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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (ES:BBVA)
BME:BBVA
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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:BBVA

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria

(BME:BBVA)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
€16.50
▲(11.49%Upside)
BBVA's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, bolstered by positive earnings call insights. Despite technical indicators suggesting potential corrections, the bank's strategic focus and profitability provide a solid foundation for future growth.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides retail banking, wholesale banking, and asset management services. It offers current accounts; and demand, savings, overnight, time, term, and subordinated deposits. The company also provides loan products; deals in securities; and manages pension and investment funds. In addition, it offers credit cards; corporate and investment banking services; insurance products and services; and real estate services. The company provides its products through online and mobile channels. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 6,083 branches and 29,148 ATMs. It operates in Spain, Mexico, South America, the United States, Turkey, Asia, and rest of Europe. Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Bilbao, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyBBVA generates revenue primarily through interest income from lending activities, including personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans. It also earns income from fees and commissions charged for services such as account management, payments, and asset management. Additionally, BBVA benefits from trading and investment activities, earning profits from its securities portfolio and financial market operations. The bank's insurance and asset management divisions contribute to its earnings by providing risk management and investment products. Key partnerships with fintech companies and digital platforms enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base, further boosting revenue. BBVA's geographical diversification, particularly its significant presence in Spain, Mexico, and Turkey, helps it mitigate regional economic fluctuations and capture growth opportunities in emerging markets.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for BBVA, with strong profitability and growth in core areas such as loan growth and revenue. However, challenges such as currency headwinds, regulatory risks, and specific market challenges, such as in Turkey, were noted. The strategic objectives and ongoing improvements in efficiency and capital generation provide a strong foundation for future growth, though certain risks remain.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Profitability and Capital Ratio
BBVA reported a strong return on tangible equity of 20.4% and a return on equity of 19.5% for the first six months of 2025. The CET1 capital ratio improved by 25 basis points to 13.34% during the quarter.
Impressive Net Attributable Profit
The net attributable profit reached EUR 2.749 billion despite falling rates and currency headwinds, with extraordinary items contributing approximately EUR 150 million.
Loan Growth
BBVA experienced an impressive 16% year-over-year loan growth at the group level. In Spain, loan growth was 6.3% year-over-year, and in Mexico, it was 11.7% year-over-year.
Positive Revenue Trends
Core revenues increased with net interest income and fees growing 11% and 18% year-over-year, respectively. Gross income grew by 20% in constant euros year-over-year.
Efficiency Improvements
The efficiency ratio showed significant improvement, reaching 37.6% with positive jaws and limited growth in impairments.
Strategic Growth and Sustainability
BBVA announced strategic objectives targeting market share gains and increased profitability, focusing on new customer acquisition and sustainability, with a goal to channel EUR 700 billion in sustainable finance by 2029.
Negative Updates
Negative Impact from U.S. Dollar Hedges
The net trading income recorded a negative impact due to U.S. dollar hedges, resulting in a minus EUR 100 million impact at the bottom line profit level.
Challenges in Turkey
Impairments increased in Turkey, with a cost of risk standing at 164 basis points, ahead of expectations, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic rebalancing.
Regulatory and Operational Risks
BBVA faces potential negative impacts from future regulatory changes such as operational risk adjustments and FRTB, affecting capital accumulation.
Company Guidance
During the BBVA Q2 2025 earnings call, the bank announced strong financial metrics and provided medium-term strategic objectives. Key highlights included a 14.6% year-over-year increase in tangible book value per share plus dividends and a 20.4% return on tangible equity for the first half of 2025. Despite currency headwinds, net attributable profit reached EUR 2.749 billion, with a 25 basis point increase in the CET1 capital ratio to 13.34%. The bank also reported a 16% year-over-year loan growth at the group level, with a notable 6.3% and 11.7% growth in Spain and Mexico, respectively. The efficiency ratio improved to 37.6%, and BBVA raised its full-year guidance for key financial metrics. Looking to the medium term, BBVA aims for a 22% average return on tangible equity from 2025 to 2028 and plans to distribute a significant portion of its capital, projecting EUR 36 billion available for shareholder distributions over the period.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria shows strong income statement performance with consistent revenue and profit growth. The balance sheet reflects a sound equity position, although there is a reliance on liabilities. Cash flow metrics show some concerns regarding growth but remain stable overall.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria exhibits strong financial performance with a substantial increase in total revenue and net income over the years. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 82.64%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is healthy at 23.70%, showing profitability. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 25.52%, reflecting robust growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 36.59% and 40.06%, respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The bank maintains a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.96, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 19.15%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio of 7.12% suggests a high reliance on liabilities for funding, which is typical in banking but still a potential risk factor. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability with a focus on equity growth.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The TTM cash flow analysis indicates a free cash flow growth rate of -85.44%, primarily due to a significant reduction in operating cash flow compared to the previous year. Despite this, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, suggesting moderate cash generation efficiency relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.45, reflecting moderate cash generation capabilities. The reduction in free cash flow growth is a concern but is partially offset by positive cash flow metrics.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.14B31.57B27.16B22.98B18.60B15.23B
Gross Profit32.19B31.57B27.16B24.68B19.97B15.23B
EBITDA17.83B16.94B13.82B11.60B8.48B6.54B
Net Income10.55B10.05B8.02B6.36B4.65B1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets772.86B772.40B775.56B712.09B662.88B733.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.20B199.57B256.84B225.41B228.87B208.37B
Total Debt107.72B144.43B179.11B114.64B116.09B110.80B
Total Liabilities713.60B712.39B720.29B661.57B614.13B683.78B
Stockholders Equity55.08B55.65B51.70B46.90B43.91B44.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.56B-20.20B-2.54B21.28B-2.19B38.23B
Operating Cash Flow5.99B-18.19B-721.00M23.72B-1.24B39.35B
Investing Cash Flow-25.15B-53.55B-1.42B-3.91B-1.63B-37.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.21B-2.57B-1.84B-7.56B-4.35B-2.07B

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.80
Price Trends
50DMA
13.16
Positive
100DMA
12.83
Positive
200DMA
11.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
73.04
Negative
STOCH
90.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:BBVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.27, above the 50-day MA of 13.16, and above the 200-day MA of 11.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.04 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:BBVA.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (74)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
€82.53B7.9418.91%4.88%25.01%16.20%
74
Outperform
15.24B17.8815.37%3.83%8.25%25.93%
€15.83B8.8513.27%6.74%
£93.17B8.4513.10%0.42%
€11.09B10.8717.23%4.60%
€57.42B9.5516.64%5.46%
$6.63B9.789.57%2.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:BBVA
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria
14.80
6.65
81.57%
GB:0H00
Banco de Sabadell
3.18
1.58
98.75%
GB:BNC
Banco Santander
650.00
325.53
100.33%
GB:0H7O
Bankinter
12.50
5.80
86.57%
GB:0ILK
CAIXABANK
8.30
3.74
82.02%
UNJCF
Unicaja Banco SA
2.62
1.47
127.83%

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Corporate Events

BBVA’s Acquisition of Banco Sabadell Approved with Conditions
Apr 30, 2025

BBVA has received authorization from the National Commission of Markets and Competition (CNMC) for its acquisition of Banco de Sabadell, forming the second largest financial entity in Spain by credit volume. This merger is contingent upon commitments to maintain financial inclusion, territorial cohesion, and credit access for SMEs and freelancers, including maintaining office operations in underserved areas and offering favorable commercial conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025