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B&M European Value Retail SA (GB:BME)
LSE:BME
UK Market

B&M European Value Retail SA (BME) AI Stock Analysis

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B&M European Value Retail SA

(LSE:BME)

75Outperform
B&M European Value Retail SA shows robust financial performance and attractive valuation, supported by strategic expansion plans and insider confidence. However, high debt levels and mixed technical signals present some risks. The company's disciplined growth strategy and strong cash flow position provide a solid foundation for future opportunities.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FY EBITDA (pre-IFRS16) is now expected to be ‘above the midpoint’ of the £605-£625m guidance range.
Investor Appeal
The shares are trading at a marked price-to-earnings discount, which might appeal to value investors.
Market Position
Management is very comfortable and confident in the company's pricing position.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
B&M cut its FY25 EBITDA guidance by approximately 3% due to UK like-for-like sales failing to sustain a pick-up.
Leadership Uncertainty
CEO Alex Russo intends to retire at the end of April, creating uncertainty about the company's future leadership.
Sales Performance
An unexplained weakness in like-for-like sales raises concerns about the company's performance.

B&M European Value Retail SA (BME) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

B&M European Value Retail SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionB&M European Value Retail S.A. operates general merchandise and grocery stores. The company operates a chain of 701 stores under the B&M brand, and 311 stores under the Heron Foods and B&M Express brands in the United Kingdom; and 107 stores under the B&M brand in France. It also provides employment and property management services. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
How the Company Makes MoneyB&M European Value Retail SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of a diverse range of consumer products in its stores. The company's revenue model is based on high-volume, low-margin sales, leveraging its large buying power to secure favorable terms with suppliers and passing those savings onto customers. B&M's key revenue streams include in-store sales from its core B&M Bargains and Heron Foods brands. The company also benefits from its ability to rapidly adapt its product mix in response to consumer demand and seasonal trends. Additionally, B&M's strategic locations and large store formats contribute to high foot traffic and efficient operations. The business does not heavily rely on online sales, which is a differentiating factor from many other retailers. Its profitability is further supported by cost-effective supply chain management and a focus on operational efficiency.

B&M European Value Retail SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
B&M European Value Retail SA demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability with strong gross and net margins. The high debt-to-equity ratio poses a financial leverage risk, but strong cash flow generation and improved equity position mitigate some concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 37.1% and a net profit margin of 6.7% for the most recent year, indicating effective cost management and profitability. Revenue growth rate of 10.1% from the previous year highlights positive momentum in sales. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 11.1% and 15.9% respectively, suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is high due to significant total debt compared to stockholders' equity, indicating potential financial leverage risks. Return on equity is not calculable due to negative equity in the previous year, but recent positive equity is a positive sign. The equity ratio of 25.6% suggests moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth rate shows a slight decline of 9.4%, but the company maintains strong operating cash flow and a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.69, indicating good cash generation and efficiency in converting earnings to cash.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.24B5.48B4.98B4.67B4.80B4.75B
Gross Profit
2.71B2.04B1.80B1.75B1.77B1.61B
EBIT
734.55M608.00M536.00M610.00M613.00M414.84M
EBITDA
842.62M872.00M777.00M838.00M824.00M469.77M
Net Income Common Stockholders
420.69M367.00M348.00M422.00M428.00M112.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
96.66M182.00M237.00M173.00M218.00M533.74M
Total Assets
2.13B3.63B3.56B3.64B3.36B4.45B
Total Debt
655.11M2.27B2.25B2.27B2.03B2.58B
Net Debt
558.45M2.08B2.02B2.09B1.81B2.04B
Total Liabilities
1.05B4.36B4.28B2.89B2.63B3.37B
Stockholders Equity
1.06B926.22M-720.00M746.00M733.00M1.08B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
694.14M620.00M684.00M391.00M739.00M531.40M
Operating Cash Flow
894.08M746.00M782.00M491.00M827.00M685.05M
Investing Cash Flow
-165.84M-118.00M-87.00M-85.00M-70.00M37.01M
Financing Cash Flow
-770.77M-680.00M-634.00M-450.00M-969.00M-291.40M

B&M European Value Retail SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price322.80
Price Trends
50DMA
283.19
Positive
100DMA
306.47
Positive
200DMA
351.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
8.84
Negative
RSI
73.31
Negative
STOCH
89.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BME, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 322.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 280.47, above the 50-day MA of 283.19, and below the 200-day MA of 351.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 8.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BME.

B&M European Value Retail SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBBME
75
Outperform
£3.15B9.6642.42%4.74%6.82%-8.24%
GBMKS
72
Outperform
£8.18B16.0217.19%0.74%6.87%22.36%
71
Outperform
£22.52B14.1410.18%3.62%――
GBWIL
70
Outperform
£313.39M8.5314.26%3.21%-8.18%90.18%
60
Neutral
$7.23B11.553.67%4.04%2.96%-13.54%
60
Neutral
£5.74B16.616.21%5.28%2.66%80.49%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BME
B&M European Value Retail SA
322.80
-154.67
-32.39%
GB:MKS
Marks and Spencer
411.30
163.40
65.91%
GB:SBRY
J Sainsbury plc
256.80
7.09
2.84%
GB:TSCO
Tesco plc
354.60
82.62
30.38%
GB:WIL
Wilmington
350.00
-1.68
-0.48%
GB:HOME
Home REIT PLC
9.00
-29.05
-76.35%

B&M European Value Retail SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 14, 2024 | % Change Since: -9.40% | Next Earnings Date: May 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong EBITDA growth, increased dividends, significant market share gains in general merchandise, expansion in France, and a disciplined approach to new store openings. However, the company faced challenges with negative like-for-like sales, declining EPS, increased operating costs, and FMCG pricing pressures. The sentiment is balanced with significant positives mitigated by notable challenges.
Highlights
Group Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Group adjusted EBITDA reached GBP 274 million, marking a 2% increase over the year, demonstrating business discipline in buying, selling, and cost control.
Interim Dividend Increase
The interim dividend was increased to 5.3p, up 3.9% for the half, indicating stronger dividend payouts.
General Merchandise Market Share
Total sales in Home grew by 10% in Q2, with volumes increasing by 20%, suggesting a significant gain in market share.
Expansion in France
Plans to open more than 11 stores in France next year, with a double-digit growth in transactions and sales volume.
Strong Cash Returns
GBP 1.9 billion returned to shareholders since 2020, with share buybacks underway.
New Store Openings
45 new stores to be opened in the current year, with a disciplined approach to expansion.
Volume-Driven Growth Strategy
Emphasis on driving profit through volume growth, with a stable or growing ordinary dividend policy.
Lowlights
Negative Like-for-Like Sales
Like-for-like sales were negative at -3.6%, reflecting challenges such as weather impacts and consumer environment.
Adjusted Diluted EPS Decline
Adjusted diluted EPS decreased to 14.7p, linked to higher interest charges and a larger asset base from store openings.
Cost Increases
Operating costs increased, driven by new store expansions and national living wage increases, although mitigated by enhanced productivity.
Challenges in FMCG Pricing
FMCG pricing is described as flat to slightly negative, indicating challenges in price management in comparison to competition.
Company Guidance
During the call, B&M provided comprehensive guidance with several key metrics. For the first half of the fiscal year 2025, group adjusted EBITDA increased by 2% to GBP 274 million, reflecting strong discipline in cost control and sales strategies. The interim dividend rose by 3.9% to 5.3p. Total sales in the Home category grew by 10% in Q2, with volume up 20%, indicating a significant market share gain. Over five years, the top line has grown by 40%, with a matching 40% increase in containers from China, highlighting a focus on volume rather than inflation. The company aims for full-year EBITDA between GBP 620 million and GBP 660 million, with an emphasis on opening 45 new stores in the UK and expanding in France. Net debt stands at 1.2x, within the target range, showcasing financial resilience. Share buybacks are planned as part of the capital return strategy.

B&M European Value Retail SA Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B&M European Value Retail Reports Revenue Growth and Expansion Plans for FY25
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. reported a 3.7% increase in group revenues for FY25, reaching £5.6 billion, driven by new store performance and positive sales in France, despite a decline in like-for-like sales in the UK and Heron Foods. The company opened 45 new stores in the UK and continues to expand in France and Heron Foods, with a robust pipeline for future openings. The group’s adjusted EBITDA is expected to exceed the midpoint of its guidance range, and the company is progressing with a redomicile process to enhance shareholder returns.

Spark’s Take on GB:BME Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BME is a Neutral.

B&M European Value Retail SA shows robust financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow. However, the high debt level and current bearish technical indicators present risks. The stock’s undervaluation and attractive dividend yield provide potential upside. While the earnings call reflects balanced sentiment, strategic growth plans and share buybacks suggest future opportunities.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BME stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M Retail Sees Major Stake Reduction by GIC
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

B&M European Value Retail SA has announced a change in its major holdings, with GIC Private Limited reducing its stake to less than 5% of voting rights. This shift in shareholding structure may impact the company’s governance and influence within the retail sector, as it reflects a significant reduction from the previous holding of nearly 6%.

Spark’s Take on GB:BME Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BME is a Neutral.

B&M European Value Retail SA shows robust financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow. However, the high debt level and current bearish technical indicators present risks. The stock’s undervaluation and attractive dividend yield provide potential upside. While the earnings call reflects balanced sentiment, strategic growth plans and share buybacks suggest future opportunities.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BME stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capital Group Adjusts Voting Rights in B&M European Value Retail
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

The Capital Group Companies, Inc. has adjusted its voting rights in B&M European Value Retail S.A., reducing its stake from 10.038206% to 9.786876%. This change, reported due to a clarification on the total voting rights (TVR) by the issuer, reflects an updated TVR of 1,003,821,871. The adjustment in voting rights indicates a slight shift in the investment strategy of The Capital Group Companies, which could influence stakeholder perceptions and market dynamics.

Spark’s Take on GB:BME Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BME is a Neutral.

B&M European Value Retail SA shows robust financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow. However, the high debt level and current bearish technical indicators present risks. The stock’s undervaluation and attractive dividend yield provide potential upside. While the earnings call reflects balanced sentiment, strategic growth plans and share buybacks suggest future opportunities.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BME stock, click here.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail Corrects Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has issued a correction regarding its share capital and voting rights as of March 31, 2025. The company confirmed that it has over one billion ordinary shares in issue, with voting rights attached to each share. However, voting rights for a small number of shares are suspended due to dematerialization issues. This announcement ensures transparency and compliance with regulatory requirements, impacting shareholders’ calculations for notifying interest changes.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has announced its total voting rights as of March 31, 2025, with an issued share capital consisting of over one billion ordinary shares. The voting rights for a small number of shares are currently suspended due to non-dematerialization by their owners, impacting the total number of voting rights available. This update is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail Announces Change in Voting Rights
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. has announced a change in its voting rights structure following a recent acquisition or disposal by the Allan & Gill Gray Foundation. The foundation’s voting rights in the company have decreased slightly from 5.0325% to 4.9812%, which may impact the company’s governance and decision-making processes. This adjustment reflects the dynamic nature of shareholder positions and could influence future strategic directions and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B&M European Value Retail to Release FY25 Trading Update
Neutral
Mar 24, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced it will release its post close trading update for the fiscal year ending 29 March 2025 on 15 April 2025. This announcement is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and operational strategies, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

Other
B&M Retail Executives Increase Shareholdings, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced that Tiffany Hall, the Non-Executive Chair of the Board, and Oliver Tant, the Senior Independent Non-Executive Director, have purchased ordinary shares in the company. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, signify confidence in the company’s market position and potential growth, reflecting positively on stakeholder sentiment.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B&M European Value Retail Announces CEO Retirement and Updates FY25 Guidance
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced that its Group Chief Executive, Alex Russo, will retire effective April 30, 2025, and the company is in the process of selecting a new CEO. Additionally, B&M has updated its FY25 profit guidance, expecting Group adjusted EBITDA to be between £605m and £625m, reflecting current trading conditions and economic uncertainties. This transition in leadership and financial guidance is crucial for the company’s strategic direction, impacting stakeholders and potentially influencing market dynamics.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail: Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

B&M European Value Retail SA announced a change in its voting rights structure due to security lending activities. GIC Private Limited, based in Singapore, has increased its voting rights in the company to 5.998025%, enhancing its influence and potential decision-making power within the company. This change in holdings could impact the company’s governance and its strategic decisions moving forward.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M Retail’s Voting Rights Update: Capital Group Increases Stake
Neutral
Feb 7, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced an update on its major holdings as The Capital Group Companies, Inc., a U.S.-based investment management firm, increased its voting rights to 10.038206% in the company as of January 31, 2025. This acquisition, which was notified on February 3, 2025, signifies a strategic move by The Capital Group to strengthen its influence within B&M’s operations, potentially impacting the company’s future governance and strategic decisions.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
B&M European Value Retail Adjusts Voting Rights Amid Security Lending
Neutral
Jan 30, 2025

B&M European Value Retail SA announced a change in its voting rights structure due to security lending activities. GIC Private Limited, based in Singapore, altered its holdings, resulting in a decrease to 6.397% of total voting rights from a previous position of 7.031%. This adjustment reflects a shift in the ownership stake, potentially impacting the company’s shareholder dynamics and future decision-making processes.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Barclays PLC Acquires Major Voting Rights in B&M European Value Retail
Neutral
Jan 24, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. reported a change in its major holdings, with Barclays PLC acquiring a significant percentage of voting rights. This acquisition suggests a strategic move by Barclays, potentially impacting B&M’s governance and future operational decisions, and highlighting the importance of financial institutions in shareholder dynamics.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
B&M Retail Appoints New Non-Executive Director
Neutral
Jan 20, 2025

B&M European Value Retail S.A. announced the appointment of Euan Sutherland as a Non-Executive Director, following shareholder approval at their Ordinary General Meeting. This strategic addition to the board is expected to enhance the company’s governance and may impact its operational strategies, reinforcing its position in the competitive retail market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.