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Orange Minerals NL (AU:OMX)
ASX:OMX
Australian Market

Orange Minerals NL (OMX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:OMX

Orange Minerals NL

(Sydney:OMX)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.08
▲(3.75% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/04/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (persistent losses and ongoing cash burn) despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals also lean bearish with the stock below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation impact is limited because P/E and dividend yield were not provided.
Positive Factors
Low debt
Minimal to zero debt reduces insolvency and interest burden, giving management flexibility to fund exploration or restructure via equity or asset-backed financing. This preserves strategic optionality over months and cushions the firm during drilling or permitting cycles.
Positive equity and stable assets
Sizable positive equity and stable-to-up asset base improve balance-sheet credibility for joint ventures, farm-outs, or secured financing. That capitalization supports multi-month project development windows and reduces counterparty concerns during negotiations.
Gross profit equals revenue
Gross profit equal to revenue indicates negligible direct production costs; losses stem from overhead and exploration spend. This means cost-structure adjustments or scale could materially improve margins long term if revenue or asset monetization rises.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Multi-year negative operating cash flow signals recurring cash burn and a need for external financing to sustain operations. Over 2–6 months this raises execution risk for exploration programs and increases likelihood of dilution or asset sales to fund core activities.
Consistent operating and net losses
Repeated operating and net losses erode retained earnings and limit internal reinvestment capacity. Without a clear path to profitable operations or successful asset monetization, continued losses weaken long-term viability and strategic choices.
Very small, volatile revenue
Tiny, volatile revenue undermines the ability to scale fixed costs and achieve operating leverage. Revenue instability increases dependence on capital markets or partners and heightens the chance that routine downturns force cutbacks or delayed project milestones.

Orange Minerals NL (OMX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Orange Minerals NL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrange Minerals NL operates as a gold and copper exploration company in Australia. The company holds 100% interest in the Majestic Project and the Kurnalpi Project located within the Eastern Goldfields in Western Australia, as well as holds interests in the Calarie project and the Wisemans Creek project located within the Lachlan Fold Belt in New South Wales. Orange Minerals NL was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrange Minerals NL generates revenue by exploring and developing mineral resources, primarily focusing on precious and base metal deposits. The company makes money through the discovery and subsequent development of economically viable mineral projects. Once a resource is proven, Orange Minerals may either sell the project to larger mining companies, enter into joint ventures, or proceed with mining operations themselves. Key revenue streams include the sale of mineral rights, royalties from joint ventures, and potential revenue from mineral extraction should the company decide to operate its own mines. Strategic partnerships with other mining firms and investors can also provide capital and resources, enhancing the company's ability to explore and develop its projects.

Orange Minerals NL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are weak: very small/volatile revenue, persistent operating and net losses, and consistently negative operating and free cash flow (cash burn). The main offset is a relatively solid balance sheet with minimal debt and positive equity in recent years, which supports near-term resilience but does not solve ongoing profitability and cash-flow risks.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Revenue remains very small and volatile, falling sharply in 2025 (annual) after modest growth in 2024. Profitability is weak: the company has posted sizable operating losses and net losses every year, with net margins deeply negative (worsening again in 2025). A positive is that reported gross profit equals revenue, but operating costs overwhelm the gross profit base, keeping earnings firmly in the red.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative bright spot: debt is minimal to zero in recent years (including 2025), and equity is positive and sizable from 2022–2025, supporting a solid capitalization profile. Total assets have been stable-to-up over the last two years. The key weakness is persistent losses driving consistently negative returns on equity, and the earlier history shows prior balance-sheet stress (negative equity in 2021), highlighting sensitivity if losses continue.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow has been negative every year from 2021–2025, and free cash flow is also consistently negative with a deterioration in 2025 versus 2024. While free cash flow is shown as more than net loss in several years (reflecting non-cash charges and/or working-capital effects), it is still materially negative in absolute terms, implying ongoing cash burn and likely reliance on external funding over time.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.57K75.29K52.06K170.00K0.00
Gross Profit33.57K75.29K52.06K170.00K0.00
EBITDA-641.97K-677.19K-864.28K-1.89M-923.00
Net Income-1.05M-1.14M-1.23M-1.95M-78.21K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.02M6.61M7.57M8.54M26.50K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments658.25K934.57K2.86M5.19M0.00
Total Debt0.0070.15K105.28K132.91K94.69K
Total Liabilities277.63K297.44K236.21K276.17K104.71K
Stockholders Equity6.74M6.31M7.33M8.27M-78.21K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.55M-1.87M-1.69M-1.94M-94.69K
Operating Cash Flow-712.23K-710.07K-733.74K-948.97K-68.19K
Investing Cash Flow-979.46K-1.14M-1.58M-1.52M-26.50K
Financing Cash Flow1.42M-73.81K-11.25K7.66M94.69K

Orange Minerals NL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.08
Price Trends
50DMA
0.08
Negative
100DMA
0.08
Negative
200DMA
0.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
47.42
Neutral
STOCH
14.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:OMX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.08, and above the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:OMX.

Orange Minerals NL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$38.95M-6.90-61.72%8.81%
50
Neutral
AU$8.33M-13.79-41.50%-6.38%
49
Neutral
AU$9.19M-4.43-25.70%-100.00%80.33%
46
Neutral
AU$6.06M-1.14-135.06%30.99%
44
Neutral
36
Underperform
AU$7.11M-0.78-145.66%34.61%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:OMX
Orange Minerals NL
0.08
0.05
158.06%
AU:KFM
Kingfisher Mining Ltd.
0.08
0.04
97.50%
AU:ATT
Copper Search Ltd.
0.02
>-0.01
-33.33%
AU:BPM
BPM Minerals Ltd.
0.29
0.24
612.50%
AU:DUN
Dundas Minerals Limited
0.05
0.02
66.67%
AU:M3M
M3 Mining Ltd.
0.03
-0.01
-27.50%

Orange Minerals NL Corporate Events

Orange Minerals Highlights Exploration Leverage Across Two Proven Belts
Feb 9, 2026

Orange Minerals NL has released an investor presentation highlighting its strategy to gain discovery leverage across two proven mineral belts, underscoring its focus on exploration targets, mineral resources and ore reserves. The company reiterates that its technical information is supported by a qualified Competent Person and confirms there is no new material data altering previously announced resource estimates, aiming to provide investors with confidence in the continuity and reliability of its exploration results.

The presentation emphasises that the material is informational only and not an offer of securities or financial advice, with OMX stressing that investors should seek independent advice and that the company accepts limited liability for reliance on the information. By framing its exploration portfolio and governance around established reporting codes, Orange Minerals signals a commitment to regulatory compliance and transparent disclosure, which is important for maintaining investor trust in a high‑risk exploration sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Orange Minerals Advances Lennon’s Find Drilling and Secures Funding for Dual-Country Exploration
Jan 29, 2026

Orange Minerals reported strong operational progress at its Lennon’s Find project in Western Australia during the December 2025 quarter, including completion of a 615m EIS‑co‑funded diamond drill hole targeting a deep induced polarisation anomaly beneath its existing zinc‑lead‑silver Resource. The hole intercepted a 25m downhole interval of semi‑massive, banded and disseminated sulphides containing chalcopyrite, sphalerite and galena, with assays due in the first quarter of 2026, and drilling to date has satisfied joint venture expenditure requirements, entitling the company to an initial 51% interest in the project with potential to increase this to 75% pending formal confirmation. In parallel, the company is preparing a dual‑country exploration push across Australia and Ghana, backed by a A$3.18 million placement that includes significant support from a Ghanaian investor group and company directors, positioning Orange Minerals for a more aggressive exploration program and potentially strengthening its strategic foothold in both regions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Orange Minerals Issues 6.6 Million New Shares Under Cleansing Notice
Dec 23, 2025

Orange Minerals NL has issued 6,628,889 new shares without a disclosure document under the Corporations Act, confirming it remains compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations and that there is no additional excluded information requiring disclosure. The share issuance, detailed in a recent ASX filing, modestly expands the company’s capital base and underscores ongoing funding activity to support its exploration programs across Australia and Ghana.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Orange Minerals Applies to List 6.6 Million New Shares on ASX
Dec 23, 2025

Orange Minerals NL has applied for quotation on the ASX of 6,628,889 new ordinary fully paid shares under the ticker OMX, following previously announced transactions. The additional securities, issued on 22 December 2025, will expand the company’s quoted share capital and may influence liquidity and ownership structure once trading in these new shares commences.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Orange Minerals Hits Visual Sulphides in First Deep Hole at Lennon’s Find
Dec 23, 2025

Orange Minerals NL has reported the interception of more than 25 metres of visually identified semi-massive, banded and disseminated sulphides from 510 metres depth in its first deep diamond drillhole at the Lennon’s Find Project in Western Australia, targeting a strong induced polarisation anomaly interpreted as a possible feeder structure to the existing zinc‑lead‑silver system. The hole, completed to 615 metres and co-funded under Western Australia’s Exploration Incentive Scheme, contains visible chalcopyrite, sphalerite and galena, suggesting potential copper, zinc and lead mineralisation at depth, with laboratory assays and a downhole electromagnetic survey scheduled for early 2026, marking a significant step in testing the project’s deeper resource potential and guiding future exploration planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Orange Minerals NL Updates Director’s Shareholding
Dec 4, 2025

Orange Minerals NL has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically for Director Campbell Smyth. The change involves the acquisition of 41,194 fully paid ordinary shares, increasing his direct holdings to 10,500,000 shares. This update reflects the company’s ongoing transparency in reporting director interests, which is crucial for maintaining investor trust and regulatory compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026