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TMK Energy Limited (AU:TMK)
ASX:TMK
Australian Market

TMK Energy Limited (TMK) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:TMK

TMK Energy Limited

(Sydney:TMK)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.11
▼(-5.00% Downside)
Action:N/ADate:01/04/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (pre-revenue operations, ongoing losses, and persistent cash burn despite modest improvement). Technical indicators are neutral with no strong trend, and valuation metrics provide limited support given the negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

TMK Energy Limited (TMK) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

TMK Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTMK Energy Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and production of petroleum and gas properties. The company holds a 100% working interest in the Gurvantes XXXV Coal Seam Gas project, which covers an area of 8,400 square kilometers located in the South Gobi Desert in Mongolia. It also holds a 20% of the Talisman Deep Project, which contains the Napoleon structure located in WA-8-L below Talisman in the Barrow-Dampier sub-basin. The company was formerly known as Tamaska Oil and Gas Limited and changed its name to TMK Energy Limited in February 2022. TMK Energy Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTMK’s intended revenue model is to develop its gas resources into commercial production and generate cash flow primarily from the sale of natural gas (and potentially related gas products) to end-users via gas offtake arrangements. Revenue would be driven by (i) producing gas from developed wells, (ii) selling that gas under sales/offtake contracts to customers (typically industrial users, power generation, or local gas markets), and (iii) scaling production volumes as more reserves are converted to proved/developed status and additional wells and processing/compression infrastructure are installed. If the company enters farm-out/joint venture transactions, it may also generate funding or consideration from partners in exchange for project equity or interests. Specific details on current recurring operating revenue, active commercial production, executed gas sales contracts, or material operating partnerships are not available; therefore, the amount, timing, and composition of actual revenues cannot be confirmed and are null.

TMK Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are weak for an exploration-stage, pre-revenue company: revenue is 0 (2022–2024) with continued net losses and negative EBIT/EBITDA. Positives include a debt-free balance sheet and improved equity, plus narrowing net loss and less negative free cash flow in 2024, but ongoing cash burn implies continued reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company remains pre-revenue, with revenue at 0 in 2022–2024 (annual) after minimal revenue in 2020–2021, which drives structurally weak profitability. Losses continue, with net income improving from -2.6M (2023) to -1.4M (2024) but still solidly negative, and operating results remain deeply loss-making (negative EBIT/EBITDA each year). Overall, the trajectory shows some narrowing of losses in the latest year, but the lack of revenue scale and persistent negative earnings materially depress the income statement quality.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively financed with no reported debt across all periods, reducing financial risk and refinancing pressure. Equity increased meaningfully from 17.8M (2023) to 23.7M (2024) alongside higher total assets, indicating improved capitalization. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (still negative in 2024), reflecting that capital is not yet generating profits and dilutive funding risk can remain elevated for an exploration-stage business.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is weak, with operating cash flow negative in every year shown (including 2024), signaling ongoing cash burn to sustain operations. Free cash flow is also consistently negative, though it improved from -11.7M (2023) to -8.7M (2024), suggesting some moderation in spending or better working capital dynamics. Overall, the company appears dependent on external funding to support continued investment, and cash-flow stability remains a clear risk despite the year-over-year improvement.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Jun 2022Jun 2020Jun 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.001.06K1.07K
Gross Profit-2.32K-3.26K-2.27K-3.17K-8.89K
EBITDA-1.37M-2.21M-3.52M-329.39K-403.56K
Net Income-1.38M-2.59M-3.60M-574.16K-1.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.36M18.30M4.07M2.91M2.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.00M2.26M2.68M2.40M2.91M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities629.36K493.80K371.54K113.93K94.05K
Stockholders Equity23.73M17.81M3.70M2.79M2.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.66M-11.67M-2.41M-999.16K-682.65K
Operating Cash Flow-1.32M-1.33M-912.24K-429.71K-348.17K
Investing Cash Flow-6.86M-4.29M-50.81K107.55K-334.48K
Financing Cash Flow7.52M5.33M2.13M40.00K1.95M

TMK Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$67.00M-6.8511.28%17.42%-38.46%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
AU$13.56M-12.50-8.22%-7.30%
49
Neutral
AU$31.65M-412.50-8.56%
44
Neutral
AU$41.94M-29.16-15.00%40.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:TMK
TMK Energy Limited
0.15
0.02
20.83%
ELXPF
Elixir Energy Limited
0.07
0.04
133.33%
OTTEF
Otto Energy Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:ROG
Red Sky Energy Limited
AU:CTP
Central Petroleum Limited
0.09
0.02
27.14%
AU:TDO
3D Oil Limited
0.08
-0.03
-27.27%

TMK Energy Limited Corporate Events

TMK Energy Shares Halted on ASX Ahead of Capital Raising Announcement
Mar 16, 2026

TMK Energy Limited has requested and been granted a trading halt on its securities on the ASX from the start of trading on 17 March 2026, with the halt to last until either 19 March 2026 or the release of a pending announcement. The pause is intended to allow the company to manage its continuous disclosure obligations while it undertakes a capital raising, temporarily suspending normal trading and signaling an imminent funding-related update for investors.

The trading halt indicates TMK is progressing a capital raising that could affect its financial position, ownership structure, or future project funding, though specific terms have not yet been disclosed. For shareholders and potential investors, the move underscores both the company’s reliance on equity markets for capital and the likelihood of near‑term news that may influence valuation and liquidity once trading resumes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy Hits Record Gas Flow at Mongolian CSG Pilot
Mar 15, 2026

TMK Energy has reported another record at its Gurvantes XXXV coal seam gas project in Mongolia, with daily gas output surpassing 1,000 cubic metres, or more than 35,000 standard cubic feet per day. The LF-07 well is providing about 70% of this volume, confirming that gas is actively desorbing from the coal seams at that location.

Overall gas production from the pilot well project is now roughly double the level recorded in early February 2026, underscoring how quickly rates can accelerate once critical desorption pressure is reached. Management says LF-07’s outperformance and the emerging “hockey stick” growth profile across the field mark a key inflection point and bring the project’s commercial potential significantly closer, with other wells expected to follow a similar ramp-up as they reach the same pressure conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy Sets New Gas Output Record at Mongolian CSG Pilot
Feb 26, 2026

TMK Energy has reported a new daily gas production record of more than 25,000 standard cubic feet at its Gurvantes XXXV coal seam gas project in Mongolia, following the rebound in output after planned shut-ins of two pilot wells for pressure build-up tests. The tests confirmed reservoir pressure is falling in line with the company’s model, a key condition for gas desorption from coal seams and an important indicator for long-term project viability.

The LF-07 well has emerged as the standout performer, with gas production climbing above 13,000 scfd and showing a steady upward trend, supported by indications that gas is being desorbed from one of the highest wells in the structure. Management highlighted that the recent performance suggests the development of a localized gas saturation zone and bolsters confidence in expanding gas saturation across the field, reinforcing the project’s potential and supporting a more optimistic outlook for shareholders as production trends strengthen.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy to Outline Gurvantes XXXV Development Roadmap in Investor Webinar
Feb 22, 2026

TMK Energy Limited has scheduled an investor webinar to present a conceptual development plan and technical update for its wholly owned Gurvantes XXXV Coal Seam Gas Project in Mongolia. The session will detail extensive reservoir modelling and insights from the ongoing Pilot Well Project, outlining how TMK intends to develop its significant contingent gas resources and progress the project toward full commercialisation.

The webinar, to be hosted by chief executive Dougal Ferguson on 26 February 2026, is aimed at shareholders, investors and media and will include a question-and-answer component. By formally mapping out its development roadmap, TMK is signalling a move from appraisal toward potential commercial execution at Gurvantes XXXV, a step that could reshape its growth profile and enhance its standing in the regional coal seam gas sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy Reaffirms Resource Base at Gurvantes XXXV CSG Project
Feb 22, 2026

TMK Energy has released a conceptual development plan and technical update for its Gurvantes XXXV coal seam gas project, supported by independent contingent and prospective resource estimates from Netherland, Sewell & Associates. The company confirms that the existing resource assessments, prepared under SPE PRMS guidelines, remain current with no material changes to assumptions or technical parameters, reinforcing the project’s potential scale and underpinning future development planning.

The update highlights classification of contingent resources across 1C, 2C and 3C categories and prospective resources across 1U, 2U and 3U, with probabilistic methods used for undiscovered gas volumes. By reaffirming these independently evaluated resources, TMK strengthens confidence in the recoverability and commercial potential of the Gurvantes XXXV project, which is central to its growth strategy and of interest to stakeholders tracking its path toward potential gas development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy joins Mongolia in gas-to-power study to bolster energy security
Feb 10, 2026

TMK Energy Limited has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Mongolia’s Ministry of Energy to jointly study how domestically produced natural gas, particularly from coal seam gas, can be integrated into the country’s future power generation. The collaboration reflects the government’s strategy to diversify away from coal and imported electricity by incorporating cleaner, flexible gas-fired capacity into its energy system.

The first priority under the MoU is a Baseline Study on using methane gas for peak load power supply, aimed at addressing winter supply constraints and reducing reliance on imported power. The study will assess how Mongolia’s vast coal seam gas resources can support reliable, on-demand power generation and help establish a more resilient and environmentally friendly domestic energy mix.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy marks sixth consecutive production record at Gurvantes
Feb 4, 2026

Record January output at Gurvantes lifted daily gas production 13% month on month to 23,800 scfd peak and 593m³ average, driven by the new LF-07 well which topped 10,000 scfd under the updated reservoir management plan despite harsh winter operations. Management sees the sixth straight monthly high and upcoming pressure build-up tests as strengthening confidence in reservoir performance and the case for on-site power generation to mitigate third-party outages.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy Lifts Gas Output, Cuts Costs Ahead of 2026 Commercialisation Push
Jan 27, 2026

TMK Energy Limited reported a strong December 2025 quarter, highlighted by record and rising gas production from its Pilot Well Project, with output exceeding 20,000 standard cubic feet per day and all wells operating at more than 99% uptime. The implementation of a revised reservoir management plan has driven improved gas rates, reduced coal fines and eliminated pump blockages, cutting costly workovers and confirming reservoir pressure is declining in line with modelling. Over 2025, TMK more than doubled the average number of producing wells, lifted average daily gas output by 357% while keeping water rates stable, and removed more than $1 million in recurring costs through lower field, staff and corporate expenses, while also strengthening on-site operational capability with key hires. The company completed its 2025 exploration drilling obligations, confirming extensions of target coal seams and gas-rich coals consistent with existing pilot wells, and finalised a major 55:1 capital consolidation and unmarketable parcel sale aimed at reducing administrative overheads. With reservoir modelling nearing completion and growing third-party interest, TMK plans to launch a formal partnering process in early 2026, positioning 2026 as a pivotal year for the commercialisation of its gas resource and potentially enhancing value for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy Marks Fifth Month of Record Output at Mongolian CSG Project
Jan 4, 2026

TMK Energy has logged a fifth consecutive month of rising gas production at its Gurvantes XXXV coal seam gas project in Mongolia, with record daily output of about 570 cubic metres (over 20,100 scfd) reached on 30 December 2025 and average December production up 13% on November. Total December gas output climbed to 16,306 cubic metres while water production remained steady, and the company is now advancing engineering work to comingle gas from all pilot wells for on-site power generation with potential surplus electricity sales into the local grid, underscoring growing confidence in the field’s commercialisation prospects during 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:TMK) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TMK Energy Limited stock, see the AU:TMK Stock Forecast page.

TMK Energy Director John Warburton Increases Shareholding in On‑Market Purchase
Dec 23, 2025

TMK Energy Limited has disclosed a change in the equity holdings of non-executive director Professor John Warburton, in line with ASX director interest reporting requirements. The filing shows Warburton acquired 90,556 fully paid ordinary shares via an on‑market trade on 22 December 2025 for $9,690.81, increasing his direct shareholding to 1,068,966 ordinary shares while his existing portfolio of listed and unlisted options remains unchanged, signaling a modest uplift in director alignment with shareholder interests.

TMK Energy Moves to Streamline Register with Sale of Unmarketable Share Parcels
Dec 22, 2025

TMK Energy Limited has launched an opt-out sale facility to enable the disposal of all unmarketable share parcels—holdings valued at less than A$500—held by its small shareholders. Around 2,813 out of approximately 4,140 shareholders fall into this category, and the initiative is designed to reduce the company’s administrative costs while giving these investors a low-cost avenue to exit their positions. The sale process will apply to shareholders identified as at 7:00pm AEDT on 18 December 2025, with affected investors given until 4 February 2026 to lodge a notice if they wish to retain their shares, and any sales must be executed at or above the simple average of the last sale prices over the preceding 10 trading days. The move is expected to streamline TMK’s share register and improve cost efficiency, while potentially enhancing liquidity and reducing compliance overheads associated with maintaining a large number of very small holdings.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026