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Syrah Resources (AU:SYR)
ASX:SYR

Syrah Resources (SYR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SYR

Syrah Resources

(Sydney:SYR)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.31
▲(8.93% Upside)
Syrah Resources faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability, high leverage, and poor cash flow. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the valuation metrics are unattractive. These factors contribute to a low overall stock score, highlighting the need for substantial improvements in financial and operational performance.
Positive Factors
Scale of Balama asset
Owning one of the world's largest graphite mines provides durable scale and resource optionality. The large Balama asset can underpin sustained production, bargaining power with buyers, and long-term raw material security as battery and energy storage demand grows.
Downstream processing development
Building downstream capacity to make spherical and other value-added graphite products supports vertical integration and higher margin capture. This structural move aligns the company with battery supply chains and can improve resilience versus selling raw concentrate alone.
Strategic industry partnerships
Partnerships with battery and EV firms provide longer-term offtake visibility and commercial alignment. These relationships can smooth demand volatility, support technology qualification for downstream products, and increase likelihood of stable future revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability and revenue decline
Sustained losses and shrinking revenues erode operating leverage and limit reinvestment capacity. Persistent negative profitability undermines ability to fund growth, sustain margins, or self-finance downstream expansion without corrective action or external capital.
Weak cash flow and heavy capex
Continued negative free cash flow and heavy capital spending create a structural financing gap. Over months, this pressures liquidity, forces reliance on external funding, and constrains the firm's ability to prioritize profitable projects or weather commodity cycles.
High leverage and negative ROE
Elevated debt levels and negative ROE reduce balance sheet flexibility and increase vulnerability to commodity or demand shocks. High leverage raises interest burdens and limits capacity to invest in downstream integration without deleveraging or recapitalization.

Syrah Resources (SYR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Syrah Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSyrah Resources (SYR) is an Australian mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of graphite, a critical material for various industries, particularly in the production of batteries for electric vehicles and energy storage systems. The company operates the Balama Graphite Project in Mozambique, which is one of the largest graphite mines globally. Syrah also focuses on developing its downstream processing capabilities to produce high-value products for the battery and advanced materials markets.
How the Company Makes MoneySyrah Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of graphite concentrate produced at its Balama facility. The company has established contracts with various customers in the battery and industrial sectors, which contribute significantly to its revenue streams. Additionally, Syrah is working on expanding its portfolio by developing downstream processing capabilities to produce value-added products such as spherical graphite, which is in high demand for lithium-ion batteries. Strategic partnerships with battery manufacturers and electric vehicle producers further enhance its market position and revenue potential. Factors such as global demand for electric vehicles, advancements in battery technology, and increased investments in renewable energy are crucial to Syrah's earnings growth.

Syrah Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 23, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in Vidalia and governmental support through tax credits and loans, but was overshadowed by substantial challenges at Balama, negative working capital, and market uncertainties. Despite some positive achievements, the overall sentiment is negatively impacted by operational and market difficulties.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Vidalia Anode Material Progress
Continued strong progress in Vidalia on anode material technical qualification processes with customers, with sales expected later this year.
Government Support and Tax Credit Achievement
Syrah received a US$165 million Inflation Reduction Act Section 48C tax credit for Vidalia's expansion, demonstrating governmental support for the Louisiana facility.
Achievement of IRMA 50 Level of Performance
Syrah achieved the Initiative for Responsible Mining Assurance (IRMA) 50 level of performance for Balama, being the first graphite producer globally to achieve this milestone.
Funding Support Through DFC Loan
Major progress on funding support was achieved with the disbursement under the DFC loan, securing a buffer to navigate challenges.
Negative Updates
Disruption at Balama
No production at Balama due to protracted protest actions and nationwide unrest related to Mozambique national elections, leading to a declaration of force majeure.
Negative Working Capital
Continued negative working capital was evident, affected by the challenges at Balama and the ongoing costs at Vidalia pending sales.
Decline in Natural Graphite Sales
Lower natural graphite sales of 9,000 tonnes from inventory due to the disruption at Balama, with most inventory depleted by quarter-end.
Challenges in U.S. and European Markets
Policy and commercial uncertainty in major ex-China markets, impacting the evolution of the industry and creating challenges for Syrah.
Price Decline in Natural Graphite Market
Natural graphite feedstock prices declined more than 50% over the past two years, due to brutal competition and low utilization of new capacity.
Company Guidance
In the Q4 2024 call, Syrah Resources highlighted several key metrics and strategic directions for addressing challenges and opportunities in the EV and battery materials markets. The company reported a decrease in natural graphite sales to 9,000 tonnes, with a high proportion of fines, and a depleted inventory of just 2,000 tonnes remaining in Mozambique. Despite these challenges, Syrah achieved a significant milestone by securing a US$165 million tax credit under the Inflation Reduction Act for Vidalia's expansion to 45,000 tonnes of production capacity. The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of US$87 million, including US$58 million in restricted cash, and experienced a net cash outflow of US$19 million. Additionally, Syrah faced default events under its DOE and DFC loans due to protests at Balama but received a conditional waiver from the DFC. The call emphasized Syrah's focus on resuming production and sales while minimizing cash burn, leveraging its unique position in the market as the only fully vertically integrated natural graphite anode material producer outside China.

Syrah Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Syrah Resources is experiencing significant financial difficulties. The income statement shows negative profitability with declining revenue trends. The balance sheet reflects high leverage and negative return on equity, while cash flow analysis indicates negative free cash flow and insufficient operating cash flow. Overall, the company needs to improve revenue growth, cost management, and capital structure.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Syrah Resources shows significant challenges in its income statement with negative profitability metrics. The gross profit margin is negative due to costs exceeding revenues, and the net profit margin reflects substantial losses. Revenue has been volatile with a declining trend over the past years. Overall, the company's profitability is under pressure and it needs to significantly improve its revenue generation and cost management.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability with a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting leverage concerns. However, the equity ratio is reasonable, indicating a decent proportion of assets funded by equity. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Strengthening equity and reducing debt would be beneficial for long-term stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Syrah Resources faces significant cash flow challenges, with negative free cash flow over the periods analyzed. The operating cash flow is insufficient to cover net income, and free cash flow trends indicate heavy capital expenditures. The company needs to improve its cash flow generation and control capital spending to support operations sustainably.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.02M31.52M71.88M155.97M38.70M13.99M
Gross Profit-61.13M-55.66M-37.34M18.78M-44.10M-56.25M
EBITDA-103.05M-123.72M-84.83M-19.43M-49.55M-63.03M
Net Income-176.79M-125.29M-125.12M-35.99M-71.83M-88.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B692.11M1.03B840.48M589.90M559.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.01M87.47M124.55M133.27M73.37M97.18M
Total Debt411.88M269.91M434.06M127.72M121.67M84.67M
Total Liabilities533.96M309.88M508.30M194.34M187.57M128.49M
Stockholders Equity489.42M382.87M516.79M642.67M396.49M431.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-123.53M-102.71M-314.57M-189.40M-77.26M-64.88M
Operating Cash Flow-115.57M-78.64M-93.08M-46.42M-48.34M-49.58M
Investing Cash Flow-8.22M-24.07M-208.79M-149.27M-25.77M-17.12M
Financing Cash Flow64.75M105.89M297.51M249.92M45.27M57.73M

Syrah Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.28
Price Trends
50DMA
0.30
Negative
100DMA
0.31
Negative
200DMA
0.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
35.15
Neutral
STOCH
16.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SYR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.31, below the 50-day MA of 0.30, and below the 200-day MA of 0.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SYR.

Syrah Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
AU$241.69M132.861.08%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
AU$73.06M-31.37-6.39%37.04%
52
Neutral
AU$40.81M-2.79-15.13%23.60%
44
Neutral
AU$131.47M-27.46-34.62%-10.08%
41
Neutral
AU$380.35M-1.66-30.60%-62.37%23.19%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SYR
Syrah Resources
0.27
0.05
23.85%
AU:QGL
Quantum Graphite Ltd
0.39
-0.07
-15.22%
AU:CBE
Cobre Limited
0.16
0.11
220.00%
AU:RNU
Renascor Resources Limited
0.09
0.04
63.16%
AU:BKT
Black Rock Mining Limited
0.02
-0.02
-44.12%

Syrah Resources Corporate Events

Syrah Resources Cancels Over 300,000 Lapsed Performance Rights
Jan 13, 2026

Syrah Resources has announced the lapse of 308,561 performance rights, which ceased on 28 November 2025 after the conditions attached to those rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The cancellation of these conditional rights results in a change to the company’s issued capital structure, modestly reducing potential future equity dilution for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Files Final Director Interest Notice for Departing Board Member
Jan 8, 2026

Syrah Resources has announced that James Askew ceased to be a director of the company effective 31 December 2025, with the company lodging a final director’s interest notice with the ASX. The filing details Askew’s remaining holdings in Syrah at the time of his departure, including NED rights and fully paid ordinary shares held directly and through associated entities, providing transparency to investors about changes in board composition and director-aligned equity exposure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Grants 2025 Long-Term Incentive Performance Rights to Managing Director
Jan 8, 2026

Syrah Resources has updated the market on changes to Managing Director Shaun Verner’s interests in the company’s securities, following the grant of long-term incentive performance rights. Verner has been awarded a total of 5,897,472 unlisted performance rights in two equal tranches as part of the company’s 2025 long-term incentive program, with vesting over three years to 31 December 2027 and subject to conditions under Syrah’s Equity Incentive Plan and shareholder-approved resolutions. His indirect holdings in fully paid ordinary shares remain unchanged through two family-related entities, while the new performance rights expand his equity-linked exposure and further align executive remuneration with shareholder outcomes over the medium term.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Sets Date for December Quarter Results Call
Jan 6, 2026

Syrah Resources will release its December 2025 Quarterly Activities Report on 28 January 2026, with Managing Director and CEO Shaun Verner scheduled to host a results conference call for investors and stakeholders the same day at 11:00 am AEDT. A recording of the call will be made available on the company’s website, underscoring Syrah’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and engagement with the market as it progresses its graphite and anode materials operations across Mozambique and the United States.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Issues New Unquoted Equity Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Dec 31, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has issued 5,897,472 performance rights and 952,380 share rights as unquoted securities under its employee incentive scheme, effective 31 December 2025. The additional equity-based awards highlight the company’s continued use of long-term incentive structures to align employee interests with shareholder value and support ongoing retention and performance objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Appoints New Director with No Initial Securities Interest
Dec 10, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced the appointment of Samantha Hogg as a new director, effective from December 5, 2025. The initial director’s interest notice indicates that she currently holds no securities or interests in the company, which may suggest a focus on governance and strategic oversight rather than financial investment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Appoints Samantha Hogg as Chair-Elect
Dec 4, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has appointed Samantha Hogg as an Independent Non-Executive Director and Chair-Elect of the Board, succeeding Jim Askew who will retire at the end of December 2025. Mrs. Hogg brings extensive international executive experience in transport, infrastructure, energy, and resources sectors, which is expected to support Syrah’s strategic growth as a leading producer of natural graphite and active anode materials outside China. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to guide the company in delivering its objectives and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Announces Proposed Issue of Warrants
Nov 17, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced a proposed issue of 17,476,862 warrants, with the issuance date set for February 13, 2026. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, aimed at enhancing the company’s financial position and potentially expanding its market presence, which could have significant implications for its stakeholders and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Extends Cure Date for Tesla Offtake Agreement
Nov 16, 2025

Syrah Resources announced an extension of the cure date for an alleged default under its offtake agreement with Tesla for supplying natural graphite active anode material from its Vidalia, Louisiana facility. The new cure date is set for January 16, 2026, with a final qualification deadline of February 9, 2026. This extension allows both companies to collaborate on resolving the issue, potentially impacting Syrah’s operations and its positioning within the battery materials industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Releases Q3 2025 Activities Report with Cautionary Notes
Oct 28, 2025

Syrah Resources released its Q3 2025 Quarterly Activities Report, emphasizing that the document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. The report includes forward-looking statements based on various assumptions and estimates, highlighting the inherent risks and uncertainties in the company’s future performance. Syrah Resources disclaims any obligation to update these statements and advises investors to exercise caution.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Boosts Graphite Production Amid Global Supply Chain Challenges
Oct 28, 2025

Syrah Resources reported operational highlights for the third quarter of 2025, including the production of 26kt of natural graphite at its Balama operation and the sale of 24kt to third-party customers. The company raised A$70 million to support its Vidalia operations and manage market volatility, while also navigating challenges in the global graphite supply chain due to geopolitical tensions and regulatory changes. Syrah is focused on maintaining production momentum and strengthening its strategic position in the market, aiming to enhance cash flow and supply chain resilience.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025