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Cbre Group (CBRE)
:CBRE

CBRE Group (CBRE) AI Stock Analysis

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CBRE Group

(NYSE:CBRE)

70Outperform
CBRE Group scores well due to strong financial performance, characterized by significant revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. However, the technical analysis presents mixed signals, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. The positive sentiment from the earnings call, with strong growth projections and strategic acquisitions, enhances the overall score. Challenges remain in optimizing net profit margins and navigating uncertain capital markets.
Positive Factors
Business Segment Performance
Revenue, core earnings, and cash flow exceeded expectations led by outperformance in all 3 business segments.
Earnings Expectations
The adjusted EPS estimate for 2024 has been increased, indicating improved financial performance expectations.
Stock Valuation
The target price for CBRE has been increased significantly, reflecting a positive outlook on the stock's valuation.
Negative Factors
Capital Investments
Several sizable capital investments were consistent with explicit elements of the CBRE strategy.
Economic Outlook
Leasing continues to pick up globally, with office leasing revenue growing 26%, driven by greater certainty around the economic outlook, particularly in the US and Europe.

CBRE Group (CBRE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

CBRE Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCBRE Group, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate services and investment company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Advisory Services, Global Workplace Solutions, and Real Estate Investments segments. The Advisory Services segment provides strategic advice and execution to owners, investors, and occupiers of real estate in connection with leasing; property sales and mortgage services under the CBRE Capital Markets brand; property and project management services, including construction management, marketing, building engineering, accounting, and financial services for owners of and investors in office, industrial, and retail properties; and valuation services that include market value appraisals, litigation support, discounted cash flow analyses, and feasibility studies, as well as consulting services, such as property condition reports, hotel advisory, and environmental consulting. The Global Workplace Solutions segment offers facilities management, project management, and transaction management services. The Real Estate Investments segment provides investment management services under the CBRE Investment Management brand to pension funds, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, foundations, endowments, and other institutional investors; development services under the Trammell Crow Company brand primarily to users of and investors in commercial real estate; and flexible-space solutions under the CBRE Hana brand. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCBRE Group generates revenue through a diversified business model with key revenue streams including advisory services, global workplace solutions, and real estate investment. Advisory services encompass property management, leasing, and valuation, which provide recurring income from management fees and commissions. The global workplace solutions segment offers facilities management and project management services, generating revenue through long-term contracts with corporate clients. Additionally, CBRE earns from real estate investment through its subsidiary, CBRE Investment Management, which manages investment funds and provides asset management services, earning fees based on assets under management and performance. Significant partnerships with corporations and institutional investors, along with its strategic focus on innovation and technology, further contribute to CBRE's earnings by enhancing service delivery and expanding market reach.

CBRE Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CBRE Group exhibits strong financial health characterized by significant revenue growth, stable profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The company's low leverage and solid equity position provide a strong foundation for future growth. Opportunities for improvement include enhancing net profit margins and optimizing asset utilization to further increase returns.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
CBRE Group has shown robust revenue growth, with a 11.95% increase in 2024 compared to 2023. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 58.35% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin remained stable at 2.71%, suggesting consistent profitability. EBIT margin increased to 3.95%, while EBITDA margin was 5.70%, reflecting strong operational performance. Overall, the company demonstrates solid growth and stable profitability, although net margins could be higher.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 in 2024, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity (ROE) is 11.51%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio is 34.49%, suggesting a conservative financial structure. While the company maintains a strong equity base, improvements in asset utilization could enhance returns.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth of 700% in 2024, driven by significant increases in operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.77, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.45, reflecting robust cash management. This strong cash flow position provides CBRE with flexibility for future investments and debt repayments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
35.77B31.95B30.83B27.75B23.83B
Gross Profit
6.96B6.27B6.59B6.17B4.78B
EBIT
1.41B1.12B1.51B2.39B969.76M
EBITDA
1.95B1.74B1.94B2.91B1.47B
Net Income Common Stockholders
968.00M986.00M1.41B1.84B751.99M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.11B1.26B1.32B2.43B1.90B
Total Assets
24.38B22.55B20.51B22.07B18.04B
Total Debt
1.73B4.83B3.49B4.20B4.10B
Net Debt
615.00M3.56B2.17B1.77B2.20B
Total Liabilities
15.19B13.48B11.91B12.71B10.92B
Stockholders Equity
8.41B8.27B7.85B8.53B7.08B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.40B175.00M1.37B2.15B1.56B
Operating Cash Flow
1.71B480.00M1.63B2.36B1.83B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.51B-681.00M-832.46M-1.28B-341.58M
Financing Cash Flow
-221.00M154.00M-1.77B-490.63M-625.26M

CBRE Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price115.95
Price Trends
50DMA
133.65
Negative
100DMA
134.18
Negative
200DMA
124.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.42
Negative
RSI
47.13
Neutral
STOCH
45.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBRE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 115.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.34, below the 50-day MA of 133.65, and below the 200-day MA of 124.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CBRE.

CBRE Group Risk Analysis

CBRE Group disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CBRE Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CBRE Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$32.64B227.681.86%11.45%-63.09%
71
Outperform
$22.58B38.465.66%1.68%18.14%-30.84%
70
Outperform
$34.77B36.8711.61%11.95%-1.25%
JLJLL
66
Neutral
$10.00B18.698.37%12.87%142.90%
61
Neutral
$4.24B15.87-3.65%12.20%6.29%-21.37%
58
Neutral
$1.86B29.924.92%1.16%10.67%47.10%
CWCWK
58
Neutral
$1.86B14.457.65%-0.50%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBRE
CBRE Group
115.95
28.96
33.29%
CSGP
CoStar Group
77.39
-10.14
-11.58%
JLL
Jones Lang Lasalle
210.94
34.68
19.68%
NMRK
Newmark Group
10.31
0.60
6.18%
CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
8.06
-1.52
-15.87%
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A
18.44
5.72
44.97%

CBRE Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -17.56% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with record-breaking results, strategic acquisitions, and significant growth in resilient business segments. However, challenges in investment management, flat industrial leasing, and uncertain capital markets recovery present some headwinds. Despite these, the company's robust cash flow and share repurchase activity indicate a positive outlook.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Quarter
Q4 2024 was CBRE's best quarter ever for core earnings and free cash flow, with broad strength across the business.
Significant Business Acquisitions
Acquired Industrious, a premium flex workplace provider, and completed the combination of CBRE project management with Turner & Townsend.
High Growth in Resilient Businesses
Resilient businesses grew net revenue by 16% in Q4 and 14% for the year, contributing nearly 60% of total SOP for the year.
Impressive Leasing Revenue Growth
Globally, leasing revenue grew by 15%, with U.S. office leasing delivering 28% revenue growth.
Strong Cash Flow and Capital Allocation
Free cash flow exceeded $1.5 billion for the year with almost 100% conversion, surpassing the 75% to 85% target range.
Robust Share Repurchase Activity
Repurchased more than $800 million worth of shares since the end of the third quarter.
Lowlights
Challenges in Investment Management
Operating profit declined in Q4, partly due to a ramp-up of costs in anticipation of increased capital raising.
Flat Industrial Leasing
Industrial leasing was essentially flat, indicating stabilization rather than growth.
Currency Headwinds
Guidance includes a currency translation headwind of 1% to 2% in the consolidated outlook.
Uncertain Capital Markets Recovery
Capital markets activity is still below peak levels, and future growth is uncertain due to potential interest rate volatility.
Company Guidance
During the CBRE Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance for 2025, projecting core EPS to range between $5.80 and $6.10, representing over 16% growth at the midpoint. This growth is underpinned by mid-teens SOP growth across resilient lines of business and continued momentum in leasing and capital markets. The company's resilient businesses, including facilities management and project management, contributed nearly 60% to the total SOP for the year, with net revenue growing 16% in the quarter and 14% for the year. Additionally, CBRE anticipates maintaining strong free cash flow generation, approximating last year's total of $1.5 billion, with a free cash flow conversion within the 75% to 85% target range. The company also highlighted its strategic M&A activities, deploying approximately $2 billion in capital during 2024, and emphasized its high conviction in future growth prospects, supported by ongoing share repurchases.

CBRE Group Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CBRE Group Restructures Business Segments for 2025
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

On March 20, 2025, CBRE Group announced a restructuring of its business segments, effective January 1, 2025, which includes the combination of its project management business with Turner & Townsend and the acquisition of the remaining equity interest in Industrious. This restructuring aims to enhance CBRE’s service offerings and market positioning by introducing new segments such as Project Management and Building Operations & Experience, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on flexible workplace solutions and comprehensive real estate services.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CBRE Group Expands with Industrious Acquisition and Leadership Changes
Positive
Jan 14, 2025

On January 14, 2025, CBRE Group announced a definitive agreement to acquire Industrious National Management Company, a leader in flexible office solutions. This strategic acquisition involves creating a new business segment, Building Operations & Experience (BOE), which will integrate CBRE’s existing facilities and property management services with Industrious’ offerings. The move is expected to enhance CBRE’s market position by delivering scalable, innovative building operations solutions globally. Additionally, changes in leadership roles were announced, with key executives stepping into new positions to drive growth and strategic alignment, reflecting CBRE’s commitment to evolving its business structure and leadership to capitalize on industry trends and opportunities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.