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Cel-Sci Corp. (CVM)
XASE:CVM

Cel-Sci (CVM) AI Stock Analysis

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CVM

Cel-Sci

(NYSE MKT:CVM)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-32.56% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and continued cash burn) alongside heightened risk from unusually volatile balance sheet/cash flow figures. Technicals also lean bearish with the stock below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation remains difficult to justify due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Focused Clinical-Stage Pipeline
CEL‑SCI’s business is tightly focused on a single clinical-stage immunotherapy (Multikine) for pre‑standard‑of‑care use in head and neck cancer. A concentrated pipeline concentrates R&D resources and strategic clarity, which can speed development decisions and clarify value‑creation paths if trials progress.
Narrowing Net Losses
Reported net losses have trended smaller over multiple years, reflecting tighter expense control and operational discipline. A sustained reduction in annual losses supports longer runway under existing funding assumptions and reduces near‑term financing pressure relative to earlier periods.
More Moderate TTM Leverage
The trailing‑twelve‑month view shows more moderate leverage (debt/equity ~0.82) and meaningful equity, suggesting the firm’s nearer‑term capital structure is less acute than the anomalous 2025 annual figures. This provides a more realistic baseline for assessing short‑to‑medium term financing flexibility.
Negative Factors
Pre‑Revenue Profile with Persistent Cash Burn
CEL‑SCI generates no reported revenue and records negative operating and free cash flow across all periods provided. Persistent cash burn forces ongoing external financing needs, increasing dilution or refinancing risk and making long‑term viability dependent on successful clinical progress or capital access.
Highly Volatile/Anomalous Balance Sheet
The 2025 annual balance sheet exhibits extreme leverage and an anomalously large debt figure, creating material ambiguity about financial stability. Such volatility elevates going‑concern and financing risk, complicates counterparty and investor trust, and may signal one‑off accounting or reporting events that impair comparability.
Unreliable Cash Flow Reporting and Extreme 2025 Outlier
An extreme 2025 operating cash flow outlier (≈ -$17.1B) versus a multi‑year pattern of ~ -$17M raises serious reliability concerns. Unstable cash flow figures impair forecasting, heighten financing uncertainty, and increase the risk that management must undertake disruptive financing or accounting remediation actions.

Cel-Sci (CVM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cel-Sci Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCEL-SCI Corporation engages in the research and development of immunotherapy for the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. The company's lead investigational immunotherapy is Multikine, which is under phase III clinical trial for the treatment of head and neck cancer. Its Ligand Epitope Antigen Presentation System (LEAPS), a pre-clinical patented T-cell modulation process that stimulates the human immune system to fight bacterial, viral, and parasitic infections, as well as autoimmune diseases, allergies, transplantation rejections, and cancer. The company also develops LEAPS-H1N1-DC; CEL-2000 and CEL-4000 are product candidates for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis; and LEAPS COV-19, a product candidate to treat COVID-19 coronavirus. CEL-SCI Corporation has a collaboration agreement with the University of Georgia's Center for Vaccines and Immunology to develop LEAPS COVID-19 immunotherapy. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Vienna, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCEL-SCI Corporation primarily makes money through the development and potential commercialization of its lead product candidate, Multikine. The company aims to generate revenue from the eventual sale of Multikine, contingent upon successful clinical trials and regulatory approval. CEL-SCI may also seek revenue through partnerships, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships could involve sharing research, development costs, and profits from Multikine's commercialization. Additionally, CEL-SCI might receive funding through grants, investor funding, or other financing activities to support its research and development efforts.

Cel-Sci Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue profile with persistent losses and negative operating/free cash flow in all periods. While net losses have narrowed versus earlier years, the balance sheet and cash flow show major volatility (e.g., unusually large reported 2025 annual debt and operating cash outflow), elevating financing/going-concern risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Results remain firmly loss-making with no reported revenue across all periods provided, which limits visibility into commercialization progress. Losses are large but have narrowed versus earlier years (net loss improved from about -$39.2M in 2021 to about -$25.4M in 2025 annual, and about -$23.8M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), indicating some expense control. However, gross profit is negative and profitability remains structurally weak, keeping the income statement profile highly speculative.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Leverage and equity quality look unstable. The 2025 annual balance sheet shows an extremely high debt-to-equity ratio (about 588x) driven by very low equity, and total debt is reported at ~$9.38B—an outlier versus prior years’ debt levels (~$11–16M). While the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) snapshot shows more moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.82) and sizable equity, returns on equity are negative throughout, reflecting ongoing losses. Overall, the balance sheet signals elevated financial risk and potential data volatility/one-off structural changes.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash burn continues: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every period shown. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is about -$17.0M (similar magnitude to 2024), but the 2025 annual cash flow reports an extreme deterioration (operating cash flow about -$17.1B), which is inconsistent with the multi-year pattern and raises reliability/one-time event concerns. Free cash flow generally tracks net losses (free cash flow to net income ~1.0 most years), suggesting limited non-cash support and continued funding needs.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-3.85M-3.89M-3.97M-3.96M-3.88M-499.00K
EBITDA-19.37M-20.88M-22.21M-27.56M-31.74M-34.71M
Net Income-23.81M-25.41M-26.92M-38.27M-39.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.89M28.16M26.99M30.53M50.52M75.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.28M10.95M4.74M4.15M22.67M42.21M
Total Debt10.63M9.38M11.62M13.57M15.30M15.97M
Total Liabilities11.76M12.20M14.12M17.31M18.36M19.34M
Stockholders Equity11.14M15.96M12.87M13.21M32.16M56.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.01M-17.16B-18.91M-23.22M-18.90M-27.83M
Operating Cash Flow-17.00M-17.12B-18.81M-22.85M-18.24M-18.79M
Investing Cash Flow-5.16K-38.11M-108.09K-372.26K5.49M-15.18M
Financing Cash Flow18.67M23.37B19.51M4.69M-638.43K54.52M

Cel-Sci Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.19
Price Trends
50DMA
5.11
Negative
100DMA
6.26
Negative
200DMA
6.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
34.91
Neutral
STOCH
12.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.62, above the 50-day MA of 5.11, and below the 200-day MA of 6.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CVM.

Cel-Sci Risk Analysis

Cel-Sci disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cel-Sci reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cel-Sci Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$53.80M-2.07-42.68%63.85%
44
Neutral
$145.71M-102.47%66.05%
43
Neutral
$30.03M-1.93-176.32%48.68%
42
Neutral
$76.81M-0.86-64.27%14.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVM
Cel-Sci
4.00
-6.24
-60.96%
ATHE
Alterity Therapeutics
3.52
-0.05
-1.34%
XBIT
XBiotech
2.31
-0.88
-27.59%
PLRX
Pliant Therapeutics
1.29
-0.29
-18.35%
UNCY
Unicycive Therapeutics
6.83
1.33
24.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026