Logwin AG (TGHN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €839.44M
• Dividend Yield: 5.12%
• Average Volume (3M): 61.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.07
• Revenue Growth: 21.42%
• EPS Growth: -10.98%
• Country: DE
• Employees: 3,777
• Sector: Services
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 2,879,215
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 64
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 61
• PEG Ratio: -0.57
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.84
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.48
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.60
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 19.82
• Revenue Forecast (FY): €1.52B

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: €317.00 ▲(26.80% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 10/08/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 10/08/25

Logwin AG's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and solid cash flows. The valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, making it appealing for value investors. However, the technical analysis indicates some bearish momentum, which slightly tempers the overall score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth Trend

Sustained double-digit top-line growth across reported periods indicates strong demand for Logwin's integrated logistics services and effective commercial execution. Over 2-6 months this supports greater scale, pricing leverage and continued expansion of contract logistics and freight volumes.

Balance Sheet Strength

Very low leverage and a healthy equity base provide financial flexibility to fund organic growth, absorb cyclical shocks, and pursue selective investments or partnerships without stressing liquidity. Strong ROE also signals effective capital deployment by management.

Cash Generation Quality

Robust cash conversion and positive free cash flow growth demonstrate sustainable operating cash generation. This underpins the company's ability to fund capex, service debt, and return capital to shareholders while supporting investment in network and service capabilities.

Negative Factors

Margin Compression

A falling EBIT margin and reduced gross profit imply rising operating costs or loss of pricing power, which can erode long-term profitability. If structural, these pressures could limit reinvestment, dividends or require strategic restructuring to restore margin sustainability.

Earnings Per Share Decline

Negative EPS growth points to per-share profitability deterioration versus prior periods. Persisting EPS decline can constrain strategic options, weaken investor confidence, and may indicate margin or capital allocation issues that need addressing over the medium term.

Operational Efficiency Needs

Management acknowledgement of efficiency shortfalls suggests structural operational gaps. Without measurable efficiency gains, revenue growth may not translate into proportional profit improvement, pressuring margins and requiring investment or process changes to sustain competitiveness.

Logwin AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Logwin AG (TGHN) is a prominent logistics and transport service provider based in Germany, specializing in integrated logistics solutions across various sectors, including industrial, commercial, and retail. The company operates through two primary divisions: 'Air & Ocean' and 'Solutions', offering services such as air and sea freight, contract logistics, and supply chain management. Logwin AG is committed to providing customized logistics services, leveraging its global network to enhance efficiency and customer satisfaction.

How the Company Makes Money

Logwin AG generates revenue primarily through its logistics and transportation services. The key revenue streams include air freight and ocean freight services, which facilitate the international movement of goods for clients across multiple industries. Additionally, the company earns revenue from its contract logistics services, which involve managing supply chains, warehousing, and distribution for clients. Significant partnerships with various shipping lines, airlines, and suppliers enhance Logwin's operational capabilities, enabling it to offer competitive pricing and reliable service. The company's focus on tailored solutions and strong customer relationships further contributes to its earnings, as it helps retain clients and attract new business.

Logwin AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Logwin AG demonstrates a commendable financial position with strong revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and a robust balance sheet with low leverage. The company exhibits healthy cash flows, maintaining good liquidity. While there are areas for operational efficiency improvements, the overall financial health is strong, supporting its growth trajectory in the transportation industry.

Income Statement

Logwin AG shows a strong financial performance with a healthy gross profit margin of approximately 10.8% for 2024 and a net profit margin of about 4.5%. Despite a decline in gross profit, the company managed to grow its revenue by 14.7% compared to the previous year. However, the EBIT margin decreased slightly to 5.8%, indicating increased operational costs or reduced efficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio stands at 46.9%, reflecting a strong equity base compared to total assets. Return on equity remains healthy at 17.2%, which is indicative of effective management and profitability.

Cash Flow

Logwin AG's cash flow is solid, with a stable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.69, suggesting effective cash generation from operations. The free cash flow grew by 3.1% from the previous year, showing prudent capital expenditure management and strong cash conversion.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.49B	1.44B	1.26B	2.26B	1.85B	1.12B
Gross Profit	161.21M	156.29M	157.91M	185.59M	162.56M	99.36M
EBITDA	123.89M	129.37M	136.96M	149.12M	130.91M	86.31M
Net Income	62.90M	64.52M	79.29M	72.25M	62.80M	34.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	749.37M	799.59M	730.49M	833.12M	797.02M	574.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	334.20M	372.61M	354.90M	363.78M	247.40M	167.86M
Total Debt	53.18M	59.68M	75.06M	82.06M	79.65M	90.90M
Total Liabilities	384.45M	423.17M	378.82M	486.73M	514.54M	349.57M
Stockholders Equity	364.25M	375.18M	349.70M	343.94M	281.17M	224.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	100.68M	104.64M	101.48M	162.95M	113.30M	48.20M
Operating Cash Flow	104.87M	108.99M	107.89M	169.56M	125.89M	67.74M
Investing Cash Flow	-30.20M	-15.00M	-16.82M	-5.84M	-3.77M	-17.73M
Financing Cash Flow	-121.95M	-75.74M	-97.98M	-47.72M	-44.32M	-42.32M

Logwin AG Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 250.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:TGHN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 250 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 286.20, below the 50-day MA of 275.04, and below the 200-day MA of 254.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:TGHN.

Logwin AG Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DHL	76 Outperform	€53.63B	16.21	16.16%	3.97%	0.77%	12.83%
GBF	74 Outperform	€4.33B	23.95	14.63%	1.93%	10.17%	-20.99%
JUN3	73 Outperform	€3.27B	11.50	11.92%	2.29%	-1.50%	2.01%
TGHN	72 Outperform	€839.44M	13.09	17.81%	5.12%	21.42%	-10.98%
SIX2	64 Neutral	€2.80B	10.78	13.91%	3.86%	8.60%	20.38%
HHFA	63 Neutral	€2.27B	23.49	5.78%	0.47%	13.44%	113.13%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$13.29B	17.42	10.03%	0.93%	7.13%	-12.93%