc has announced the appointment of Nigel Lingwood as the non-executive Chair Designate of Forterra plc, effective from 1 April 2025. This strategic move reflects Volution’s ongoing commitment to enhancing its leadership team, potentially strengthening its market position and offering significant implications for stakeholders.

Volution Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Jan 2, 2025

Volution Group plc announced its total voting rights as of January 2, 2025, reflecting its issued share capital of 200 million ordinary shares, with 198,034,077 voting rights after accounting for shares held in treasury. This notification is in accordance with the Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, providing shareholders with the necessary denominator for calculating their required notifications to the company, potentially impacting shareholder engagement and regulatory compliance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.