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St. Barbara Ltd. (AU:SBM)
ASX:SBM

St. Barbara (SBM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:SBM

St. Barbara

(Sydney:SBM)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.70
▼(-3.33% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by poor financial performance (ongoing losses, weak margins, and challenged cash generation). Technicals are a meaningful positive (strong trend above key moving averages with positive MACD), but overbought momentum signals and loss-driven valuation (negative P/E, no dividend data) limit the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
A relatively low debt-to-equity ratio provides financial resilience through commodity cycles, lowering default and interest burden risk. This structural conservatism preserves flexibility to fund sustaining capex, exploration or absorb downturns without immediate equity dilution.
Stable, asset-backed business model
The core business of mining and selling gold creates tangible, production-linked cash flows driven by ounces produced, grades and recoveries. This asset-backed model supports medium-term revenue generation and provides a durable operating base if production and processing remain steady.
Improving free cash flow dynamics
Recent growth in free cash flow and a positive free cash flow to net income ratio suggest incremental improvement in cash generation and conversion. If sustained, this can reduce reliance on external funding and support sustaining capex or exploration over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses and negative margins
Ongoing net losses and negative margins indicate structural cost or operational inefficiencies. Over months this undermines reinvestment capacity, hinders margin recovery and makes profitability sensitive to commodity price moves absent operational improvements or higher realized gold prices.
Weak cash conversion and historical negative FCF
Negative free cash flow historically and a poor operating-cash-to-income ratio show the company struggles to turn accounting results into cash. This structural weakness constrains self-funding for growth, rehabilitation obligations and increases dependence on external financing.
Declining revenue and steep EPS drop
Negative revenue and sharply lower EPS reflect deteriorating top-line momentum and earnings power. Sustained declines reduce scale benefits, pressure margins and may signal production, grade or cost challenges that require strategic fixes to restore long-term profitability.

St. Barbara (SBM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

St. Barbara Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSt Barbara Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, mining, and sale of gold. It operates three operational business units, including Leonora Operations, Simberi Operations, and Atlantic Operations. The company also explores for silver deposits. Its properties include the Gwalia underground mine located in Leonora, Western Australia; the Simberi gold mine located in New Ireland province, Papua New Guinea; and Atlantic Gold operations in Nova Scotia, Canada. St Barbara Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneySt. Barbara generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and its by-products from its mining operations. The company operates several mines, including those in Australia and Canada, where it extracts gold and processes it into marketable products. Revenue is significantly influenced by gold prices, which fluctuate based on market demand, geopolitical factors, and economic conditions. Additionally, SBM may explore strategic partnerships with other mining companies or enter joint ventures to expand its resource base and reduce operational costs. The company also invests in exploration activities to discover new gold deposits, which can potentially lead to future revenue streams through increased production capacity.

St. Barbara Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals driven by persistent net losses, negative gross/EBIT/EBITDA margins, and negative return on equity. Balance sheet leverage is conservative, but negative free cash flow in recent years and weak cash conversion keep financial quality low.
Income Statement
35
Negative
St. Barbara's income statement reveals significant challenges, with persistent negative net income and declining margins over the years. The gross profit margin has been negative in recent years, indicating cost inefficiencies. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a slight increase in the latest year but overall declining trends. The company has struggled to maintain profitability, as reflected in negative EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the company's return on equity has been negative, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains stable, but the overall financial health is weakened by persistent losses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative free cash flow in recent years, although there has been some growth in free cash flow recently. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue215.52M215.52M197.72M323.85M201.27M740.25M
Gross Profit-26.23M-12.87M-17.92M58.39M-70.81M153.94M
EBITDA-36.85M-38.69M-26.08M-477.91M-90.01M-62.80M
Net Income-93.78M-93.78M-53.91M-429.20M-160.82M-176.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets580.26M580.26M568.63M917.91M1.60B1.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.44M67.44M145.87M293.94M98.51M133.37M
Total Debt5.32M5.32M7.53M12.88M171.64M109.25M
Total Liabilities206.22M206.22M219.34M524.46M489.67M522.09M
Stockholders Equity374.05M374.05M349.29M393.45M1.11B1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-128.63M-153.69M-90.25M-33.80M-51.14M93.67M
Operating Cash Flow-81.08M-81.08M-57.41M51.90M87.66M227.10M
Investing Cash Flow-48.93M-48.93M-36.14M285.89M-170.01M-199.26M
Financing Cash Flow46.78M46.78M-3.54M-197.94M38.43M-293.78M

St. Barbara Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.72
Price Trends
50DMA
0.59
Positive
100DMA
0.56
Positive
200DMA
0.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
59.29
Neutral
STOCH
40.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SBM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.65, above the 50-day MA of 0.59, and above the 200-day MA of 0.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:SBM.

St. Barbara Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$2.15B28.859.84%51.66%86.35%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
AU$721.74M-122.50-4.97%16.67%
54
Neutral
AU$742.20M-38.74
50
Neutral
AU$1.27B-74.47-183.07%70.81%
46
Neutral
$871.05M-7.30-15.01%-3.61%-49.39%
45
Neutral
AU$649.25M-112.82-9.13%-5.41%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:SBM
St. Barbara
0.72
0.45
171.70%
AU:ALK
Alkane Resources Ltd
1.58
0.99
169.23%
AU:MEK
Meeka Gold Limited
0.25
0.15
145.00%
AU:TCG
Turaco Gold Ltd
0.71
0.37
110.45%
AU:WIA
WIA Gold Limited
0.44
0.30
203.45%
AU:DTR
Dateline Resources Limited
0.35
0.34
3400.00%

St. Barbara Corporate Events

St Barbara’s 15-Mile Hub PFS Confirms High-Return Nova Scotia Gold Project
Jan 21, 2026

St Barbara has completed a Pre-Feasibility Study for its 15-Mile Processing Hub Project in Nova Scotia, confirming a capital-efficient, long-life gold operation built around a central processing hub at 15-Mile fed by satellite open pits at Beaver Dam and Cochrane Hill. The study outlines average annual production of about 103,000 ounces over more than 11 years based solely on existing reserves, with forecast life-of-mine all-in sustaining costs of US$1,188 per ounce and initial capital of roughly C$283 million, supported by the reuse of Touquoy processing plant equipment. Project economics are described as outstanding, with strong post-tax NPV and IRR metrics under the gold price assumptions provided, and St Barbara plans to fund development largely from cash flows from the New Simberi Gold Project and the proposed Touquoy restart. The design incorporates substantial reductions in surface disturbance and avoidance of wetlands and watercourses compared with earlier concepts, reflecting feedback from regulators, First Nations and local communities, and the company notes that the work coincides with a more supportive permitting environment in Nova Scotia as it advances toward environmental and social impact assessments and a full feasibility study.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara Cancels Over 570,000 Unvested Performance Rights
Jan 6, 2026

St Barbara Limited has announced the cessation of 571,797 performance rights (ASX code SBMAK) after the conditions attached to these rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of 6 January 2026. The lapse of these conditional rights reduces the company’s potential future equity dilution and may reflect performance or milestone outcomes under its incentive plans, with limited immediate impact on existing shareholders but some implications for management and staff participation in equity-based remuneration.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara Receives A$32m Deposit from Lingbao for Simberi Strategic Investment
Dec 23, 2025

St Barbara has received a A$32 million escrowed deposit from Lingbao Gold Group as part of a planned A$370 million subscription for a 50% stake in St Barbara Mining Pty Ltd, which will hold an 80% interest in the Simberi Gold Project after completion. The parties aim to finalise the strategic investment in conjunction with a Final Investment Decision on the Simberi Expansion Project in the third quarter of FY26, underscoring a major funding milestone that supports the project’s development and signals continued confidence in Simberi’s long-term growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara Limited Announces Change in Director’s Interest
Dec 11, 2025

St Barbara Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Mr. Andrew Michael Strelein, the Managing Director & CEO, acquiring 2,595,010 unlisted employee rights as part of performance-linked long-term incentives for the 2026 financial year. This issuance, approved by shareholders at the 2025 Annual General Meeting, reflects the company’s commitment to aligning executive incentives with long-term strategic goals, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.57 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St. Barbara Limited Issues Unquoted Performance Rights
Dec 11, 2025

St. Barbara Limited has announced the issuance of 17,723,873 unquoted performance rights under an employee incentive scheme. These securities are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until these restrictions are lifted, indicating a strategic move to incentivize employees and potentially enhance company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.57 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara to Restart Touquoy Gold Operations in Nova Scotia
Dec 10, 2025

St Barbara Limited has announced the completion of the Touquoy Restart Study, which supports the recommencement of operations at the Touquoy site in Nova Scotia. The study indicates strong project economics with a low capital requirement, leveraging existing infrastructure to produce 38,000 ounces of gold over a 13-month period. The improved permitting environment in Nova Scotia and rising gold prices have facilitated this restart, which is expected to contribute significantly to the local economy and provide employment opportunities. The project aims to generate positive cash flow and maintain environmental commitments, with future potential for renewable energy projects at the site.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.57 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara Secures Funding for Simberi Expansion with Strategic Partnerships
Dec 10, 2025

St Barbara Limited has entered into agreements with Lingbao Gold Group and Kumul Mineral Holdings to fund the expansion of the Simberi Gold Project. Lingbao will acquire a 50% interest in St Barbara Mining Pty Ltd for A$370 million, while Kumul will acquire a 20% stake in the Simberi Gold Project for A$100 million. This strategic partnership with Lingbao, a major Chinese gold producer, and Kumul’s involvement demonstrate strong support for the project, de-risking its development and accelerating its timeline. The transaction values the Simberi Gold Project at A$800 million, representing a significant premium to St Barbara’s market capitalization, and positions the company to advance its projects in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.57 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara Partners with Kumul for 20% Stake in Simberi Gold Project
Dec 10, 2025

St Barbara Limited has entered into a binding agreement with Kumul Mineral Holdings Limited for Kumul to acquire a 20% interest in the Simberi Gold Project for A$100 million. This joint venture aligns with the Papua New Guinea government’s goals of increased local ownership and benefits sharing from resource projects. The agreement also includes plans for Kumul to earn a stake in the Tabar Islands Exploration Licenses, further strengthening St Barbara’s strategic positioning in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.57 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara’s Simberi Expansion Project Promises Long-Term Value
Dec 10, 2025

St Barbara Limited has completed a feasibility study for the Simberi Expansion Project, confirming it as a high-quality, long-life, low-cost asset. The study highlights a significant increase in mineral resources and outlines a 13-year life of mine with competitive all-in sustaining costs. The project is expected to leverage existing infrastructure to produce over 200,000 ounces of gold annually from FY29, with a post-tax NPV of up to US$1,811 million at higher gold and silver prices. This expansion is poised to enhance St Barbara’s operational efficiency and market position, offering substantial value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.57 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara Limited Initiates Trading Halt Amid Simberi Developments
Dec 9, 2025

St Barbara Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities on the Australian Securities Exchange due to pending announcements regarding potential material transactions related to the Simberi Gold Mine and the outcomes of the Simberi Expansion Project Feasibility Study. This halt is expected to remain until the announcements are made or normal trading resumes on December 12, 2025, indicating significant developments that could impact the company’s operations and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.57 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St Barbara Limited Successfully Concludes 2025 AGM with All Resolutions Passed
Nov 20, 2025

St Barbara Limited held its Annual General Meeting on 20 November 2025, where all resolutions proposed to shareholders were successfully passed. The meeting saw participation through proxies representing approximately 51% of the company’s total issued capital, indicating a significant level of shareholder engagement. This outcome reflects positively on the company’s governance and may influence its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St. Barbara Limited Advances Key Projects Amid Improved Permitting and Safety Performance
Nov 20, 2025

St. Barbara Limited’s 2025 Annual General Meeting highlighted significant progress in its major projects, particularly the Simberi Expansion Project and the 15-Mile Processing Hub. The company is evaluating strategic alternatives for the Simberi project due to unsolicited interest, while improved permitting and government support in Nova Scotia bolster the 15-Mile Processing Hub’s development. Safety improvements were also noted, with a significant reduction in the Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate. The company is focused on strategic and funding options to maximize shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Sell with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

St. Barbara Advances Simberi Expansion Amid Operational Improvements
Oct 29, 2025

St. Barbara has made significant progress in its Simberi Expansion Project, with the feasibility study on track for completion in Q2 FY26. The company has invested A$16 million in early works, including camp expansion and procurement of a ball mill. Additionally, the Papua New Guinea Mining Advisory Committee has recommended extending the Simberi Mining Lease until 2038. In Nova Scotia, the company is exploring reopening the Touquoy mine due to improved permitting processes. Operationally, St. Barbara reported a decrease in safety incidents and a cash flow contribution of A$14 million for Q1 FY26. Financially, the company completed a A$58 million capital raise to support growth capital needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:SBM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on St. Barbara stock, see the AU:SBM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026