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Marston's PLC (GB:92IP)
LSE:92IP
UK Market

Marston's (92IP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:92IP

Marston's

(LSE:92IP)

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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
95.00 p
▲(5.56% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:07/18/25
Marston's overall stock score of 51 reflects a cautious outlook, driven primarily by mixed financial performance. Key concerns include persistent net losses and high debt levels, which pose risks to stability, despite revenue and free cash flow growth. Technical indicators suggest stability but warn of overbought conditions, while valuation remains unclear due to missing data.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective strategies in attracting customers, which supports long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, limiting the company's ability to withstand economic downturns and potentially impacting future growth and stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective strategies in attracting customers, which supports long-term business sustainability.
Read all positive factors

Marston's (92IP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Marston's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Marston's PLC is a beer brewer and pub operator. It operates more than 1,500 pubs across the United Kingdom under brand names including Marston's Two For One, Milestone Rotisserie, Pitcher & Piano, and Revere. It also licenses and franchises more ...
How the Company Makes Money
Marston's generates revenue primarily through its extensive estate of pubs and restaurants, which provide food and drink services to consumers. The company earns money from the sale of alcoholic beverages, particularly its own brewed beers, as wel...

Marston's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a clearly positive operational and financial story: strong profit growth (PBT +71%), margin expansion (+140bps), exceeded recurring free cash flow targets (GBP 53.2m), successful format tests (31 launches, +23% revenue uplift, >30% EBITDA returns) and tangible deleveraging (net debt-to-EBITDA down to 4.6x). Key risks noted include reported revenue being flat after disposals, elevated leverage that remains above the sub-4x target, higher ongoing CapEx, cash tax stepping up in FY26, and limited headroom as free cash is absorbed by scheduled debt repayments. On balance, the positive delivery on targets, strong cash generation and credible growth initiatives outweigh the near-term constraints and execution risks.
Positive Updates
Strong Profit Growth
Underlying profit before tax of GBP 72m, up 71% year-on-year (nearly 3x the level two years prior), driven by higher EBITDA and lower finance costs.
Negative Updates
Reported Revenue Flat and Disposal Impact
Reported revenue broadly flat at GBP 898m; FY24/25 disposal program reduced revenue by ~GBP 40m (c. GBP 50m of assets sold), masking headline growth.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Profit Growth
Underlying profit before tax of GBP 72m, up 71% year-on-year (nearly 3x the level two years prior), driven by higher EBITDA and lower finance costs.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that FY26 trading is broadly in line with FY25 — like‑for‑like sales are tracking flat with Christmas bookings up 11% — and they expect further margin progress toward the CMD target of a 200–300bps uplift versus FY24 (i.e., aiming toward a 23.4–24.4% EBITDA margin) after delivering a 140bps increase to 22.8% in FY25 (EBITDA £205m); they will accelerate formats with at least ~50 refurbishments in 2026 (after 31 in FY25 that drove ~23% revenue uplifts and >30% EBITDA returns at ~£260k per site), run Group CapEx around 7–8% of revenue, expect recurring free cash flow of c.£50m again, see cash tax rising to ~£10m in FY26 (normalising by 2028), and continue to delever from current c.4.6x net‑debt/EBITDA toward a sub‑4x (pre‑IFRS16) threshold before restarting shareholder returns.

Marston's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marston's financial performance is mixed. Revenue growth of 3.0% and a strong gross profit margin of 54.4% are positive, alongside impressive free cash flow growth of 112.4%. However, persistent net losses (net profit margin of -2.1%), high debt-to-equity ratio (1.99), and negative return on equity (-2.8%) highlight significant risks to stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue897.90M898.60M872.30M799.60M401.70M515.50M
Gross Profit166.80M489.10M435.70M335.40M74.20M160.20M
EBITDA202.70M166.20M115.30M296.20M-34.20M-250.70M
Net Income44.30M-18.50M-9.30M137.20M-127.70M-359.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.21B2.21B2.45B2.52B2.47B2.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.30M45.50M29.60M30.70M35.40M42.60M
Total Debt1.34B1.30B1.60B1.62B1.64B1.68B
Total Liabilities1.53B1.56B1.81B1.87B2.06B2.28B
Stockholders Equity678.40M654.80M640.10M648.10M406.40M248.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow91.60M161.20M75.90M-14.60M-107.70M3.30M
Operating Cash Flow147.10M207.40M141.20M55.50M-61.10M67.00M
Investing Cash Flow193.50M211.90M-9.80M-29.10M197.70M13.90M
Financing Cash Flow-334.60M-401.40M-132.60M-30.90M-145.10M-77.80M

Marston's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
£358.79M5.124.99%2.81%6.94%9.99%
67
Neutral
£444.36M5.721.48%3.20%12.91%-13.62%
66
Neutral
£343.64M3.479.75%-0.08%
66
Neutral
£1.53B8.306.46%3.87%18.31%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
£613.04M8.9915.81%1.50%4.52%50.39%
51
Neutral
£343.64M9.75%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:92IP
Marston's
90.00
-5.00
-5.26%
GB:FSTA
Fuller Smith & Turner
674.00
182.43
37.11%
GB:MARS
Marston's
54.30
20.25
59.47%
GB:MAB
Mitchells & Butlers
258.00
38.00
17.27%
GB:JDW
J D Wetherspoon
598.00
62.91
11.76%
GB:YNGA
Young & Co'S Brewery
780.00
68.47
9.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025