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Cadogan Petroleum PLC (GB:CAD)
LSE:CAD
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Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CAD

Cadogan Petroleum

(LSE:CAD)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
4.00 p
▼(-5.88% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/25/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—especially recent net losses and significant negative free cash flow—despite a relatively solid, low-leverage balance sheet. Technical signals are mixed with modest strength but some indicators suggesting stretched momentum, and valuation is penalized due to loss-making results and the absence of a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage
Cadogan's low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.21 in 2025) and sizable equity provide a durable financial cushion through commodity cycles. This structural balance-sheet strength supports capital allocation flexibility, lowers near-term solvency risk and preserves options for investment or farm-outs as operations stabilize.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Volatile and mostly negative operating and free cash flow is a structural weakness: persistent cash burn restricts the company's ability to self-fund capex and operations, increases reliance on external financing or asset sales, and raises execution and liquidity risk during downturns or prolonged weak price environments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative leverage
Cadogan's low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.21 in 2025) and sizable equity provide a durable financial cushion through commodity cycles. This structural balance-sheet strength supports capital allocation flexibility, lowers near-term solvency risk and preserves options for investment or farm-outs as operations stabilize.
Read all positive factors

Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Cadogan Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cadogan Petroleum plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, oil, and condensate in Ukraine. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Service; and Trading. Th...
How the Company Makes Money
Cadogan Petroleum primarily makes money from upstream oil and gas activities, with revenue typically generated through the sale of produced hydrocarbons (crude oil and/or natural gas) into the market, where realized prices depend on commodity benc...

Cadogan Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue rebounded strongly in 2025, but profitability is inconsistent with recent net losses and materially weaker gross margin. Cash flow is the biggest drag, with unstable operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow in 2025, despite a relatively conservative balance sheet and low leverage.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.79M9.15M7.55M8.47M8.79M
Gross Profit1.24M4.11M2.16M2.94M1.43M
EBITDA-1.99M-4.61M-760.00K-755.00K-1.44M
Net Income-1.14M-6.23M1.26M-1.56M-5.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.70M31.13M38.29M37.43M42.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.62M14.38M14.15M13.93M15.01M
Total Debt5.97M173.00K235.00K107.00K206.00K
Total Liabilities7.61M2.06M1.85M1.91M1.99M
Stockholders Equity28.10M29.07M36.44M35.29M40.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.13M-357.00K-628.00K-967.00K2.04M
Operating Cash Flow-2.26M691.00K-570.00K-874.00K2.19M
Investing Cash Flow-9.32M-248.00K738.00K4.00K-151.00K
Financing Cash Flow9.61M-118.00K-132.00K0.000.00

Cadogan Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.25
Price Trends
50DMA
4.42
Negative
100DMA
4.49
Negative
200DMA
4.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
16.94
Positive
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.33, below the 50-day MA of 4.42, and above the 200-day MA of 4.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 16.94 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CAD.

Cadogan Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
£7.33M-4.82-2.88%-24.66%-158.42%
55
Neutral
£20.36M-0.92-29.57%-20.46%35.99%
52
Neutral
£9.67M-4.18-14.83%
48
Neutral
£11.97M24.00-21.11%-17.39%
45
Neutral
£10.17M-1.74-16.91%-38.61%83.33%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CAD
Cadogan Petroleum
4.05
-0.95
-19.00%
GB:ANGS
Angus Energy
0.24
0.00
0.00%
GB:STAR
IGas Energy
15.50
8.95
136.64%
GB:UOG
United Oil & Gas Plc
0.23
0.12
104.55%
GB:UKOG
UK Oil & Gas Investments
0.01
0.00
0.00%
GB:UJO
Union Jack Oil
5.00
-4.25
-45.95%

Cadogan Petroleum Corporate Events

Other
Cadogan Chairman Increases Stake with £0.045-Per-Share Purchase
Positive
May 5, 2026
Cadogan Energy Solutions’ chairman, Thibaut de Gaudemar, has acquired 3,828,943 ordinary shares in the company at £0.045 per share in an over-the-counter London transaction on 30 April 2026. The purchase lifts his holding to 3,828,943 s...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cadogan Narrows 2025 Loss as Cash Rises and Power Business Expands
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
Cadogan Energy Solutions reported a sharply reduced annual loss of $1.1 million for 2025, down from $6.2 million a year earlier, despite lower gross revenues of $5.8 million and a weaker average realised oil price of $46.75 per boe. The group&#821...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 25, 2026