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Hermes International (FR:RMS)
:RMS

Hermes International (RMS) AI Stock Analysis

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Hermes International

(OTC:RMS)

81Outperform
Hermes International is well-positioned with robust financial performance, showcasing strong growth, profitability, and a solid balance sheet. The technical analysis suggests caution due to mixed signals. The valuation indicates a premium, typical for luxury brands, which might limit upside potential. The recent earnings call provided positive guidance and highlighted resilience despite some regional challenges. Overall, Hermes demonstrates strong fundamentals, but investors should be aware of the potential impact of the high valuation and market-specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Hermès' defensive attributes leave it well-placed to withstand lingering mall traffic softness in China and softening consumer confidence in the US.
Market Position
The growth differential between Hermès and the rest of the sector is expected to remain sizeable, thanks to untapped pricing power, high visibility for leather goods, and a loyal clientele.
Sales Growth
Hermès recorded +17.6% sales growth at constant rates in Q4 ahead of +11% consensus and accelerating sequentially from +11% in Q3.
Negative Factors
Adverse FX Impact
Sales and EBIT forecasts for Hermès have been trimmed by 2%, primarily due to adverse FX changes.
Comparison Base
The only negatives for 2025 are the high comparison base, further adverse FX hedging impact in 1H25 and additional €350m taxes in France.
Tax Implications
Some near-term negatives include likely low inventory levels for leather goods at the end of FY24, temporary disruption from wildfires in LA, extra €350m French taxes in 2025, and demanding comparatives.

Hermes International (RMS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Hermes International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHermes International, often referred to simply as Hermes, is a renowned French high-fashion luxury goods manufacturer established in 1837. The company specializes in the design, manufacture, and retail of high-quality products across several categories, including leather goods, lifestyle accessories, home furnishings, perfumery, jewelry, watches, and ready-to-wear. Hermes is celebrated for its craftsmanship and artisanal production methods, which have solidified its reputation as a leader in the luxury sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyHermes International primarily generates revenue through the sale of its luxury products. The company's key revenue streams include leather goods and saddlery, which account for the largest portion of sales, followed by ready-to-wear and accessories, silk and textiles, perfumes, watches, and other products. Hermes maintains a global retail network, including flagship stores in major cities, which enhances its brand exclusivity and customer reach. In addition to retail sales, the company benefits from selective wholesale distribution and e-commerce platforms. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other luxury brands and artists further bolster Hermes' market presence and revenue potential. The brand's commitment to quality and exclusivity ensures consistent demand and premium pricing, contributing significantly to its financial success.

Hermes International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hermes International exhibits strong financial performance across all verticals. The income statement reveals impressive growth and profitability, supported by high margins. The balance sheet is characterized by low leverage and strong equity, ensuring financial stability. Cash flow is robust, with strong cash generation and conversion rates, underscoring the company's liquidity and investment capacity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hermes International has shown robust revenue growth with a 12.96% increase from 2023 to 2024, reflecting strong demand in the luxury goods sector. Gross Profit Margin remains high at 70.23%, indicating efficient production and high pricing power. Net Profit Margin improved to 30.33%, showcasing enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 40.54% and 46.07% respectively, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.13, reflecting minimal leverage risk. The Equity Ratio stands at a robust 75.06%, indicating a strong equity base and financial stability. Return on Equity is impressive at 26.56%, demonstrating effective utilization of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Hermes International shows a significant increase in Free Cash Flow, with growth from the previous year, supporting strategic investments and shareholder returns. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.12 indicates strong cash generation ability. Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is high at 1.12, reflecting excellent cash conversion from profits.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.17B13.43B11.60B8.98B6.39B
Gross Profit
10.66B9.71B7.66B5.89B3.91B
EBIT
6.15B5.65B4.88B3.59B2.06B
EBITDA
6.99B6.42B5.29B4.03B2.53B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.60B4.31B3.37B2.44B1.39B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
11.64B10.63B9.22B6.70B4.73B
Total Assets
23.08B20.45B17.46B13.85B11.05B
Total Debt
2.17B2.06B1.93B1.80B1.69B
Net Debt
-9.47B-8.56B-7.29B-4.89B-3.05B
Total Liabilities
5.75B5.24B5.00B4.43B3.66B
Stockholders Equity
17.33B15.20B12.44B9.40B7.38B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.14B3.58B3.73B2.92B1.22B
Operating Cash Flow
5.14B4.33B4.25B3.45B1.66B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.20B-995.00M-646.00M-716.00M-453.60M
Financing Cash Flow
-3.05B-1.79B-1.24B-869.00M-810.20M

Hermes International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2445.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2431.11
Positive
100DMA
2467.02
Negative
200DMA
2259.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.93
Negative
RSI
56.96
Neutral
STOCH
72.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:RMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2445 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2343.37, above the 50-day MA of 2431.11, and above the 200-day MA of 2259.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:RMS.

Hermes International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FROR
81
Outperform
€202.48B31.7820.60%1.73%5.60%3.75%
FRRMS
81
Outperform
$255.33B56.1628.67%0.98%12.98%6.62%
FRMC
75
Outperform
€247.70B19.7319.53%2.69%-1.71%-17.20%
FRCDI
71
Outperform
€80.93B15.5422.73%2.90%-1.71%-17.39%
FREL
67
Neutral
€111.20B46.896.00%1.62%4.38%1.71%
FRKER
62
Neutral
€20.99B18.537.52%6.72%-12.12%-62.09%
61
Neutral
$6.59B11.773.06%3.98%2.56%-20.85%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:RMS
Hermes International
2,445.00
172.87
7.61%
FR:OR
L'Oreal
375.35
-70.03
-15.72%
FR:CDI
Christian Dior
454.80
-266.01
-36.90%
FR:KER
Kering SA
175.46
-146.93
-45.58%
FR:EL
EssilorLuxottica SA
244.10
41.44
20.45%
FR:MC
LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton
487.30
-282.07
-36.66%

Hermes International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 14, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -12.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance by Hermès in 2024 with notable growth in key regions and divisions, particularly in Leather Goods. The company demonstrated resilience and commitment to sustainability and employee welfare. However, challenges were noted in the Watches segment and the Chinese market, along with operational disruptions due to natural disasters in the U.S.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Growth Performance
Hermès achieved a revenue of EUR 15.2 billion in 2024, up 15% at constant exchange rates and 13% at current exchange rates. The fourth quarter revenue was EUR 4 billion, marking an 18% increase at both constant and current exchange rates.
Regional Growth
Significant growth was observed in all regions: France (+13%), Europe (+19%), Japan (+23%), Asia excluding Japan (+7%), and America (+15%).
Leather Goods Success
The Leather division demonstrated remarkable growth with an 18% increase, supported by strong demand and new product introductions.
Sustainability Achievements
Hermès reduced Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions by 64% compared to 2018 and achieved a 50% drop in intensity for Scope 3 emissions.
Employment and Social Commitment
The company added 2,300 new jobs in 2024, with 1,300 in France, and surpassed 25,000 employees globally. A bonus of EUR 4,500 will be distributed to all employees in 2024.
Negative Updates
Watches Segment Decline
The Watches division saw a 4% decrease in sales, impacted by difficult market conditions and high comparison basis from previous years.
Challenges in China
Despite overall growth, Greater China showed less growth compared to other regions, indicating some market challenges.
Impact of Natural Disasters in the U.S.
Natural events such as fires and blizzards in the U.S. affected store operations, potentially impacting sales figures.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Hermès, the company highlighted its robust financial performance for 2024 despite economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Hermès reported a revenue of EUR 15.2 billion, marking a 15% increase at constant exchange rates. The company's current operating income rose by 9% to EUR 6.2 billion, with an available adjusted cash flow of EUR 3.8 billion, up 18%. The net profit group share increased by 7% to EUR 4.6 billion, maintaining a net profitability in excess of 30%. Hermès continued its strategic investments, with operational investments totaling EUR 1.1 billion, focusing on production capacity and the expansion of its retail network. Notably, the company strengthened its workforce, surpassing the threshold of 25,000 employees, with over 62% based in France. Hermès also emphasized its commitment to sustainability, achieving significant reductions in carbon emissions and reinforcing diversity initiatives. The company plans to distribute a bonus of EUR 4,500 to all employees worldwide in 2024, highlighting its dedication to sharing growth with its workforce.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.