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Orica Limited (AU:ORI)
ASX:ORI
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Orica Limited (ORI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ORI

Orica Limited

(Sydney:ORI)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
AU$22.50
▲(7.30% Upside)
Orica Limited's overall stock score is primarily driven by its strong financial performance, which is offset by technical indicators suggesting potential short-term weakness and a high P/E ratio indicating overvaluation. The company's robust profitability and revenue growth are significant strengths, but the valuation concerns and bearish technical signals warrant caution.

Orica Limited (ORI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Orica Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrica Limited manufactures, distributes, and sells commercial blasting systems, mining and tunnelling support systems, and various chemical products and services in Australia, Peru, the United States, and internationally. The company provides 4D bulk explosives systems, packaged explosives, initiating systems, boosters, and seismic explosive ranges; technical services and solutions; and supplementary services. It also offers automation solutions, including Avatel, a machine equipped with underground development charging system; and secondary breakage and hang up blasting, a tele-remote blasting solution. In addition, the company provides mining chemical products, such as cyanide sparges, emulsifiers, and sodium cyanide, as well as PRO services; digitally enabled benchmarks and insights at various stages of the blasting process; and nitrogen fertilizers, which includes urea ammonium nitrate and ammonia. Further, it offers resources to explore the use of chemical energy in blasting, blasting fundamentals, and properties of explosives and blasting principles; training courses; and geotechnical deformation and convergence monitoring solutions. The company serves surface coal, surface metal, iron ore, quarrying, underground mining and construction, construction, civil infrastructure, oil and gas, and agriculture markets. Orica Limited was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in East Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrica Limited makes money primarily through the sale of its commercial explosives and blasting systems. The company's revenue streams are largely derived from the mining and infrastructure sectors, where its products are used to extract minerals and facilitate construction projects. Orica provides value-added services such as blast design and optimization, which help improve the efficiency and safety of its customers' operations. Additionally, Orica's partnerships and long-term contracts with leading mining companies ensure a steady flow of income. The company also invests in research and development to innovate its product offerings and maintain a competitive edge in the market.

Orica Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and significant progress in sustainability and digital solutions. However, it also addressed challenges in manufacturing and safety incidents. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook remains positive with continued growth expected in 2025.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
Highest EBIT in a decade, reaching $806 million, a 15% increase from the previous year. Statutory net profit increased by 77% to $525 million.
Successful Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisition of Terra Insights and Cyanco, contributing to earnings growth and expanding technology and services portfolio.
Strong Digital Solutions Growth
Digital Solutions segment increased EBIT by 29%, driven by robust performance across all product categories.
Sustainability Achievements
43% reduction in Scope 1 and 2 emissions from 2019 baseline. Received Australian Financial Review Sustainability Leaders Award.
Positive Employee Engagement
Employee engagement score of 89%, significantly outperforming industry benchmarks.
Negative Updates
Fatality Incident in India
A colleague was lost in a traffic accident involving an Orica vehicle, highlighting ongoing safety challenges.
Manufacturing Challenges
Heavy turnaround schedule impacted production, with significant plant outages at Kooragang Island, Yarwun, and Carseland.
Gas Supply Issues
Partial gas curtailment at Yarwun due to pipeline issues, impacting sodium cyanide production.
High Integration Costs
High costs associated with integrating recent acquisitions Terra Insights and Cyanco.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call for Orica (ORI.AX), executives highlighted multiple metrics reflecting the company's strong performance and strategic direction. Orica achieved its highest EBIT in a decade, increasing by 15% to $806 million, while net profit rose by 11% to $409 million. The company's return on net assets improved by 20 basis points to 12.8%, and earnings per share pre-significant items rose by $0.052 to $0.864. Orica has also made significant progress in sustainability, reducing Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 43% from the 2019 baseline. Furthermore, their employee engagement score reached 89%, and they are on track to meet their community investment target of $15 million by 2025. The company has also seen a 24% compound annual growth rate in EBIT since 2021 and increased dividends from $0.24 to $0.47 per share. Looking ahead, Orica anticipates continued EBIT growth across all segments in 2025, with capital expenditure expected to align with 2024 levels.

Orica Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orica Limited demonstrates strong financial performance with solid profitability metrics and revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, although attention to debt management is advised. Cash flows are robust, but the decline in free cash flow growth requires monitoring to maintain liquidity.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Orica Limited has shown strong financial performance with a notable gross profit margin of 53.1% and a significant improvement in net profit margin to 6.8% for 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 9.6% and 17.7%, respectively. The revenue growth rate for 2024 was 8.4%, indicating a healthy upward trend in revenue generation. Overall, the company's profitability metrics are solid, with improving margins and growth.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity stands at 11.8%, showcasing efficient management of equity capital. The equity ratio is at 46.5%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Although the company has managed its liabilities well, the growing total debt and reduced cash reserves over time may pose challenges if not managed prudently.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Orica Limited's cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capabilities with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.54, highlighting efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, showing positive but moderate free cash flow generation. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined by 23.6% compared to the previous year, which may require attention to maintain liquidity and investment capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.66B7.69B7.95B7.10B5.21B5.14B
Gross Profit3.11B4.08B3.72B3.23B2.76B2.29B
EBITDA1.03B1.36B906.10M751.00M276.80M836.50M
Net Income524.60M524.60M295.70M60.10M-173.80M82.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.60B9.60B8.88B8.47B7.46B8.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments580.70M580.70M1.15B1.26B551.00M920.50M
Total Debt2.52B2.52B2.37B2.41B2.32B3.04B
Total Liabilities5.05B5.05B4.83B4.74B4.67B5.47B
Stockholders Equity4.46B4.46B3.99B3.69B2.73B2.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow372.20M351.10M459.60M13.00M295.70M-246.70M
Operating Cash Flow807.50M807.50M898.70M362.30M618.90M144.70M
Investing Cash Flow-1.71B-1.71B-664.70M-229.20M-195.90M-527.70M
Financing Cash Flow377.40M377.40M-350.90M515.50M-748.60M935.90M

Orica Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.97
Price Trends
50DMA
21.22
Negative
100DMA
19.74
Positive
200DMA
18.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
41.12
Neutral
STOCH
23.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ORI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.52, below the 50-day MA of 21.22, and above the 200-day MA of 18.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:ORI.

Orica Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$9.97B103.972.30%2.53%4.50%-81.89%
61
Neutral
$10.48B7.30-0.05%2.85%2.87%-36.73%
$3.51B-3.14%3.04%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ORI
Orica Limited
20.97
3.67
21.22%
ICPVF
Incitec Pivot
1.94
-0.08
-3.96%

Orica Limited Corporate Events

Orica Limited Updates on Share Buy-Back Progress
Sep 11, 2025

Orica Limited has announced an update on its ongoing share buy-back program, revealing that a total of 13,666,430 ordinary fully paid securities have been repurchased, with 493,111 bought back on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of Orica’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and return value to shareholders, potentially enhancing its market position and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ORI) stock is a Buy with a A$24.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orica Limited stock, see the AU:ORI Stock Forecast page.

Orica Limited Updates on Buy-Back Program
Sep 9, 2025

Orica Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market buy-back program, detailing the acquisition of 476,086 ordinary fully paid securities on the previous day, bringing the total number of securities bought back to 12,697,233. This buy-back initiative reflects Orica’s strategic efforts to optimize its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, indicating a proactive approach to managing its financial resources and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ORI) stock is a Buy with a A$24.76 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orica Limited stock, see the AU:ORI Stock Forecast page.

Orica Limited Updates on Market Buy-Back Program
Sep 8, 2025

Orica Limited has announced an update on its ongoing on-market buy-back program, revealing that a total of 12,250,792 ordinary fully paid securities have been bought back prior to the previous day, with an additional 446,441 securities acquired on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of Orica’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and deliver value to its shareholders, reflecting confidence in the company’s financial health and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ORI) stock is a Buy with a A$24.76 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orica Limited stock, see the AU:ORI Stock Forecast page.

Orica Limited Updates on Share Buy-Back Program
Sep 7, 2025

Orica Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program, with a total of 877,302 ordinary fully paid securities bought back on the previous day, adding to the cumulative total of 11,373,490 securities repurchased. This strategic move is part of Orica’s efforts to optimize its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, reflecting confidence in the company’s financial health and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ORI) stock is a Buy with a A$20.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orica Limited stock, see the AU:ORI Stock Forecast page.

Orica Limited Updates on Share Buy-Back Progress
Aug 22, 2025

Orica Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing share buy-back program, with a total of 11,266,599 securities bought back before the previous day and an additional 106,891 securities acquired on the previous day. This buy-back initiative is part of Orica’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize its capital structure, reflecting the company’s confidence in its financial position and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ORI) stock is a Hold with a A$22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orica Limited stock, see the AU:ORI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2025