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Cadogan Petroleum (GB:CAD)
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Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CAD

Cadogan Petroleum

(LSE:CAD)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
3.50p
▼(-1.41% Downside)
Cadogan Petroleum's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows significant profitability challenges despite a strong balance sheet. Technical analysis provides mixed signals, with some potential for bullish momentum but overall bearish long-term trends. Valuation is a concern due to negative earnings and lack of dividends, further weighing down the score.

Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Cadogan Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCadogan Petroleum plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, oil, and condensate in Ukraine. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Service; and Trading. The company holds working interest licenses in the Carpathian basin. It also provides drilling and civil services to exploration and production companies; imports natural gas; and purchases and sells natural gas. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCadogan Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas produced from its exploration and production activities. The company has established key revenue streams from its operational wells in Ukraine, where it sells hydrocarbons both domestically and on international markets. Additionally, Cadogan may engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies to share resources, technologies, and expertise, potentially enhancing its production capabilities and market reach. The company's financial performance is also influenced by global oil and gas prices, regulatory environments in the regions it operates, and its ability to manage operational costs effectively.

Cadogan Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cadogan Petroleum faces significant profitability challenges despite some revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. The company's financial health is constrained by its inability to generate positive net income and free cash flow, which could hinder future growth and investment prospects. Continued operational improvements and cost management are necessary to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cadogan Petroleum's income statement reflects a challenging environment with declining profitability. The company experienced a revenue growth of 21.2% in 2024, but this was overshadowed by a negative net income margin of -68.1%, indicating substantial losses. The gross profit margin improved to 44.9%, showing some operational efficiency, yet the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.006 and a strong equity ratio of 93.3%, indicating financial soundness and low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to continued losses, which could be a concern for potential investors.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. Although operating cash flow turned positive in 2024, free cash flow remains negative, highlighting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, suggesting better cash conversion, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, indicating ongoing challenges in translating profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.75M9.15M7.55M8.47M8.79M5.11M
Gross Profit2.17M4.11M2.16M2.94M1.43M555.00K
EBITDA-6.19M-4.61M-760.00K-755.00K-1.44M-2.58M
Net Income-6.00M-6.23M1.26M-1.56M-5.07M-996.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.09M31.13M38.29M37.43M42.36M46.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.09M14.38M14.15M13.93M15.01M13.25M
Total Debt137.00K173.00K235.00K107.00K206.00K292.00K
Total Liabilities1.70M2.06M1.85M1.91M1.99M1.90M
Stockholders Equity30.39M29.07M36.44M35.29M40.14M44.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.32M-357.00K-628.00K-967.00K2.04M-169.00K
Operating Cash Flow-532.00K691.00K-570.00K-874.00K2.19M110.00K
Investing Cash Flow-3.19M-248.00K738.00K4.00K-151.00K-273.00K
Financing Cash Flow5.13M-118.00K-132.00K0.000.000.00

Cadogan Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.55
Price Trends
50DMA
3.64
Negative
100DMA
3.64
Negative
200DMA
4.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
31.00
Neutral
STOCH
64.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.62, below the 50-day MA of 3.64, and below the 200-day MA of 4.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CAD.

Cadogan Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
£14.86M4.9517.71%-37.83%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
£11.97M1.38-21.11%-12.15%-200.00%
50
Neutral
£5.52M
49
Neutral
£8.92M7.41-16.91%-29.63%-427.78%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CAD
Cadogan Petroleum
3.55
1.15
47.92%
GB:ANGS
Angus Energy
0.24
-0.04
-14.29%
GB:MSMN
Mosman Oil and Gas
0.02
-0.03
-60.00%
GB:PMG
The Parkmead
13.60
1.60
13.33%
GB:UJO
Union Jack Oil
4.65
-5.60
-54.63%
GB:UPL
Upland Resources
2.30
1.20
109.09%

Cadogan Petroleum Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cadogan Energy Solutions AGM: Key Resolutions and Outcomes
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

At the recent Annual General Meeting of Cadogan Energy Solutions plc, resolutions 1 to 11 were approved, while resolutions 12 to 22 were not passed. The meeting involved a poll vote, indicating a divided opinion among stakeholders on certain issues, such as director appointments and share-related resolutions. The outcome of the AGM reflects ongoing strategic decisions and potential shifts in company governance.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cadogan Energy Solutions Updates Registered Office Address
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

Cadogan Energy Solutions plc has announced a change in its registered office address to Arch Law, Floor 2, 8 Bishopsgate, London EC2N 4BQ. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to streamline its operations and potentially enhance its market presence as it prepares for future expansions in the energy sector.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Cadogan Energy Solutions Releases 2024 Financial Report and Announces 2025 AGM
Neutral
May 23, 2025

Cadogan Energy Solutions plc has released its 2024 Annual Financial Report and announced the 2025 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for June 20, 2025, in London. The report and meeting notice have been distributed to shareholders and will be available online and through the National Storage Mechanism. This announcement highlights Cadogan’s ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement as it continues to diversify its energy operations and expand its market presence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2025