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Vicinity Centres (AU:VCX)
:VCX

Vicinity Centres (VCX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Vicinity Centres

(OTC:VCX)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(1.63%Upside)
Vicinity Centres maintains a strong financial foundation with improving profit margins and stable leverage, which significantly contributes to its overall score. The stock's bullish technical indicators further enhance its attractiveness. Although valuation metrics show fair pricing, the stock's solid dividend yield is a plus for investors seeking income.

Vicinity Centres (VCX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Vicinity Centres Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVicinity Centres (Vicinity or the Group) is one of Australia's leading retail property groups. With a fully integrated asset management platform, and $24 billion in retail assets under management across 63 shopping centres, it is the second largest listed manager of Australian retail property. Vicinity has a Direct Portfolio with interests in 60 shopping centres (including the DFO Brisbane business) and manages 31 assets on behalf of Strategic Partners, 28 of which are co-owned by the Group. Vicinity is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code VCX and has over 28,000 securityholders. Vicinity also has European medium term notes listed on the ASX under the code VCD.
How the Company Makes MoneyVicinity Centres makes money primarily through rental income generated from leasing retail space in its shopping centers to various tenants. The company has multiple revenue streams including base rent, which is a fixed amount agreed upon in lease contracts, and turnover rent, which is a percentage of the tenant's sales revenue. Additionally, Vicinity Centres earns from ancillary services such as parking fees and advertising spaces within the centers. The company may also generate revenue through strategic partnerships and joint ventures aimed at developing and enhancing their property portfolio. These elements, combined with efficient property management and development activities, contribute to the company's earnings.

Vicinity Centres Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vicinity Centres exhibits strong financial health with growing revenues and improving profit margins, reflecting solid operational performance. The balance sheet is stable with a conservative leverage position, though vigilance is needed regarding rising debt levels. Cash flow generation remains sound, though recent dips in free cash flow warrant attention. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the retail REIT segment, with potential for further financial strengthening.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Vicinity Centres has shown a positive trend in revenue growth with a 6.6% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin stands at 69.8%, indicating strong cost control relative to revenue. The net profit margin improved significantly to 41.7% in 2024 from 22.1% in 2023, a clear sign of enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 61.0% and 56.1% respectively, pointing to efficient operations and management effectiveness.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.43, suggesting a moderate level of leverage which is typical for REITs. The return on equity is 5.1%, reflecting a reasonable return given the industry context but with room for improvement. The equity ratio is strong at 67.7%, indicating substantial equity financing and a stable financial structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years should be monitored.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.26, demonstrating that the company generates ample cash relative to its net income. However, free cash flow has decreased by 3.9% from 2023 to 2024, which may signal a need for more efficient capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65, indicating the company’s ability to generate cash after capital investments but could be healthier.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.37B1.31B1.23B1.18B1.11B1.22B
Gross Profit
950.10M916.50M880.80M851.50M758.20M898.70M
EBIT
836.60M800.80M791.70M780.20M500.30M692.10M
EBITDA
793.90M736.00M745.10M785.70M514.90M-1.19B
Net Income Common Stockholders
816.20M547.10M271.50M1.22B-256.80M-1.80B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
109.40M49.60M192.90M55.60M36.20M227.40M
Total Assets
16.42B15.73B15.58B15.55B14.34B15.24B
Total Debt
5.17B4.62B4.46B4.14B3.63B4.25B
Net Debt
5.06B4.57B4.27B4.09B3.59B4.02B
Total Liabilities
5.56B5.09B4.95B4.67B4.33B4.68B
Stockholders Equity
10.86B10.64B10.64B10.89B10.01B10.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
701.50M353.10M367.50M334.90M598.70M470.80M
Operating Cash Flow
702.00M690.10M702.20M589.50M599.90M472.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-734.90M-435.70M-203.20M-512.30M-126.50M-175.20M
Financing Cash Flow
46.70M-397.70M-361.70M-68.80M-655.30M-104.30M

Vicinity Centres Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.46
Price Trends
50DMA
2.34
Positive
100DMA
2.24
Positive
200DMA
2.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
62.12
Neutral
STOCH
59.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:VCX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.41, above the 50-day MA of 2.34, and above the 200-day MA of 2.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:VCX.

Vicinity Centres Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUVCX
72
Outperform
AU$11.22B13.727.73%6.04%1.97%156.14%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.920.41%8438.90%5.75%-21.03%
$4.87B-9.22%5.89%
$6.08B-1.94%4.97%
$5.91B-6.29%5.14%
$12.57B18.105.94%4.70%
$8.54B27.804.54%4.70%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:VCX
Vicinity Centres
2.46
0.66
36.97%
DEXSF
Dexus
4.51
0.10
2.27%
GPTGF
GPT Group
3.18
0.48
17.78%
MRVGF
Mirvac Group
1.35
0.08
6.30%
STGPF
Scentre Group
2.42
0.42
21.00%
STKAF
Stockland
3.45
0.59
20.63%

Vicinity Centres Corporate Events

AustralianSuper Increases Stake in Vicinity Centres
May 13, 2025

AustralianSuper Pty Ltd has increased its voting power in Vicinity Centres from 6.04% to 7.36%, as indicated in a recent change of interests notice. This increase in voting power reflects AustralianSuper’s growing influence within Vicinity Centres, potentially impacting the company’s strategic decisions and signaling confidence in its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:VCX) stock is a Sell with a A$2.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vicinity Centres stock, see the AU:VCX Stock Forecast page.

Vicinity Centres Reports Strong 3Q FY25 Performance Amid Strategic Growth
May 5, 2025

Vicinity Centres reported a robust third quarter for FY25, driven by strong retailer and shopper confidence. The company highlighted the successful opening of ‘The Market Pavilion’ at Chadstone, stable occupancy rates, and increased retail sales, particularly in specialties and mini majors. Vicinity continues to focus on strategic investments and divestments, maintaining a low proforma gearing of 27.5%, which supports its growth agenda. The company expects its FY25 FFO and AFFO per security to be at the top end of its guidance range, reflecting the strength of its portfolio metrics.

Vicinity Centres Announces Director’s Interest Change
Apr 23, 2025

Vicinity Centres has announced a change in the director’s interest for Peter Huddle, involving the sale of fully paid ordinary stapled securities. This transaction is aimed at financing tax obligations arising from the vesting of performance and restricted rights, as well as the release of securities linked to short-term incentive awards. This move reflects the company’s ongoing management of executive compensation and its impact on the company’s financial operations.

Vicinity Centres Reports Cessation of Securities
Apr 3, 2025

Vicinity Centres announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically 464,671 performance rights and 111,697 restricted rights, due to unmet conditions as of March 31, 2025. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, reflecting challenges in meeting performance or other conditional criteria.

Vicinity Centres Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Mar 13, 2025

Vicinity Centres has announced the quotation of 10,602,864 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of March 13, 2025. This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan, potentially enhancing the company’s capital structure and providing additional value to its stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.