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Orange Minerals NL (AU:OMX)
ASX:OMX
Australian Market

Orange Minerals NL (OMX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:OMX

Orange Minerals NL

(Sydney:OMX)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.05
▼(-33.75% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (persistent losses and ongoing cash burn) and bearish technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD). Low leverage provides some balance-sheet resilience, but valuation signals are limited because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Minimal debt and a conservatively levered balance sheet reduce insolvency risk and provide funding flexibility for exploration cycles. This structural strength lengthens runway versus highly leveraged peers, enabling continued prospecting and JV commitments without immediate refinancing pressures.
Secured near-term exploration funding
A committed A$3.18m placement and strategic Ghanaian investor and director support materially improves near-term funding for dual-country exploration. This structural capital backing lowers immediate dilution risk, funds drilling programs, and strengthens execution of the company’s growth strategy.
Project progress and JV earn-in
A substantive drill intercept and meeting JV expenditure requirements meaningfully de-risks the Lennon’s Find asset by earning an initial majority stake and the potential to increase to 75%. Increased ownership potential improves long-term upside capture if assays and follow-up work confirm mineralisation.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow, with deterioration in 2025, indicates the company requires ongoing external funding to maintain exploration activity. Over months this raises dilution risk, constrains discretionary spending, and places strategic choices under capital availability constraints.
Ongoing losses and weak margins
Sustained negative operating and net margins show the business model is not currently generating profits and cannot self-fund advancement to development. Structurally, this prolongs dependency on capital markets and partners, delaying potential value realization from discoveries.
Small, volatile revenue and historical fragility
A very low and volatile revenue base, combined with negative ROE and prior negative equity, signals fragile capital resilience. This long-term structural weakness means discovery success is required to materially change fundamentals and reduces predictability of sustained returns.

Orange Minerals NL (OMX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Orange Minerals NL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrange Minerals NL operates as a gold and copper exploration company in Australia. The company holds 100% interest in the Majestic Project and the Kurnalpi Project located within the Eastern Goldfields in Western Australia, as well as holds interests in the Calarie project and the Wisemans Creek project located within the Lachlan Fold Belt in New South Wales. Orange Minerals NL was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Orange Minerals NL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is weak: very small and volatile revenue, persistent operating/net losses, and consistently negative operating and free cash flow (cash burn). A key offset is low leverage with minimal debt and positive equity in recent years, which reduces near-term balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Revenue is very small and volatile, falling sharply in 2025 (annual) after prior inconsistency. Profitability is weak: the company is consistently loss-making, with deeply negative operating and net margins across the period, indicating the cost base is far larger than current revenue. While losses narrowed modestly in 2025 versus 2024, the overall earnings profile remains structurally negative.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively levered with minimal debt (debt-to-equity near zero in recent years), which reduces financial risk. Equity and assets are sizable relative to the company’s revenue base, providing some cushion. However, returns on equity are consistently negative, signaling that capital is not currently generating profits (and 2021 shows a prior period with negative equity, highlighting historical fragility).
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow is negative every year shown, and free cash flow is also consistently negative, implying ongoing cash burn. Free cash flow deficits remain substantial and worsened in 2025 versus 2024, suggesting continued funding needs. A positive point is that free cash flow is less negative than net income (free cash flow to net income above 1), but that is driven by accounting losses rather than strong cash profitability.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.57K75.29K52.06K170.00K0.00
Gross Profit33.57K75.29K52.06K170.00K0.00
EBITDA-641.97K-677.19K-864.28K-1.89M-923.00
Net Income-1.05M-1.14M-1.23M-1.95M-78.21K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.02M6.61M7.57M8.54M26.50K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments658.25K934.57K2.86M5.19M0.00
Total Debt0.0070.15K105.28K132.91K94.69K
Total Liabilities277.63K297.44K236.21K276.17K104.71K
Stockholders Equity6.74M6.31M7.33M8.27M-78.21K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.55M-1.87M-1.69M-1.94M-94.69K
Operating Cash Flow-712.23K-710.07K-733.74K-948.97K-68.19K
Investing Cash Flow-979.46K-1.14M-1.58M-1.52M-26.50K
Financing Cash Flow1.42M-73.81K-11.25K7.66M94.69K

Orange Minerals NL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.08
Price Trends
50DMA
0.08
Negative
100DMA
0.08
Negative
200DMA
0.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
29.64
Positive
STOCH
25.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:OMX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, above the 50-day MA of 0.08, and below the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.64 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:OMX.

Orange Minerals NL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
AU$9.38M-0.43-104.33%-100.00%80.33%
47
Neutral
AU$7.91M-5.81-11.29%-6.38%
44
Neutral
AU$5.64M-0.72-171.67%30.99%
43
Neutral
AU$21.43M-1.27-71.24%8.81%
41
Neutral
-6.30-16.04%
AU$5.33M-0.58-145.66%34.61%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:OMX
Orange Minerals NL
0.06
0.03
93.10%
AU:KFM
Kingfisher Mining Ltd.
0.08
0.04
90.00%
AU:ATT
Copper Search Ltd.
0.02
-0.01
-46.43%
AU:BPM
BPM Minerals Ltd.
0.17
0.13
312.50%
AU:DUN
Dundas Minerals Limited
0.05
0.02
100.00%
AU:M3M
M3 Mining Ltd.
0.03
-0.01
-32.50%

Orange Minerals NL Corporate Events

Orange Minerals Updates Corporate Directory and Governance Details
Mar 10, 2026

Orange Minerals NL has released an updated corporate directory outlining its current board composition, key management, registered office details, and external service providers, including auditors and share registry. The notice primarily serves as an administrative update to confirm the company’s governance structure and contact information for investors and stakeholders, rather than signaling an operational or strategic shift.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Orange Minerals Highlights Exploration Leverage Across Two Proven Belts
Feb 9, 2026

Orange Minerals NL has released an investor presentation highlighting its strategy to gain discovery leverage across two proven mineral belts, underscoring its focus on exploration targets, mineral resources and ore reserves. The company reiterates that its technical information is supported by a qualified Competent Person and confirms there is no new material data altering previously announced resource estimates, aiming to provide investors with confidence in the continuity and reliability of its exploration results.

The presentation emphasises that the material is informational only and not an offer of securities or financial advice, with OMX stressing that investors should seek independent advice and that the company accepts limited liability for reliance on the information. By framing its exploration portfolio and governance around established reporting codes, Orange Minerals signals a commitment to regulatory compliance and transparent disclosure, which is important for maintaining investor trust in a high‑risk exploration sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Orange Minerals Advances Lennon’s Find Drilling and Secures Funding for Dual-Country Exploration
Jan 29, 2026

Orange Minerals reported strong operational progress at its Lennon’s Find project in Western Australia during the December 2025 quarter, including completion of a 615m EIS‑co‑funded diamond drill hole targeting a deep induced polarisation anomaly beneath its existing zinc‑lead‑silver Resource. The hole intercepted a 25m downhole interval of semi‑massive, banded and disseminated sulphides containing chalcopyrite, sphalerite and galena, with assays due in the first quarter of 2026, and drilling to date has satisfied joint venture expenditure requirements, entitling the company to an initial 51% interest in the project with potential to increase this to 75% pending formal confirmation. In parallel, the company is preparing a dual‑country exploration push across Australia and Ghana, backed by a A$3.18 million placement that includes significant support from a Ghanaian investor group and company directors, positioning Orange Minerals for a more aggressive exploration program and potentially strengthening its strategic foothold in both regions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:OMX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange Minerals NL stock, see the AU:OMX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026