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Stavely Minerals Ltd (AU:SVY)
ASX:SVY
Australian Market

Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SVY

Stavely Minerals Ltd

(Sydney:SVY)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▼(-25.00% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/04/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative ROE, and negative operating cash flow) despite improving revenue and low leverage. Technical indicators also lean bearish with the price below key longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is constrained by a negative P/E (loss-making) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
A very low debt-to-equity ratio (0.02) gives Stavely strong financial flexibility for an explorer. It reduces refinancing pressure and interest burden, lowering the chance of distress during multi-stage exploration programs and making partnership or farm-out negotiations easier.
Strong Revenue Growth
Material revenue growth of ~27% indicates improving operational activity or successful contract/asset monetization. This trend supports a longer runway for exploration, shows growing market engagement, and can improve bargaining power with JV partners or acquirers.
Improving Free Cash Flow Metrics
An FCF-to-net-income ratio above 1 and noted improvement in free cash flow suggest the company is converting results into cash more effectively. For an explorer, improving cash conversion helps fund programs internally and reduces near-term reliance on dilutive equity raises.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Negative Margins
Ongoing negative profitability across net, EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates the business is not yet generating sustainable earnings. This undermines the ability to self-fund development, pressures returns to shareholders, and makes long-term viability dependent on successful discovery or external funding.
Negative Operating Cash Flow
Sustained negative operating cash flow means core activities consume cash, requiring continuous external financing for exploration. That elevates execution and dilution risk over the next 2-6 months as programs proceed and capital needs persist.
Exploration-Stage Business Model
As a non-producing exploration company, revenue is episodic and tied to asset sales, farm-outs or discoveries. The model is capital intensive with long lead times and high project risk, making structural dependence on external funding a persistent vulnerability.

Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Stavely Minerals Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStavely Minerals Limited, a mineral resource company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company explores for copper, gold, zinc, and silver deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Stavely project covering an area of approximately 1,000 square kilometers located west of Melbourne; the Ararat project that covers an area of approximately 26 square kilometers situated in western margin of the Stawell-Bendigo zone; and the Yarram Park project located in western Victoria. The company was formerly known as Northern Platinum Pty Ltd. Stavely Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Nedlands, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyStavely Minerals Ltd does not operate producing mines and, based on publicly available information, does not generate recurring operating revenue from mineral sales. The company’s business model is primarily exploration-stage: it deploys capital to acquire and maintain exploration tenements, conduct exploration programs, and, if successful, define mineral resources that can be monetized in the future. Potential monetization pathways typically include selling a project/tenement package, farming out interests to a partner in exchange for cash payments and/or the partner funding exploration and development (joint venture), or advancing a discovery toward development and production; however, specific agreements, producing assets, or disclosed recurring revenue streams cannot be confirmed from the information available here and are therefore null. Significant partnerships or project-level commercial arrangements contributing to current earnings: null.

Stavely Minerals Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue increased strongly (+27.36%) and leverage is minimal (debt-to-equity 0.02), but the company remains loss-making with negative net profit/EBIT/EBITDA margins, negative ROE, and negative operating cash flow—overall financial health is still weak.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Stavely Minerals Ltd has shown a significant improvement in revenue growth, with a 27.36% increase in the latest year. However, the company continues to face substantial profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 100%, but the overall financial health remains weak due to persistent losses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.02, indicating minimal leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a solid asset base, but the negative ROE highlights profitability issues.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Stavely Minerals Ltd has shown some improvement in free cash flow growth, but the operating cash flow remains negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that the company is generating some cash relative to its net losses, but overall cash flow health is weak.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue48.26K79.45K66.89K59.10K42.19K40.89K
Gross Profit-45.16K79.45K-2.66M-156.66K-104.32K-85.30K
EBITDA-3.39M-4.09M-6.76M-8.49M-13.82M-22.65M
Net Income-3.45M-4.12M-5.59M-8.86M-13.97M-21.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.31M6.94M9.38M8.99M6.33M19.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments489.29K1.17M3.73M1.65M922.22K15.31M
Total Debt80.81K126.07K209.99K1.60M94.29K180.03K
Total Liabilities417.11K732.40K896.83K2.79M1.28M1.76M
Stockholders Equity5.90M6.21M8.48M6.20M5.05M18.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.91M-4.16M-4.51M-9.93M-12.05M-22.25M
Operating Cash Flow-3.69M-3.86M-4.39M-7.26M-11.95M-21.49M
Investing Cash Flow-222.61K-334.04K1.75M-2.56M-846.85K-171.46K
Financing Cash Flow1.73M1.64M4.71M10.56M-96.17K26.06M

Stavely Minerals Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.02
Negative
200DMA
0.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
40.71
Neutral
STOCH
-22.22
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SVY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and above the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -22.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SVY.

Stavely Minerals Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
45
Neutral
AU$18.94M-3.24-104.93%-69.98%
44
Neutral
AU$7.23M-2.49-49.11%50.00%
43
Neutral
AU$4.48M-0.44-178.26%-58.49%
42
Neutral
AU$14.54M-0.32-9999.00%18.79%
40
Underperform
AU$9.59M-1.36-57.07%44.90%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SVY
Stavely Minerals Ltd
0.01
>-0.01
-22.22%
AU:MTL
Caeneus Minerals Limited
AU:GRE
Greentech Metals Ltd.
0.07
<0.01
13.11%
AU:LU7
Esports Mogul Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:G88
Golden Mile Resources Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Stavely Minerals Ltd Corporate Events

Stavely Minerals Updates 2026 Resource Estimate and Scoping Study
Mar 19, 2026

Stavely Minerals has released an updated 2026 mineral resource estimate and a scoping study assessing the potential for copper, gold and silver production in Western Victoria. The documents outline the scale and development options for its projects, signalling continued progress in defining the economic viability of its assets and informing future decisions for investors and other stakeholders.

While high-level and subject to various assumptions, the new resource estimate and study are intended to guide exploration priorities and early-stage development planning. They also frame Stavely’s potential production profile within the regional metals sector, which could influence the company’s long-term positioning in the copper-gold-silver market if subsequent technical and economic work proves supportive.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals to Brief Investors on Major Resource Upgrade at Stavely Copper-Gold Project
Mar 17, 2026

Stavely Minerals has announced that Executive Chairman Chris Cairns will host a live investor and shareholder webinar on 19 March 2026 to discuss a major increase in the Mineral Resource Estimate at the Stavely Copper-Gold Project in western Victoria. The session will outline details of the expanded 60Mt at 0.58% CuEq resource and provide a brief update on the 2026 Scoping Study, giving investors an opportunity to ask questions and assess the potential implications for the project’s development and the company’s growth trajectory.

The webinar aims to deepen market understanding of the upgraded resource base, which the company describes as a strong foundation for its ongoing technical and economic evaluations. By actively engaging investors through a live Q&A format, Stavely Minerals is seeking to highlight the project’s evolving scale and to reinforce transparency around upcoming work programs that may influence future project financing and strategic positioning within the copper-gold sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Doubles Stavely Project Resource to 60Mt Ahead of 2026 Scoping Study
Mar 17, 2026

Stavely Minerals has released an updated mineral resource estimate for its Stavely Copper-Gold Project in Western Victoria, reporting 60Mt at 0.58% copper equivalent containing 280,000 tonnes of copper, 170,000 ounces of gold and 5.4 million ounces of silver. The company has also clarified that earlier aspirational statements should not be taken as implying any production target ahead of the formal 2026 Scoping Study.

Compared with the 2022 estimate, project tonnage has more than doubled and contained copper, gold and silver have risen by 31%, 67% and 69% respectively, largely due to higher metals prices bringing previously low-grade material into the resource. The enlarged resource will underpin a Scoping Study, due before mid‑2026, with open-pit optimisation suggesting 34Mt at 0.74% copper equivalent at a notional strip ratio of about 2.5:1, positioning the project as a potentially more robust development opportunity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals doubles Stavely copper-gold resource ahead of 2026 scoping study
Mar 16, 2026

Stavely Minerals has reported a major increase in the total Mineral Resource Estimate for its Stavely Copper-Gold Project, lifting resources to 60Mt at 0.58% copper equivalent, containing 280,000 tonnes of copper, 170,000 ounces of gold and 5.4 million ounces of silver. The company says higher metals prices have allowed large volumes of previously unclassified low-grade mineralisation to be brought into the resource, significantly boosting tonnage and contained metal versus the 2022 estimate.

Using a consensus metals price open-pit optimisation, Stavely has outlined 34Mt at 0.74% copper equivalent with most metal in the higher-confidence Indicated category, supporting a potential 3Mtpa operation producing about 20,000 tonnes per year of copper-equivalent in concentrate over more than 10 years. Management says the enlarged resource underpins a Scoping Study due before mid-2026, which is expected to provide clearer project value metrics and strengthen the company’s development case for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Lifts Stavely Project Prospects With High-Grade Gold Hits and Revived Study
Mar 10, 2026

Stavely Minerals reported strong half-year exploration results from its Stavely Project in western Victoria, with reverse circulation drilling at the Fairview North and Fairview South prospects returning multiple shallow, high-grade gold intercepts over broad intervals. The extent of shallow mineralisation at Fairview North now exceeds 300 metres and remains open, while early work at Fairview South suggests a potential second parallel gold zone, and reconnaissance drilling at Freddy’s Find has identified extensive altered breccia hosting epithermal gold-silver mineralisation.

The company has also re-evaluated its previously neutral 2022 Scoping Study in light of significantly higher copper, gold, and silver prices and a weaker Australian dollar, concluding that updated economics now indicate strongly positive financial outcomes even after factoring in higher capital and operating costs. On this basis, Stavely Minerals has commenced an updated 2026 Scoping Study, aiming to refine project economics and potentially enhance the development case for its Stavely Project, which could improve its strategic position and value proposition for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Revives Scoping Study as Gold and Copper Drilling Delivers Strong Results in Victoria
Jan 30, 2026

Stavely Minerals has restarted and upgraded its economic assessment of the Cayley Lode deposit at the Stavely Project, updating its earlier 2022 Scoping Study to reflect substantially higher copper, gold and silver prices, a weaker Australian dollar and revised capital and operating cost benchmarks, which now point to strongly positive financial outcomes. The new 2026 Scoping Study will incorporate an updated mineral resource estimate, further metallurgical testwork to improve recoveries, pit and underground mine re-optimisation and evaluation of a smaller high-grade underground-only development option, signaling a potential shift towards more commercially robust development scenarios. In parallel, the company has reported encouraging exploration results across several gold prospects: Phase 2 drilling at Fairview North has extended shallow gold mineralisation over more than 300 metres and remains open along strike and at depth, soil auger work at Fairview South has identified a possible second parallel gold zone, and reconnaissance drilling at Freddy’s Find has intersected broad zones of altered, sulphide-rich breccia with multiple significant epithermal gold-silver intervals, collectively enhancing the project pipeline and exploration upside for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Flags Ongoing Cash Outflows in December Quarter
Jan 30, 2026

Stavely Minerals Limited, an Australian mineral exploration company, has reported its quarterly cash flow for the period ended 31 December 2025, highlighting its continued focus on exploration and evaluation activities funded largely through equity capital. The company recorded net operating cash outflows of A$1.21 million for the quarter and A$2.48 million for the six months to date, driven mainly by exploration, exploration staff, and corporate administration costs, while investing cash flows were minimal and financing inflows earlier in the half-year, primarily from equity issues, helped sustain its cash position. After these movements, Stavely’s cash balance declined from A$1.72 million at the beginning of the quarter, underlining the typical cash‑burn profile of early‑stage explorers and reinforcing its dependence on capital markets to support ongoing project work and corporate overheads.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Accelerates 2026 Scoping Study for Victorian Copper-Gold Project
Jan 30, 2026

Stavely Minerals has reported strong early progress on an updated 2026 Scoping Study for its Thursday’s Gossan and Cayley Lode deposits at the Stavely Copper-Gold Project in western Victoria, moving toward a development case targeting around 20,000 tonnes per annum of copper-equivalent production and an aspirational mine life of more than 10 years. The company has held its first project meeting with an independent study manager, is advancing updated Mineral Resource estimates and mine optimisations, and is revisiting metallurgical, processing, transport and marketing parameters in light of substantially higher copper, gold and silver prices and a more favourable exchange rate than in its incomplete 2022 Scoping Study, aiming to better demonstrate the project’s value and improve its appeal to institutional investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Drilling Points to Large-Scale Gold-Silver Potential at Freddy’s Find
Jan 20, 2026

Stavely Minerals has reported encouraging assay results from a reconnaissance reverse circulation drilling program at the Freddy’s Find breccia-hosted gold prospect, part of its 100%-owned Stavely Copper-Gold Project in western Victoria. Wide-spaced 200m drilling across only about a quarter of the large, 2km by 750m hydrothermal breccia system intercepted multiple zones of epithermal gold-silver mineralisation over broad intervals, including up to 16m at gold-equivalent grades above 1g/t. Together with earlier 400m-spaced air-core drilling that also returned high-grade gold-equivalent intercepts more than 600m away, the latest results strengthen the case for a potentially large-scale epithermal gold-silver system at Freddy’s Find, underscoring significant exploration upside and suggesting substantial untested volume that could materially enhance the project’s longer-term development prospects if further drilling is successful.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Revives Stavely Copper-Gold Project with Stronger Economics in 2026 Scoping Study
Jan 14, 2026

Stavely Minerals has launched an updated 2026 Scoping Study for the Thursday’s Gossan and Cayley Lode deposits after a review of its incomplete 2022 study showed that materially higher copper, gold and silver prices, combined with a weaker Australian dollar, transform the project’s economics from neutral to strongly positive even after factoring in escalated capital and operating costs. The new work will incorporate an updated mineral resource estimate that better captures high-grade continuity at Cayley Lode, additional metallurgical testwork to lift recoveries, re-optimised open-pit and underground mine designs, and assessment of a smaller high-grade underground-only scenario, while the company simultaneously advances deeper copper exploration at Cayley Lode, the nearby Junction Porphyry prospect and regional targets to potentially increase project scale and enhance future development outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Stavely Minerals Cleans Up Capital Structure as Director Options Expire
Jan 1, 2026

Stavely Minerals has announced the lapse of a tranche of listed options held by several directors, including Managing Director Christopher Cairns, following their expiry on 31 December 2025. The change, disclosed via Appendix 3Y notices, reduces the number of options on issue but does not involve any cash consideration, reflecting a routine clean-up of directors’ expiring equity incentives and a marginal simplification of the company’s capital structure for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SVY) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stavely Minerals Ltd stock, see the AU:SVY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026