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Avolta AG (CH:AVOL)
:AVOL
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Avolta AG (AVOL) AI Stock Analysis

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Avolta AG

(LSE:AVOL)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
Dufry AG's stock score is supported by strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow management. Positive earnings call sentiment, with a focus on strategic growth and shareholder returns, further boosts the score. However, high leverage and a potentially overbought technical position, combined with a high P/E ratio, create risks that moderate the overall assessment.

Avolta AG (AVOL) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

Avolta AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvolta AG operates as a travel retailer. The company's retail brands include general travel retail shops under the Dufry, World Duty Free, Nuance, Hellenic Duty Free, Colombian Emeralds, Duty Free Uruguay, Hudson, Duty Free Shop Argentina, RegStaer, Autogrill, Hellenic Duty Free, HMSHost, and World Duty Free brands; Dufry shopping stores; brand boutiques; convenience stores primarily under the Hudson brand; and specialized shops and theme stores. It offers perfumes and cosmetics, food and confectionery, wines and spirits, watches and jewelry, fashion and leather, tobacco goods, souvenirs, electronics, soft drinks, packaged food, travel accessories, personal items, sunglasses, destination merchandise, and other products, as well as newspapers, magazines, and books. It operates duty-free and duty-paid shops located at airports, cruise lines, seaports, railway stations, and downtown tourist areas worldwide. The company was formerly known as Dufry AG and changed its name to Avolta AG in November 2023. The company was incorporated in 1865 and is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvolta AG generates revenue through the sale of its solar panels and energy storage systems to both residential and commercial customers. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with energy providers and governments to implement large-scale solar projects, further contributing to its revenue streams. Additionally, Avolta AG offers maintenance and support services for its products, ensuring a continuous stream of income through service contracts.

Avolta AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 16.49%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Avolta's strong revenue growth, EBITDA margin expansion, significant increase in equity free cash flow, and successful debt reduction and shareholder returns. However, challenges in North America due to external factors and concerns about a U.S. passenger slowdown were noted. Overall, the positive highlights outweigh the lowlights, indicating a favorable outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth Metrics
Total turnover growth at constant exchange rate was 8.9% for 2024, with organic growth of 6.3%. Excluding Argentina, organic growth was 7.7%.
EBITDA Margin Expansion
Core EBITDA increased faster than revenues, with the EBITDA margin expanding by 40 basis points from 9% in 2023 to 9.4% in 2024.
Significant Increase in Equity Free Cash Flow
Equity free cash flow reached CHF425 million, a 32% increase, with an equity free cash flow conversion of 33.5%.
Successful Debt Reduction and Shareholder Returns
Net debt to EBITDA dropped to 2.1, a 0.6 improvement from the prior year. A share buyback program was completed, canceling 4% of shares, and a new buyback program was announced for 2025. The dividend is proposed to increase by 43%.
Digital and Commercial Transformation Progress
The company is consistently delivering on commercial and digital transformation, with strong business development and good opportunities for 2025.
Operational Highlights by Region
EMEA showed 9.4% organic growth, North America had 5.6% growth despite challenges, Latin America grew 7% excluding Argentina, and Asia Pacific had more than 12% like-for-like growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges in North America
North America faced challenges such as plane delivery delays, capacity constraints at key airports, and extreme weather conditions, impacting growth.
Impact of External Geopolitical Factors
The Nordics were affected by restrictions on Russian aerospace due to the Ukraine war, impacting growth in that region.
Concerns about U.S. Passenger Slowdown
There is concern about a slowdown in U.S. passengers, which could impact growth, although other regions are expected to compensate.
Company Guidance
In the call, Avolta's guidance for fiscal year 2024 showed robust performance metrics, highlighting an 8.9% turnover growth at constant exchange rates, with organic growth at 6.3% and 7.7% when excluding Argentina. The company enhanced its EBITDA margin by 40 basis points to 9.4%, while equity free cash flow surged by 32% to CHF425 million, achieving a conversion rate of 33.5%. They also emphasized their strategic focus on shareholders' returns, with a proposed dividend increase of 43% to CHF1 per share and a new share buyback program of CHF200 million for 2025. The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio improved to 2.1, or 1.9 when excluding the share buyback effect. Avolta's geographic and channel diversification was underscored, with EMEA contributing CHF6.9 billion in sales and significant growth noted in all regions, including 9.4% in EMEA and 5.6% in North America. The company also highlighted ongoing digital transformation initiatives and a strong start to 2025, with a 7.7% organic growth rate noted when adjusting for the leap year effect.

Avolta AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dufry AG shows strong revenue growth and improving profitability with an 86% increase from 2022 to 2023 and a more modest 7% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is robust at 64.11% for 2024. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.07 indicates significant leverage, posing a potential risk. Cash flow generation is healthy, supporting ongoing operations and investments, but financial stability could be threatened by leverage in volatile markets.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Dufry AG has shown strong revenue growth, increasing from 2022 to 2023 by approximately 86%, and from 2023 to 2024 by around 7%. The gross profit margin stands at 64.11% for 2024, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 0.75% in 2024, showing a turnaround from previous losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect positive trends, with EBIT margin at 6.81% and EBITDA margin at 20.72% in 2024. However, historical net income volatility poses a risk.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 5.07, highlighting significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed well. Return on equity improved to 4.39% in 2024, demonstrating better profitability. The equity ratio of 13.50% suggests moderate financial stability, but the company remains highly leveraged, which could impact its ability to withstand financial downturns.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Dufry AG's free cash flow has consistently grown, showing a 10.66% increase from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 25.29, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also shows a robust figure of 20.60, reflecting solid cash flow management. These metrics suggest a healthy cash flow position, supporting ongoing operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.43B13.72B12.79B6.88B3.92B2.56B
Gross Profit4.12B8.80B3.92B4.19B2.21B1.38B
EBITDA2.58B2.84B2.47B1.62B1.13B-807.80M
Net Income126.40M103.00M87.30M58.20M-385.40M-2.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.59B17.40B16.51B9.31B9.99B11.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments973.40M756.00M769.50M854.70M793.50M360.30M
Total Debt12.11B11.91B11.19B6.58B7.45B9.12B
Total Liabilities15.12B14.88B14.02B8.34B8.96B10.34B
Stockholders Equity2.32B2.35B2.36B893.00M956.60M839.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.91B2.12B1.92B1.40B587.00M-464.30M
Operating Cash Flow2.39B2.60B2.36B1.51B678.20M-345.30M
Investing Cash Flow-534.80M-312.00M-1.00M-67.40M-72.80M-74.90M
Financing Cash Flow-1.89B-2.18B-2.40B-1.34B-136.20M257.00M

Avolta AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.58
Price Trends
50DMA
43.58
Positive
100DMA
40.52
Positive
200DMA
38.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Positive
RSI
50.54
Neutral
STOCH
10.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:AVOL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.65, above the 50-day MA of 43.58, and above the 200-day MA of 38.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:AVOL.

Avolta AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
CHF6.28B62.454.37%2.29%7.31%30.75%
63
Neutral
$16.78B10.88-7.08%3.04%1.73%-25.15%
$201.13M15.0433.95%2.02%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:AVOL
Avolta AG
43.58
9.14
26.54%
LSMNF
lastminute
23.85
0.48
2.05%

Avolta AG Corporate Events

Avolta AG Expands Dining Presence at San Antonio Airport
Jul 17, 2025

Avolta AG’s HMSHost has secured a ten-year contract to open 10 new dining locations at San Antonio International Airport, as part of a larger 13-store deal, contributing to the airport’s multi-billion-dollar improvement plan. This initiative aims to enhance the travel experience by offering authentic local cuisine and integrating digital technologies like virtual waitlists and contactless ordering, potentially boosting the airport’s appeal to travelers.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AVOL) stock is a Buy with a CHF40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avolta AG stock, see the CH:AVOL Stock Forecast page.

Avolta AG Announces Half-Year 2025 Results Presentation
Jul 16, 2025

Avolta AG has announced its Half-Year 2025 Results Presentation, which will be held on July 31, 2025. The presentation, hosted by CEO Xavier Rossinyol and CFO Yves Gerster, will be accessible via webcast and phone, with a Q&A session to follow. The financial report and related documents will be available on the company’s investor relations website. This event marks a significant opportunity for stakeholders to gain insights into Avolta’s financial performance and strategic direction for the first half of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AVOL) stock is a Buy with a CHF55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Avolta AG stock, see the CH:AVOL Stock Forecast page.

Avolta AG Showcases Strong Progress Towards Destination 2027 Goals
Jun 26, 2025

Avolta AG’s Capital Markets Day highlighted the company’s progress towards its Destination 2027 targets, showcasing strong financial performance and strategic execution. The company has demonstrated resilience and growth, driven by reliable structural drivers and innovative commercial strategies, reinforcing its commitment to sustainable shareholder returns and long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AVOL) stock is a Buy with a CHF55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dufry AG stock, see the CH:AVOL Stock Forecast page.

Avolta Secures 12-Year Duty-Free Concession at Santiago Airport
Jun 24, 2025

Avolta AG has secured a 12-year duty-free concession at Santiago de Chile International Airport, enhancing its leadership in Latin America. This agreement, starting in Q3 2026, will see Avolta operating large duty-free stores, expanding its offerings and integrating Chilean culture into the customer experience, thus contributing to local tourism and economic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AVOL) stock is a Buy with a CHF40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dufry AG stock, see the CH:AVOL Stock Forecast page.

Avolta AG Secures Nine-Year Retail Contract Extension in Mexico
Jun 18, 2025

Avolta AG has extended its retail contract with Grupo Aeroportuario Centro Norte (OMA) in Mexico for nine more years, covering 15 stores across four major airports. This extension reinforces Avolta’s commitment to the region and enhances its long-standing partnership with OMA, aiming to provide travelers with premium experiences while promoting local culture and products.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AVOL) stock is a Buy with a CHF55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dufry AG stock, see the CH:AVOL Stock Forecast page.

Avolta AG Prices EUR 500 Million in Senior Notes
May 21, 2025

Avolta AG, a company operating in the financial sector, has announced the pricing of EUR 500 million in senior notes with a seven-year term and an annual interest rate of 4.50%. The proceeds from this offering will be used to refinance existing senior notes due in 2026 and to repay borrowings under its Revolving Credit Facility, potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and market operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AVOL) stock is a Buy with a CHF55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dufry AG stock, see the CH:AVOL Stock Forecast page.

Avolta AG Reports Strong Q1 2025 Performance with Strategic Growth Milestones
May 15, 2025

Avolta AG, a company with a diversified geographic and channel presence, reported a robust financial performance in the first quarter of 2025, with a CORE turnover growth of 8.2% at constant exchange rates and an EBITDA margin increase of 37 basis points year-over-year. The company achieved significant milestones in its strategic growth projects, including new retail and food & beverage contracts across various regions, and expanded its global loyalty program. Despite challenges in North America, Avolta’s performance in other regions compensated, reinforcing its medium-term growth targets and capital allocation policy.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:AVOL) stock is a Buy with a CHF55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dufry AG stock, see the CH:AVOL Stock Forecast page.

Avolta AG Expands Presence at JFK Terminal 5 with New Contracts
May 5, 2025

Avolta AG has secured two significant contracts at JFK International Airport’s Terminal 5, involving a 10-year deal to revamp dining experiences and a seven-year contract for a new retail store and gaming lounge. These developments, awarded by Fraport USA and supported by JetBlue, aim to elevate the traveler experience by introducing New York-inspired dining and retail concepts, including a video gaming lounge, further expanding Avolta’s footprint at JFK.

Avolta AG Announces Q1 Trading Update Presentation
May 2, 2025

Avolta AG has announced an upcoming Q1 Trading Update Presentation scheduled for May 15, 2025. The presentation, hosted by CEO Xavier Rossinyol and CFO Yves Gerster, will be accessible via webcast and phone, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance for the first quarter of 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025