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Minbos Resources Limited (AU:MNB)
ASX:MNB

Minbos Resources Limited (MNB) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MNB

Minbos Resources Limited

(Sydney:MNB)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▲(10.00% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (pre-revenue profile, widening losses, and sustained cash burn) despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals also weigh on the score due to a downtrend versus key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is constrained by loss-making results and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low debt and A$35.8M of equity provide near-term solvency resilience and a runway to advance project milestones without immediate heavy interest burden. This structural balance-sheet strength reduces short-term default risk and supports funding flexibility during development phases.
Vertical integration of mining and processing
An integrated model from mining to downstream fertiliser production can capture more value across the supply chain and create higher margin potential. Owning processing reduces reliance on third parties, strengthening long-term competitiveness if the company executes capex and commissioning successfully.
Focus on local and regional agricultural markets
Targeting local/regional demand aligns the business with stable, structural agricultural fertilizer needs and can reduce export logistics complexity. Proximity to end markets supports durable offtake relationships and translatable demand visibility once production begins.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue and widening losses
A pre-revenue profile with growing net losses signals negative operating leverage and persistent funding need. Continued loss generation erodes financial resilience, increases reliance on external capital, and raises the execution risk that project development milestones may be delayed or scaled back.
Material cash burn and negative operating cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow means the business cannot self-fund development and will need external financing. This creates dilution or leverage risk, heightens execution uncertainty, and can delay construction and commissioning if capital markets access tightens.
Persistently negative returns on equity
A negative ROE around -27% indicates capital destruction rather than value creation, weakening shareholders' capital over time. This structural profitability shortfall undermines the company's ability to internally finance growth and may reduce investor willingness to provide future funding.

Minbos Resources Limited (MNB) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Minbos Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMinbos Resources Limited explores for and develops mineral projects. The company primarily explores for phosphate. It focuses on the development of the Capanda Green Ammonia Project and the Cabinda Phosphate Project in Angola and middle Africa. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes Money

Minbos Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial profile is weak: revenue is effectively zero in 2023–2024 and losses are large and widening, with materially negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow indicating ongoing cash burn. The main offset is a relatively strong, low-leverage balance sheet with sizable equity and minimal debt, which reduces near-term solvency risk but does not resolve execution/funding risk if losses persist.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The income profile is very weak: revenue is effectively zero in 2023 and 2024 (vs. modest revenue in 2022), and losses are sizable and widening (net loss of ~A$9.7M in 2024 vs. ~A$7.5M in 2023). Profitability is consistently negative, reflecting a company still in a pre-revenue/early development phase with limited operating leverage and no clear near-term earnings inflection shown in the provided periods.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength. Leverage is very low (debt-to-equity ~0.021 in 2024), and equity remains sizable (~A$35.8M in 2024) with total assets of ~A$40.7M, suggesting capacity to fund operations in the near term. The key weakness is ongoing value erosion from losses, shown by persistently negative returns on equity (about -27% in 2024), which can pressure equity over time if losses continue.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak and deteriorating in key areas: operating cash flow is materially negative and worsened in 2024 (~-A$10.3M vs. ~-A$9.5M in 2023), indicating ongoing cash burn. Free cash flow remains deeply negative (about -A$12.9M in 2024), and while free cash flow was less negative than 2023, the business still relies on external funding to sustain operations until revenues scale.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue100.65K0.000.0095.68K0.002.10K
Gross Profit-129.13K-265.38K-224.49K12.46K0.00-2.20K
EBITDA-9.21M-10.32M-8.20M-4.30M-747.22K-4.21M
Net Income-8.42M-9.74M-7.54M-4.58M-804.62K-4.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.17M40.73M26.28M36.78M15.18M7.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.33M12.86M4.60M17.47M3.64M6.83M
Total Debt761.94K750.13K57.90K125.23K158.03K0.00
Total Liabilities1.85M3.61M1.91M1.16M1.54M313.05K
Stockholders Equity33.28M35.78M25.94M35.63M13.64M7.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.54M-12.87M-16.27M-8.49M-11.46M-2.89M
Operating Cash Flow-10.71M-10.32M-9.51M-1.61M-1.99M-2.02M
Investing Cash Flow-4.96M-5.16M-6.77M-7.83M-6.99M-861.18K
Financing Cash Flow20.53M23.78M3.09M23.74M5.74M9.01M

Minbos Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
AU$41.88M-2.79-15.13%23.60%
47
Neutral
AU$154.92M-4.69-32.57%-100.00%-477.06%
46
Neutral
AU$339.81M-38.96-27.55%-71.00%9.44%
43
Neutral
AU$41.44M-6.89-13.86%-12.34%
42
Neutral
AU$26.23M-2.75-27.12%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MNB
Minbos Resources Limited
0.02
-0.03
-54.00%
DE:5N91
Aguia Resources Limited
0.01
>-0.01
-12.50%
AU:BML
Boab Metals Ltd
0.56
0.40
250.00%
AU:BKT
Black Rock Mining Limited
0.02
-0.02
-45.45%
AU:LEL
Lithium Energy Ltd.
0.37
0.00
0.00%
AU:WR1
Winsome Resources Limited
0.59
0.12
25.81%

Minbos Resources Limited Corporate Events

Minbos Resources Posts Negative Quarterly Cash Flow, Relies on Equity to Fund Development
Jan 30, 2026

Minbos Resources reported negative operating cash flow of A$1.86 million for the December 2025 quarter and A$9.28 million for the year to date, reflecting ongoing staff, administration and non-mining project costs with limited customer receipts. The company also recorded A$2.55 million in quarterly investing outflows, mainly for property, plant and equipment and mine properties under development, while partially offsetting these with A$2.81 million in financing inflows from equity issues, ending the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of A$2.29 million, highlighting continued reliance on capital markets to fund its development activities and maintain liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MNB) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minbos Resources Limited stock, see the AU:MNB Stock Forecast page.

Minbos Advances Financing, Fast-Tracks Cabinda Phosphate and Seals Green Ammonia JV
Jan 30, 2026

Minbos Resources reported progress on multiple debt financing facilities during the December 2025 quarter, moving toward financial close on a US$16 million loan with South Africa’s Industrial Development Corporation, advancing credit approval for a Banco de Fomento Angola facility, and working to satisfy the remaining condition precedent for a Banco BAI loan by converting its Angolan subsidiary into a public limited company. Operationally, the company unveiled an updated development plan for the Cabinda Phosphate Project that allows an accelerated start to production and sales using uncrushed, dewatered phosphate rock, cutting initial capital by about US$20 million and early-phase operating costs by roughly US$17 per tonne, while it continues to pursue full-scale beneficiation and granulation to meet long-term fertilizer demand. In parallel, Minbos signed a binding agreement with Talus Renewables to jointly develop the Capanda Green Ammonia Project via a 50:50 joint venture using modular green ammonia technology and up to 100 MW of hydropower, aiming at premium export markets in Europe and Asia as well as regional fertilizer and mining sectors, a move that deepens the company’s downstream integration and positions it as a low-carbon nitrogen supplier from 2028 onward.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MNB) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minbos Resources Limited stock, see the AU:MNB Stock Forecast page.

Minbos Updates Timetable for Share Purchase Plan
Jan 15, 2026

Minbos Resources has updated the indicative timetable for its previously announced Share Purchase Plan, setting out key dates for the offer period, issuance, and quotation of new shares and associated options on the ASX. The plan will now open to eligible shareholders on 29 December 2025 and close on 2 February 2026, with SPP shares expected to commence normal trading on 9 February 2026 and SPP options on 19 February 2026, subject to shareholder approvals and ASX Listing Rules, and with the company reserving the right to adjust or withdraw the offer.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MNB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minbos Resources Limited stock, see the AU:MNB Stock Forecast page.

Minbos Calls February 2026 General Meeting, Urges Shareholder Participation
Jan 15, 2026

Minbos Resources Limited has called a General Meeting of shareholders for 10:00am (WST) on Monday, 16 February 2026, to be held at Level 5, 191 St Georges Terrace, Perth, Western Australia. In line with corporate law requirements, the company will provide electronic access to the Notice of Meeting via its website and will send physical copies only to shareholders who have opted in, while outlining multiple methods for shareholders to lodge proxy votes ahead of the meeting. The board has emphasised the importance of shareholder participation in the vote, clarified eligibility based on the share register as at 10:00am (WST) on 14 February 2026, and indicated that the chair intends to vote all open proxies in favour of the proposed resolutions, highlighting a coordinated effort to secure support for the agenda.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MNB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minbos Resources Limited stock, see the AU:MNB Stock Forecast page.

Minbos Resources Plans Issuance of Over 21 Million Options via Placement
Jan 9, 2026

Minbos Resources Limited has lodged a notice of proposed securities issuance with the ASX, outlining plans to issue up to 21,567,235 options, designated MNBOC and expiring on 15 December 2028, via a placement or similar form of capital raising. The options, expected to be issued on 20 February 2026, form part of the company’s broader funding strategy and reflect ongoing efforts to access equity markets to support its operations and potential project development, with the structure subject to ASX quotation processes under the listing rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MNB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minbos Resources Limited stock, see the AU:MNB Stock Forecast page.

Minbos Revises Timetable for Share Purchase Plan
Dec 28, 2025

Minbos Resources has updated the timetable for its recently announced Share Purchase Plan, delaying the opening date and dispatch of the offer booklet to eligible shareholders to 29 December 2025. The revised schedule sets a new closing date of 2 February 2026, with prospectus lodgement for accompanying options on 5 February, allocation of new shares and options and results announcement on 6 February, and normal ASX trading of the SPP shares expected to commence on 9 February 2026, giving investors clearer visibility on the capital raising process and associated securities issuance.

Minbos Wins ASX Waiver to Advance Share Purchase Plan on Placement Terms
Dec 22, 2025

Minbos Resources has secured a waiver from the ASX to proceed with its planned share purchase plan (SPP) without requiring shareholder approval, aligning the SPP with the terms of a recent placement at an issue price of at least A$0.026 per share and capping new shares at 30% of existing capital. The waiver also allows directors to participate in the SPP on the same pricing and scaling terms as other shareholders, enabling the company to broaden participation in its funding initiative while remaining within ASX and ASIC regulatory parameters and potentially accelerating its capital-raising timetable.

Minbos Options Register Reveals Highly Concentrated MNBOC Holdings
Dec 19, 2025

Minbos Resources has released a holdings range report for its MNBOC listed options, showing that as at 15 December 2025 a total of 117,864,951 options are on issue, held by 71 holders. The distribution is highly concentrated, with 50 holders in the 100,000-plus bracket controlling 98.55% of the options and only 21 smaller holders collectively owning the remaining 1.45%, indicating that the company’s derivative securities are predominantly in the hands of larger or more sophisticated investors, which may influence liquidity and trading dynamics for these options.

Minbos Options Register Shows Highly Concentrated Holder Base
Dec 19, 2025

Minbos Resources has released an updated top holders report for its listed options (MNBOC), showing that the 20 largest option holders collectively control 92.11% of the 117.86 million options on issue. The register is highly concentrated, with Palisades Investments Ltd alone holding 45.68% of the options, and several other investment firms, nominee companies, and private investors making up the remainder, underscoring a tightly held derivative structure that could significantly influence future capital-raising outcomes and trading liquidity in the company’s options and underlying shares.

Minbos Seeks ASX Quotation for 117.9 Million New Listed Options
Dec 19, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of a new class of listed options, with 117,864,951 options to be issued, each exercisable at $0.04 and expiring on 15 December 2028. The move significantly expands the company’s listed equity derivatives and provides a potential future capital-raising mechanism, giving investors additional leverage-based exposure to the company’s shares and signalling an effort to deepen liquidity and broaden its capital structure ahead of longer-term strategic objectives.

Minbos Resources Awaits ASX Decision on Share Purchase Plan
Dec 16, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has announced an update regarding its Share Purchase Plan, initially disclosed on December 5, 2025. The company is awaiting a decision from the ASX on a waiver application related to Listing Rules 7.1 and 10.11, which will determine the revised timetable for the plan. The outcome of this decision could impact the company’s financial strategy and shareholder engagement.

Minbos Resources Issues New Unquoted Equity Securities
Dec 16, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 117,864,951 unquoted equity securities as part of a previously announced transaction. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its financial standing and support its ongoing projects, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering opportunities for stakeholders.

Minbos Resources Limited Announces New Options Offer in Latest Prospectus
Dec 12, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has issued a prospectus for the offer of up to 117,864,951 new options to participants in a placement, providing one free attaching new option for every share subscribed. This transaction-specific prospectus is designed for continuously quoted securities and highlights the speculative nature of the investment, urging potential investors to seek professional advice. The company emphasizes its compliance with continuous disclosure obligations and advises investors to consider publicly available information before making investment decisions.

Minbos Resources Updates Timetable for Placement and Share Purchase Plan
Dec 11, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has announced an updated timetable for its Placement and Share Purchase Plan (SPP), initially disclosed on December 5, 2025. The revised schedule includes key dates such as the opening of the SPP on December 17, 2025, and its closing on February 2, 2026. This adjustment in the timetable is part of the company’s strategic financial planning, potentially impacting its capital structure and offering opportunities for shareholder engagement.

Minbos Resources Completes Share Placement to Investors
Dec 11, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited announced the issuance of 117,864,951 fully paid ordinary shares at $0.026 per share to sophisticated and institutional investors. This move is part of a previously announced placement and complies with relevant sections of the Corporations Act, indicating transparency and adherence to legal requirements.

Minbos Resources Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 11, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has announced the quotation of 117,864,951 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as part of previously announced transactions. This move is expected to enhance the company’s capital structure, potentially improving its market position and providing additional resources for its ongoing projects in the agricultural sector.

Minbos Resources Secures $3.36 Million for Cabinda Phosphate Project
Dec 5, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has secured $3.36 million in funding commitments from institutional and sophisticated investors to support its Cabinda Phosphate Project in Angola. This funding, along with a proposed $1 million Share Purchase Plan, positions the company to continue its project development and meet strategic and regulatory obligations. The funding will ensure operational continuity and facilitate the transition into full project execution, with key milestones expected in early 2026. The placement involves issuing new shares and options, with participation from company directors and managed by Alpine Capital Pty Ltd.

Minbos Resources Limited Initiates Trading Halt for Capital Raising Update
Dec 2, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities pending an announcement related to capital raising and financing updates. This move aims to provide clarity to the market and stakeholders, with trading expected to resume by December 5, 2025, or upon the release of the announcement.

Minbos Resources Advances Phosphate and Green Ammonia Projects in Angola
Nov 26, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited is making significant strides with its Cabinda Phosphate Project and Capanda Green Ammonia Project in Angola. The Cabinda project benefits from government-backed infrastructure developments and financial support from the Angolan Sovereign Wealth Fund, with construction underway and initial shipments expected by the first half of 2026. The Capanda project, supported by a memorandum of understanding for hydroelectric power, is attracting international investment and aims to supply ammonia-based products to local and regional markets. These initiatives position Minbos to expand its market presence both locally and internationally, enhancing its impact on the agricultural and mining sectors.

Minbos Resources Accelerates Cabinda Phosphate Project with Strategic Update
Nov 25, 2025

Minbos Resources Limited has announced a strategic update for its Cabinda Phosphate Project, highlighting an accelerated production strategy that involves using unprocessed phosphate rock, which reduces upfront capital expenditure by approximately $20 million. This approach allows for earlier production and sales, as some customers have agreed to accept the unprocessed product. The company is evaluating logistics options for ship loading, with the first shipments expected in the first half of 2026, potentially enhancing its market position and operational efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026