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BPM Minerals Ltd. (AU:BPM)
ASX:BPM
Australian Market

BPM Minerals Ltd. (BPM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BPM

BPM Minerals Ltd.

(Sydney:BPM)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.24
▲(40.00% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flow), only partly offset by a low-leverage balance sheet. Technical indicators provide the main support, with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation remains pressured due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Conservative capital structure
A very low debt load provides durable financial flexibility for an exploration company. Minimal interest obligations reduce fixed cash demands, lowering bankruptcy risk and preserving capacity to raise or deploy equity capital for drilling or deals over the next several months.
Clear exploration monetisation pathways
BPM’s business model explicitly relies on selling assets, royalties or farming out projects to fund advancement. These structural monetisation routes are industry-standard and provide realistic, repeatable exit or funding options to crystallise value without requiring near-term production.
Positive free cash flow to net income ratio
Despite accounting losses, a positive free cash flow to net income metric signals some cash conversion and disciplined spend. That ability to produce cash relative to reported losses can extend runway and reduce reliance on immediate dilutive funding in the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
A persistent revenue decline materially weakens the company's ability to self-fund exploration and undermines commercial momentum. Over several months this constrains bargaining power with JV partners and buyers, making external financing or asset sales more likely and potentially less favourable.
Consistently negative profitability margins
Ongoing negative margins demonstrate the business currently destroys equity value rather than generating returns. That persistent unprofitability erodes shareholders' capital and reduces internal funding capacity, increasing dependence on external capital and heightening dilution risk over time.
Cash flow pressure and declining FCF growth
Negative operating and free cash flow with worsening FCF growth signals structural funding stress. For an explorer this raises the probability of frequent capital raises, limits ability to sustain multi‑hole programs, and reduces strategic optionality during the next several months.

BPM Minerals Ltd. (BPM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

BPM Minerals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBPM Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company explores for gold, silver, lead, copper, zinc, iron, nickel, cobalt, and manganese deposits. It holds interests in the Hawkins, Santy, Nepean, and Claw projects. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBPM Minerals Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of minerals. Its revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales of mined products to industrial clients and long-term contracts with manufacturers who require a consistent supply of minerals. Key revenue streams include the sale of ores and concentrates, which are sold at market prices influenced by global commodity trends. Additionally, BPM may engage in partnerships with other mining companies and stakeholders to enhance its operational capabilities and market reach, further contributing to its earnings through shared projects and joint ventures.

BPM Minerals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak: revenue is declining (-26.11%) and profitability remains negative with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is conservatively levered (debt-to-equity 0.0075), but negative ROE shows the equity base is not generating returns. Cash flow is also pressured with negative operating and free cash flow and declining free cash flow growth (-11.45%).
Income Statement
30
Negative
BPM Minerals Ltd. shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -26.11% in the latest year. The company has consistently negative net profit margins, indicating ongoing losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement highlights significant profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0075, suggesting minimal leverage and a conservative capital structure. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is relatively stable, showing a strong equity position relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a declining free cash flow growth rate of -11.45%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow issues. Despite these challenges, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.03K66.03K163.14K63.34K9.23K0.00
Gross Profit66.03K66.03K163.14K27.73K2.33K0.00
EBITDA-3.26M-2.91M-3.17M-1.81M-1.80M-533.89K
Net Income-3.36M-3.36M-3.20M-1.86M-1.81M-534.09K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.81M4.81M6.42M9.54M11.48M7.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.83M1.83M2.18M3.94M5.98M5.43M
Total Debt34.99K34.99K52.67K68.80K125.33K0.00
Total Liabilities166.17K166.17K171.55K258.35K393.56K1.09M
Stockholders Equity4.64M4.64M6.25M9.29M11.09M6.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.89M-1.89M-1.75M-1.96M-2.24M-946.93K
Operating Cash Flow-693.96K-693.96K-640.29K-1.05M-1.10M-402.89K
Investing Cash Flow-1.20M-1.20M-1.09M-910.50K-1.14M-544.04K
Financing Cash Flow1.54M1.54M-29.38K-78.09K2.79M6.38M

BPM Minerals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.17
Price Trends
50DMA
0.18
Positive
100DMA
0.15
Positive
200DMA
0.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
67.30
Neutral
STOCH
65.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BPM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.21, below the 50-day MA of 0.18, and above the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:BPM.

BPM Minerals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$12.30M-0.34-93.45%27.01%
50
Neutral
AU$9.89M-2.87-41.50%-6.38%
48
Neutral
AU$27.93M-5.98-61.72%8.81%
48
Neutral
AU$6.95M-3.96-25.70%-100.00%80.33%
46
Neutral
AU$7.31M-1.12-135.06%30.99%
36
Underperform
AU$9.01M-0.74-145.66%34.61%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BPM
BPM Minerals Ltd.
0.26
0.19
271.43%
AU:AS2
Askari Metals Limited
0.01
<0.01
16.67%
AU:KFM
Kingfisher Mining Ltd.
0.09
0.06
203.33%
AU:ATT
Copper Search Ltd.
0.02
>-0.01
-17.24%
AU:DUN
Dundas Minerals Limited
0.04
<0.01
20.00%
AU:M3M
M3 Mining Ltd.
0.03
>-0.01
-20.00%

BPM Minerals Ltd. Corporate Events

BPM Minerals Confirms High-Grade Gold Shoot at Beachcomber Prospect in WA
Jan 22, 2026

BPM Minerals has confirmed a high‑grade gold system at its Beachcomber prospect within the Forelands Gold Project in Western Australia, reporting strong assay results from a 3,180m, 24‑hole maiden reverse circulation drilling program, including multiple multi‑gram and double‑digit gram‑per‑tonne gold intercepts over mineable widths. The drilling has defined a coherent, south‑plunging high‑grade ore shoot that remains open to the south and at depth, providing a clear focus for follow‑up drilling scheduled for this quarter, while soil sampling results from nearby targets and progressing permits at the large Bonnie & Clyde gold‑in‑soil anomaly position the company for an active 2026 exploration campaign and potential value uplift for stakeholders as the broader Forelands project is systematically advanced.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Completes Maiden Drilling and Bolsters Funding at Forelands Gold Project
Jan 18, 2026

BPM Minerals has completed a 3,180m, 24‑hole maiden reverse circulation drilling program at the high-grade Beachcomber Prospect within its Forelands Gold Project in Western Australia, targeting down-dip and along-strike extensions of a known quartz lode and following up historical high-grade gold intercepts, with assay results pending. The company also advanced project-wide exploration by collecting 1,742 soil samples across several prospects to refine drill targets, confirmed via a regional review that Forelands hosts a major gold system over more than 75 km, secured heritage approvals enabling continued drilling in 2026, and strengthened its balance sheet with a A$3.5 million capital raising, leaving it well-funded with about A$5.6 million in cash to accelerate its 2026 exploration program.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Issues New Shares on Conversion of Performance Rights
Jan 13, 2026

BPM Minerals Limited has issued 1,100,000 fully paid ordinary shares following the conversion of performance rights, expanding its share capital base. The company confirmed that the shares were issued without a prospectus under the Corporations Act’s disclosure exemptions and stated it remains compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations, with no excluded information requiring disclosure, signalling regulatory adherence and transparency for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Seeks ASX Quotation for 1.1 Million Employee Incentive Shares
Jan 13, 2026

BPM Minerals Ltd has applied to the ASX for quotation of 1,100,000 fully paid ordinary shares that were previously issued under an employee incentive scheme and are now becoming transferable. The move modestly increases the company’s freely tradeable share base, reflecting the vesting of staff incentives and slightly expanding liquidity for existing and prospective shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Completes Maiden Drilling at High-Grade Beachcomber Prospect in WA
Dec 21, 2025

BPM Minerals has completed a 3,180-metre, 24‑hole maiden reverse circulation drilling program at the high‑grade Beachcomber Prospect within its Forelands Gold Project in Western Australia, targeting an open gold-bearing quartz lode that has previously returned standout intercepts such as 3 metres at 65.8 grams per tonne gold. The company also collected 1,742 soil samples across several prospects, including Beachcomber, Ambrosia, Sidecar and Brass Monkey, to define additional drill-ready targets, with assay results from both drilling and soil sampling expected in early 2026 and approvals already in place to restart drilling once data is received, positioning BPM for an active exploration phase and potential rapid progression toward a maiden JORC-compliant resource if results are supportive.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Sell with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Initiates Drilling at Forelands Gold Project
Dec 7, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd has commenced its maiden reverse circulation drilling program at the high-grade Beachcomber Prospect, part of the Forelands Gold Project in Western Australia. Supported by a recent $3.5 million capital raise, the company is well-positioned to execute its exploration plans, with assay results expected in early 2026. The drilling aims to outline a significant high-grade gold deposit, while soil sampling is underway at various prospects to define targets for future drilling.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Issues New Shares in Recent Placement
Dec 4, 2025

BPM Minerals Limited has issued 23,333,334 fully paid ordinary shares as part of a placement announced on 27 November 2025. The company has complied with relevant provisions of the Corporations Act and confirms there is no undisclosed information that investors would require for an informed assessment of the company or the shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 4, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd. has announced the quotation of 23,333,334 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as part of previously announced transactions. This move is expected to enhance the company’s capital structure and provide additional resources for its ongoing exploration and development activities, potentially strengthening its position within the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Ltd. Announces Director’s Acquisition of Performance Rights
Dec 2, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically for Gregory Smith, who has acquired 2,250,000 performance rights. This change, approved at the 2025 Annual General Meeting, reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align management incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 2, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd. has announced a change in the interests of its director, Emmanuel Correia, with the issuance of 2,250,000 performance rights approved at the 2025 Annual General Meeting. This change reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align management incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 2, 2025

BPM Minerals Limited has announced a change in the interest of its director, Paul Lloyd. The change involves the issuance of 3,000,000 performance rights for 2025, which were approved by shareholders at the 2025 AGM. This adjustment in director’s interests reflects the company’s ongoing governance and incentive structures, potentially impacting shareholder value and director alignment with company performance goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Issues 9.6 Million Performance Rights
Dec 2, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd. announced the issuance of 9,600,000 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme. These unquoted securities are subject to a restriction on transfer and will not be quoted on the ASX until the restriction ends, reflecting the company’s commitment to aligning employee incentives with its operational goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Ltd. Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Nov 27, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd. has announced a proposed issue of securities, with a maximum of 4,000,000 securities to be issued. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, with the proposed issue date set for February 12, 2026. The announcement reflects the company’s strategy to raise capital for its operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Ltd. Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Nov 27, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd. has announced a proposed issue of 23,333,334 fully paid ordinary securities, with the issue date set for December 4, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and market positioning by increasing its available resources for ongoing and future projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Secures A$3.5 Million for Forelands Gold Project Expansion
Nov 27, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd has successfully secured A$3.5 million through a placement to advance exploration at its Forelands Gold Project in Western Australia. The funds will be used to expand and accelerate drilling programs, with a focus on the high-grade Beachcomber prospect. This strategic move positions BPM to unlock the project’s potential, supported by strong investor interest and a robust pipeline of exploration targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BPM) stock is a Hold with a A$0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BPM Minerals Ltd. stock, see the AU:BPM Stock Forecast page.

BPM Minerals Ltd. Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Nov 25, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd. announced the outcomes of resolutions from its Annual General Meeting, with all resolutions passed by poll in line with corporate governance recommendations. This development reflects the company’s adherence to governance standards, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence and supporting its operational strategies.

BPM Minerals Limited Initiates Trading Halt for Capital Raising Announcement
Nov 25, 2025

BPM Minerals Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities pending an announcement related to a capital raising. The halt will remain in effect until either the release of the announcement or the commencement of normal trading on 27 November 2025. This move is likely to impact the company’s operations and market positioning, as capital raising can influence stakeholder confidence and future growth opportunities.

BPM Minerals Reports High-Grade Rare Earth Discoveries at Durack Project
Nov 23, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd has announced promising results from its exploration activities at the Durack Project in Western Australia, particularly at the Chandler’s Find prospect. The project has returned high-grade rare earth element assays, with the mineral monazite identified as the primary source. This discovery suggests the potential for a major heavy mineral sand deposit, positioning the Durack Project as a significant player in the emerging rare earth element district. The expansion of the Chandler’s Find prospect and ongoing fieldwork indicate the possibility of a high-tonnage deposit, which could enhance BPM’s standing in the rare earth market and align with national initiatives to boost Australia’s role in the global rare earth industry.

BPM Minerals Unveils Major Gold System at Forelands Project
Nov 16, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd has announced significant findings from its exploration review at the Forelands Gold Project in Western Australia, highlighting the discovery of a major gold system. The newly identified Bonnie & Clyde Prospect, characterized by a 6 km gold-in-soil anomaly, is poised to be a key focus for 2026, alongside other promising targets. The company’s strategic exploration efforts, including upcoming RC drilling at the Beachcomber Prospect, aim to unlock the potential of the Forelands Project, which is believed to hold district-scale gold systems comparable to other major deposits.

BPM Minerals to Begin Drilling at Forelands Gold Project
Nov 9, 2025

BPM Minerals Ltd has completed a heritage survey at its Forelands Gold Project, allowing for the commencement of a 3,000-meter, 25-hole RC drilling program at the high-grade Beachcomber Prospect. This development marks a significant step in BPM’s exploration efforts, with the potential to unlock a major gold system. The project is supported by the UUNAC and Milii Group Pty. Ltd., and the company has received necessary approvals from the Department of Mines, Petroleum and Exploration. The drilling program is expected to enhance BPM’s exploration targets and strengthen its position in the gold mining sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026