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Zelira Therapeutics (AU:ZLD)
ASX:ZLD

Zelira Therapeutics (ZLD) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ZLD

Zelira Therapeutics

(Sydney:ZLD)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.70
▲(106.18% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (sharp revenue collapse, negative margins, negative equity, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals provide partial support due to strong momentum and price above key moving averages, but overbought RSI increases downside risk. Valuation offers limited support because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Proprietary formulations & clinical research
Proprietary cannabinoid formulations and an emphasis on clinical research create durable product differentiation and intellectual property. Over the medium term this supports regulatory credibility, prescriber and payer acceptance, and higher switching costs versus commoditized alternatives.
Diverse revenue model (sales, partnerships, royalties)
A business model combining product sales with partnership agreements, milestone payments and royalties provides structural revenue diversification. This reduces reliance on a single channel, can supply non-dilutive funding for R&D, and enables market expansion via partners over months.
Signs of free cash flow improvement
A reported uptick in free cash flow growth and FCF-to-net-income parity (albeit from negative base) indicates early operational stabilization. If sustained, modest FCF recovery would extend runway, reduce dependence on external financing, and allow targeted reinvestment in commercialization or trials.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue collapse
A nearly 100% revenue decline is a structural red flag: loss of scale weakens gross margin prospects, reduces ability to cover fixed costs, and limits funds for R&D and commercialization. Without durable revenue recovery, the business model and market position are materially impaired.
Negative shareholders' equity
Negative equity indicates balance sheet insolvency risk and constrains financing options. This structural weakness limits access to traditional debt, raises likelihood of covenant breaches or distressed financings, and often necessitates dilutive capital raises that harm long-term shareholder value.
Persistent negative operating and free cash flows
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows signal a cash-burning profile that requires continual external funding. Over months this reduces strategic flexibility, heightens dilution risk, and can force delays or cuts to clinical and commercial initiatives critical for long-term value creation.

Zelira Therapeutics (ZLD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Zelira Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZelira Therapeutics (ZLD) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative cannabinoid-based therapeutics. Operating primarily in the healthcare sector, Zelira aims to address various health conditions, including chronic pain, sleep disorders, and other serious ailments. The company leverages its proprietary formulations and clinical research to create products that are designed to improve patient outcomes and quality of life.
How the Company Makes MoneyZelira Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary cannabinoid-based products, which are marketed to both consumers and healthcare providers. The company also engages in partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies and research institutions to develop new therapies and expand its product portfolio. Additionally, Zelira may receive funding through grants, licensing agreements, and joint ventures that support its research and development efforts. These strategic partnerships often include milestone payments and royalties, further contributing to the company's earnings.

Zelira Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak fundamentals: revenue fell sharply (-98.4%), margins are negative (gross, EBIT, and net), the balance sheet shows negative stockholders’ equity, and both operating and free cash flow are negative—indicating significant financial instability and ongoing cash burn.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Zelira Therapeutics has experienced significant revenue decline, with a revenue growth rate of -98.4% in the most recent year. The company has negative gross profit, net profit, and EBIT margins, indicating substantial losses. These metrics reflect severe financial challenges and a lack of profitability.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows negative stockholders' equity, which is concerning. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative due to negative equity, and the return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating financial instability.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
The company has negative operating and free cash flows, with a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting ongoing cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, indicating that all net income is being used for free cash flow, but this is due to both being negative.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue655.00656.0094.95K301.12K1.54M663.32K
Gross Profit-802.95K-802.95K10.28K-3.22M-5.72M-39.16K
EBITDA-4.17M-4.17M-36.44M-6.79M-13.06M-9.41M
Net Income-3.63M-3.63M-36.57M-5.57M-11.95M-8.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30M1.30M5.18M33.89M37.70M39.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.66K5.66K586.16K146.21K2.75M4.97M
Total Debt2.14M2.14M5.95M437.90K500.91K551.08K
Total Liabilities5.59M5.59M9.36M2.18M2.01M1.54M
Stockholders Equity-4.46M-4.46M-4.51M31.80M35.20M37.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.91M-4.91M-4.39M-7.25M-9.43M-8.62M
Operating Cash Flow-4.91M-4.91M-4.39M-7.25M-9.43M-8.62M
Investing Cash Flow1.15M1.15M919.74K2.83M-207.78K1.38M
Financing Cash Flow3.19M3.19M3.92M1.77M7.10M10.53M

Zelira Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.34
Price Trends
50DMA
0.46
Positive
100DMA
0.41
Positive
200DMA
0.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
54.75
Neutral
STOCH
10.26
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ZLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.59, below the 50-day MA of 0.46, and below the 200-day MA of 0.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.26 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ZLD.

Zelira Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
AU$7.38M-1.96-99.31%90.20%
49
Neutral
AU$46.56M-11.11-16.65%-672.73%
48
Neutral
AU$9.39M-19.84-8.72%71.10%
48
Neutral
AU$13.78M-2.29-166.70%
44
Neutral
AU$33.06M-9.09-143.71%306.88%
37
Underperform
AU$11.47M-1.61-628.72%31.87%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ZLD
Zelira Therapeutics
0.62
0.10
19.23%
AU:IXC
Invex Therapeutics Ltd.
0.13
0.05
71.23%
AU:CMB
Regeneus Ltd.
0.59
0.22
59.46%
AU:AVE
Avecho Biotechnology Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:1AD
AdAlta Ltd.
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
AU:NSB
Neuroscientific Biopharmaceuticals Ltd.
0.14
0.10
250.00%

Zelira Therapeutics Corporate Events

Zelira Secures US$33m Strategic Investment to Advance HOPE® 1 Autism Therapy
Jan 15, 2026

Zelira Therapeutics has secured binding agreements with TGC Biotechnology Fund (ThirdGate Capital) for a US$32.98 million equity investment into its HOPE® 1 special purpose vehicle, valuing the SPV at about US$66 million and Zelira’s post-money stake at roughly US$26.19 million. The deal will leave ThirdGate holding 50% of the HOPE® 1 SPV on a fully diluted basis, with Zelira retaining 39.7%, and is expected to fully fund an accelerated U.S. development program via the FDA’s 505(b)(2) pathway for HOPE® 1 in Phelan-McDermid Syndrome co-morbid with autism, a rare, genetically defined subset of autism spectrum disorder that may qualify for orphan drug designation. The funding underscores investor confidence in HOPE® 1’s clinical and commercial potential, strengthens Zelira’s balance sheet exposure to a key asset, and positions the company to advance first-in-human trials in the United States, with potential long-term benefits from exclusivity and regulatory incentives if orphan status is granted.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ZLD) stock is a Sell with a A$0.33 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zelira Therapeutics stock, see the AU:ZLD Stock Forecast page.

Zelira Therapeutics Adjusts Director’s Interest with Convertible Notes
Dec 4, 2025

Zelira Therapeutics announced a change in the interest of its director, Oludare Odumosu, involving the acquisition of 386,847 convertible notes. This change reflects the issuance of convertible notes to replace a Convertible Loan Agreement, which was approved by shareholders, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and signaling strategic financial adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ZLD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zelira Therapeutics stock, see the AU:ZLD Stock Forecast page.

Zelira Therapeutics Issues Unquoted Convertible Notes
Dec 4, 2025

Zelira Therapeutics Limited announced the issuance of 580,270 unquoted convertible notes as part of a previously announced transaction. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its capital structure and providing additional resources for its ongoing projects and market expansion efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ZLD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zelira Therapeutics stock, see the AU:ZLD Stock Forecast page.

Zelira Therapeutics Secures $1.07 Million R&D Tax Refund
Nov 25, 2025

Zelira Therapeutics has received a $1,070,000 cash refund from the Australian Federal Government’s R&D Tax Incentive Scheme. This refund will support the company’s ongoing clinical and product development programs, as well as initiatives for pipeline products and essential business operations, thereby strengthening its position in the cannabis medicine industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ZLD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zelira Therapeutics stock, see the AU:ZLD Stock Forecast page.

Zelira Therapeutics Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Nov 19, 2025

Zelira Therapeutics Limited has announced a proposed issue of securities, specifically a convertible note, with a maximum of 580,271 securities to be issued. This move is part of their strategy to raise capital, potentially impacting the company’s financial position and market operations as they continue to expand their offerings in the cannabinoid-based medicine sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ZLD) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zelira Therapeutics stock, see the AU:ZLD Stock Forecast page.

Zelira Therapeutics Focuses on Operational Scale in 2025
Nov 19, 2025

Zelira Therapeutics’ 2025 Annual General Meeting highlighted the company’s focus on validating its operational scale. The announcement underscores Zelira’s strategic intentions and future plans, acknowledging the inherent risks and uncertainties in achieving these objectives. The company’s efforts to expand its operational capabilities are crucial for its positioning in the cannabinoid therapeutics industry, with potential implications for stakeholders as it navigates market challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ZLD) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zelira Therapeutics stock, see the AU:ZLD Stock Forecast page.

Zelira Therapeutics Secures R&D Loan and Advances Clinical Trials
Oct 27, 2025

Zelira Therapeutics has announced a non-dilutive R&D loan facility secured against its anticipated R&D tax incentive rebate for FY25, which will be used to advance the HOPE® SPV clinical trial and general working capital. Additionally, the company’s directors have provided unsecured loan notes to support operations. The company is making significant progress in its FDA program for the HOPE® clinical trial, with plans to launch Phase 1 trials for its HOPE® 1 Phelan McDermid Syndrome program. This development is part of Zelira’s strategy to bring effective cannabinoid-based therapies to market, targeting ultra-rare genetic conditions and improving patient outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ZLD) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zelira Therapeutics stock, see the AU:ZLD Stock Forecast page.

Zelira Therapeutics Announces Cessation of Securities
Oct 22, 2025

Zelira Therapeutics Limited announced the cessation of 125,723 securities due to the expiry of options or other convertible securities without exercise or conversion. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence investor perceptions and market positioning as the company continues its strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ZLD) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zelira Therapeutics stock, see the AU:ZLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026