Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £9.17M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 19.09K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.22
• Revenue Growth: -29.63%
• EPS Growth: -427.78%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 76
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 251,128,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 15,678
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 19,085
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.45
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.42
• P/FCF Ratio: -36.36
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: 4.50p ▼(-10.00% Downside)

Cadogan Petroleum's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company's financial challenges, including negative net income and free cash flow, weigh heavily on its score. While there is positive short-term momentum, the overbought RSI suggests caution. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further impact the valuation negatively.

Positive Factors

Strong Balance Sheet

Cadogan Petroleum's strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability, allowing the company to withstand market volatility and invest in growth opportunities without significant financial strain.

Operational Efficiency

The improvement in gross profit margin indicates enhanced operational efficiency, which can lead to better profitability and competitive positioning in the long term, despite current net income challenges.

Positive Operating Cash Flow

The shift to positive operating cash flow suggests improved cash generation from core operations, which is crucial for funding future investments and sustaining operations without relying on external financing.

Negative Factors

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow indicates ongoing liquidity challenges, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives and potentially impacting its financial flexibility in the long term.

Declining Profitability

The substantial negative net income margin highlights significant profitability issues, which could hinder the company's ability to sustain operations and achieve long-term growth without strategic changes.

Revenue Decline

The decline in revenue growth reflects challenges in market demand or operational execution, which could impact the company's ability to maintain its market position and achieve sustainable growth.

Cadogan Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cadogan Petroleum plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, oil, and condensate in Ukraine. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Service; and Trading. The company holds working interest licenses in the Carpathian basin. It also provides drilling and civil services to exploration and production companies; imports natural gas; and purchases and sells natural gas. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Cadogan Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. Its key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil and natural gas, which are sold to various markets, including domestic and international buyers. The company also benefits from its ability to leverage existing infrastructure and partnerships to optimize production efficiency and minimize operational costs. Strategic alliances with other companies and stakeholders in the energy sector further enhance its revenue potential, allowing for shared investments and risk management in exploration activities. Additionally, fluctuations in global energy prices significantly impact its earnings, making market conditions a crucial factor in its revenue generation.

Cadogan Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cadogan Petroleum faces significant profitability challenges despite some revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. The company's financial health is constrained by its inability to generate positive net income and free cash flow, which could hinder future growth and investment prospects. Continued operational improvements and cost management are necessary to enhance financial performance.

Income Statement

Cadogan Petroleum's income statement reflects a challenging environment with declining profitability. The company experienced a revenue growth of 21.2% in 2024, but this was overshadowed by a negative net income margin of -68.1%, indicating substantial losses. The gross profit margin improved to 44.9%, showing some operational efficiency, yet the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.006 and a strong equity ratio of 93.3%, indicating financial soundness and low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to continued losses, which could be a concern for potential investors.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. Although operating cash flow turned positive in 2024, free cash flow remains negative, highlighting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, suggesting better cash conversion, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, indicating ongoing challenges in translating profits into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.75M	9.15M	7.55M	8.47M	8.79M	5.11M
Gross Profit	2.17M	4.11M	2.16M	2.94M	1.43M	555.00K
EBITDA	-6.19M	-4.61M	-760.00K	-755.00K	-1.44M	-2.58M
Net Income	-6.00M	-6.23M	1.26M	-1.56M	-5.07M	-996.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	32.09M	31.13M	38.29M	37.43M	42.36M	46.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	20.09M	14.38M	14.15M	13.93M	15.01M	13.25M
Total Debt	137.00K	173.00K	235.00K	107.00K	206.00K	292.00K
Total Liabilities	1.70M	2.06M	1.85M	1.91M	1.99M	1.90M
Stockholders Equity	30.39M	29.07M	36.44M	35.29M	40.14M	44.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-4.32M	-357.00K	-628.00K	-967.00K	2.04M	-169.00K
Operating Cash Flow	-532.00K	691.00K	-570.00K	-874.00K	2.19M	110.00K
Investing Cash Flow	-3.19M	-248.00K	738.00K	4.00K	-151.00K	-273.00K
Financing Cash Flow	5.13M	-118.00K	-132.00K	0.00	0.00	0.00

Cadogan Petroleum Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.84, above the 50-day MA of 3.71, and above the 200-day MA of 4.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 93.70 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CAD.

Cadogan Petroleum Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PMG	67 Neutral	£16.39M	2.23	31.50%	―	-29.14%	48.67%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
ANGS	54 Neutral	£11.97M	-1.14	-21.11%	―	-12.15%	-200.00%
CAD	52 Neutral	£9.17M	-2.06	-16.91%	―	-29.63%	-427.78%
MSMN	50 Neutral	£8.09M	-1.20	―	―	―	―

Cadogan Petroleum Corporate Events

Cadogan Energy Solutions Director Alters Shareholding

Cadogan Energy Solutions Plc announced that its Non-Executive Director, Mr. Michel Meeus, has terminated a financial agreement involving a collateral on 10,200,000 ordinary shares. Following this transaction, Mr. Meeus retains a total of 15,823,000 shares, representing 6.3% of the company. This move may impact the company’s market perception and shareholder dynamics, as it reflects changes in the director’s financial engagements with the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAD) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cadogan Petroleum stock, see the GB:CAD Stock Forecast page.

Cadogan Energy Solutions Announces Director Shareholding Changes

Cadogan Energy Solutions Plc announced that its Non-Executive Director, Mr. Michel Meeus, has terminated a financial agreement involving collateral over 10,200,000 ordinary shares at a price of £0.0365 each. Following this transaction, Mr. Meeus retains 15,823,000 shares, representing 6.3% of the company. This move may impact the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests as it reflects changes in shareholding by a key company figure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CAD) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cadogan Petroleum stock, see the GB:CAD Stock Forecast page.