tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Syrah Resources (AU:SYR)
ASX:SYR
Advertisement

Syrah Resources (SYR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
154 Followers

Top Page

AU:SYR

Syrah Resources

(Sydney:SYR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.50
▲(66.67% Upside)
Syrah Resources faces significant financial challenges, with consistent losses and high leverage impacting its financial performance. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing weak momentum indicators. The valuation metrics further highlight the company's unprofitability, making it less attractive to investors. These factors collectively contribute to a low overall stock score.

Syrah Resources (SYR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Syrah Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSyrah Resources (SYR) is an Australian mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of graphite, a critical material for various industries, particularly in the production of batteries for electric vehicles and energy storage systems. The company operates the Balama Graphite Project in Mozambique, which is one of the largest graphite mines globally. Syrah also focuses on developing its downstream processing capabilities to produce high-value products for the battery and advanced materials markets.
How the Company Makes MoneySyrah Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of graphite concentrate produced at its Balama facility. The company has established contracts with various customers in the battery and industrial sectors, which contribute significantly to its revenue streams. Additionally, Syrah is working on expanding its portfolio by developing downstream processing capabilities to produce value-added products such as spherical graphite, which is in high demand for lithium-ion batteries. Strategic partnerships with battery manufacturers and electric vehicle producers further enhance its market position and revenue potential. Factors such as global demand for electric vehicles, advancements in battery technology, and increased investments in renewable energy are crucial to Syrah's earnings growth.

Syrah Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 09, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in Vidalia and governmental support through tax credits and loans, but was overshadowed by substantial challenges at Balama, negative working capital, and market uncertainties. Despite some positive achievements, the overall sentiment is negatively impacted by operational and market difficulties.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Vidalia Anode Material Progress
Continued strong progress in Vidalia on anode material technical qualification processes with customers, with sales expected later this year.
Government Support and Tax Credit Achievement
Syrah received a US$165 million Inflation Reduction Act Section 48C tax credit for Vidalia's expansion, demonstrating governmental support for the Louisiana facility.
Achievement of IRMA 50 Level of Performance
Syrah achieved the Initiative for Responsible Mining Assurance (IRMA) 50 level of performance for Balama, being the first graphite producer globally to achieve this milestone.
Funding Support Through DFC Loan
Major progress on funding support was achieved with the disbursement under the DFC loan, securing a buffer to navigate challenges.
Negative Updates
Disruption at Balama
No production at Balama due to protracted protest actions and nationwide unrest related to Mozambique national elections, leading to a declaration of force majeure.
Negative Working Capital
Continued negative working capital was evident, affected by the challenges at Balama and the ongoing costs at Vidalia pending sales.
Decline in Natural Graphite Sales
Lower natural graphite sales of 9,000 tonnes from inventory due to the disruption at Balama, with most inventory depleted by quarter-end.
Challenges in U.S. and European Markets
Policy and commercial uncertainty in major ex-China markets, impacting the evolution of the industry and creating challenges for Syrah.
Price Decline in Natural Graphite Market
Natural graphite feedstock prices declined more than 50% over the past two years, due to brutal competition and low utilization of new capacity.
Company Guidance
In the Q4 2024 call, Syrah Resources highlighted several key metrics and strategic directions for addressing challenges and opportunities in the EV and battery materials markets. The company reported a decrease in natural graphite sales to 9,000 tonnes, with a high proportion of fines, and a depleted inventory of just 2,000 tonnes remaining in Mozambique. Despite these challenges, Syrah achieved a significant milestone by securing a US$165 million tax credit under the Inflation Reduction Act for Vidalia's expansion to 45,000 tonnes of production capacity. The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of US$87 million, including US$58 million in restricted cash, and experienced a net cash outflow of US$19 million. Additionally, Syrah faced default events under its DOE and DFC loans due to protests at Balama but received a conditional waiver from the DFC. The call emphasized Syrah's focus on resuming production and sales while minimizing cash burn, leveraging its unique position in the market as the only fully vertically integrated natural graphite anode material producer outside China.

Syrah Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Syrah Resources is experiencing financial difficulties across all key aspects: income, balance sheet, and cash flow. The company reports consistent losses with high leverage and negative cash flows, reflecting operational inefficiencies and financial instability. To improve its financial position, the company needs to address revenue growth, cost management, and capital structure optimization.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Syrah Resources shows significant challenges in its income statement with negative profitability metrics. The gross profit margin is negative due to costs exceeding revenues, and the net profit margin reflects substantial losses. Revenue has been volatile with a declining trend over the past years. Overall, the company's profitability is under pressure and it needs to significantly improve its revenue generation and cost management.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate financial stability with a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting leverage concerns. However, the equity ratio is reasonable, indicating a decent proportion of assets funded by equity. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. Strengthening equity and reducing debt would be beneficial for long-term stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Syrah Resources faces significant cash flow challenges, with negative free cash flow over the periods analyzed. The operating cash flow is insufficient to cover net income, and free cash flow trends indicate heavy capital expenditures. The company needs to improve its cash flow generation and control capital spending to support operations sustainably.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.02M31.52M71.88M155.97M38.70M13.99M
Gross Profit-61.13M-55.66M-37.34M18.78M-44.10M-56.25M
EBITDA-103.05M-123.72M-84.83M-19.43M-49.55M-63.03M
Net Income-176.79M-125.29M-125.12M-35.99M-71.83M-88.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B692.11M1.03B840.48M589.90M559.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.01M87.47M124.55M133.27M73.37M97.18M
Total Debt411.88M269.91M434.06M126.19M118.37M83.25M
Total Liabilities533.96M309.88M508.30M194.34M187.57M128.49M
Stockholders Equity489.42M382.87M516.79M642.67M396.49M431.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-123.53M-102.71M-314.57M-189.40M-77.26M-64.88M
Operating Cash Flow-115.57M-78.64M-93.08M-46.42M-48.34M-49.58M
Investing Cash Flow-8.22M-24.07M-208.79M-149.27M-25.77M-17.12M
Financing Cash Flow64.75M105.89M297.51M249.92M45.27M57.73M

Syrah Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.30
Price Trends
50DMA
0.32
Negative
100DMA
0.31
Negative
200DMA
0.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
35.88
Neutral
STOCH
4.53
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SYR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.38, below the 50-day MA of 0.32, and above the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.53 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SYR.

Syrah Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
AU$193.28M108.571.08%
40
Neutral
$473.71M-30.60%-62.37%23.19%
39
Underperform
AU$37.10M-6.39%37.04%
38
Underperform
37
Underperform
AU$160.42M-32.75-34.62%-10.08%
32
Underperform
AU$38.66M-2.65-15.13%23.60%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SYR
Syrah Resources
0.30
0.05
19.52%
AU:QGL
Quantum Graphite Ltd
0.46
-0.07
-12.50%
AU:CBE
Cobre Limited
0.09
0.03
48.33%
AU:RNU
Renascor Resources Limited
0.08
<0.01
5.56%
AU:BKT
Black Rock Mining Limited
0.02
-0.04
-67.92%
AU:LPD
Lepidico Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Syrah Resources Corporate Events

Syrah Resources Releases Q3 2025 Activities Report with Cautionary Notes
Oct 28, 2025

Syrah Resources released its Q3 2025 Quarterly Activities Report, emphasizing that the document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. The report includes forward-looking statements based on various assumptions and estimates, highlighting the inherent risks and uncertainties in the company’s future performance. Syrah Resources disclaims any obligation to update these statements and advises investors to exercise caution.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Boosts Graphite Production Amid Global Supply Chain Challenges
Oct 28, 2025

Syrah Resources reported operational highlights for the third quarter of 2025, including the production of 26kt of natural graphite at its Balama operation and the sale of 24kt to third-party customers. The company raised A$70 million to support its Vidalia operations and manage market volatility, while also navigating challenges in the global graphite supply chain due to geopolitical tensions and regulatory changes. Syrah is focused on maintaining production momentum and strengthening its strategic position in the market, aiming to enhance cash flow and supply chain resilience.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources to Release September 2025 Quarterly Report
Oct 3, 2025

Syrah Resources announced that it will release its September 2025 Quarterly Activities Report on October 28, 2025, followed by a conference call hosted by CEO Shaun Verner. This update is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s operational performance and strategic positioning in the graphite and anode material markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.34 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Extends Cure Date for Tesla Offtake Agreement
Sep 17, 2025

Syrah Resources announced an extension of the cure date for an alleged default under its offtake agreement with Tesla for supplying natural graphite active anode material from its Vidalia, Louisiana facility. The cure date has been extended to November 15, 2025, as both companies collaborate to resolve the issue. The agreement’s termination could occur if final qualification is not achieved by February 9, 2026, potentially impacting Syrah’s operations and its positioning in the graphite supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Buy with a A$0.34 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Secures US$11.7 Million Tax Credit for Vidalia Facility
Sep 11, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited announced that its subsidiary, Syrah Technologies LLC, received an approximately US$11.7 million payment from the US Internal Revenue Service under the Section 45X Production Credit of the Inflation Reduction Act. This credit is linked to the company’s Advanced Manufacturing Production at its Vidalia, Louisiana facility. The funds, which are held in restricted accounts, can be used to support operating costs at the Vidalia facility. The company is eligible for credits equivalent to 10% of production costs, with the credits phasing down from 2030 onwards. This financial boost is expected to support Syrah’s operational costs and strengthen its position in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Faces Operational Challenges Amid Global Demand
Sep 9, 2025

Syrah Resources faced significant operational challenges during the first half of 2025, with production and sales of natural graphite from Balama severely impacted by prolonged protest actions that halted operations. This resulted in depleted inventory and constrained shipments, exacerbated by competition and oversupply in the Chinese synthetic graphite market. Despite these challenges, there is strong demand for Syrah’s products outside China due to global supply disruptions and geopolitical factors. The company managed to ship a 10kt load to Indonesia post-period, highlighting potential recovery in operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Director Increases Stake Through Entitlement Offer
Aug 29, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically involving Shaun Verner, a director of the company. The change involves the acquisition of 71,500 fully paid ordinary shares through participation in an Entitlement Offer. This adjustment reflects the director’s increased stake in the company, potentially signaling confidence in its future prospects and aligning with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Announces New Securities Quotation on ASX
Aug 26, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 105,816,485 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of August 26, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and market presence, potentially impacting its strategic positioning in the graphite supply chain and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Completes Retail Entitlement Offer, Raising A$70 Million
Aug 22, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has successfully completed the retail component of its entitlement offer, raising approximately A$28 million. This, combined with the institutional component, totals around A$70 million, which will be used to fund Vidalia operating costs, a reserve account, transaction costs, and general corporate purposes. The completion of this equity raising adjusts the conversion price of AustralianSuper’s convertible notes and increases their voting power in Syrah to approximately 34.3%.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Secures DFC Loan Disbursement for Balama Operations
Aug 19, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited announced that its subsidiary, Twigg Exploration and Mining Limitada, has received a US$6.5 million disbursement from the United States International Development Finance Corporation for its Balama Graphite Operation in Mozambique. This funding will support working and sustaining capital needs. The company plans for an additional US$4.5 million disbursement in October 2025, but further funding up to US$75 million is contingent on a loan restructure and other conditions, introducing uncertainty about future disbursements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Citigroup Ceases to be Substantial Holder in Syrah Resources
Aug 15, 2025

Syrah Resources Ltd has announced that Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited, along with its related corporate bodies, has ceased to be a substantial holder of Syrah’s ordinary fully paid shares as of August 13, 2025. This change in substantial holding was due to a decrease in relevant interests held by Citibank, N.A. Sydney Branch, Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited, and Citigroup Global Markets Inc, while Citigroup Global Markets Limited reported an increase in relevant interests. The announcement reflects a shift in the securities lending agreements and stock market transactions, which may affect the company’s shareholder composition and influence its market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Director Increases Stake with On-Market Acquisitions
Aug 11, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Robert Edel acquiring 65,000 fully paid ordinary shares through on-market acquisitions. This development reflects a potential increase in confidence or strategic positioning by the director, which could influence the company’s market perception and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Strengthens Financial Position with Share Issuance
Aug 7, 2025

Syrah Resources has issued 76,989,677 fully paid ordinary shares, with the majority allocated to institutional investors at $0.26 per share, as part of a placement announced on July 30, 2025. This issuance is part of the company’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and support its operations, potentially enhancing its market presence in the graphite and anode material sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Syrah Resources Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Aug 7, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced the quotation of 55,000 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of August 7, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its capital structure and potentially improve its market positioning, reflecting its ongoing efforts to support operational growth and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SYR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Syrah Resources stock, see the AU:SYR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025