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Allergy Therapeutics PLC (GB:AGY)
LSE:AGY

Allergy Therapeutics (AGY) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:AGY

Allergy Therapeutics

(LSE:AGY)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
11.50p
▼(-2.54% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance (declining revenue, large losses, negative cash flows, and negative equity). Technicals are mixed with oversold signals but still negative momentum, and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Specialized allergy immunotherapy portfolio
A focused product portfolio in allergy immunotherapy gives the company a durable competitive position in a specific therapeutic niche. Specialization supports deep clinical expertise, targeted R&D, and tailored commercialization efforts that can produce recurring prescription demand and long-term patient adherence.
Partnerships and distribution reach
Established partnerships and distributor relationships materially reduce go-to-market risk and support broader geographic reach without proportionally higher fixed costs. Durable partner channels can accelerate product uptake, enable licensing/co-development funding, and stabilize sales versus lone direct-selling models.
R&D and operational scale (employees)
A sizeable employee base implies sustained R&D, clinical and commercial capability to advance programs and support launches. This operational scale is a durable asset enabling multiple simultaneous trials, regulatory work and market rollouts, which supports long-term product pipeline development.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and deep losses
Persistent top-line decline and very large net losses materially weaken the firm's ability to self-fund growth and R&D. Over months this erodes strategic optionality, forces management to prioritize cash conservation over expansion, and increases reliance on external capital that can be costly or dilutive.
Negative equity and high leverage
A stressed balance sheet with negative equity and high leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risks. Structurally, this limits capacity to invest in trials or manufacturing, increases cost of capital, and constrains strategic responses to setbacks over the medium term.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow indicate the business is burning cash to run operations and develop products. This durable cash deficit necessitates repeated external funding, which can dilute shareholders, delay programs if funding gaps appear, and limit the company's ability to scale commercialization.

Allergy Therapeutics (AGY) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Allergy Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllergy Therapeutics (AGY) is a biotechnology company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative allergy immunotherapy products. The company specializes in providing treatments for allergic conditions, primarily targeting pollen, dust mites, and animal allergens. Its core product offerings include allergy vaccines and immunotherapy solutions designed to alleviate symptoms and improve the quality of life for patients suffering from allergies. AGY operates primarily within the healthcare sector, leveraging cutting-edge research to develop effective therapies for allergy sufferers worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllergy Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its allergy immunotherapy products, which are marketed directly to healthcare providers and clinics. The company also benefits from partnerships with pharmaceutical companies and distributors, enhancing its market reach and distribution capabilities. Key revenue streams include the sales of its proprietary vaccine products, ongoing clinical trials that may attract funding or partnerships, and potential licensing agreements for its technologies. Additionally, the company may engage in research collaborations that lead to co-development of new products, further diversifying its income sources.

Allergy Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak fundamentals: declining revenue (-11.01%), very large losses (net margin -72.91%) with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins, negative operating/free cash flow, and a stressed balance sheet with negative equity and high leverage.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Allergy Therapeutics has experienced a significant decline in revenue over the past years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -11.01% in the most recent year. The company is facing substantial losses, as indicated by a net profit margin of -72.91% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin has also decreased, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure, with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio of -2.13, indicating financial instability. The return on equity is positive due to negative equity, but this is not a sign of strength. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting potential risks in the company's financial health.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a free cash flow growth rate of -172.7%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from operations to cover its net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, but this is due to negative net income.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.04M55.20M59.59M72.77M84.33M
Gross Profit25.13M29.74M32.69M48.95M61.80M
EBITDA-29.43M-30.74M-36.24M-8.69M7.61M
Net Income-40.13M-40.22M-43.07M-13.78M2.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.54M64.83M66.77M72.95M88.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.79M12.91M14.85M20.52M40.27M
Total Debt60.09M30.99M35.99M10.53M11.17M
Total Liabilities95.74M61.12M64.70M35.18M39.55M
Stockholders Equity-28.19M3.71M2.07M37.77M48.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-31.98M-35.54M-35.59M-17.17M5.95M
Operating Cash Flow-28.72M-32.14M-30.92M-14.11M8.52M
Investing Cash Flow-3.15M-1.20M-4.67M-3.06M-2.76M
Financing Cash Flow32.04M31.43M29.91M-2.64M-2.03M

Allergy Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.80
Price Trends
50DMA
11.44
Positive
100DMA
10.26
Positive
200DMA
9.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
55.43
Neutral
STOCH
95.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.12, above the 50-day MA of 11.44, and above the 200-day MA of 9.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:AGY.

Allergy Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
£193.33M-7.902.83%2.18%8.74%-166.50%
65
Neutral
£84.77M
63
Neutral
£104.17M-5.24-396.71%93.48%51.18%
59
Neutral
£2.75B9.5015.66%4.16%3.73%27.13%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
£747.24M-14.05-0.28%22.94%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AGY
Allergy Therapeutics
11.80
4.90
71.01%
GB:ANCR
Animalcare
280.00
56.61
25.34%
GB:HIK
Hikma Pharmaceuticals
1,249.00
-856.95
-40.69%
GB:STX
Shield Therapeutics
9.75
6.45
195.45%
GB:VLG
Venture Life
68.75
28.50
70.81%
GB:BXP
Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited Sponsored GDR RegS
42.50
4.00
10.39%

Allergy Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Allergy Therapeutics showcases new allergy immunotherapy data at AAAAI 2026
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

Allergy Therapeutics will present new clinical and biomarker data from its pollen and food-allergy research pipeline at the 2026 American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology Annual Meeting in Philadelphia. The company emphasised that no new price-sensitive information will be disclosed at the event.

The group is highlighting Phase III results for its Grass MATA MPL short-course subcutaneous immunotherapy, including a statistically significant 22.5% reduction in symptom and medication scores versus placebo and favourable safety data in a paediatric trial cohort. It will also showcase positive safety, tolerability and interim biomarker data from its VLP Peanut Phase I/IIa trial, underlining the versatility of its platform and reinforcing its positioning in disease-modifying therapies following recent regulatory approval of Grass MATA MPL in Germany.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Sell with a £11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Allergy Therapeutics seals £40m Hayfin facility and simplifies capital structure
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

Allergy Therapeutics has amended its existing loan agreement with Hayfin, replacing an uncommitted £20m line with a new committed £40m senior secured facility, giving the company £60m of total debt and at least 12 months of working capital. The funding is intended to support operations, the proposed Hong Kong listing and growth initiatives anchored by the German launch of Grassmuno, while simplifying the capital structure by eliminating shareholder debt.

As part of the deal, Hayfin has exercised all previously issued warrants and new subscription rights on a cashless basis, receiving 191,089,599 new shares and ending up with a 3.02% stake in the company. Following admission of these shares to AIM, Allergy Therapeutics’ issued share capital will rise to 6,332,529,550 shares, clarifying the new voting rights base for investors and slightly diluting existing shareholders as the company secures long‑term financing.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing Changes
Allergy Therapeutics Bolsters Board and Strategy Team to Drive Global Expansion
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

Allergy Therapeutics has strengthened its leadership and governance structure with the appointment of veteran investment banker Helge Weiner-Trapness as Chief Strategy Officer and Executive Director, and healthcare finance specialist Lawrence Allen Wang as an Independent Non-Executive Director. The newly created CSO role will spearhead the company’s long-term international growth strategy, corporate development and partnership agenda as it advances its next-generation allergy pipeline and seeks to build on its established positions in core markets. Together, the appointments deepen the board’s investment and healthcare expertise and are intended to support Allergy Therapeutics’ ambition to become a global leader in allergy treatments, including potential plans for a dual listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, signalling an intensified focus on international expansion and access to Asian capital markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Allergy Therapeutics Wins Strong Shareholder Backing at 2026 AGM
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

Allergy Therapeutics plc reported that all resolutions at its 2026 Annual General Meeting were passed on a show of hands, reflecting strong shareholder backing for the company’s governance and strategic direction. Shareholders approved the 2025 accounts, the directors’ remuneration report, the election of new board members Helge Weiner-Trapness and Lawrence Allen Wang, and the re-election of existing directors, alongside the reappointment of BDO LLP as auditors. They also granted the board authority to allot shares and equity securities and approved amendments to the Articles of Association, providing the company with continued financial and operational flexibility to support its growth plans within the allergy immunotherapy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Allergy Therapeutics Grants Performance-Linked Share Options to Senior Management
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

Allergy Therapeutics has granted new share options under its long-term incentive plan to key members of its management team, including CEO Manuel Llobet and CFO Shaun Furlong, as part of a strategy to drive long-term value creation and align leadership incentives with shareholder interests. The options, which vest over three years based on adjusted EBITDA and share price performance, increase total outstanding options to 365.2 million shares, or 5.95% of current issued share capital, underscoring the company’s use of performance-linked equity to support its future growth plans and maintain alignment with broader stakeholder outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingProduct-Related Announcements
Allergy Therapeutics lifts revenues and launches Grassmuno as German TAV transition accelerates
Positive
Jan 19, 2026

Allergy Therapeutics reported a strong first half to its 2026 financial year, with revenues rising 7% to £36.3 million despite the ongoing phase-out of older unregistered products in Germany under the TAV programme, underlining renewed growth in its registered portfolio in its largest market. The company secured German marketing authorisation for Grassmuno, the first new subcutaneous grass pollen immunotherapy launch in that market in two decades and the first such product approved under TAV, and has begun commercialisation from January 2026, positioning it to benefit as competing products that fail to meet regulatory standards are withdrawn. The group ended December with £10.1 million in cash after using £55 million of warrant proceeds from shareholder lenders to repay all outstanding debt to them, significantly strengthening its balance sheet while retaining access to up to £70 million in uncommitted facilities and continuing to evaluate a potential dual primary listing in Hong Kong, moves that collectively support its growth strategy and ongoing R&D programmes, including its peanut allergy vaccine and paediatric development of Grassmuno.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesShareholder Meetings
Allergy Therapeutics Adds Asia-Focused Expertise to Board Ahead of Potential Hong Kong Listing
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

Allergy Therapeutics has published the notice of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, following release of its annual report and accounts for the year ended 30 June 2025, with meeting documents now available to shareholders via the company’s website. The company is asking shareholders to approve the appointment of two new board members, former HSBC vice chairman Helge Weiner-Trapness as executive director and chief strategy officer, and Adicon CFO Lawrence Allen Wang as a non-executive director, both bringing substantial investment banking and healthcare experience in Asia. Management believes these additions will support Allergy Therapeutics’ exploration of a potential dual primary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange alongside its AIM quote and underpin its strategy to expand in Asia and strengthen its position as a global player in allergy treatments.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Allergy Therapeutics Wins Shareholder Mandate for Potential Equity Raise Ahead of Hong Kong Dual Listing
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

Allergy Therapeutics has secured shareholder approval at its general meeting to allot up to 610 million new ordinary shares, representing around 10% of its existing share capital, and to disapply pre-emption rights, giving the board flexibility to conduct a non-pre-emptive equity raise via private placements if it chooses to proceed. While no terms, investors or pricing have yet been agreed and there is no certainty a fundraise will occur, any proceeds would support the company’s strategy to advance treatments for grass and peanut allergies, bolster working capital, and prepare for a planned dual listing in Hong Kong; the company also confirmed it has posted its annual report for the year to 30 June 2025 and made it available on its website.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Allergy Therapeutics Secures German Approval for Grassmuno® Immunotherapy
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Allergy Therapeutics has received marketing authorization from the Paul Ehrlich Institut in Germany for its innovative subcutaneous grass pollen allergen immunotherapy, Grassmuno®. This approval marks the first of its kind under Germany’s TAV programme and is expected to significantly impact the German seasonal allergy market, projected to reach approximately US$1 billion by 2030. The approval is a pivotal moment for the company, validating its MATA MPL platform and supporting its expansion strategy into other global markets. Grassmuno® offers a convenient, short-course treatment option for grass pollen allergies, potentially driving business growth in Germany, the company’s largest market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Allergy Therapeutics Gains German Approval for Grassmuno Immunotherapy
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Allergy Therapeutics has received marketing authorization from the Paul Ehrlich Institut in Germany for its innovative subcutaneous grass pollen allergen immunotherapy, Grassmuno. This approval marks the first of its kind under Germany’s TAV program and is expected to significantly impact the German seasonal allergy market, projected to reach approximately US$1 billion by 2030. The company plans to commercialize Grassmuno in Germany by Q1 2026 and is exploring further regulatory submissions in other global markets. This development is seen as a pivotal moment for Allergy Therapeutics, reinforcing its commitment to clinical excellence and expanding its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Allergy Therapeutics Plans Potential Equity Raise Ahead of Hong Kong Listing
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

Allergy Therapeutics has announced plans for a potential equity raise by issuing new shares to facilitate its dual listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, expected in the first half of 2026. The company is seeking shareholder approval to issue up to 610 million new shares, which will support its strategy of developing treatments for grass and peanut allergies and address general corporate needs. The outcome of the equity raise remains uncertain, as no agreements with investors have been finalized.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Allergy Therapeutics Reports Stable Financials and Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Allergy Therapeutics reported stable financial performance for the year ending June 2025, with revenue remaining flat at £55.0m due to the transition to fully licensed products in Germany. The company strengthened its financial position through strategic investments, securing a new £50m shareholder loan facility, and exploring a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. Progress in R&D was highlighted by advancements in the Grass MATA MPL and VLP Peanut PROTECT trials, positioning the company for future growth and increased market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Allergy Therapeutics Achieves Key Milestone in Peanut Allergy Treatment Trial
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Allergy Therapeutics announced that its Phase I/IIa PROTECT trial has successfully met its primary safety endpoint at the highest planned treatment dose. Preliminary safety data from 48 participants, including both peanut-allergic and healthy individuals, demonstrated that a 2000-fold increase in dose was safe and well tolerated. The trial’s results support the safety and efficacy of the VLP Peanut treatment, with preparations underway for a Phase IIb trial. This milestone reinforces the company’s confidence in its short-course approach and positions it well for further clinical development.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AGY) stock is a Hold with a £8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allergy Therapeutics stock, see the GB:AGY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026