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Cadogan Petroleum PLC (GB:CAD)
LSE:CAD

Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CAD

Cadogan Petroleum

(LSE:CAD)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
5.00 p
▲(17.65% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/27/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and negative free cash flow despite revenue growth, even though the balance sheet is conservatively financed with very low leverage. Technicals show a strong uptrend (price above key moving averages and positive MACD) but RSI is deeply overbought, adding near-term risk. Valuation is also pressured by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong equity base
Extremely low leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility for an upstream explorer. This capital structure reduces refinancing and interest risk, supports funding of exploration and development through commodity cycles, and preserves balance-sheet capacity over months.
Negative Factors
Large net losses and negative margins
Persistently deep losses and negative operating margins materially weaken the company's ability to generate retained earnings and fund growth internally. Over several months this erodes return metrics, constrains strategic optionality, and heightens reliance on external capital for project execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / strong equity base
Extremely low leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility for an upstream explorer. This capital structure reduces refinancing and interest risk, supports funding of exploration and development through commodity cycles, and preserves balance-sheet capacity over months.
Read all positive factors

Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Cadogan Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cadogan Petroleum plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, oil, and condensate in Ukraine. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Service; and Trading. Th...
How the Company Makes Money
Cadogan Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. Its key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil and natural gas, which are sold to various markets, including domestic and int...

Cadogan Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are constrained by heavy losses and weak cash generation: net income margin is -68.1% with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins, and free cash flow remains negative. Positives include 21.2% revenue growth, an improved 44.9% gross margin, a very low debt-to-equity ratio (0.006), and a strong equity ratio (93.3%), plus operating cash flow turning positive in 2024.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.75M9.15M7.55M8.47M8.79M5.11M
Gross Profit2.17M4.11M2.16M2.94M1.43M555.00K
EBITDA-6.19M-4.61M-760.00K-755.00K-1.44M-2.58M
Net Income-6.00M-6.23M1.26M-1.56M-5.07M-996.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.09M31.13M38.29M37.43M42.36M46.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.09M14.38M14.15M13.93M15.01M13.25M
Total Debt137.00K173.00K235.00K107.00K206.00K292.00K
Total Liabilities1.70M2.06M1.85M1.91M1.99M1.90M
Stockholders Equity30.39M29.07M36.44M35.29M40.14M44.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.32M-357.00K-628.00K-967.00K2.04M-169.00K
Operating Cash Flow-532.00K691.00K-570.00K-874.00K2.19M110.00K
Investing Cash Flow-3.19M-248.00K738.00K4.00K-151.00K-273.00K
Financing Cash Flow5.13M-118.00K-132.00K0.000.000.00

Cadogan Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.25
Price Trends
50DMA
4.69
Negative
100DMA
4.47
Negative
200DMA
4.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
15.84
Positive
STOCH
36.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.58, below the 50-day MA of 4.69, and above the 200-day MA of 4.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 15.84 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CAD.

Cadogan Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
£4.98M-4.82-2.88%
55
Neutral
£19.99M-0.59-29.57%-20.85%-105.70%
53
Neutral
£10.67M6.01-16.91%-29.63%-427.78%
52
Neutral
£7.47M-4.18-14.83%
48
Neutral
£11.97M-1.14-21.11%-12.15%-200.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CAD
Cadogan Petroleum
4.25
0.25
6.25%
GB:ANGS
Angus Energy
0.24
-0.04
-14.29%
GB:STAR
IGas Energy
15.25
8.42
123.28%
GB:UOG
United Oil & Gas Plc
0.17
0.08
88.89%
GB:UKOG
UK Oil & Gas Investments
0.01
0.00
0.00%
GB:UJO
Union Jack Oil
3.40
-6.50
-65.66%

Cadogan Petroleum Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Cadogan Energy Solutions Director Alters Shareholding
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025
Cadogan Energy Solutions Plc announced that its Non-Executive Director, Mr. Michel Meeus, has terminated a financial agreement involving a collateral on 10,200,000 ordinary shares. Following this transaction, Mr. Meeus retains a total of 15,823,00...
Other
Cadogan Energy Solutions Announces Director Shareholding Changes
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025
Cadogan Energy Solutions Plc announced that its Non-Executive Director, Mr. Michel Meeus, has terminated a financial agreement involving collateral over 10,200,000 ordinary shares at a price of £0.0365 each. Following this transaction, Mr. Me...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026