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Endesa SA (ES:ELE)
BME:ELE
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Endesa SA (ELE) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:ELE

Endesa SA

(BME:ELE)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
€42.00
▲(13.88% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/08/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—stronger cash flow and improving leverage offset by weak operating profitability (negative EBIT) and a sharp margin decline. Technicals add support due to a clear uptrend with balanced momentum, and valuation is reasonable given the mid-teens P/E and ~4% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regulated distribution revenue stability
Endesa’s regulated distribution business earns allowed returns and generates predictable network revenue. That regulated cash flow profile underpins long-term earnings stability versus merchant generation, supporting durable revenue visibility and making cashflows less cyclical over a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Negative Factors
Weak operating profitability and margin volatility
A sharp gross margin decline and negative EBIT indicate operating profitability is impaired and volatile. Reliance on below-the-line items to reach positive net income undermines earnings quality and raises risk that operational performance may not sustain reported profits long term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated distribution revenue stability
Endesa’s regulated distribution business earns allowed returns and generates predictable network revenue. That regulated cash flow profile underpins long-term earnings stability versus merchant generation, supporting durable revenue visibility and making cashflows less cyclical over a 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Read all positive factors

Endesa SA (ELE) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Endesa SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Endesa, S.A. engages in the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity primarily in Spain and Portugal. The company generates electricity from various energy sources, such as hydroelectric, nuclear, thermal, wind, and solar. As of December ...
How the Company Makes Money
Endesa makes money through a mix of regulated and market-based energy activities. A major revenue stream comes from selling electricity to end customers (retail supply), where it earns revenue based on contracted tariffs or market-linked pricing a...

Endesa SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are mixed. Cash flow is a relative strength (solid operating cash flow and mostly positive free cash flow), and leverage has improved versus 2022–2023. However, the income statement is the key concern: gross margin fell sharply and EBIT is negative despite positive net income, raising questions about earnings quality and margin normalization.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.02B20.93B25.06B32.54B20.52B
Gross Profit7.01B7.49B8.42B8.84B4.88B
EBITDA5.31B4.95B3.32B5.38B4.38B
Net Income2.20B1.89B742.00M2.54B1.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.48B37.34B41.28B50.07B39.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments263.00M1.34B3.32B7.14B1.58B
Total Debt10.89B10.96B13.73B18.49B10.38B
Total Liabilities27.87B28.29B34.08B44.31B34.42B
Stockholders Equity8.52B8.11B7.02B5.56B5.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.21B1.72B2.41B-460.00M539.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.05B3.57B4.70B1.67B2.62B
Investing Cash Flow-2.71B-1.33B3.19B-8.16B-3.07B
Financing Cash Flow-1.99B-3.50B-6.65B6.65B752.00M

Endesa SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.88
Price Trends
50DMA
34.54
Positive
100DMA
32.55
Positive
200DMA
29.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.87
Positive
RSI
57.81
Neutral
STOCH
20.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:ELE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.42, above the 50-day MA of 34.54, and above the 200-day MA of 29.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:ELE.

Endesa SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€26.26B12.4224.33%6.66%0.98%9.89%
66
Neutral
€40.05B14.7525.60%4.32%0.46%17.60%
64
Neutral
€22.86B9.837.85%6.18%-3.96%15.40%
62
Neutral
€133.09B31.5412.54%2.92%1.80%9.80%
62
Neutral
€8.04B16.248.88%4.27%4.10%37.07%
60
Neutral
€12.96B12.6118.00%2.87%5.45%90.20%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:ELE
Endesa SA
38.45
13.50
54.13%
ES:ANA
Acciona
237.20
114.00
92.54%
ES:NTGY
Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.
27.34
2.57
10.38%
ES:IBE
Iberdrola
19.93
4.82
31.88%
ES:RED
Redeia Corporación
14.91
-3.66
-19.69%
ES:REP
Repsol
20.89
10.72
105.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 08, 2026