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Star Minerals Ltd. (AU:SMS)
ASX:SMS
Australian Market

Star Minerals Ltd. (SMS) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SMS

Star Minerals Ltd.

(Sydney:SMS)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.05
â–²(22.50% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (large losses and ongoing cash burn), partially offset by a low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals add a neutral-to-soft backdrop with some oversold signals, while valuation is not supportive due to loss-making results and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength (no debt)
A debt-free balance sheet and solid equity base materially reduce financial risk and provide strategic flexibility. Over 2-6 months this supports the company’s ability to fund exploration or operations via equity or internal resources, improving resilience during adverse commodity cycles.
Exposure to gold industry
Operating in the gold sector provides structural demand support and long-term investor interest tied to store-of-value and macro hedging characteristics. This industry positioning can aid access to capital and strategic partnerships compared with non-precious-metal peers over a multi-month horizon.
Improving free cash flow trend
An improvement in free cash flow, even if still negative, signals progress on operational efficiency or timing of expenditures. If sustained, this trend reduces external funding needs, lengthens runway, and improves the odds of achieving positive cash generation in the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent operating losses
Deep and persistent operating losses erode equity and limit reinvestment capacity. Over months this undermines the firm’s ability to scale or respond to operational setbacks, increases the probability of dilution or restructuring, and weakens long-term viability without material improvement.
Small, inconsistent revenue base
A small and uneven revenue stream prevents predictable coverage of fixed costs and precludes operating leverage. Over 2-6 months this makes forecasting and capital allocation difficult, hinders margin improvement, and raises execution risk for any growth or development plans.
Reliance on external funding
Dependence on external funding creates vulnerability to market access and increases dilution or financing costs. Persisting over months, this constrains strategic choices, elevates refinancing risk in tighter markets, and can pressure operations if capital conditions deteriorate.

Star Minerals Ltd. (SMS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Star Minerals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStar Minerals Limited, a mineral exploration company, focuses on the exploration and development gold, copper, and base metals in Australia. The company's advanced project is the Tumblegum South project located to the south of Meekatharra, central Western Australia. It also develops the West Bryah project located in central Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Star Holdco Limited and changed its name to Star Minerals Limited in February 2021. Star Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Star Minerals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak overall: the income statement shows inconsistent/small revenue and sharply worsening profitability with large losses, and cash flow remains persistently negative (ongoing cash burn). The main offset is a relatively strong balance sheet with no debt and solid equity, which reduces solvency risk but does not solve the lack of profitability.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Revenue is small and inconsistent (including zero-revenue years), and the latest annual period shows a sharp deterioration in profitability with deeply negative gross profit and very large operating and net losses. While revenue grew versus the prior year, the company is not demonstrating operating leverage—losses remain substantial relative to sales, highlighting a weak earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: the company carries no debt in recent years and maintains a solid equity base versus total assets, which reduces financial risk. However, returns remain negative as losses persist, meaning the equity is not currently generating profits and could be pressured over time if losses continue.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative, indicating ongoing cash burn. Free cash flow has improved in the latest year, but the business still relies on funding rather than internally generated cash, and cash outflows remain meaningful relative to reported losses.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.22K0.00202.34K0.000.00
Gross Profit-722.27K0.00202.34K0.000.00
EBITDA-1.90M-853.08K-1.17M-795.76K0.00
Net Income-1.90M-857.63K-1.17M-795.98K-45.33K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.76M6.59M6.41M7.80M241.26K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.18M435.16K784.03K2.97M240.39K
Total Debt0.000.000.000.0011.92K
Total Liabilities291.54K138.51K215.46K487.58K254.77K
Stockholders Equity7.47M6.46M6.19M7.32M-13.51K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.58M-1.18M-2.19M-1.79M-24.38K
Operating Cash Flow-1.34M-1.11M-1.82M-678.13K-24.38K
Investing Cash Flow-240.37K-67.31K-371.21K-1.11M-3.00
Financing Cash Flow2.32M827.74K0.004.53M745.56K

Star Minerals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.06
Negative
100DMA
0.05
Negative
200DMA
0.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
35.19
Neutral
STOCH
20.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SMS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.06, and below the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SMS.

Star Minerals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
AU$6.14M-2.11-139.36%―168.85%13.51%
47
Neutral
AU$56.99M-2.79-28.97%――5.93%
44
Neutral
―-1.59-26.30%―――
43
Neutral
AU$3.22M-0.22-164.84%――76.76%
41
Neutral
AU$17.00M-0.72-92.34%――69.23%
40
Underperform
AU$6.27M-4.04-120.71%――65.32%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SMS
Star Minerals Ltd.
0.05
0.02
92.31%
AU:GNM
Great Northern Minerals Limited
0.04
0.02
150.00%
AU:GSM
Golden State Mining Ltd.
0.01
<0.01
30.00%
AU:SFM
Santa Fe Minerals Ltd.
0.35
0.31
775.00%
AU:RAS
Ragusa Minerals Ltd
0.03
<0.01
47.62%
AU:WSR
Westar Resources Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Star Minerals Ltd. Corporate Events

Star Minerals Closes West Bryah Sale and Secures Strategic Investment from Catalyst Metals
Mar 18, 2026

Star Minerals has completed the sale of its non-core West Bryah copper-gold project to Catalyst Metals for a total consideration of $2.75 million in cash and shares, while also securing a $1 million strategic equity placement from Catalyst at $0.062 per share. The transaction strengthens Star Minerals’ balance sheet without shareholder dilution, brings Catalyst onto the register with a 6.59% stake, and underpins plans to advance and process ore from the Tumblegum South Gold Project through Catalyst’s Plutonic Plant Gold Mill, reinforcing the project’s pathway to production and potential cash generation in a supportive gold price environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Issues New Quoted Securities Under Disclosure Exemption
Mar 18, 2026

Star Minerals has issued new quoted securities without a prospectus, relying on a disclosure exemption available under Section 708A(5) of the Corporations Act 2001. The company stated it is fully compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations, and confirmed there is no undisclosed price-sensitive information, signalling that the capital raising is routine and not driven by hidden developments.

The notice assures investors that the new securities can trade on-market without additional disclosure documents, which may streamline the company’s access to capital. This step reinforces Star Minerals’ adherence to regulatory standards, potentially supporting investor confidence while modestly expanding its quoted share base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Seeks ASX Quotation for 16.1 Million New Shares
Mar 18, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd. has applied for quotation on the ASX of 16,129,032 new ordinary fully paid shares under its SMS ticker, with an issue date of March 18, 2026. The additional securities expand the company’s listed share capital, potentially broadening its investor base and providing further flexibility for funding future exploration and development activities.

The move to quote these new shares reflects ongoing capital management by Star Minerals as it pursues its growth plans in the resources sector. While specific use of proceeds is not detailed in the filing, the enlarged quoted equity base may support liquidity in the stock and underpin the company’s ability to access market funding for its projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Releases Interim Financial Report for Half-Year to December 2025
Mar 13, 2026

Star Minerals Limited has released its consolidated interim financial report for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, providing investors with an overview of profit or loss, financial position, cash flows and changes in equity. The report, which includes directors’ commentary and an independent auditor’s review, offers stakeholders structured insight into the company’s recent financial performance and governance disclosures.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals seeks ASX quotation for 2.33m new shares
Mar 10, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd. has applied for quotation on the ASX of 2,328,125 new ordinary fully paid shares under its existing ticker SMS. The new securities, issued on March 10, 2026, will expand the company’s listed share capital, providing additional liquidity for investors and reflecting the conversion or exercise of existing options or other convertible securities.

The application signals continued capital market activity by the junior miner as it progresses its strategy in the resources sector. The additional quoted shares may modestly dilute existing holdings but could support funding flexibility and market visibility for Star Minerals as it advances its projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Seeks ASX Quotation for 1 Million New Shares
Feb 25, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd. has applied to the ASX for quotation of 1,000,000 new ordinary fully paid shares under its existing SMS ticker. The securities are being brought onto the market following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible instruments, modestly increasing the company’s free float and potentially enhancing liquidity for investors.

The issuance, dated 25 February 2026, represents a relatively small capital expansion but signals continued corporate activity and engagement with equity markets. While financial terms are not disclosed, the move may support the company’s funding flexibility for exploration or development initiatives, with limited immediate dilution for existing shareholders given the scale of the new shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Clears Key Hurdles as Tumblegum South Gold Project Nears 2026 Start
Feb 25, 2026

Star Minerals has satisfied the conditions of its Right to Mine Agreement for the Tumblegum South Gold Project after signing a toll gold milling deal with Catalyst Metals. With mining approval, a mining contract and a milling contract now in place, and grade control drilling completed, the company targets first-quarter 2026 for the start of mining, subject to timely receipt of a Native Vegetation Clearing Permit.

The Tumblegum South project hosts a 616,000-tonne mineral resource at 2.28 grams per tonne for 45,000 ounces of gold, underpinning an updated production target of up to 15,900 ounces and an estimated cash surplus of A$9.4 million to A$19.6 million at current gold prices. Management says the robust economics and strengthened project de-risking could position Star Minerals to capitalise on elevated gold prices and enhance returns for shareholders as it transitions into production.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals outlines path from explorer to near-term gold producer
Feb 24, 2026

Star Minerals has released a February 2026 corporate presentation outlining its shift from explorer to emerging near-term gold producer, anchored by the Tumblegum South Gold Project. The company highlights previously reported scoping studies, mineral resource estimates, and metallurgical data that collectively support the technical and economic potential of open pit mining and toll treatment at the site.

The presentation stresses that the updated scoping study for Tumblegum South is preliminary and not yet sufficient to define ore reserves, with further evaluation and studies required before an economic development case can be assured. Star Minerals also flags a likely funding requirement in the range of $1.7 million to $3.9 million and notes potential alternatives such as asset sales or joint ventures, underlining both the project’s prospects and the financing and execution risks facing shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals to Brief Investors as Tumblegum South Gold Project Advances
Feb 20, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd. will host a live investor briefing webinar on 24 February 2026, where Managing Director Ashley Jones will provide an update on the company and take questions from shareholders, investors and media. The session, which will run for 30 minutes and be made available as a replay, is intended to deepen engagement with stakeholders as the company advances its Tumblegum South Gold Project towards near-term production, underpinned by robust economics at a wide range of gold prices and recently secured development and processing agreements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Outlines Early-Stage Scoping Study as It Moves Toward Gold Production
Feb 4, 2026

Star Minerals has released an updated corporate presentation outlining the preliminary results of its Updated Scoping Study for the Tumblegum South gold deposit, which assesses the viability of open pit mining with third-party toll treatment as it advances towards near-term gold production. The company emphasises that the study remains an early-stage, low-level technical and economic assessment that does not yet support ore reserve estimation, and highlights that further evaluation, additional funding in the range of A$1.7 million to A$3.9 million, and potential alternative ‘value realisation’ strategies such as asset sales or joint ventures may materially influence project ownership and outcomes for shareholders, underscoring the inherent uncertainties and risks for stakeholders at this stage.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Shareholders Back Ratification of Recent Capital Issuances
Jan 29, 2026

Star Minerals Limited has reported the outcomes of its 29 January 2026 general meeting, where shareholders voted on several capital-related resolutions. All three resolutions, relating to the ratification of previous share issues under ASX Listing Rules 7.1 and 7.1A and the ratification of previously issued lead manager options, were carried by an overwhelming majority via poll, confirming shareholder support for the company’s recent capital-raising and incentive activities and providing regulatory certainty around its existing securities structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals moves Tumblegum South closer to production as gold prices surge
Jan 20, 2026

Star Minerals has reported a strong December quarter as it advances its Tumblegum South Gold Project toward production, having secured mining approval and commenced grade control drilling on the granted M51/888 lease. The company highlighted that its updated scoping study for Tumblegum South indicates potential free cash flow of up to A$19.6 million at gold prices of A$3,800/oz, while the current ~A$7,000/oz gold price environment offers significant upside. Pre-mining capital and start-up costs of A$1.7 million to A$3.9 million are to be covered under a Right to Mine agreement with MEGA Resources, easing funding pressures as Star Minerals finalises mine planning and milling arrangements in collaboration with MEGA Resources and Bain Global Resources. The company ended the quarter with A$1.26 million in cash, reinforcing its ability to progress toward first production and potentially enhancing returns for shareholders if the strong gold price persists.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Restarts Grade Control Drilling at Tumblegum South Gold Project
Jan 15, 2026

Star Minerals has recommenced grade control drilling at its Tumblegum South Gold Project, with a planned program of about 4,000 metres and 611 metres already completed before the Christmas break under the coordination of MEGA Resources. The closely spaced drilling is designed to generate detailed data to define the mining production schedule and guide efficient extraction of the deposit, aiming to optimise the project’s economic outcomes as the company moves closer to potential production decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Moves to Digital Access for January 2026 Shareholder Meeting
Dec 23, 2025

Star Minerals Ltd has called a general meeting of shareholders for 10:00am AWST on 29 January 2026, with the notice of meeting and explanatory materials made available online through the company’s website and ASX announcements page instead of being mailed in hard copy, except to investors who have specifically elected to receive physical documents. The company is urging shareholders to submit directed proxy votes and questions in advance, register their intended attendance, and manage their communication and contact details through the Automic investor portal, while also flagging that any changes to the meeting arrangements will be communicated via its website and ASX platform, underscoring a continued shift toward digital shareholder engagement and compliance with electronic disclosure practices.

Star Minerals Sets January 2026 Date for Perth General Meeting
Dec 23, 2025

Star Minerals Limited has called a physical General Meeting of shareholders to be held in Leederville, Perth, Western Australia, at 10:00am (WST) on Thursday, 29 January 2026. The company has set an indicative timetable covering the last date for receipt of proxy forms and the share register snapshot date for voting eligibility, underscoring the importance of shareholder participation in upcoming resolutions to be considered at the meeting.

Star Minerals Advances Grade Control Drilling at Tumblegum South After Mining Approval
Dec 22, 2025

Star Minerals has reported steady progress on grade control drilling at its Tumblegum South Gold Project in Western Australia, following the recent receipt of mining approval. The program, coordinated by MEGA Resources, will cover about 4,000 metres of drilling, with 611 metres already completed before a short pause over the Christmas-New Year period and completion expected in January. The closely spaced drill holes are designed to refine the mining production schedule and maximise the ore-to-waste ratio, supporting the company’s plan to commence mining next quarter and accelerate first gold production, a key step in de-risking the project and moving Star Minerals closer to cash flow generation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026