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Saturn Metals Ltd. (AU:STN)
ASX:STN
Australian Market

Saturn Metals Ltd. (STN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:STN

Saturn Metals Ltd.

(Sydney:STN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.64
▲(23.27% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue, widening losses, and sharply higher free cash flow burn), partially offset by a strong low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation is a modest negative because profitability is absent (negative P/E) and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
Extremely low debt materially reduces solvency and fixed-cost risk over the medium term. For an exploration company this preserves optionality to fund programs via equity or partnerships without heavy interest burdens, making capital allocation decisions less constrained by debt covenants.
Growing equity and asset base
A materially larger equity base and expanded assets provide a durable capital cushion to support multi-year exploration cycles. This strengthens creditor and partner confidence, underpins balance-sheet optionality for JV deals or staged project funding, and reduces short-term solvency exposure.
Strategic tenement holdings
Ownership of tenements in Western Australia gives persistent access to a proven jurisdiction and long-term discovery optionality. For explorers, tenure and quality of ground are structural advantages that enable sustained programs, attract JV partners, and create pathways from exploration to resource development.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue operations
Absence of revenue means the business cannot self-finance operations or capital programs, making progress entirely dependent on external financing or corporate transactions. Persisting pre-revenue status prolongs execution risk and delays any durable shift to internally generated cashflows.
Widening cash burn
Sharply worse free cash flow signals significantly higher spending or investment pace. Over months this reduces runway and forces repeated capital raises or partner dilution. Persistent negative cash generation also raises the bar for demonstrating project economics before securing longer-term funding.
Funding/runway risk
Even with low leverage and higher equity, the combination of zero revenue and rising burn creates structural reliance on external capital. This elevates dilution and execution risk if market conditions or capital access tighten, constraining the company’s ability to sustain multi-year exploration programs.

Saturn Metals Ltd. (STN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Saturn Metals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaturn Metals Limited engages in the exploration for precious metals in Australia. The company explores for gold and diamond deposits. Its projects portfolio includes the Apollo Hill project that comprises 31 prospective gold exploration and prospective licenses covering an area of approximately 1,600 square kilometers, including two mining leases and twelve water exploration leases located in Western Australia; and the West Wyalong Gold project that consists of 91km2 brownfield exploration tenements located in the Wagga Wagga. Saturn Metals Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySaturn Metals Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the exploration and potential development of gold mineral resources. The company's revenue model is centered on increasing the value of its mining projects through successful exploration and resource expansion, which can lead to profitable extraction operations or strategic partnerships and sales. Key revenue streams include proceeds from potential future gold production, joint ventures, or sales of mining rights and interests. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include successful exploration results, favorable gold market conditions, and strategic partnerships with other mining entities.

Saturn Metals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals dominated by pre-revenue losses and rising cash burn. Income statement is weak (no revenue and widening net loss in FY2025), and cash flow is pressured (operating cash outflows and sharply worse negative free cash flow). The balance sheet is a clear offset with extremely low leverage and materially higher equity, reducing solvency risk but not addressing funding/runway concerns.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company remains in a pre-revenue phase with TotalRevenue at 0 across all reported years, so losses are primarily driven by operating and development spend rather than commercial activity. Profitability is weak: FY2025 net income was about -5.1M versus -2.8M in FY2024, and operating losses (EBIT) also widened, indicating a heavier cost base. A modest positive is that losses have not trended in a straight line over the full period, but the most recent year shows clear deterioration.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: leverage is extremely low (FY2025 debt-to-equity ~0.0007), giving flexibility to fund exploration without meaningful debt servicing risk. Equity has also grown materially over time (FY2025 stockholders’ equity ~83.8M vs ~17.4M in FY2020), supporting the asset base (FY2025 total assets ~86.5M). The key weakness is continued negative returns on equity (FY2025 ROE around -6%), reflecting ongoing losses and the absence of revenue generation.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is weak and volatile. Operating cash flow is consistently negative (FY2025 about -3.2M), and free cash flow is deeply negative and worsened sharply in FY2025 (about -21.7M vs -6.8M in FY2024), implying a step-up in spending and/or investment. While low debt reduces refinancing pressure, the scale of cash burn increases reliance on external funding if this spending level persists.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-192.46K-172.65K-160.09K-126.71K-57.45K
EBITDA-5.32M-2.60M-3.42M-2.15M-1.90M
Net Income-5.12M-2.77M-3.59M-2.29M-1.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets86.51M44.91M38.86M36.06M30.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.18M4.11M3.50M7.11M8.16M
Total Debt62.28K142.92K94.51K211.42K197.63K
Total Liabilities2.68M2.10M1.33M834.23K1.53M
Stockholders Equity83.83M42.81M37.53M35.23M29.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.70M-6.81M-7.06M-6.96M-9.36M
Operating Cash Flow-3.22M-1.54M-1.65K-1.68K-1.37K
Investing Cash Flow-18.18M-5.17M-7.00M-6.94M-9.33M
Financing Cash Flow44.46M7.32M5.05M7.58M13.72M

Saturn Metals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.52
Price Trends
50DMA
0.52
Positive
100DMA
0.52
Positive
200DMA
0.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
57.05
Neutral
STOCH
77.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:STN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.54, above the 50-day MA of 0.52, and above the 200-day MA of 0.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:STN.

Saturn Metals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
AU$164.99M-45.10-1.53%71.98%
55
Neutral
AU$317.15M-37.42-8.09%-10.71%
55
Neutral
AU$556.25M-63.08-3.24%30.85%
47
Neutral
AU$82.56M-26.92-15.72%-18.18%
47
Neutral
AU$296.14M-5.20
44
Neutral
AU$326.54M-3.36-209.77%-965.24%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:STN
Saturn Metals Ltd.
0.58
0.38
190.00%
AU:MDX
Mindax Limited
0.04
>-0.01
-7.89%
AU:HRZ
Horizon Minerals Ltd
1.16
0.24
26.23%
AU:POL
Polymetals Resources Ltd.
1.06
0.42
65.63%
AU:WC8
Wildcat Resources Ltd.
0.41
0.21
110.26%
AU:DLI
Delta Lithium Limited
0.23
0.07
39.39%

Saturn Metals Ltd. Corporate Events

Saturn Metals Launches Large-Scale Gravity Survey to Boost Apollo Hill Gold Exploration
Mar 3, 2026

Saturn Metals has begun a high-resolution ground gravity survey across 750 square kilometres at its greater Apollo Hill Gold Project near Leonora in Western Australia. The program is designed to complete gravity coverage of its tenements by infilling and extending earlier surveys to better define bedrock contrasts and prospective geological faults linked to gold mineralisation.

The survey, comprising 18,300 gravity stations over 1,830 line-kilometres, is expected to take about five weeks, with data processing to run in parallel. Results will guide a planned 35,000-metre regional drilling campaign in the first half of 2026 and are aimed at finding additional gold resources to support and potentially extend future mining operations around Apollo Hill and nearby prospects Aquarius, Hercules, Aphrodite and Pandora.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Uncovers New Titan Zone and Strong Grades at Apollo Hill
Feb 25, 2026

Saturn Metals has reported significant new reverse circulation drill results from its ongoing five-rig campaign at the Apollo Hill Gold Project, including higher-grade, thick and shallow gold intercepts. The results underscore strong near-surface mineralisation and support the potential for lateral and depth extensions along existing trends.

The company has identified a new gold lode, named the Titan Zone, on the northern extension of the Iris Trend, where closer-spaced resource drilling is under way. Strong infill drilling results across several lodes are increasing confidence ahead of a planned Mineral Resource upgrade in the second quarter of 2026, with drilling continuing on-site and further assay results pending from 99 holes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Sell with a A$0.51 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Reaffirms Apollo Hill PFS, Resources and Reserves
Feb 9, 2026

Saturn Metals has released an investor presentation outlining the results of its Pre-Feasibility Study for the Apollo Hill Gold Project, confirming a sizeable mineral resource of 2.24 million ounces of gold and a maiden ore reserve of 1.59 million ounces. The company reiterated that there have been no material changes to the technical assumptions underpinning its previously disclosed resource, reserve and production target, reinforcing the robustness of the project data for stakeholders.

The update, authorised by the board, emphasises compliance with Australasian reporting standards and includes competent person confirmations for exploration results, resources and reserves. This disclosure strengthens Saturn Metals’ credibility in the market and supports its efforts to progress Apollo Hill towards development, potentially enhancing its position within the Australian gold sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Sell with a A$0.44 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals’ Apollo Hill PFS Points to Long-Life, High-Return Gold Operation
Jan 30, 2026

Saturn Metals has delivered a positive Pre-Feasibility Study for its Apollo Hill Gold Project, outlining a 14-year, standalone bulk open-pit and heap leach operation underpinned by a 1.77Moz production target and a 1.58Moz maiden ore reserve, with strong projected economics including an NPV (8%) of A$973 million, a 51% IRR, rapid capital payback and average annual steady-state production of about 106,000 ounces. The company also reported encouraging drilling results along the Iris Trend that point to further exploration upside, and completed a A$45 million equity placement to institutional and sophisticated investors, leaving it well-funded to pursue a Definitive Feasibility Study in 2026 and potentially enhance Apollo Hill’s scale and financial returns in a buoyant gold price environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Issues New Shares on Employee Performance Rights
Jan 21, 2026

Saturn Metals Limited has issued 76,245 fully paid ordinary shares following the exercise of performance rights by employees, modestly increasing the company’s share base. The company confirmed the shares were issued without a prospectus in accordance with Australian corporations law, stating it remains compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations and that there is no excluded material information that investors would reasonably expect in a disclosure document.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Sell with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Announces Cessation of 373,755 Listed Options
Jan 21, 2026

Saturn Metals Ltd, listed on the ASX under the code STN, has reported the cessation of a tranche of its listed options, specifically options expiring on 27 May 2027 with an exercise price of A$0.40.

The company has notified the market that 373,755 of these options (code STNAM) have ceased as of 20 January 2026, slightly altering its issued capital structure and reducing the pool of potential future equity that could have been raised through the exercise of these securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Sell with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for 76,245 New Ordinary Shares
Jan 21, 2026

Saturn Metals Ltd. has applied to the ASX for quotation of 76,245 new fully paid ordinary shares, following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The modest increase in quoted capital reflects routine capital management rather than a major funding event, but it slightly expands the company’s listed share base and may incrementally enhance liquidity for existing investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Sell with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Accelerates Major Drill Campaign at Apollo Hill’s Iris Trend
Jan 20, 2026

Saturn Metals has mobilised six drill rigs to fast-track a major resource development and step-out drilling campaign along the 2.6km Iris Trend at its Apollo Hill Gold Project in Western Australia. The program, comprising more than 30,000 metres of planned reverse circulation drilling, is targeting near-surface extensions, higher-grade footwall zones and key structures north of the current resource, with the aim of upgrading the existing 2.24Moz mineral resource and 1.58Moz ore reserve. In-fill drilling is also underway in the main deposit area to support resource category upgrades and potential reserve expansion, with results to feed into a Definitive Feasibility Study and updated ore reserve due later this year. Backed by a strong cash position that fully funds work beyond DFS completion, the accelerated campaign underscores Saturn’s confidence in the Apollo Hill system and the recently discovered Iris corridor, with the company flagging potential for a material near-term impact on mineral inventory and its development pathway.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Sell with a A$0.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for 200,000 New Ordinary Shares
Jan 8, 2026

Saturn Metals Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 200,000 new fully paid ordinary shares, with an issue date of 8 January 2026. The additional securities, arising from the exercise or conversion of existing instruments, modestly increase the company’s share capital and reflect ongoing capital management activities that may support its exploration and development programs while slightly diluting existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Director Sees 600,000 Performance Rights Lapse After Conditions Not Met
Jan 5, 2026

Saturn Metals has disclosed a change in the indirect interests of director Ian Bamborough, following the lapse of 600,000 performance rights expiring on 29 November 2026 that were held through associated entities Roman Road Holdings Pty Ltd and IBLC Pty Ltd. The performance rights lapsed with no consideration after vesting conditions were not met, reducing Bamborough’s indirect holding of that particular performance rights tranche to 800,000 while leaving his direct and indirect shareholdings otherwise unchanged, signalling an adjustment to his long-term incentive exposure rather than an on-market transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Confirms Lapse of 1.78 Million Performance Rights
Jan 5, 2026

Saturn Metals Limited has announced the cessation of 1,777,312 performance rights (ASX code STNAE) after they lapsed on 31 December 2025 because the conditions attached to those rights were not, or could no longer be, satisfied. The lapse reduces the company’s pool of potential equity-based incentives tied to these rights and may slightly alter its future capital structure, but does not involve any cash outlay or immediate impact on ordinary shares on issue.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Corrects Director Interest Notice
Dec 18, 2025

Saturn Metals Limited issued a correction to a previously lodged Change of Director’s Interest Notice, specifying the accurate date of change for Mr. Ian Bambrough’s interests as December 17, 2025, instead of the originally noted November 28, 2025. This update ensures transparency in disclosures and aligns with corporate compliance regulations, reflecting the company’s commitment to accurate reporting for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Buy with a A$1.93 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Announces Change in Director’s Securities Interest
Dec 18, 2025

Saturn Metals Limited announced a change in the interests of Director Ian Bamborough, involving the exercise of vested performance rights and the acquisition of fully paid ordinary shares. This adjustment indicates a strategic realignment in the director’s holdings, reflecting confidence in the company’s prospects and market operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Buy with a A$1.93 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Issues Shares Following Performance Rights Exercise
Dec 17, 2025

Saturn Metals Limited announced the issuance of 6,790,666 fully paid ordinary shares to employees through the exercise of performance rights. This move underscores the company’s commitment to employee incentives while ensuring compliance with corporate governance requirements, signaling operational stability and potential strategic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Buy with a A$1.93 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Announces Quotation of Securities on ASX
Dec 17, 2025

Saturn Metals Limited has announced its application for the quotation of 6,790,666 fully paid ordinary securities on the ASX. The new securities, issued as a result of exercised options or converted securities, are expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and operations, while potentially reinforcing its position within the mining and exploration sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Buy with a A$1.93 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Unveils Promising PFS for Apollo Hill Gold Project
Dec 16, 2025

Saturn Metals Limited has announced a positive Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) for its Apollo Hill Gold Project, which indicates a long-life, scalable gold mining operation with significant financial returns. The PFS outlines a 14-year life-of-mine with a robust production target and a maiden ore reserve, supported by a strong cash position to fund further development. The project is expected to generate over A$2.5 billion in EBITDA and achieve a rapid payback period, positioning Saturn Metals favorably in the gold mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Buy with a A$1.93 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Ltd. Announces Cessation of Securities
Dec 10, 2025

Saturn Metals Ltd. has announced the cessation of certain securities, including 165,000 performance rights and 450,000 options, due to unmet conditions and expiry, respectively. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence investor perceptions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Buy with a A$1.93 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Saturn Metals Ltd. Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 9, 2025

Saturn Metals Ltd. has announced the quotation of 266,901 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 8, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and support its ongoing exploration and development activities, potentially impacting its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:STN) stock is a Buy with a A$1.93 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saturn Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:STN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026