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Syrah Resources (AU:SYR)
ASX:SYR

Syrah Resources (SYR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Syrah Resources

(Sydney:SYR)

44Neutral
Syrah Resources faces significant financial and operational challenges, leading to a low overall stock score. The company's financial performance is weak, with negative profitability and cash flow issues. Technical analysis signals are neutral, and valuation metrics are unfavorable due to ongoing losses. While the earnings call showed some strategic progress, substantial risks and uncertainties overshadow potential positives. The company must address its operational inefficiencies and financial instability to improve its market position.

Syrah Resources (SYR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Syrah Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSyrah Resources (SYR) is an Australian industrial minerals and technology company that focuses on the exploration, development, and production of natural graphite. The company operates primarily in the energy sector, providing critical materials for battery anodes used in electric vehicles and other energy storage applications. Its flagship operation is the Balama Graphite Operation located in Mozambique, one of the largest high-grade graphite mines in the world.
How the Company Makes MoneySyrah Resources generates revenue primarily through the extraction, processing, and sale of flake graphite from its Balama Graphite Operation. The company supplies natural graphite to a variety of industries, with a strong focus on the lithium-ion battery sector, which is experiencing rapid growth due to increased demand for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage solutions. Syrah Resources has established key partnerships with major battery manufacturers and other companies within the energy storage supply chain, enhancing its market presence and securing long-term sales agreements. Additionally, the company is involved in the downstream processing and production of battery anode material, further diversifying its revenue streams and capitalizing on the growing demand for energy storage solutions.

Syrah Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
47.71M153.17M38.70M15.67M103.87M
Gross Profit
-78.05M18.78M-44.10M-56.25M-56.29M
EBIT
-101.33M-55.18M-67.44M-74.88M-86.04M
EBITDA
-56.31M-19.43M-53.28M-60.35M-68.74M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-126.40M-35.99M-71.83M-88.42M-187.86M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
124.55M133.27M72.78M97.18M114.63M
Total Assets
700.05M840.48M589.90M559.76M614.74M
Total Debt
295.84M126.19M118.37M83.25M82.96M
Net Debt
210.95M-7.08M45.59M-13.94M-31.66M
Total Liabilities
346.44M194.34M187.57M128.49M114.19M
Stockholders Equity
516.79M642.67M396.49M431.27M500.55M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-314.57M-189.40M-77.26M-64.88M-101.04M
Operating Cash Flow
-93.08M-46.42M-48.34M-49.58M-50.16M
Investing Cash Flow
-208.79M-149.27M-25.77M-17.12M-52.68M
Financing Cash Flow
297.51M249.92M45.27M57.73M107.77M

Syrah Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Positive
100DMA
0.23
Positive
200DMA
0.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
52.52
Neutral
STOCH
59.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SYR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, below the 50-day MA of 0.24, and below the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SYR.

Syrah Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUIGO
58
Neutral
AU$2.98B1,418.92-36.53%10.51%-28.50%-532.61%
AUSYA
52
Neutral
AU$219.32M-17.81%87.89%-344.44%
49
Neutral
$1.95B-1.37-21.43%3.74%0.84%-29.84%
AUMIN
48
Neutral
$4.04B50.78-33.95%4.54%2.22%-411.10%
AUPLS
46
Neutral
$4.70B23.42-1.04%-65.07%-102.37%
AUSYR
44
Neutral
$255.35M-33.63%-33.27%-10.07%
AULTR
36
Underperform
€1.21B-6.32%3.33%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SYR
Syrah Resources
0.25
-0.27
-52.43%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
20.90
-54.17
-72.16%
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
1.48
-2.70
-64.59%
AU:SYA
Sayona Mining
0.02
-0.02
-45.45%
AU:LTR
Liontown Resources Limited
0.52
-0.71
-57.96%
AU:IGO
IGO
3.94
-3.56
-47.45%

Syrah Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 23, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -53.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in Vidalia and governmental support through tax credits and loans, but was overshadowed by substantial challenges at Balama, negative working capital, and market uncertainties. Despite some positive achievements, the overall sentiment is negatively impacted by operational and market difficulties.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Vidalia Anode Material Progress
Continued strong progress in Vidalia on anode material technical qualification processes with customers, with sales expected later this year.
Government Support and Tax Credit Achievement
Syrah received a US$165 million Inflation Reduction Act Section 48C tax credit for Vidalia's expansion, demonstrating governmental support for the Louisiana facility.
Achievement of IRMA 50 Level of Performance
Syrah achieved the Initiative for Responsible Mining Assurance (IRMA) 50 level of performance for Balama, being the first graphite producer globally to achieve this milestone.
Funding Support Through DFC Loan
Major progress on funding support was achieved with the disbursement under the DFC loan, securing a buffer to navigate challenges.
Negative Updates
Disruption at Balama
No production at Balama due to protracted protest actions and nationwide unrest related to Mozambique national elections, leading to a declaration of force majeure.
Negative Working Capital
Continued negative working capital was evident, affected by the challenges at Balama and the ongoing costs at Vidalia pending sales.
Decline in Natural Graphite Sales
Lower natural graphite sales of 9,000 tonnes from inventory due to the disruption at Balama, with most inventory depleted by quarter-end.
Challenges in U.S. and European Markets
Policy and commercial uncertainty in major ex-China markets, impacting the evolution of the industry and creating challenges for Syrah.
Price Decline in Natural Graphite Market
Natural graphite feedstock prices declined more than 50% over the past two years, due to brutal competition and low utilization of new capacity.
Company Guidance
In the Q4 2024 call, Syrah Resources highlighted several key metrics and strategic directions for addressing challenges and opportunities in the EV and battery materials markets. The company reported a decrease in natural graphite sales to 9,000 tonnes, with a high proportion of fines, and a depleted inventory of just 2,000 tonnes remaining in Mozambique. Despite these challenges, Syrah achieved a significant milestone by securing a US$165 million tax credit under the Inflation Reduction Act for Vidalia's expansion to 45,000 tonnes of production capacity. The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of US$87 million, including US$58 million in restricted cash, and experienced a net cash outflow of US$19 million. Additionally, Syrah faced default events under its DOE and DFC loans due to protests at Balama but received a conditional waiver from the DFC. The call emphasized Syrah's focus on resuming production and sales while minimizing cash burn, leveraging its unique position in the market as the only fully vertically integrated natural graphite anode material producer outside China.

Syrah Resources Corporate Events

Syrah Resources Releases Q1 2025 Quarterly Activities Report
Apr 29, 2025

Syrah Resources has released its Q1 2025 Quarterly Activities Report, providing an update on its operations and financial performance. The report includes forward-looking statements about the company’s future performance, highlighting the inherent risks and uncertainties in the market. Syrah Resources emphasizes the importance of seeking professional advice before making investment decisions, as securities transactions involve various risks.

Syrah Resources Navigates Operational Challenges and Market Dynamics in Q1 2025
Apr 29, 2025

Syrah Resources faced operational challenges in the first quarter of 2025, with no production at its Balama site due to ongoing protest actions. Despite these setbacks, the company made progress in its Vidalia operations, securing a multi-year agreement with Lucid for anode material supply and receiving a significant tax credit for expansion. The company is navigating geopolitical and market dynamics, including new US tariffs on Chinese imports and evolving customer procurement strategies, which could impact its market positioning.

Syrah Resources Announces Digital Shift for Upcoming AGM
Apr 23, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) for shareholders, scheduled for May 23, 2025, in Melbourne. Due to recent legislative changes, the company will provide meeting materials electronically, with physical copies available upon request. This shift reflects a broader industry trend towards digital communication, potentially enhancing shareholder engagement and reducing environmental impact.

Syrah Resources Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Apr 14, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited announced the cessation of a significant number of performance rights, totaling over 500,000, due to either the expiry of options or the lapse of conditional rights that were not satisfied. This cessation of securities may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

Syrah Resources CEO Adjusts Shareholding for Tax Obligations
Apr 2, 2025

Syrah Resources announced a change in the director’s interest, with Managing Director and CEO Shaun Verner selling 300,000 shares to meet personal tax obligations. Despite the sale, Mr. Verner retains a significant holding of over 4 million shares and performance rights. This transaction reflects a personal financial decision by the CEO and is not expected to impact the company’s operations or market positioning.

Syrah Resources Issues New Shares Under Equity Incentive Plan
Mar 31, 2025

Syrah Resources announced the issuance of 100,000 fully paid ordinary shares following the exercise of vested performance rights under its Equity Incentive Plan. This move is part of the company’s compliance with the Corporations Act, reflecting its ongoing commitment to transparency and regulatory adherence, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder relations positively.

Syrah Resources Announces New Securities Quotation
Mar 31, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 100,000 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the ASX as of March 31, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial operations, potentially impacting its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Syrah Resources Updates Securities Trading Policy
Mar 28, 2025

Syrah Resources has updated its Securities Trading Policy in compliance with ASX Listing Rule 12.10. This update, authorized by the company’s Managing Director, Shaun Verner, reflects Syrah’s commitment to maintaining transparency and regulatory compliance, which is crucial for its stakeholders and market positioning.

Citigroup Becomes Substantial Shareholder in Syrah Resources
Mar 25, 2025

Syrah Resources Ltd has recently seen Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited become a substantial shareholder, with a voting power of 5.3132% through various related entities. This development indicates a significant investment in Syrah Resources by Citigroup, potentially impacting the company’s market position and signaling confidence in its future prospects.

Syrah Resources Releases 2024 Corporate Governance Statement
Mar 24, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending December 31, 2024, which is available on their website. The statement, approved by the board, outlines the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, demonstrating their commitment to transparency and accountability in corporate governance. This release is crucial for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s governance practices and compliance with industry standards.

Syrah Resources Faces Challenges Amid Market Volatility in 2024
Mar 24, 2025

Syrah Resources reported a challenging year in 2024 with a net loss of US$125 million despite achieving significant milestones like the commencement of operations at its Vidalia facility in the USA, making it the first commercial-scale natural graphite AAM supplier outside China. The company faced volatile market conditions, particularly due to China’s dominance in the graphite market and local disruptions in Mozambique, which impacted its operations and sales. Syrah secured multi-year offtake agreements and financial support to sustain its operations and continues to focus on safety, responsible mining, and local workforce development.

Syrah Resources Highlights Key Role in Graphite and Anode Supply in 2024 Annual Report
Mar 24, 2025

Syrah Resources has released its 2024 Annual Report, highlighting its role as a key supplier of critical natural graphite and anode products at a commercial scale. The report underscores the company’s commitment to providing high-quality products that meet environmental standards, which is crucial for its operations and market positioning in the competitive battery and industrial sectors.

Syrah Resources Secures Major Supply Agreement with Lucid Group
Feb 23, 2025

Syrah Resources has entered into a significant three-year agreement with Lucid Group to supply natural graphite active anode material from its Vidalia facility in the USA. This deal, starting in 2026, will see Lucid or its battery suppliers purchase approximately 7,000 tonnes of material, with pricing tied to a natural flake graphite index. The agreement solidifies Syrah’s position as a key supplier in the North American market, offering critical mineral security and reducing reliance on Chinese anode products, which is vital for US electric vehicle manufacturers to qualify for tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act.

Citigroup Ceases to be Substantial Holder in Syrah Resources
Feb 20, 2025

Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited and its related entities have announced that they have ceased to be substantial holders in Syrah Resources Ltd as of February 18, 2025. The notice outlines changes in relevant interest where Citigroup entities have decreased or increased their interest in Syrah’s ordinary fully paid shares due to securities lending agreements and stock market transactions. This change could impact the company’s market dynamics and investor confidence, as substantial holder changes often reflect shifts in institutional confidence and investment strategy.

Syrah Resources Announces Change in Director’s Securities Interest
Feb 18, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced a change in the securities interest of its director, Shaun Verner. The change involved the partial lapse of unlisted performance rights under the company’s Five Year Performance and Retention Incentive plan. This adjustment does not affect the number of fully paid ordinary shares held indirectly through the trust entities associated with Mr. Verner.

Syrah Resources Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Feb 18, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited announced the cessation of 652,500 performance rights due to the lapse of conditions required for their issuance, effective February 14, 2025. This development may affect the company’s capital structure and investor perceptions, as the lapse indicates unmet performance conditions, highlighting challenges in meeting certain operational or financial targets.

Syrah Resources Announces Director’s Interest Change Amid Strategic Alignment
Feb 12, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, highlighting that John Beevers has acquired additional Non-Executive Director Share Rights as part of a salary sacrifice program. This program, approved by shareholders in 2023, allows directors to convert a portion of their fees into share rights, potentially aligning their interests more closely with shareholders and enhancing their stake in the company.

Syrah Resources Issues Performance Rights to Employees
Feb 6, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 11,395,844 performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, which are not intended to be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move reflects the company’s strategy to motivate and retain its workforce while potentially impacting its financial performance and operational efficiency.

Syrah Resources Issues New Unquoted Share Rights to Employees
Feb 6, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 763,719 unquoted share rights under an employee incentive scheme, which will not be listed on the ASX. This strategic move is likely aimed at enhancing employee engagement and retention, aligning staff incentives with corporate growth, and potentially impacting the company’s operational dynamics by strengthening its workforce alignment with long-term objectives.

Syrah Resources Announces Quotation of New Securities
Feb 6, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced the application for the quotation of 1,853,306 ordinary fully paid securities, as a result of options being exercised or convertible securities being converted. This move could potentially enhance the company’s market capitalization and provide additional liquidity, reflecting positively on the company’s market positioning and offering potential benefits for investors and stakeholders.

Syrah Resources Updates on Director’s Shareholding Changes
Feb 4, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced a change in the indirect shareholding interests of its director, Shaun Verner. The update reveals a disposal of 325,013 unlisted performance rights, resulting from the lapse of 2022 unlisted performance rights, impacting the overall securities held by the director. This change is part of the company’s regular updates on directors’ interests, complying with regulatory requirements and maintaining transparency with stakeholders.

Syrah Resources Announces Cessation of 1.4 Million Performance Rights
Feb 4, 2025

Syrah Resources Limited has announced the cessation of 1,427,688 performance rights due to conditions not being met or becoming unachievable. This update may affect the company’s stock performance and investor sentiment, as it reflects on the company’s strategic fulfillment and operational milestones.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.