Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £9.17M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 19.09K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.22
• Revenue Growth: -29.63%
• EPS Growth: -427.78%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 76
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 251,128,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 15,678
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 19,085
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.45
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.42
• P/FCF Ratio: -36.36
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 49 Neutral
• Price Target: 3.50p ▼(-4.11% Downside)

Cadogan Petroleum's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its challenging financial performance and unattractive valuation. Despite some operational efficiency and a stable balance sheet, the company's inability to generate positive net income and free cash flow is a significant concern. Technical analysis provides a neutral outlook, but the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness.

Cadogan Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) is a UK-based oil and gas exploration and production company focused primarily on the acquisition, exploration, and development of hydrocarbon resources in Ukraine. The company operates within the energy sector, concentrating on onshore oil and gas fields, and is dedicated to leveraging advanced technologies and operational expertise to enhance production and reserves. Cadogan's core products and services include the extraction of oil and natural gas, as well as the development of infrastructure to support its exploration activities.

How the Company Makes Money

Cadogan Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas produced from its exploration and production activities. The company has established key revenue streams from its operational wells in Ukraine, where it sells hydrocarbons both domestically and on international markets. Additionally, Cadogan may engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies to share resources, technologies, and expertise, potentially enhancing its production capabilities and market reach. The company's financial performance is also influenced by global oil and gas prices, regulatory environments in the regions it operates, and its ability to manage operational costs effectively.

Cadogan Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cadogan Petroleum faces significant profitability challenges despite some revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. The company's financial health is constrained by its inability to generate positive net income and free cash flow, which could hinder future growth and investment prospects. Continued operational improvements and cost management are necessary to enhance financial performance.

Income Statement

Cadogan Petroleum's income statement reflects a challenging environment with declining profitability. The company experienced a revenue growth of 21.2% in 2024, but this was overshadowed by a negative net income margin of -68.1%, indicating substantial losses. The gross profit margin improved to 44.9%, showing some operational efficiency, yet the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.006 and a strong equity ratio of 93.3%, indicating financial soundness and low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to continued losses, which could be a concern for potential investors.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. Although operating cash flow turned positive in 2024, free cash flow remains negative, highlighting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, suggesting better cash conversion, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, indicating ongoing challenges in translating profits into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.75M	9.15M	7.55M	8.47M	8.79M	5.11M
Gross Profit	2.17M	4.11M	2.16M	2.94M	1.43M	555.00K
EBITDA	-6.19M	-4.61M	-760.00K	-755.00K	-1.44M	-2.58M
Net Income	-6.00M	-6.23M	1.26M	-1.56M	-5.07M	-996.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	32.09M	31.13M	38.29M	37.43M	42.36M	46.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	20.09M	14.38M	14.15M	13.93M	15.01M	13.25M
Total Debt	137.00K	173.00K	235.00K	107.00K	206.00K	292.00K
Total Liabilities	1.70M	2.06M	1.85M	1.91M	1.99M	1.90M
Stockholders Equity	30.39M	29.07M	36.44M	35.29M	40.14M	44.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-4.32M	-357.00K	-628.00K	-967.00K	2.04M	-169.00K
Operating Cash Flow	-532.00K	691.00K	-570.00K	-874.00K	2.19M	110.00K
Investing Cash Flow	-3.19M	-248.00K	738.00K	4.00K	-151.00K	-273.00K
Financing Cash Flow	5.13M	-118.00K	-132.00K	0.00	0.00	0.00

Cadogan Petroleum Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 3.65
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.62, below the 50-day MA of 3.67, and below the 200-day MA of 4.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CAD.

Cadogan Petroleum Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PMG	67 Neutral	£14.75M	4.91	―	―	-37.83%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
ANGS	54 Neutral	£11.97M	-1.14	-21.11%	―	-12.15%	-200.00%
MSMN	50 Neutral	£8.09M	-1.20	―	―	―	―
CAD	49 Neutral	£9.17M	-2.06	-16.91%	―	-29.63%	-427.78%