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Broadstone Net Lease (BNL)
NYSE:BNL

Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) AI Stock Analysis

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Broadstone Net Lease

(NYSE:BNL)

74Outperform
Broadstone Net Lease maintains a stable financial foundation with strong cash flows and a robust balance sheet. While technical indicators are favorable, potential profitability issues and tenant risks present challenges. Valuation is reasonable with an attractive dividend yield, and recent corporate events bolster growth prospects. Overall, the stock has a solid outlook but must navigate certain risks.
Positive Factors
Dividend
A dividend of $0.29 has been declared, showing an increase of 1.8% year over year.
Portfolio
Broadstone Net Lease has a high occupancy rate of 99.1% and a rent collection rate of 99.2%.
Strategy
BNL's revised strategy is focused on build-to-suit developments and revenue-generating capex, aiming to create value and solve tenant problems.
Negative Factors
Asset Sales
Broadstone Net Lease sold $56.1 million in assets, which was below the expected $100 million.
Credit Loss
BNL's 2025 guidance includes a 125 bps credit loss, largely due to specific tenants like Zips Car Wash and Stanislaus Surgical.
Tenant Credit
Tenant credit remains an overhang with BNL's exposure to 8 Zips Car Wash, which recently filed Chapter 11.

Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Broadstone Net Lease Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBNL is an internally-managed REIT that acquires, owns, and manages primarily single-tenant commercial real estate properties that are net leased on a long-term basis to a diversified group of tenants. The Company utilizes an investment strategy underpinned by strong fundamental credit analysis and prudent real estate underwriting. As of September 30, 2020, BNL's diversified portfolio consisted of 627 properties in 41 U.S. states and one property in Canada across the industrial, healthcare, restaurant, office, and retail property types, with an aggregate gross asset value of approximately $4.0 billion.
How the Company Makes MoneyBroadstone Net Lease generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of net-leased properties. Under net lease agreements, tenants are responsible for most property-related expenses, such as taxes, insurance, and maintenance, providing BNL with stable and predictable cash flows. The company strategically acquires properties with creditworthy tenants and long lease terms to ensure reliable income. Additionally, BNL may benefit from property appreciation and engage in selective property sales to optimize or rebalance its portfolio. Key factors contributing to its earnings include the occupancy rate of its properties, lease renewals, and the company's ability to effectively manage and expand its property portfolio.

Broadstone Net Lease Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Broadstone Net Lease shows a mixed financial performance. Strong gross profit margin and robust cash flow are offset by a net loss and inconsistent revenue growth. The balance sheet is strong with improved leverage, but the negative return on equity due to net loss is a concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Broadstone Net Lease shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The Gross Profit Margin remains strong, indicating efficiency in managing costs relative to revenue. However, the Net Profit Margin has declined significantly, with the company experiencing a net loss in the most recent year, which is concerning. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline in the most recent period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins demonstrate effective operational management, but the net loss is a critical weakness.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Broadstone Net Lease is relatively robust with a strong equity base and no total debt in the most recent period, which reduces financial risk. The Debt-to-Equity ratio has improved significantly, reflecting a healthier leverage position. Return on Equity has turned negative due to the net loss, which is a concern. The Equity Ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure and financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive outlook for Broadstone Net Lease. The company has maintained strong Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow, which supports sustainability. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate has shown some volatility. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is high due to the net loss, indicating reliance on cash flow generation rather than profitability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
431.80M442.89M407.51M382.88M321.64M
Gross Profit
407.06M420.31M385.74M364.42M304.16M
EBIT
393.81M380.89M199.29M195.91M139.77M
EBITDA
400.42M380.89M354.10M328.01M272.45M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-6.55M155.48M122.11M102.43M51.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.36B19.49M21.79M21.67M100.49M
Total Assets
5.22B5.27B5.46B4.62B4.26B
Total Debt
1.91B1.91B2.02B1.69B1.54B
Net Debt
1.90B1.89B2.00B1.67B1.44B
Total Liabilities
2.07B2.07B2.20B1.88B1.78B
Stockholders Equity
3.00B3.05B3.09B2.58B2.30B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
276.25M224.82M224.54M243.34M168.22M
Operating Cash Flow
276.25M271.07M255.91M244.94M179.03M
Investing Cash Flow
-59.70M24.34M-859.64M-582.30M-60.24M
Financing Cash Flow
-221.19M-334.82M636.00M254.41M-28.38M

Broadstone Net Lease Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.72
Price Trends
50DMA
16.17
Positive
100DMA
16.11
Positive
200DMA
16.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
61.50
Neutral
STOCH
40.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BNL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.74, above the 50-day MA of 16.17, and above the 200-day MA of 16.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BNL.

Broadstone Net Lease Risk Analysis

Broadstone Net Lease disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Broadstone Net Lease reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Broadstone Net Lease Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OO
80
Outperform
$50.88B58.132.40%5.49%29.49%-22.38%
NNNNN
79
Outperform
$7.88B19.469.32%5.50%4.97%-0.26%
EPEPR
78
Outperform
$3.71B30.436.11%7.03%-1.01%-18.46%
BNBNL
74
Outperform
$3.16B19.475.37%6.94%-2.08%3.63%
ADADC
72
Outperform
$8.24B43.153.53%3.93%14.90%5.28%
WPWPC
72
Outperform
$13.44B29.375.38%5.73%-9.09%-36.58%
61
Neutral
$4.72B17.64-3.07%10.89%5.99%-21.86%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
16.18
2.01
14.18%
ADC
Agree Realty
74.46
19.75
36.10%
NNN
National Retail Properties
40.56
0.75
1.88%
O
Realty Income
55.15
4.42
8.71%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
59.15
6.43
12.20%
EPR
EPR Properties
46.84
8.14
21.03%

Broadstone Net Lease Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 19, 2025 | % Change Since: 9.42% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a balanced view with significant achievements in AFFO growth, portfolio simplification, and strategic planning for 2025, contrasted by challenges in tenant credit risks and specific bankruptcies affecting revenue. The company's robust development strategy and strong leasing performance are countered by uncertainties in the disposition market and ongoing tenant risks.
Highlights
AFFO Per Share Achievement
Achieved $1.43 of AFFO per share at the top end of guidance with a 1.4% increase compared to 2023, despite substantial portfolio repositioning efforts.
High Occupancy and Rent Collection
Portfolio is more than 99% leased with more than 99% rent collection.
Successful Portfolio Simplification
Reduced clinical and surgical assets to 3.2% of ABR from 9.7% at the end of 2023, substantially completing the clinical healthcare portfolio simplification strategy.
Strong Build-to-Suit Development Strategy
Secured $227.3 million in build-to-suit developments with attractive initial cash yields and straight-line yields, enhancing future AFFO growth.
Strategic Board Appointments
Welcomed Rick Imperiale and Joe Saffire to the Board, bringing extensive experience in REITs and asset management.
2025 Guidance and Growth Strategy
Initiated 2025 AFFO guidance range of $1.45 to $1.49 per share, representing 3% growth at midpoint, with ambitious goals for build-to-suit developments and acquisitions.
Lowlights
Zips Car Wash Bankruptcy
Navigating the bankruptcy of Zips Car Wash, which affects 62 basis points of ABR, with seven sites initially on the rejection list.
Incremental Credit Risks
Continued focus on tenant credit risks in consumer-centric industries and some healthcare properties, with a notable watch list including home furnishing and Stanislaus Surgical.
Uncertain Disposition Market
Dispositions expected to be muted in 2025, with market conditions affecting the ability to sell clinical and office assets opportunistically.
Bad Debt and Vacant Properties
Expected 125 basis points of bad debt in 2025, with efforts to manage downside risks associated with vacant properties.
Company Guidance
During Broadstone Net Lease's (BNL) Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025, projecting adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) to range between $1.45 and $1.49 per share, indicating approximately 3% growth at the midpoint. The company plans to invest between $400 million and $600 million, with a focus on build-to-suit developments and regular acquisitions, and set disposition volume guidance between $50 million and $100 million. BNL aims to add at least $500 million in new build-to-suit developments, which are expected to stabilize and commence rent payments in 2026 and 2027, contributing to their long-term growth strategy. The company's operating portfolio remains strong, with a 99% lease rate and over 99% rent collection, while managing a low pro forma leverage of 4.9x. BNL emphasized its industrial-focused strategy, with industrial properties making up approximately 70% of their investments and retail, including restaurants and medtail assets, comprising the remaining 30%. The guidance reflects a focus on derisked growth strategies, ensuring robust performance through a solid pipeline of investments and strategic asset dispositions.

Broadstone Net Lease Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Broadstone Net Lease Closes $1.5 Billion Credit Agreement
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

On February 28, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. announced the closing of a $1.5 billion Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, which includes a $1 billion revolving credit facility and a $500 million term loan. The new credit facilities, which replace the existing $400 million term loan due in February 2026, enhance the company’s financial flexibility by providing increased liquidity, improved borrowing rates, and favorable adjustments to financial covenants. This move is expected to support Broadstone’s growth objectives and strengthen its financial position, with no near-term debt maturities until April 2027.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Broadstone Net Lease Appoints New Directors for 2025
Neutral
Feb 18, 2025

On February 13, 2025, Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. announced that Shekar Narasimhan and Denise Brooks-Williams would not stand for re-election as directors, ending their terms at the 2025 Annual Meeting. The board, effective the same day, appointed Richard Imperiale and Joseph Saffire as new directors, bringing substantial experience in the REIT industry. These changes mark a strategic evolution for the company as it continues to implement its differentiated investment strategy and build long-term stockholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Broadstone Net Lease Expands with New Development Projects
Positive
Jan 6, 2025

Broadstone Net Lease announced the addition of $117.4 million in new build-to-suit development commitments, enhancing its growth strategy by securing significant projects like a state-of-the-art distribution facility for Southwire Company. The company also scheduled its Q4 2024 earnings release and appointed Sam DeLemos as VP of Build-to-Suit Development, leveraging his extensive experience to further strengthen its development pipeline.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.