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EVgo (EVGO)
NASDAQ:EVGO
US Market

EVgo (EVGO) AI Stock Analysis

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EVgo

(NASDAQ:EVGO)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(3.21%Upside)
EVgo's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance, which poses significant risks. However, positive technical indicators and robust earnings call highlights provide some support. The company's strategic initiatives and stockholder support are positive, but ongoing financial and valuation concerns weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Market Growth
EVgo is well positioned to benefit from relatively robust growth in EV penetration, in part due to its strong partnerships with auto OEMs, retail chains, and ridesharing fleets.
Partnerships and Collaborations
The company's partnerships with OEMs, site hosts, and fleet operators, and low-cost financing should enable strong earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Competition
An uncertain EV policy environment and strong competition, particularly from OEMs such as Tesla, are key risks to the outlook.
Financial Performance
Charging revenue of $43.1MM fell 10% below the model and Street's expectations.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory messaging potentially puts a crimp on near term EV growth.

EVgo (EVGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EVgo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEVgo, Inc. owns and operates a direct current fast charging network in the United States. The company offers electricity directly to drivers, who access its publicly available networked chargers; original equipment manufacturer charging and related services; fleet and rideshare public charging services; and charging as a service and fleet dedicated charging services. It also provides ancillary services, such as customization of digital applications, charging data integration, loyalty programs, access to chargers behind parking lot, or garage, pay gates and pilots microtargeted advertising, and charging reservations; and maintenance and development and project management services through eXtendTM, including electric vehicle supply equipment installation, networking, and operations. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEVgo generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to electric vehicle owners who use its charging stations. The company charges customers based on the amount of electricity consumed during charging sessions or the time spent charging. Additionally, EVgo earns revenue from network membership fees, where customers pay a subscription for discounted rates or other benefits. Partnerships with automotive manufacturers and other businesses also contribute to its revenue streams, as these collaborations often involve joint initiatives to expand charging infrastructure, co-marketing efforts, or the integration of EVgo services into their offerings. Furthermore, EVgo may receive financial incentives or support from government programs aimed at promoting clean energy and transportation solutions.

EVgo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 57.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in customer consumption, revenue, and operational expansion, alongside improvements in customer experience and operational efficiencies. However, challenges such as the impact of tariffs and fluctuating gross margins were noted. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Growth in Customer Consumption
Customer consumption on the EVgo network increased with average daily throughput per public stall rising by 36% year-over-year and fivefold over three years. Overall public network throughput grew by 60% compared to last year.
Revenue and Operational Expansion
Total revenue grew 36% year-over-year, marking a near tenfold growth in three years. EVgo added over 180 new operational stalls this quarter, bringing the total to over 4,200 operational stalls.
Cash and Financing Strength
The company ended the quarter with $171 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. A $1.25 billion loan guarantee with the Department of Energy secures financing for future growth.
Improved Customer Experience
Seamless plug and charge capability, Autocharge+, accounted for 27% of sessions initiated, and 95% of sessions resulted in a successful charge on the first try.
Progress in Operational Efficiencies
The joint development agreement with Delta Electronics aims to lower gross capex per stall by 30%. Call center costs per call declined 37% in Q1 compared to last year.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
Approximately 25% of total capex cost per stall is subject to tariffs. The impact is expected to be around $4 million to $5 million in 2025, depending on final tariff rates.
Fluctuating Gross Margins
Charging network gross margin was 37.1%, down 370 basis points from the prior year due to higher maintenance costs and property taxes.
Company Guidance
In the recent Q1 2025 earnings call for EVgo Inc., several key metrics were highlighted, showcasing the company's robust performance and strategic initiatives. Notably, the average daily throughput per public stall surged by 36% year-over-year, contributing to a 60% growth in overall public network throughput compared to the previous year. EVgo reported a total revenue increase of 36% year-over-year, with charging network revenues rising by 49% and extend revenues growing by 23%. The company added over 180 new operational stalls, expanding the total to over 4,200. Financially, EVgo ended the quarter with $171 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. The company remains on track to achieve adjusted EBITDA breakeven in 2025, maintaining a guidance range of $340 million to $380 million in total revenue for the year. EVgo's strategic focus includes improving customer experience, achieving operational efficiencies, capturing and retaining high-value customers, and securing additional non-dilutive financing to support future growth.

EVgo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EVgo is experiencing growth in revenue but faces significant financial challenges, including negative profitability margins, negative equity, and negative cash flows. These factors suggest the company is in a precarious financial position, with substantial risks related to its operational and financial stability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The company has shown a positive revenue growth trend, with TTM revenue of $276.95 million, up from $256.83 million in the previous year. However, the gross profit margin is low at 11.49% TTM, and the company continues to operate at a net loss, with a TTM net profit margin of -39.74%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity of $36.77 million TTM, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, and the equity ratio is also negative. These factors suggest financial instability and increased risk.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow of $92.13 million TTM, with a negative free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash outflows exceed earnings. Operating cash flow is also negative, reflecting challenges in generating cash from core operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
276.95M256.82M160.95M54.59M22.21M13.05M
Gross Profit
31.85M29.37M9.71M-5.65M-6.83M-13.00M
EBIT
-132.60M-131.57M-153.41M-149.50M-89.83M-58.44M
EBITDA
-67.27M-83.00M-83.46M-70.28M-31.93M-34.85M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-110.03M-131.27M-42.43M-106.24M-8.44M-57.29M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
150.01M117.27M209.15M246.19M484.88M7.91M
Total Assets
855.98M803.76M806.61M729.72M746.32M182.14M
Total Debt
168.55M90.37M68.00M50.65M0.0039.16M
Net Debt
18.54M-26.90M-141.14M-195.55M-484.88M31.25M
Total Liabilities
433.11M360.03M266.24M212.60M158.40M92.65M
Stockholders Equity
-36.77M-256.11M-160.59M-358.10M-1.36B89.49M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-92.13M-102.04M-195.95M-259.05M-94.61M-39.42M
Operating Cash Flow
-3.42M-7.26M-37.05M-58.79M-29.60M-20.08M
Investing Cash Flow
-88.42M-94.47M-143.31M-199.71M-87.77M-19.34M
Financing Cash Flow
86.89M13.09M143.02M19.81M594.63M47.08M

EVgo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.36
Price Trends
50DMA
3.31
Positive
100DMA
3.10
Positive
200DMA
4.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
68.98
Neutral
STOCH
77.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.92, above the 50-day MA of 3.31, and above the 200-day MA of 4.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EVGO.

EVgo Risk Analysis

EVgo disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EVgo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EVgo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$6.94B11.342.80%4.26%2.68%-24.70%
58
Neutral
$1.31B19.14%45.15%-2.91%
57
Neutral
$249.26M-1.88%-6.22%91.93%
55
Neutral
$1.26B-108.04%2.47%6.65%-111.16%
53
Neutral
$380.03M-135.29%-15.71%47.94%
46
Neutral
$278.62M-21.13%451.93%49.23%
45
Neutral
$162.05M146.24%-3.84%67.67%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVGO
EVgo
4.29
2.25
110.29%
LAZR
Luminar Technologies
2.96
-18.49
-86.20%
HYLN
Hyliion Holdings
1.45
0.00
0.00%
ONEW
OneWater Marine
13.80
-12.66
-47.85%
CHPT
ChargePoint Holdings
0.71
-0.98
-57.99%
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment
9.07
-3.45
-27.56%

EVgo Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
EVgo Stockholders Approve Incentive Plan Amendment
Positive
May 21, 2025

On April 3, 2025, EVgo Inc.’s board of directors approved an amendment to the company’s 2021 Long Term Incentive Plan to reserve an additional 25 million shares of Class A common stock, pending stockholder approval. At the Annual Meeting held on May 15, 2025, stockholders re-elected Class I directors, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the amendment to the Long Term Incentive Plan, reflecting strong stockholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVGO) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EVgo stock, see the EVGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.