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MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL (ES:MEL)
BME:MEL
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MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL (MEL) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:MEL

MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL

(BME:MEL)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
€11.50
▼(-0.09% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and solid free cash flow, offset by elevated leverage and a large 2025 revenue drop. Technically, the trend is strong but momentum indicators are stretched, while valuation is supportive with a low P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Consistently positive free cash flow (FCF) since 2021 and FCF of ~€338M in 2025 provide durable capacity to fund maintenance capex, service debt, and support dividends or buybacks. This sustained cash generation underpins deleveraging and long-term financial resilience.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage near 2.9x equity leaves the company exposed to cyclical lodging demand and refinancing risk. High debt constrains financial flexibility for acquisitions or capex, increases interest expense sensitivity, and raises default risk if cash flows deteriorate.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow
Consistently positive free cash flow (FCF) since 2021 and FCF of ~€338M in 2025 provide durable capacity to fund maintenance capex, service debt, and support dividends or buybacks. This sustained cash generation underpins deleveraging and long-term financial resilience.
Read all positive factors

MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL (MEL) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Meliá Hotels International, S.A. owns, manages, operates, leases, and franchises hotels worldwide. The company operates approximately 380 hotels under the Gran Meliá Hotels & Resorts, Paradisus by Meliá, ME by Meliá, Meliá Hotels & Resorts, INNSID...
How the Company Makes Money
Meliá Hotels International generates revenue primarily from hotel operations and from fee-based arrangements tied to properties it manages or franchises. Key revenue streams include: (1) Room revenue from selling accommodation nights across its ho...

MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong post-pandemic profitability and cash flow recovery (positive earnings with ~8.2% net margin in 2025; ~€472M operating cash flow and ~€338M free cash flow). However, the balance sheet remains debt-heavy (debt ~2.9x equity), and the sharp 2025 revenue decline (~-46.8% vs. 2024) increases volatility risk for a cyclical lodging business.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.09B2.08B2.01B1.93B1.68B827.21M
Gross Profit1.89B700.14M1.80B1.03B1.50B735.62M
EBITDA604.39M564.54M568.59M515.37M520.96M144.47M
Net Income172.31M170.07M140.63M117.73M110.69M-192.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.69B4.66B4.58B4.44B4.35B4.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments303.06M235.05M174.99M186.82M168.95M100.56M
Total Debt2.51B2.43B2.44B2.81B2.83B2.98B
Total Liabilities3.57B3.47B3.51B3.87B3.90B3.89B
Stockholders Equity797.43M843.74M758.17M512.94M413.19M303.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00338.00M338.21M275.00M380.80M48.38M
Operating Cash Flow0.00471.51M417.43M397.22M493.00M126.85M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-186.74M-66.90M-118.82M-133.09M87.52M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-212.50M-343.35M-260.16M-297.39M-232.97M

MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.51
Price Trends
50DMA
8.91
Positive
100DMA
8.25
Positive
200DMA
7.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Negative
RSI
86.65
Negative
STOCH
94.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:MEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.08, above the 50-day MA of 8.91, and above the 200-day MA of 7.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 86.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:MEL.

MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
€2.50B10.2519.61%1.84%3.22%20.93%
62
Neutral
€364.24M12.3232.48%3.91%118.27%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:MEL
MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL
11.36
5.14
82.67%
ES:EDR
EDreams ODIGEO
3.24
-4.07
-55.75%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026