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Duxton Water Ltd. (AU:RIV)
ASX:RIV
Australian Market

Duxton Water Ltd. (RIV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:RIV

Duxton Water Ltd.

(Sydney:RIV)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
â–²(4.17% Upside)
Duxton Water Ltd. benefits from strong financial performance and attractive valuation, but faces challenges in cash flow management and technical indicators suggest short-term weakness. The stock's low P/E ratio and high dividend yield offer value, while operational improvements are needed for sustained growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Duxton Water's services and effective market positioning, supporting long-term business expansion.
Gross Profit Margin
A high gross profit margin reflects efficient cost management and pricing power, contributing to sustained profitability and competitive advantage.
Balance Sheet Health
A healthy balance sheet with moderate leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, enabling strategic investments and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent negative free cash flow indicates insufficient cash generation from operations, potentially impacting long-term financial sustainability.
Return on Equity
Low ROE suggests inefficiencies in converting equity into profits, indicating a need for better operational performance to enhance shareholder value.
Net Profit Margin Decline
A declining net profit margin signals rising operational expenses, which could erode profitability if not managed effectively.

Duxton Water Ltd. (RIV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Duxton Water Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDuxton Water Limited provides water supply solutions through its water entitlements. It supports farmers across the viticulture, nut, citrus, vegetable, olive, dried fruit, dairy, and broadacre cropping industries. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Stirling, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyDuxton Water generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its water entitlements to agricultural users, who pay for the right to access and utilize water for irrigation and other purposes. This leasing model provides a steady stream of income, as demand for water in the agricultural sector tends to be consistent, especially in regions prone to drought. Additionally, Duxton Water may earn revenue from the sale of water entitlements or through long-term contracts that ensure a reliable income stream. The company also benefits from partnerships with agricultural businesses and government bodies that support sustainable water management practices, further enhancing its revenue potential. Factors such as seasonal variations in water availability, regulatory changes, and market demand for agricultural products can significantly influence the company's earnings.

Duxton Water Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Duxton Water Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.44
Price Trends
50DMA
1.46
Positive
100DMA
1.47
Negative
200DMA
1.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
51.18
Neutral
STOCH
76.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RIV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.45, below the 50-day MA of 1.46, and below the 200-day MA of 1.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:RIV.

Duxton Water Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison

Duxton Water Ltd. Corporate Events

Rivco Australia Completes Management Internalization and Board Changes
Dec 15, 2025

Rivco Australia Limited has completed the internalization of its management, impacting its post-tax net asset value per share by a 5-cent decline due to one-off costs. The company has also welcomed Chris Larsen as an independent non-executive director while Dennis Mutton retired from the board after nine years. Despite flat trading in Lower Murray spot prices, demand for forward and longer-term lease contracts remains strong, indicating a focus on water security for future seasons.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Ltd. Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 3, 2025

Duxton Water Ltd. announced a change in the interest of its director, Stephen Duerden, who is also a director at Duxton Capital Investments Pty Ltd. The change involved the conversion of 3,000,000 Performance Rights into Fully Paid Ordinary Shares, issued upon the termination of a Transitional Services Agreement. This adjustment reflects a significant increase in the number of shares held indirectly by Duxton Capital Investments Pty Ltd, indicating a strategic realignment of interests within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Ltd. Announces Director Departure
Dec 1, 2025

Duxton Water Ltd. announced the cessation of Dennis Mutton as a director effective December 1, 2025. Mutton held 65,795 fully paid ordinary shares and 16,449 bonus options through the Mutton Super Fund, reflecting his financial interests in the company. This change in directorship may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially affecting stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Rivco Australia Ltd Announces New Securities Quotation
Nov 27, 2025

Rivco Australia Ltd has announced a new issuance of securities, with 3,000,000 ordinary fully paid shares to be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of November 27, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and provide more liquidity to its shareholders, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder engagements positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Rivco Australia Limited Announces New Director Appointment
Nov 27, 2025

Rivco Australia Limited has announced the appointment of Christopher Larsen as a director, effective from November 26, 2025. The announcement details Larsen’s relevant interests in securities, including 1,000 listed options held by Larsen Family Pty Ltd, with an exercise price of $1.92 expiring on May 10, 2026. This appointment and disclosure of interests are part of Rivco Australia’s compliance with ASX listing rules, potentially impacting the company’s governance and signaling transparency to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Rivco Australia Completes Management Internalisation and Announces Board Changes
Nov 27, 2025

Rivco Australia Limited has successfully completed the internalisation of its management, ending its Transitional Services Agreement with Duxton Capital Australia Pty Ltd. This strategic move involves a final cash payment to DCA and the conversion of performance rights into ordinary shares, marking a significant step in Rivco’s operational independence. Additionally, the company announced changes to its board, with the appointment of Chris Larsen as an Independent Non-Executive Director, bringing extensive asset management experience, and the retirement of Dennis Mutton, who has significantly contributed to the company’s governance over the past nine years.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Rivco Australia Limited Reports Increased Dividend Amidst Lower Dam Levels
Nov 13, 2025

Rivco Australia Limited has announced its 17th consecutive and increasing dividend of 3.72 cents per share, bringing total dividends paid since inception to 52.4 cents per share. Despite recent rainfall, dam levels have decreased compared to the previous year, except for the Menindee Lakes. This has led to higher allocation prices, with the Lower Murray trading at approximately $310 per megaliter. The company has also moved to new office premises in Unley, South Australia. Enquiries for new leases starting in July 2026 are being driven by drier seasonal conditions and elevated allocation prices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Duxton Water Ltd. Announces Director’s Increased Shareholding
Nov 7, 2025

Duxton Water Ltd. has announced a change in the director’s interest notice involving Stephen Duerden. The update reflects an acquisition of additional shares through a dividend reinvestment plan, increasing both direct and indirect holdings. This change signifies a continued investment and confidence in the company’s performance, potentially impacting stakeholders’ perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Rivco Australia Ltd Announces New Securities Issuance
Oct 31, 2025

Rivco Australia Ltd has announced a new issuance of 256,178 ordinary fully paid securities, which are set to be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 31, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and potentially improve liquidity for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Buy with a A$2.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Rivco Australia Marks Transition with Name Change and Strategic Updates
Oct 31, 2025

Rivco Australia Limited announced a significant milestone with its name change, marking its transition to a fully internalized business. The company declared a fully franked interim dividend and reported steady leasing percentages, despite declining dam storages in the Southern Basin. The allocation market saw price increases due to limited supply and early irrigation demand, while the company experienced improved cash flows and reduced finance costs. Rivco also made progress in its internalization efforts, engaging key service providers and preparing for a strategic focus on enhancing earnings and capital management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:RIV) stock is a Buy with a A$2.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duxton Water Ltd. stock, see the AU:RIV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025