tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Swoop Holdings Limited (AU:SWP)
ASX:SWP

Swoop Holdings Limited (SWP) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
4 Followers

Top Page

AU:SWP

Swoop Holdings Limited

(Sydney:SWP)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.14
▲(40.00% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/29/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and negative free cash flow—despite strong revenue growth. Technicals are supportive with an uptrend and positive MACD, but an overbought RSI tempers the outlook. Valuation is also limited by loss-making earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained high top-line growth indicates expanding customer adoption of Swoop's connectivity services. For a subscription-based telecom, this durable revenue expansion supports scale, improves unit economics over time, and creates runway for margin improvement and reinvestment across multiple quarters.
Recurring subscription model
A subscription-driven revenue base yields predictable, sticky cash inflows and higher customer lifetime value. This business model enhances revenue visibility, supports steady operations and upsell potential, and underpins more durable cash generation versus one-time sales.
Conservative capital structure
Moderate leverage and a healthy equity ratio provide financial flexibility to fund network capex or weather cyclical pressure without immediate refinancing risk. This structural strength supports sustained investment and resilience over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability
Persistent negative net income and EBIT margins mean the business is not yet self-sustaining. Continued losses constrain internal funding for growth, limit retained earnings for reinvestment, and increase reliance on external capital, pressuring long-term strategic options.
Negative free cash flow
Ongoing negative free cash flow shows capex and other outflows exceed cash generation. Structurally negative FCF restricts reinvestment, elevates liquidity risk, and may necessitate dilution or additional borrowing to fund expansion and maintain operations over multiple quarters.
Limited scale and niche focus
Small headcount and a regional/underserved market focus imply limited scale versus national incumbents. This structural size disadvantage can raise per-customer costs, weaken purchasing and network economics, and slow deployment or competitive response as the company tries to scale.

Swoop Holdings Limited (SWP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Swoop Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSwoop Holdings Limited offers fixed wireless and fibre services to wholesale, business, and residential customers in Australia. It provides internet and telecommunication, and fixed wireless broadband services; and services over the NBN fixed line and fixed wireless networks. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySwoop Holdings generates revenue primarily through subscription fees from its broadband and telecommunications services. The company offers various service plans to cater to different customer segments, ensuring recurring revenue streams. Additionally, Swoop Holdings may engage in partnerships with other technology providers and local governments to expand its infrastructure, which can lead to additional funding and revenue opportunities. The company also potentially earns income through value-added services, such as enhanced digital communication tools and customer support solutions, which further contribute to its overall financial performance.

Swoop Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (24.88%) is a clear positive, but overall fundamentals are held back by negative profitability (net income and EBIT margins) and weak cash generation, with free cash flow still negative despite improved operating cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Swoop Holdings Limited has shown a significant revenue growth rate of 24.88% in the latest period, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved but remains modest. Overall, while revenue growth is a positive sign, the lack of profitability is a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a solid capital structure. While the company maintains a stable balance sheet, the lack of profitability impacts overall financial health.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow has improved, but free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative, highlighting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to convert earnings into cash, but overall cash flow performance is weak.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue124.66M106.39M81.14M69.97M51.67M22.42M
Gross Profit14.58M23.60M22.19M-556.07K28.30M8.92M
EBITDA11.23M8.68M9.26M-12.43M7.08M-7.99M
Net Income-7.81M-6.95M-3.79M-37.51M-4.88M-13.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets119.31M117.07M125.87M124.25M132.64M79.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.25M8.03M10.90M19.04M32.06M17.50M
Total Debt27.06M24.06M32.07M27.50M10.04M9.74M
Total Liabilities56.86M62.75M66.39M61.94M36.06M30.06M
Stockholders Equity62.45M54.32M59.47M62.30M96.58M49.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.90M3.33M-7.27M-4.14M-9.50M-8.11M
Operating Cash Flow8.95M15.88M9.13M13.75M8.86M-1.14M
Investing Cash Flow-10.51M-13.03M-20.83M-41.26M-37.64M-7.58M
Financing Cash Flow5.93M-6.67M4.50M14.52M43.23M21.93M

Swoop Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Positive
100DMA
0.13
Positive
200DMA
0.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
47.47
Neutral
STOCH
40.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SWP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, below the 50-day MA of 0.13, and below the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:SWP.

Swoop Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
50
Neutral
AU$43.55M-6.94-19.40%35.24%-181.60%
45
Neutral
AU$9.96M-1.37-18.92%8.20%37.20%
42
Neutral
AU$9.82M-4.21-11.62%-9.44%83.16%
40
Underperform
AU$17.56M-1.53-5.06%26.95%90.52%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SWP
Swoop Holdings Limited
0.14
0.03
30.84%
AU:5GN
Webcentral Ltd
0.07
-0.07
-50.00%
AU:5GG
Pentanet Ltd
0.02
-0.01
-40.00%
AU:HFY
Hubify Ltd.
0.02
<0.01
60.00%

Swoop Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Swoop Corrects Competitor Data in Half-Year Investor Briefing
Feb 27, 2026

Swoop Holdings has issued a correction to its half-year FY26 investor briefing after discovering errors in competitor net additions figures for Vocus and Aussie Broadband. The revised numbers flip some previously reported Q4 FY25 net additions and significantly adjust Q1 FY26 figures, prompting the company to replace the original presentation with a corrected version.

The company stressed that no other changes were made to the investor briefing beyond the corrected data points in the competitor comparison table. The incident underscores the sensitivity of competitive metrics in the telecom sector and Swoop’s need to maintain accuracy in market disclosures that inform investors and industry stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop’s Revenue Surges but Underlying Earnings Slide Into Loss
Feb 25, 2026

Swoop Holdings reported a 75% rise in revenue from ordinary activities to $97.4 million for the half-year ended 31 December 2023, driven by growth across its operating activities, with gross margin increasing 18% to $49.7 million. However, the group swung from a prior-period profit to a total loss attributable to owners of $13.3 million, as underlying EBITDA fell 43% to $9.8 million and underlying net loss before tax widened to $16.9 million, highlighting rising operating expenses and a more challenging profitability profile despite strong top-line expansion.

Earnings per share from continuing operations declined into negative territory, with basic EPS at minus 3.69 cents compared with minus 4.29 cents a year earlier, and total basic EPS attributable to shareholders at minus 3.69 cents versus 1.36 cents previously. Management’s presentation of non-statutory measures such as gross margin and underlying EBITDA, which incorporate both continuing and discontinued operations and exclude non-cash and one-off items, underscores the pressure on underlying earnings and signals that investors must weigh rapid revenue growth against deteriorating bottom-line performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Sets Date for FY26 Half-Year Results and Investor Briefing
Feb 4, 2026

Swoop Holdings has scheduled the release of its financial results for the half year to 31 December 2025 on 26 February 2026, followed by an investor teleconference led by CEO Alex West and CFO Patricia Jones. The planned briefing underscores the company’s efforts to maintain transparent engagement with shareholders and the investment community at a time when its performance and growth trajectory as a challenger telecommunications provider are under close watch.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Balances Strong Consumer Growth With Cash Outflows as It Refocuses on Core Telecom Business
Jan 30, 2026

Swoop Holdings reported strong first-half FY26 growth in its core consumer business, with customer receipts rising 53% year-on-year to $72.9 million, driven by accelerating NBN and mobile demand and contributions from the Melbourne Fibre Project. However, operating cash flow fell to negative $4.1 million and free cash flow to negative $14.9 million, largely due to reductions in payables and a one-off $3 million technology platform investment, while core gross margin slipped to 25.2%, with management targeting an 8–10 percentage point improvement over the next 18 months via supplier renegotiations, including a new NBN deal, and operating leverage. The company ended the half with $16 million in available funding, supported by a $9.3 million entitlement offer and the $6.2 million divestment of its Vonex shareholding, earmarked for working capital and Melbourne Fibre capex, and has launched a “Focus. Divest. Grow” strategy and refreshed its board to streamline operations and enhance returns, underscoring a pivot toward its higher-growth NBN and mobile segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Updates ASX Application on Retail Offer Share Numbers
Dec 24, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has lodged an updated application with the ASX for quotation of new securities, relating specifically to shares being issued under its retail offer. The company has revised the number of shares to be issued compared with a previous notice dated 23 December 2025, signalling an adjustment to the structure or take-up of its retail capital raising, which may influence the final size and dilution profile of the offer for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Seeks ASX Quotation for 70 Million New Ordinary Shares
Dec 23, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 70,251,506 new fully paid ordinary shares under ticker SWP, with an issue date of 24 December 2025. The application, lodged as a new announcement on 23 December 2025, formalises the move to have these securities traded on-market, potentially expanding Swoop’s free float and liquidity and marking a material increase in its quoted capital base for current and prospective shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Raises $9.3m as Retail Entitlement Offer Closes With Strong Take-Up
Dec 23, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has completed the retail component of its 1-for-2.14 accelerated non-renounceable pro-rata entitlement offer, raising approximately $6.5 million from eligible retail shareholders at an offer price of $0.10 per share, with a strong participation rate of about 90.1%. Together with the previously completed institutional component, the total raised under the entitlement offer now stands at roughly $9.3 million, while the board retains the option to place the remaining shortfall of about 7.1 million shares (approximately $0.7 million) to investors within three months, potentially broadening its shareholder base and strengthening its capital position ahead of the newly issued shares beginning to trade later in December 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Director Increases Stake in Swoop Holdings
Dec 16, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has announced a change in the interest of its director, William (Paul) Reid, in the company’s securities. Reid acquired an additional 1,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares through participation in the Institutional Entitlement Offer, increasing his indirect holdings. This move reflects a strategic decision by the director to increase his stake in the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Holdings Announces Director Resignation
Dec 10, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited announced the resignation of James Spenceley from its board of directors, effective December 9, 2025. This change in leadership may impact the company’s strategic direction, as Spenceley held a significant number of shares through the Spenceley Family Trust, indicating his substantial influence within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Holdings Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 9, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has announced the quotation of 27,869,930 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of a previously announced transaction, indicating a strategic effort to enhance its market presence and liquidity. The issuance of these securities is likely to impact the company’s operations by potentially increasing its capital base, which could be used for further expansion or operational improvements. Stakeholders may see this as a positive step towards growth and increased market activity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Holdings Launches Retail Entitlement Offer to Boost Capital
Dec 9, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has announced the dispatch of materials related to its Retail Entitlement Offer, which is part of a 1 for 2.14 accelerated non-renounceable pro-rata entitlement offer. This offer is now open and will close on December 19, 2025. The initiative aims to raise capital by offering new shares to eligible retail shareholders, potentially strengthening Swoop’s financial position and market presence. The results of the offer will be announced on December 23, 2025, with new shares allotted by December 24, 2025, and trading commencing on December 29, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Holdings Cancels Upcoming General Meeting
Dec 9, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has announced the cancellation of a General Meeting that was scheduled for December 10, 2025, following the withdrawal of the convening notice by N & J Enterprises (WA) Pty Ltd. This cancellation means that the proposed resolutions will not be presented to shareholders, and no further action is required from them. The cancellation may impact stakeholders by delaying or altering any decisions that were to be made at the meeting, but the company has not specified any immediate operational or strategic implications.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Holdings Launches $10 Million Entitlement Offer Amid Board Changes
Dec 8, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has announced an accelerated, non-renounceable entitlement offer to raise approximately $10 million by issuing shares at $0.10 each. This move is part of Swoop’s strategy to strengthen its financial position, with the offer being partially underwritten by MA Moelis Australia Advisory Pty Ltd. The resignation of non-executive directors James Spenceley and Matt Hollis has also been announced, rendering certain proposed resolutions at an upcoming EGM irrelevant. The entitlement offer is not expected to materially affect the control of the company due to its structure and current shareholder distribution.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Holdings Completes Institutional Entitlement Offer, Raising $2.8 Million
Dec 5, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has successfully completed the institutional component of its entitlement offer, raising approximately $2.8 million through the issuance of new shares at $0.10 each. This move is part of a larger partially underwritten entitlement offer aimed at raising additional capital, with the retail component expected to raise up to $7.2 million. The completion of this institutional component strengthens Swoop’s financial position and supports its strategic initiatives, potentially enhancing its market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Swoop Holdings Faces Director Removal Proposal
Dec 5, 2025

Swoop Holdings Limited has received a notice from N & J Enterprises (WA) Pty Ltd, a significant shareholder, indicating their intention to propose the removal of director William Reid at an upcoming general meeting. The company is reviewing the notice and will adhere to its legal obligations, keeping shareholders informed as required.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SWP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swoop Holdings Limited stock, see the AU:SWP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026