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Star Minerals Ltd. (AU:SMS)
ASX:SMS
Australian Market

Star Minerals Ltd. (SMS) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SMS

Star Minerals Ltd.

(Sydney:SMS)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.07
▲(65.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—large losses and ongoing cash burn—despite a relatively strong, debt-free balance sheet. Technicals are moderately supportive with price above key moving averages and neutral momentum indicators, while valuation is largely unassessable due to missing P/E and dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A debt-free capital structure materially reduces near-term solvency and refinancing risk, giving management time and flexibility to execute strategy. Over a 2–6 month horizon this durable strength supports funding optionality for exploration or capex without immediate refinancing pressure.
Solid equity base
A sizable equity buffer versus assets provides a structural cushion against continued losses, improving resilience. This durability helps the firm absorb operating setbacks, negotiate better financing terms if needed, and sustain operations while seeking to improve cash generation.
Improving free cash flow trend
An improving free cash flow trajectory indicates initial progress toward reducing cash burn and better converting operations into internal funding. If sustained, this trend lessens reliance on external capital and increases the chance of reaching self-sufficiency within a multi-month horizon.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Chronic negative operating and free cash flow is a durable structural weakness: it forces reliance on external funding, drains reserves, and can constrain project timelines. Over months this undermines operational flexibility and increases dilution or financing risk if improvements stall.
Deep operating and net losses
Substantial ongoing losses indicate the company lacks near-term profitability and operating leverage. This persistent negative earnings profile reduces return on invested capital and limits capacity to reinvest, making sustainable margin recovery a material medium-term challenge.
Weak, inconsistent revenue
Small, volatile, and intermittently zero revenue undermines the business model's predictability and scalability. Without stable top-line growth it is difficult to achieve margins or plan capex, increasing the probability of repeated funding rounds and strategic disruption over the coming months.

Star Minerals Ltd. (SMS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Star Minerals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStar Minerals Limited, a mineral exploration company, focuses on the exploration and development gold, copper, and base metals in Australia. The company's advanced project is the Tumblegum South project located to the south of Meekatharra, central Western Australia. It also develops the West Bryah project located in central Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Star Holdco Limited and changed its name to Star Minerals Limited in February 2021. Star Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyStar Minerals Ltd. generates revenue through the exploration, extraction, and sale of mineral resources, particularly precious and base metals such as gold and copper. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the sale of these metals to various buyers, including commodity traders, manufacturers, and other industrial clients. Key revenue streams include proceeds from the sale of extracted minerals and potential royalties or partnerships with other mining companies for joint exploration projects. Additionally, Star Minerals may engage in strategic partnerships to enhance operational efficiency and expand its resource base, further contributing to its earnings.

Star Minerals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength (no debt, solid equity base) helps reduce near-term solvency risk, but operating performance is very weak with deeply negative profitability and persistent cash burn/negative free cash flow, keeping overall financial quality low.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Revenue is small and inconsistent (including zero-revenue years), and the latest annual period shows a sharp deterioration in profitability with deeply negative gross profit and very large operating and net losses. While revenue grew versus the prior year, the company is not demonstrating operating leverage—losses remain substantial relative to sales, highlighting a weak earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: the company carries no debt in recent years and maintains a solid equity base versus total assets, which reduces financial risk. However, returns remain negative as losses persist, meaning the equity is not currently generating profits and could be pressured over time if losses continue.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative, indicating ongoing cash burn. Free cash flow has improved in the latest year, but the business still relies on funding rather than internally generated cash, and cash outflows remain meaningful relative to reported losses.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.22K0.00202.34K0.000.00
Gross Profit-722.27K0.00202.34K0.000.00
EBITDA-1.90M-853.08K-1.17M-795.76K0.00
Net Income-1.90M-857.63K-1.17M-795.98K-45.33K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.76M6.59M6.41M7.80M241.26K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.18M435.16K784.03K2.97M240.39K
Total Debt0.000.000.000.0011.92K
Total Liabilities291.54K138.51K215.46K487.58K254.77K
Stockholders Equity7.47M6.46M6.19M7.32M-13.51K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.58M-1.18M-2.19M-1.79M-24.38K
Operating Cash Flow-1.34M-1.11M-1.82M-678.13K-24.38K
Investing Cash Flow-240.37K-67.31K-371.21K-1.11M-3.00
Financing Cash Flow2.32M827.74K0.004.53M745.56K

Star Minerals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.06
Positive
100DMA
0.05
Positive
200DMA
0.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
49.90
Neutral
STOCH
18.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.06, and below the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SMS.

Star Minerals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
51
Neutral
AU$7.73M-3.05-127.51%168.85%13.51%
46
Neutral
AU$7.72M-3.72-131.62%65.32%
43
Neutral
AU$52.10M-28.83-51.49%5.93%
43
Neutral
AU$3.76M-1.18-37.62%76.76%
41
Neutral
AU$19.40M-10.00-32.31%69.23%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SMS
Star Minerals Ltd.
0.06
0.03
106.67%
AU:GNM
Great Northern Minerals Limited
0.04
0.02
135.29%
AU:GSM
Golden State Mining Ltd.
0.02
<0.01
60.00%
AU:SFM
Santa Fe Minerals Ltd.
0.32
0.28
700.00%
AU:RAS
Ragusa Minerals Ltd
0.04
0.02
62.50%
AU:WSR
Westar Resources Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Star Minerals Ltd. Corporate Events

Star Minerals Outlines Early-Stage Scoping Study as It Moves Toward Gold Production
Feb 4, 2026

Star Minerals has released an updated corporate presentation outlining the preliminary results of its Updated Scoping Study for the Tumblegum South gold deposit, which assesses the viability of open pit mining with third-party toll treatment as it advances towards near-term gold production. The company emphasises that the study remains an early-stage, low-level technical and economic assessment that does not yet support ore reserve estimation, and highlights that further evaluation, additional funding in the range of A$1.7 million to A$3.9 million, and potential alternative ‘value realisation’ strategies such as asset sales or joint ventures may materially influence project ownership and outcomes for shareholders, underscoring the inherent uncertainties and risks for stakeholders at this stage.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Shareholders Back Ratification of Recent Capital Issuances
Jan 29, 2026

Star Minerals Limited has reported the outcomes of its 29 January 2026 general meeting, where shareholders voted on several capital-related resolutions. All three resolutions, relating to the ratification of previous share issues under ASX Listing Rules 7.1 and 7.1A and the ratification of previously issued lead manager options, were carried by an overwhelming majority via poll, confirming shareholder support for the company’s recent capital-raising and incentive activities and providing regulatory certainty around its existing securities structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals moves Tumblegum South closer to production as gold prices surge
Jan 20, 2026

Star Minerals has reported a strong December quarter as it advances its Tumblegum South Gold Project toward production, having secured mining approval and commenced grade control drilling on the granted M51/888 lease. The company highlighted that its updated scoping study for Tumblegum South indicates potential free cash flow of up to A$19.6 million at gold prices of A$3,800/oz, while the current ~A$7,000/oz gold price environment offers significant upside. Pre-mining capital and start-up costs of A$1.7 million to A$3.9 million are to be covered under a Right to Mine agreement with MEGA Resources, easing funding pressures as Star Minerals finalises mine planning and milling arrangements in collaboration with MEGA Resources and Bain Global Resources. The company ended the quarter with A$1.26 million in cash, reinforcing its ability to progress toward first production and potentially enhancing returns for shareholders if the strong gold price persists.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Restarts Grade Control Drilling at Tumblegum South Gold Project
Jan 15, 2026

Star Minerals has recommenced grade control drilling at its Tumblegum South Gold Project, with a planned program of about 4,000 metres and 611 metres already completed before the Christmas break under the coordination of MEGA Resources. The closely spaced drilling is designed to generate detailed data to define the mining production schedule and guide efficient extraction of the deposit, aiming to optimise the project’s economic outcomes as the company moves closer to potential production decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SMS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:SMS Stock Forecast page.

Star Minerals Moves to Digital Access for January 2026 Shareholder Meeting
Dec 23, 2025

Star Minerals Ltd has called a general meeting of shareholders for 10:00am AWST on 29 January 2026, with the notice of meeting and explanatory materials made available online through the company’s website and ASX announcements page instead of being mailed in hard copy, except to investors who have specifically elected to receive physical documents. The company is urging shareholders to submit directed proxy votes and questions in advance, register their intended attendance, and manage their communication and contact details through the Automic investor portal, while also flagging that any changes to the meeting arrangements will be communicated via its website and ASX platform, underscoring a continued shift toward digital shareholder engagement and compliance with electronic disclosure practices.

Star Minerals Sets January 2026 Date for Perth General Meeting
Dec 23, 2025

Star Minerals Limited has called a physical General Meeting of shareholders to be held in Leederville, Perth, Western Australia, at 10:00am (WST) on Thursday, 29 January 2026. The company has set an indicative timetable covering the last date for receipt of proxy forms and the share register snapshot date for voting eligibility, underscoring the importance of shareholder participation in upcoming resolutions to be considered at the meeting.

Star Minerals Advances Grade Control Drilling at Tumblegum South After Mining Approval
Dec 22, 2025

Star Minerals has reported steady progress on grade control drilling at its Tumblegum South Gold Project in Western Australia, following the recent receipt of mining approval. The program, coordinated by MEGA Resources, will cover about 4,000 metres of drilling, with 611 metres already completed before a short pause over the Christmas-New Year period and completion expected in January. The closely spaced drill holes are designed to refine the mining production schedule and maximise the ore-to-waste ratio, supporting the company’s plan to commence mining next quarter and accelerate first gold production, a key step in de-risking the project and moving Star Minerals closer to cash flow generation.

Star Minerals Trading Resumes on ASX After Court-Related Auditor Move
Dec 19, 2025

Star Minerals Ltd, whose shares trade on the ASX under the code SMS, has had its securities reinstated to trading after a period of suspension. The ASX lifted the suspension immediately following Star Minerals’ announcement that it has applied to the Supreme Court of Western Australia for orders relating, among other matters, to the appointment of the company’s auditor, signalling a key step in resolving governance issues that had sidelined its stock and allowing normal market trading to resume.

Star Minerals Secures Court Orders Validating Auditor Appointment and Share Trading Compliance
Dec 19, 2025

Star Minerals Limited has secured court orders from the Supreme Court of Western Australia validating the resignation of its former auditor Elderton Audit Pty Ltd and the appointment of Nexia Perth Audit Services Pty Ltd, despite an earlier administrative failure to obtain shareholder approval at its 2025 AGM. The Court also confirmed the effectiveness of Star Minerals’ cleansing notices for share issues between March and November 2025, ensuring that secondary trading of those shares remains valid and compliant, thereby resolving a regulatory compliance issue and enabling the company to lift its voluntary trading suspension and restore normal market operations.

Star Minerals Seeks Extension to Trading Suspension Pending Court Ruling on Auditor
Dec 19, 2025

Star Minerals Limited has requested an extension to the voluntary suspension of trading in its securities on the ASX, originally granted on 17 December 2025, while it awaits the outcome of a Supreme Court of Western Australia application relating primarily to the appointment of the company’s auditor. The company expects a court hearing and subsequent market announcement on 19 December 2025, and argues the continued suspension is necessary to prevent trading on an uninformed basis until the court’s orders are known, indicating a short-term pause in liquidity for shareholders while governance and compliance matters are resolved.

Star Minerals Requests Suspension Pending Court Decision
Dec 17, 2025

Star Minerals Limited has requested a voluntary suspension of its securities from the Australian Securities Exchange pending a court decision regarding the appointment of the company’s auditor. This suspension is expected to last until the announcement of the court’s decision, anticipated by December 19, 2025, and may impact the company’s operations and stakeholder confidence.

Star Minerals Seeks Court Approval for Auditor Appointment
Dec 15, 2025

Star Minerals Limited has announced the appointment of Nexia Perth Audit Services Pty Ltd as its new auditor, following the resignation of Elderton Audit Pty Ltd. However, due to an administrative oversight, the appointment was not approved by shareholders at the company’s 2025 Annual General Meeting. The company is seeking a court order to validate the appointment and address related compliance issues. Despite these administrative challenges, Star Minerals does not consider the matter to be price sensitive and has requested a trading halt pending further announcements.

Star Minerals Requests Trading Halt Amid Auditor Appointment Proceedings
Dec 15, 2025

Star Minerals Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities pending an announcement related to a Supreme Court application concerning the appointment of the company’s auditor. This halt is expected to last until the court hears the application or an announcement is made, potentially impacting the company’s market operations and stakeholder confidence.

Star Minerals Receives Mining Approval for Tumblegum South Gold Project
Dec 10, 2025

Star Minerals Ltd. has received mining approval from the WA Department of Mines, Petroleum and Exploration for its Tumblegum South Gold Project, marking a significant milestone for the company. With mining set to begin in Q1 2026, the project is expected to generate substantial cash surplus due to high gold prices, and will be managed by MEGA Resources, a related entity to Bain Global Resources, which holds a significant share in Star Minerals.

Star Minerals Ltd. Announces Director’s Acquisition of Performance Rights
Dec 9, 2025

Star Minerals Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Clinton Moxham acquiring 3,000,000 performance rights as a non-cash director incentive. This move reflects the company’s strategy to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting its governance and operational focus.

Star Minerals Ltd. Issues Performance Rights to Boost Employee Incentives
Dec 5, 2025

Star Minerals Ltd. announced the issuance of 3,000,000 performance rights set to expire on December 5, 2030, as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at motivating and retaining key personnel, potentially strengthening the company’s operational capabilities and market position.

Star Minerals Ltd. Releases Updated Scoping Study for Tumblegum South Gold Project
Nov 20, 2025

Star Minerals Ltd. has released an updated scoping study for its Tumblegum South Gold Project, which evaluates the viability of open pit mining and third-party toll treatment. The study indicates that funding between $1.7 million to $3.9 million is required to achieve the projected outcomes, but there is no certainty of obtaining this funding. The company may consider alternative strategies such as sales or joint ventures, which could affect its ownership stake.

Star Minerals Limited Reports Successful AGM Outcomes
Nov 19, 2025

Star Minerals Limited announced the results of its Annual General Meeting held on November 19, 2025. All resolutions, including the adoption of the remuneration report, ratification of previous issues, and election of directors, were passed with significant majorities. The approval of an additional 10% placement facility and the issuance of performance rights to a related party were also carried. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company for continued strategic growth.

Star Minerals Ltd. Issues Unquoted Lead Manager Options
Nov 18, 2025

Star Minerals Ltd. announced the issuance of 7.5 million unquoted Lead Manager Options, set to expire on November 17, 2028, as part of a previously announced transaction. This move is likely aimed at strengthening the company’s financial position and enhancing its strategic operations, potentially impacting its market standing and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Star Minerals Secures Right to Mine Agreement for Tumblegum South
Nov 12, 2025

Star Minerals Limited has signed a Right to Mine Agreement with MEGA Resources and Bain Global Resources for the Tumblegum South Gold Project. This agreement includes a 50:50 profit-sharing arrangement and provides up to $20 million in working capital from MEGA Resources, reducing the need for dilutive funding. The collaboration aims to commence mining operations in Q1 2026, leveraging MEGA Resources’ expertise and resources. The agreement is contingent on securing an Ore Purchase Agreement, and MEGA Resources will handle compliance and cost management. This strategic partnership is expected to enhance Star Minerals’ operational efficiency and financial stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026