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Fiserv, Inc. (FI)
:FI

Fiserv (FI) AI Stock Analysis

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FI

Fiserv

(NYSE:FI)

76Outperform
Fiserv's stock score reflects a strong financial performance, driven by revenue growth and profitability, balanced by a high valuation and mixed technical analysis signals. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate events bolster the score, but the reliance on liabilities and high P/E ratio limit the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
The price target for Fiserv has been raised from $222 to $259, helped by strong execution and expected growth in Clover and other initiatives.
Partnerships
The new partnership between Fiserv and ADP creates a unique opportunity to increase client base and cross-sell each other's solutions.
Revenue Growth
Clover revenue grew strongly by 29% year-over-year, driven by increased VAS penetration, which is expected to continue as a key revenue driver.
Negative Factors
Competition
Domestically, competition around contract renewals is expected to intensify as Block steps up product/distribution capacity in key verticals.
Leadership Concerns
Concerns regarding leadership changes and questions on Clover growth sustainability have weighed on share appreciation.

Fiserv (FI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fiserv Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiserv, Inc. is a technology-based financial services company that provides commerce-enabling technology and solutions for financial institutions, merchants, and card issuers. Further, it offers products and services that facilitate electronic payment transactions. Also, the company provides account processing, loan origination and servicing products, item processing and source capture, cash management and consulting services.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiserv makes money primarily through its comprehensive suite of financial services and technology solutions. The company's revenue streams include transaction fees, subscription fees, and professional services. Fiserv charges transaction fees for processing electronic payments, including credit and debit card transactions. Additionally, it offers digital banking solutions and charges financial institutions subscription fees for using its software-as-a-service (SaaS) platforms. Fiserv also generates revenue from professional services, such as consulting, implementation, and support services. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and merchants enhance Fiserv's market reach and contribute to its earnings by expanding its customer base and increasing transaction volumes.

Fiserv Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fiserv demonstrates robust financial performance with significant revenue growth and strong operational efficiency. However, the balance sheet indicates a slight risk due to increased reliance on liabilities.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Fiserv has shown impressive revenue growth, with a consistent increase in total revenue from $10.19 billion in 2019 to $20.46 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin remains strong, indicating efficient management of production costs. Net profit margin has improved, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, showcasing operational efficiency and effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has remained relatively stable, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging debt financing. Return on equity is solid, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio has decreased over the years, suggesting increased reliance on liabilities for asset financing, which could pose potential risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Fiserv exhibits strong operating cash flow, with significant growth over the years, highlighting the company's ability to generate cash from core operations. Free cash flow has also increased, indicating good financial health and capability to fund expansions or pay dividends. The operating and free cash flow to net income ratios suggest efficient cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
20.46B19.09B17.74B16.23B14.85B
Gross Profit
12.44B11.42B9.74B8.10B7.04B
EBIT
5.88B4.85B3.74B2.29B1.42B
EBITDA
5.88B7.81B6.64B5.39B4.96B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.13B3.07B2.53B1.33B958.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.24B1.20B902.00M835.00M906.00M
Total Assets
77.18B90.89B83.87B76.25B74.62B
Total Debt
24.84B23.90B21.42B21.24B20.68B
Net Debt
23.60B22.70B20.52B20.40B19.78B
Total Liabilities
49.49B60.22B52.18B44.30B41.29B
Stockholders Equity
27.07B29.86B30.83B30.95B32.33B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.63B3.77B3.14B2.87B3.25B
Operating Cash Flow
6.63B5.16B4.62B4.03B4.15B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.40B-1.07B-2.11B-1.63B-341.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-4.17B-4.36B-2.48B-761.00M-3.84B

Fiserv Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price218.09
Price Trends
50DMA
219.79
Negative
100DMA
214.27
Positive
200DMA
190.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.68
Positive
RSI
46.48
Neutral
STOCH
84.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 218.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 222.29, below the 50-day MA of 219.79, and above the 200-day MA of 190.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FI.

Fiserv Risk Analysis

Fiserv disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fiserv reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fiserv Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$52.93B30.9346.16%2.70%4.18%5.67%
ADADP
77
Outperform
$121.05B31.0483.72%1.93%7.09%11.51%
76
Outperform
$12.78B31.6121.90%1.25%5.36%8.62%
FIFI
76
Outperform
$124.49B40.5211.00%7.14%7.91%
GPGPN
73
Outperform
$23.94B15.806.94%1.03%4.68%63.39%
58
Neutral
$21.91B10.52-19.51%2.38%4.81%-25.47%
FIFIS
51
Neutral
$39.41B52.484.65%1.93%-17.38%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FI
Fiserv
218.09
61.31
39.11%
ADP
Automatic Data Processing
295.32
56.26
23.53%
FIS
Fidelity National Info
73.35
3.59
5.15%
GPN
Global Payments
97.05
-34.31
-26.12%
JKHY
Jack Henry & Associates
173.05
9.42
5.76%
PAYX
Paychex
143.02
27.49
23.79%

Fiserv Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 5, 2025 | % Change Since: 1.81% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicated a strong performance in 2024 with significant growth in earnings and revenue, especially in the Clover segment. Fiserv demonstrated robust shareholder returns and strategic global expansion. However, challenges in Argentina and a slowdown in the issuing segment were noted as potential concerns. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and strategic execution outweigh the challenges.
Highlights
Strong Earnings Growth
Fiserv delivered an adjusted earnings per share of $8.80, up 17%, with total company organic revenue growth of 16%.
Clover Revenue Success
Clover revenue grew 29% for both the quarter and full year, reaching $2.7 billion, with a strong growth in value-added solutions and hardware sales.
Significant Shareholder Returns
Fiserv returned $5.5 billion to shareholders through share repurchases, contributing to a nearly 5% decline in average shares outstanding for the year.
Expansion in Merchant Partnerships
In 2024, Fiserv added 65% more bank partners for merchant acquiring than in 2023, approaching 1,000 financial institutions as partners.
Global Expansion
Clover expanded to three new countries: Brazil, Mexico, and Australia, with strong international growth potential.
Lowlights
Challenges in Argentina
The transitory benefits from Argentina's excess inflation and interest rates are not expected to continue in 2025, impacting future growth comparisons.
Issuer Slowdown
In Q4, the issuing segment saw slower growth due to lower volume in print and plastic business, tied to the overall credit environment.
Company Guidance
During the Fiserv Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings conference call, significant metrics were highlighted, showcasing the company's robust financial performance and strategic advancements. Fiserv reported an impressive adjusted earnings per share of $8.80, marking a 17% increase, with adjusted revenue growth of 7% and an adjusted operating margin expansion of 170 basis points to 39.4%. Organic revenue growth reached 16%, and free cash flow was robust at $5.2 billion. The company returned $5.5 billion to shareholders via share repurchases. For 2025, Fiserv guided 10% to 12% organic revenue growth, over 125 basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion, 15% to 17% adjusted EPS growth, and approximately $5.5 billion in free cash flow. These projections exclude contributions from transitory factors, reflecting a solid foundation for continued growth driven by new product launches, strategic partnerships, and international expansion, emphasizing the company's commitment to sustained shareholder value and operational excellence.

Fiserv Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Fiserv Appoints Stephanie Cohen to Board of Directors
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

On March 15, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. announced the appointment of Stephanie Cohen to its board of directors. Cohen, who is recognized as independent under NYSE and SEC rules, brings extensive experience from her roles at Cloudflare Inc. and Goldman Sachs. This strategic appointment is expected to strengthen Fiserv’s governance and potentially enhance its strategic direction, given Cohen’s background in financial strategy and management.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fiserv Appoints Michael P. Lyons as CEO-Elect
Positive
Jan 23, 2025

On January 22, 2025, Fiserv, Inc. announced the appointment of Michael P. Lyons as the company’s President and CEO-Elect, effective January 27, 2025, with his full transition to CEO upon Frank J. Bisignano’s confirmation as Commissioner of Social Security or by June 30, 2025. Lyons, with extensive experience from The PNC Financial Services Group, is expected to bring strategic growth to Fiserv, aligning with the company’s plans to separate the roles of Chairman and CEO. This transition reflects Fiserv’s strategic positioning in the competitive financial technology market and aims to strengthen its leadership and operational capacity.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.