tiprankstipranks
Barry Callebaut AG (CH:BARN)
:BARN

Barry Callebaut AG (BARN) AI Stock Analysis

15 Followers

Top Page

CH:BARN

Barry Callebaut AG

(BARN)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
CHF1,375.00
▲(3.46% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/11/25
Barry Callebaut AG's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth but is weighed down by financial pressures, including high leverage and negative cash flows. Technical indicators show mixed momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. The earnings call provided some positive strategic insights, but the challenging environment remains a significant risk.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Consistent top-line expansion indicates scalable B2B demand and stronger customer traction across product lines. Durable revenue momentum supports operating leverage, funds strategic initiatives and deleveraging plans, and reduces reliance on one-off gains for financial stability over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Substantial leverage and a large net-debt stock constrain financial flexibility and heighten sensitivity to commodity cycles and rate moves. Elevated debt amplifies refinancing and covenant risk, limiting ability to invest organically or pursue M&A without material improvement in cash conversion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Consistent top-line expansion indicates scalable B2B demand and stronger customer traction across product lines. Durable revenue momentum supports operating leverage, funds strategic initiatives and deleveraging plans, and reduces reliance on one-off gains for financial stability over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Barry Callebaut AG (BARN) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

Barry Callebaut AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Barry Callebaut AG, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cocoa and chocolate products. The company provides chocolates, compounds, chips and chunks, cocoa, cacao fruit, fillings, coatings, nuts, decorations and inclusions, and fo...
How the Company Makes Money
Barry Callebaut makes money primarily by selling cocoa and chocolate products to business customers (B2B). Key revenue streams include: (1) Cocoa ingredients: processing cocoa beans into semi-finished ingredients such as cocoa liquor/mass, cocoa b...

Barry Callebaut AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a company making progress in cash generation and strategic initiatives but facing significant challenges in volume declines, market volatility, and cost pressures. While there are positive developments in specific segments, the overall environment remains challenging.
Positive Updates
Return to Cash Generation
The company returned to cash generation in H2 and made strong progress on its deleverage agenda, supported by actions from the BC Next Level journey.
Negative Updates
Volume Decline
The company experienced a volume decline of 6.8%, with notable declines in Global Cocoa (12.8%) and Global Chocolate (5.3%).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Return to Cash Generation
The company returned to cash generation in H2 and made strong progress on its deleverage agenda, supported by actions from the BC Next Level journey.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Barry Callebaut Full Year Results Presentation for 2024-2025, key guidance metrics were discussed, indicating a strategic focus on deleveraging and growth. The company aims to reduce its net debt to EBITDA ratio to below 3.5x by the end of fiscal 2026, with a current leverage of 4.5x, down from a peak of 6.5x. This reduction is supported by strong cash generation and a balanced debt maturity profile, with CHF 700 million due annually over the next five years. Barry Callebaut also plans to enhance customer experience and competitiveness, innovate solutions, and target optimization opportunities. Despite a challenging environment with a 6.8% decline in group volume, the company projects low to mid-single-digit EBIT growth and double-digit growth in profit before tax for the upcoming fiscal year. Free cash flow showed a decline of CHF 312 million for the year, but a strong cash inflow of CHF 1.8 billion in the second half was achieved, mainly due to operational improvements and strategic actions.

Barry Callebaut AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Barry Callebaut AG shows strong revenue growth but faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The increasing leverage and declining margins suggest financial pressures, while negative cash flows highlight liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.79B10.39B8.47B8.09B7.21B
Gross Profit1.42B1.38B1.35B1.22B1.15B
EBITDA890.48M710.41M901.65M778.83M791.98M
Net Income185.87M189.78M444.36M360.70M383.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.64B15.27B8.52B7.93B7.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.94B978.35M488.33M880.02M1.10B
Total Debt6.21B4.80B1.80B2.08B2.38B
Total Liabilities10.02B12.43B5.63B5.03B4.67B
Stockholders Equity2.62B2.84B2.90B2.90B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-337.48M-2.35B-456.69M189.07M428.66M
Operating Cash Flow-42.52M-2.06B-215.10M464.96M704.08M
Investing Cash Flow-269.50M-280.93M-230.99M-301.68M-265.01M
Financing Cash Flow1.19B2.77B-555.00M-381.50M-618.98M

Barry Callebaut AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1329.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1389.16
Negative
100DMA
1312.11
Positive
200DMA
1167.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.42
Positive
RSI
46.95
Neutral
STOCH
28.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:BARN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1329 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1361.10, below the 50-day MA of 1389.16, and above the 200-day MA of 1167.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CH:BARN.

Barry Callebaut AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
CHF25.74B27.242.24%5.93%6.00%
63
Neutral
CHF24.91B36.631.29%7.37%-5.49%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
CHF7.28B31.122.31%42.39%-2.13%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:BARN
Barry Callebaut AG
1,329.00
589.02
79.60%
CH:GIVN
Givaudan SA
2,808.00
-806.15
-22.31%
CH:LISN
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG
109,300.00
-2,641.17
-2.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025