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Accelerate Diagnostics (AXDX)
NASDAQ:AXDX

Accelerate Diagnostics (AXDX) AI Stock Analysis

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Accelerate Diagnostics

(NASDAQ:AXDX)

29Underperform
Accelerate Diagnostics faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage and declining revenues being major concerns. Technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook, and the stock's valuation is unattractive. Although there is some promise in strategic initiatives and clinical progress, these are overshadowed by ongoing financial instability.

Accelerate Diagnostics (AXDX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Accelerate Diagnostics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAccelerate Diagnostics, Inc. (AXDX) is a medical diagnostics company specializing in the development and commercialization of innovative solutions aimed at improving patient outcomes through the rapid identification and antimicrobial susceptibility testing of infectious pathogens. The company's flagship product, the Accelerate Pheno system, is designed to significantly reduce the time needed to deliver crucial diagnostic results in clinical microbiology laboratories, thereby facilitating faster and more effective treatment decisions in the healthcare sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyAccelerate Diagnostics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diagnostic systems and associated consumables. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the Accelerate Pheno system, including initial hardware sales and ongoing sales of proprietary consumable test kits required for each diagnostic test conducted. Additionally, Accelerate Diagnostics may engage in service agreements and maintenance contracts with healthcare institutions to provide continuous support and updates for their diagnostic systems. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers and laboratories also play a role in expanding their market reach and enhancing their revenue potential.

Accelerate Diagnostics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Accelerate Diagnostics faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, persistent losses, and high financial leverage. The negative equity and cash flow issues highlight potential risks in maintaining operational stability. Strategic improvements are necessary to enhance financial health and sustainability.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Accelerate Diagnostics has shown a consistent decline in revenue with a negative revenue growth rate over the years. The company has negative margins across all metrics, indicating an inability to generate profits efficiently. The negative Net Profit Margin and EBIT Margin suggest significant challenges in cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The company exhibits a very high Debt-to-Equity Ratio due to negative equity, indicating potential solvency issues and high financial risk. Negative stockholders’ equity suggests accumulated losses outweigh assets. The equity ratio is also unfavorable, reflecting weak capital structure stability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
There is a negative Free Cash Flow, showcasing cash outflows exceeding inflows, which can strain liquidity. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is unfavorable, reflecting cash flow challenges. Although there is some improvement in Free Cash Flow, the overall trajectory remains concerning.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.88M12.06M12.75M11.78M11.16M9.30M
Gross Profit
2.86M2.55M3.30M-381.00K4.46M4.40M
EBIT
-35.78M-54.03M-62.80M-71.56M-63.70M-72.83M
EBITDA
-38.70M-49.77M-55.80M-59.59M-59.66M-67.56M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-53.46M-61.62M-62.49M-77.70M-78.21M-84.31M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
166.48M13.22M45.56M63.62M68.27M108.45M
Total Assets
185.26M31.37M65.02M83.05M93.42M134.42M
Total Debt
120.07M39.22M77.54M111.11M149.98M134.07M
Net Debt
53.81M27.08M42.63M71.22M114.20M73.06M
Total Liabilities
127.89M51.25M87.28M118.12M156.24M141.80M
Stockholders Equity
57.38M-19.89M-22.26M-35.07M-62.81M-7.38M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-26.99M-41.23M-49.28M-47.93M-51.76M-65.12M
Operating Cash Flow
-26.88M-40.20M-48.73M-47.32M-50.39M-64.79M
Investing Cash Flow
-619.00K8.66M12.42M8.30M13.61M52.81M
Financing Cash Flow
27.75M9.02M31.63M43.23M11.63M6.82M

Accelerate Diagnostics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.86
Price Trends
50DMA
1.15
Negative
100DMA
1.33
Negative
200DMA
1.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
28.03
Positive
STOCH
7.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXDX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.07, below the 50-day MA of 1.15, and below the 200-day MA of 1.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.03 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AXDX.

Accelerate Diagnostics Risk Analysis

Accelerate Diagnostics disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Accelerate Diagnostics reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Accelerate Diagnostics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.02B18.0419.46%19.07%
49
Neutral
$6.86B0.72-52.93%2.49%20.83%1.11%
46
Neutral
$2.36B-50.74%-7.03%-20233.78%
29
Underperform
$22.11M110.26%-2.99%59.87%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AXDX
Accelerate Diagnostics
0.86
-0.13
-13.13%
QDEL
QuidelOrtho
35.87
-12.07
-25.18%
CDNA
CareDx
18.35
7.76
73.28%

Accelerate Diagnostics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 21, 2025 | % Change Since: -23.89% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view with several positive achievements such as progress in clinical trials, FDA clearance for new systems, and improved gross margins. However, these were balanced by challenges like decreased net sales and ongoing net losses. The strategic focus on innovation and market leadership is promising, yet financial metrics indicate areas needing attention.
Highlights
Clinical Trial Progress for WAVE System
The clinical trial for the WAVE system and Gram-Negative testing menu is on track with external site enrollments meeting expectations. Submission to the FDA is anticipated in Q1 of 2025 with a review timeline of approximately 9 months.
FDA 510(k) Clearance Obtained for Arc System
The Arc system, which includes the blood culture kit, received FDA 510(k) clearance. This platform is designed to reduce diagnostic turnaround times in clinical settings, especially for conditions like sepsis.
Increased Gross Margin
Gross margin was approximately 29% for the quarter, a significant increase from approximately 3% in the same period in the prior year. This was driven by product mix and an inventory write-down in the prior period.
Reduction in SG&A and R&D Expenses
SG&A expenses were reduced to approximately $5.6 million from $7.8 million, and R&D expenses were reduced to $3.8 million from $7 million compared to the same period in the prior year.
Strong Reduction in Cash Used
Cash used for the quarter was approximately $5.5 million, with a strong reduction in cash used from operations down over $2 million quarter-over-quarter.
Lowlights
Decrease in Net Sales
Net sales were approximately $3 million for the quarter, down from approximately $3.3 million for the same period in the prior year, primarily due to lower instrument sales.
Ongoing Net Loss
The net loss for the quarter was approximately $14.6 million, resulting in a loss per share of $0.59.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2024, Accelerate Diagnostics, Inc. demonstrated significant advancements and provided detailed guidance on their strategic initiatives. The company reported net sales of approximately $3 million, a slight decrease from $3.3 million the previous year, but saw a high single-digit increase in consumable-related product sales. Gross margin improved to 29% from 3% due to favorable product mix and inventory adjustments. Selling, general, and administrative expenses were reduced to $5.6 million, with research and development expenses also decreasing to $3.8 million, reflecting a focus on lower third-party development costs for the WAVE program. The company's net loss was reported at $14.6 million, equating to a loss per share of $0.59. Despite these financial metrics, Accelerate Diagnostics highlighted strong progress in the clinical trial of their WAVE system, on track for FDA submission in Q1 2025 with a review timeline of approximately nine months. Additionally, their recent FDA 510(k) clearance for the Accelerate Arc system marked a pivotal achievement, promising reduced diagnostic turnaround times and improved antimicrobial stewardship, while their commercial strategy aims to secure long-term contracts and expand market reach beyond the U.S. and EMEA regions. The company maintains a cash burn target of $5 million per quarter, anticipating sufficient operating cash through the end of 2025, contingent upon third-party product partnership payments.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.