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Metgasco Ltd (AU:MEL)
ASX:MEL
Australian Market

Metgasco Ltd (MEL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MEL

Metgasco Ltd

(Sydney:MEL)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.03
▼(-6.67% Downside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance, especially negative equity, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technical indicators are mixed and provide only modest support, while valuation is unattractive/unreliable due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Stable upstream gas business model
Metgasco's core business—exploration, production and sale of natural gas—provides a durable cash-generating model tied to long-term energy demand. Sales agreements with utilities and JV potential create predictable revenue lanes and strategic partners that can support development over months to years.
Concentrated Cooper Basin focus
Geographic and operational concentration in the Cooper Basin allows Metgasco to build domain expertise, concentrate capex and streamline operations. Focused asset base supports repeatable development cycles and makes reserve appraisal and production scaling more manageable over multi-quarter planning horizons.
Positive free cash flow to net income ratio
Although operating and free cash flows are negative in absolute terms, a positive free cash flow to net income ratio indicates some capacity to convert operations into cash relative to reported losses. This metric suggests limited cash resilience that can partially buffer near-term funding needs.
Negative Factors
Negative equity / solvency risk
Negative equity signals structural solvency risk and a negative debt-to-equity ratio, constraining financial flexibility. Over 2-6 months this can impair access to capital, raise refinancing or covenant risks, and force dilutive financing or asset sales to restore balance sheet health.
Negative operating and free cash flows
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows undermine the company's ability to fund operations, capex and debt service from internal resources. Without improvement, reliance on external financing or asset disposal increases, posing a durable constraint on growth and operational continuity.
Persistent negative profitability margins
Consistently negative gross, EBIT/EBITDA and net margins point to structural operational inefficiencies or pricing pressures. Over several quarters this reduces reinvestable earnings, weakens return prospects for shareholders, and makes it harder to achieve a sustained path to profitability.

Metgasco Ltd (MEL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Metgasco Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetgasco Ltd (ASX: MEL) is an Australian energy company focused on the exploration and development of natural gas resources, primarily in the Cooper Basin region of South Australia. The company engages in the production of natural gas and is involved in various stages of gas development, including exploration, appraisal, and production. Metgasco aims to contribute to the energy sector by providing sustainable and reliable natural gas solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetgasco generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas produced from its exploration and production activities. The company's revenue model is centered on the extraction and commercialization of natural gas, where it sells gas to domestic markets and potentially to export markets. Key revenue streams include sales agreements with utility companies and other industrial consumers, which provide a steady income. Additionally, Metgasco may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other energy companies to share development costs, enhance exploration capabilities, and expand its resource base, thereby contributing to its overall earnings. Factors such as market demand for natural gas, pricing trends, and operational efficiencies also play significant roles in the company's financial performance.

Metgasco Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak financial condition: negative profitability (gross, EBIT/EBITDA, and net margins), negative equity (solvency risk), and negative operating/free cash flows. While revenue was volatile with a recent increase and free cash flow to net income is noted as positive, overall financial health remains highly concerning.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Metgasco Ltd has shown a volatile revenue growth pattern with a significant increase in the latest year, but profitability remains a concern. The company has negative gross and net profit margins, indicating operational inefficiencies and challenges in achieving profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting ongoing operational losses.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a negative equity position, which is a significant risk factor. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative due to negative equity, indicating high financial leverage. Return on equity is also negative, highlighting the company's inability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is unfavorable, suggesting potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining trend in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.16M2.16M2.37M475.84K0.000.00
Gross Profit-12.31K-177.28K1.14M-286.00K-861.00-1.29K
EBITDA-103.44K-1.25M-11.78M-1.34M-6.11M-1.18M
Net Income-3.27M-3.27M-13.20M-1.53M-6.11M-1.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.76M9.76M9.16M18.05M17.28M7.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.12M1.12M880.61K642.16K3.64M731.64K
Total Debt4.30M4.30M2.66M771.41K0.000.00
Total Liabilities12.35M12.35M9.45M6.78M6.98M683.89K
Stockholders Equity-2.58M-2.58M-291.79K11.27M10.30M6.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.79M-746.97K-2.33M-7.56M-6.13M-5.54M
Operating Cash Flow-651.81K-651.81K-282.74K-1.37M2.85M-986.92K
Investing Cash Flow-2.01M-2.01M-2.05M-6.19M-8.81M-2.41M
Financing Cash Flow2.90M2.90M2.57M4.56M9.03M3.80M

Metgasco Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
51
Neutral
AU$4.11M-9.49%-16.79%-205.26%
45
Neutral
AU$4.68M-30.63%-32.65%-66.67%
44
Neutral
AU$1.03M-0.25-9.10%80.11%
44
Neutral
AU$5.12M-25.00-7.32%90.70%
42
Neutral
AU$6.29M-1.72-1481.88%36.96%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MEL
Metgasco Ltd
0.03
>-0.01
-20.00%
AU:BUY
Bounty Oil & Gas NL
AU:GLL
Galilee Energy Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:SHE
Stonehorse Energy Ltd
AU:IPB
IPB Petroleum Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Metgasco Ltd Corporate Events

Metgasco Announces Resignation of Joint Company Secretary
Jan 15, 2026

Metgasco Ltd has announced the resignation of joint company secretary Flynn Blackburn, effective 15 January 2026, leaving Henko Vos as the remaining company secretary. Vos will assume sole responsibility for communications with the ASX on listing rule matters, with the board expressing its thanks to Blackburn, signalling a routine governance change with limited operational impact but ensuring ongoing compliance oversight remains clearly assigned.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MEL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metgasco Ltd stock, see the AU:MEL Stock Forecast page.

Vintage Energy Clears Key Hurdle as Metgasco Shareholders Back Southern Flank Sale
Jan 14, 2026

Vintage Energy Ltd has confirmed that Metgasco shareholders have approved the sale of Metgasco’s 25% stakes in the Southern Flank joint ventures ATP 2021 and PRL 211 to Vintage, satisfying a key condition of their previously announced sale agreement. Completion of the transaction, which will consolidate Vintage’s interest in these onshore gas ventures and potentially strengthen its production and growth profile, still depends on remaining conditions precedent being met.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MEL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metgasco Ltd stock, see the AU:MEL Stock Forecast page.

Metgasco Secures Shareholder Approval to Sell Odin and Vali Gas Field Interests to Vintage Energy
Jan 14, 2026

Metgasco shareholders have approved the disposal of the company’s main undertaking at an extraordinary general meeting, passing a resolution to sell its 25% non-operated interests in the Odin and Vali gas field licences to Vintage Energy Ltd. The vote, which showed overwhelming support for the transaction, satisfies the shareholder approval condition in the sale agreement and moves the company a step closer to completing the asset sale, with finalisation now contingent on obtaining ministerial and third‑party consents for the assignment of key petroleum titles and material contracts, potentially reshaping Metgasco’s asset base and strategic focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MEL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metgasco Ltd stock, see the AU:MEL Stock Forecast page.

Metgasco Extends Repayment Date on GC1 Convertible Loan to June 2026
Dec 24, 2025

Metgasco Ltd has secured an extension to the repayment date of its convertible loan agreement with Glennon Small Companies Ltd (GC1), pushing the due date back six months from 31 December 2025 to 30 June 2026 on unchanged terms. The extension provides Metgasco with additional financial flexibility and time to meet its obligations under the facility, supporting the company’s capital management and potentially easing short‑term funding pressures as it progresses its energy projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MEL) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metgasco Ltd stock, see the AU:MEL Stock Forecast page.

Metgasco Extends Commitment Deadline for Sale of Odin and Vali Gas Interests to Vintage
Dec 23, 2025

Metgasco Ltd has updated the timetable for its planned divestment of its 25% non‑operated interests in the Odin and Vali gas field joint ventures to Vintage Energy Ltd, extending Vintage’s deadline to commit to the acquisition and, if needed, obtain shareholder approval by one month to 31 January 2026. The company confirmed that the final completion date for the transaction remains no later than 31 March 2026 and that its Extraordinary General Meeting will proceed as scheduled on 14 January 2026, signalling continued progress on the asset sale that could reshape its portfolio and capital allocation once completed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MEL) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metgasco Ltd stock, see the AU:MEL Stock Forecast page.

Metgasco Ltd Announces Extraordinary General Meeting and Digital Communication Shift
Dec 12, 2025

Metgasco Ltd has announced an Extraordinary General Meeting scheduled for January 14, 2026, in Perth, WA. The company is encouraging shareholders to opt for electronic communications to reduce administrative costs, providing access to meeting materials online. This move reflects a broader industry trend towards digital transformation and cost efficiency, potentially impacting shareholder engagement and operational transparency.

Metgasco Ltd to Sell Gas Field Interests to Vintage Energy
Dec 12, 2025

Metgasco Ltd has entered into a Petroleum Title Sale Agreement with Vintage Energy Ltd to sell its 25% non-operated interest in the Odin and Vali Gas Fields. The sale, valued at $5.9 million, is subject to shareholder approval and certain conditions, marking a significant shift in Metgasco’s asset portfolio and strategic focus.

Vintage Energy Secures 25% Stake in Southern Flank Ventures
Dec 12, 2025

Vintage Energy Limited has entered into a formal Sale Agreement with Metgasco Limited to acquire Metgasco’s 25% stakes in the Southern Flank gas joint ventures ATP 2021 and PRL 211. The transaction, valued at $5.9 million, is contingent upon certain conditions being met, which were outlined in a previous announcement. This acquisition is expected to enhance Vintage Energy’s position in the gas industry by expanding its interests in strategic joint ventures.

Metgasco Ltd Announces Director’s Interest Change Following Capital Consolidation
Dec 8, 2025

Metgasco Ltd has announced a significant change in the director’s interest in securities, specifically involving Michael Glennon. The change is due to a consolidation of capital on a 50 for 1 basis, as approved by shareholders, which has resulted in a reduction of the number of securities held by Mr. Glennon. This adjustment reflects a strategic move by the company to streamline its capital structure, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder interests.

Metgasco Ltd Completes Capital Consolidation
Dec 8, 2025

Metgasco Ltd, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange under the code MEL, has completed a consolidation of its issued capital. The consolidation, approved at the company’s Annual General Meeting, involved converting every fifty shares into one share, affecting both ordinary shares and options. This restructuring aims to streamline the company’s capital structure, with new holding statements dispatched to security holders. Normal trading on a T+2 settlement basis will resume on 9 December 2025.

Metgasco Ltd Secures Strong Shareholder Support at AGM
Nov 26, 2025

Metgasco Ltd, an energy company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, held its Annual General Meeting on November 26, 2025, where several resolutions were passed. Key resolutions included the adoption of the remuneration report, election and re-election of directors, approval of a 10% placement facility, consolidation of capital, and ratification of prior issue of placement shares. All resolutions were carried with significant majority votes, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic decisions.

Metgasco Ltd Expands Production in Cooper Eromanga Basin
Nov 26, 2025

Metgasco Ltd has announced the production status of its key projects in the Cooper Eromanga Basin. The Odin Field, which began production in September 2023, has been further expanded with Odin-2 coming online in October 2024. Additionally, the Vali Field has been producing via Vali-1 since February 2023. These developments are significant for Metgasco’s operational growth and position in the energy market, potentially enhancing its production capacity and market presence.

Vintage Energy to Acquire Metgasco’s Stakes in Southern Flank Joint Ventures
Nov 18, 2025

Vintage Energy Limited, an operator in the gas industry, has announced a significant move to reform its Southern Flank joint ventures by acquiring Metgasco’s 25% stakes in ATP 2021 and PRL 211. This strategic acquisition aims to accelerate value creation from the Vali and Odin gas fields, which hold substantial uncontracted gas reserves. Vintage is also considering acquiring Bridgeport’s 25% stakes in the same joint ventures, with plans to introduce new joint venture partners or raise equity capital to fund these transactions. The initiative is expected to enhance Vintage’s market position and operational focus on production and economic returns.

Metgasco Ltd Announces Sale of Gas Field Interests
Nov 18, 2025

Metgasco Ltd has entered into a conditional agreement to sell its 25% interest in the Odin and Vali Gas Fields to Vintage Energy Ltd. The transaction, valued at $5.9 million, is contingent upon Vintage securing necessary funding and completing a purchase of Bridgeport’s interest in the fields. This sale marks a significant shift in Metgasco’s operations, potentially impacting its market focus and stakeholder engagements. The completion of the transaction is subject to various approvals and conditions, including shareholder and ministerial consents.

Metgasco Ltd Requests Trading Halt Amid Potential Asset Disposal
Nov 14, 2025

Metgasco Ltd has requested a trading halt on its securities as it prepares to make an announcement regarding a potential asset disposal transaction. The halt will remain in effect until either the announcement is made or normal trading resumes on November 18, 2025. This move indicates a significant operational decision that could impact Metgasco’s market position and stakeholder interests.

Metgasco Ltd Reports Revenue Decline Amid Production Uplift Efforts
Oct 31, 2025

Metgasco Ltd reported a decrease in sales revenue and production for the quarter ending September 2025, primarily due to interruptions from the Production Uplift Program (PUP) and the absence of liquids liftings. The PUP, aimed at enhancing gas production in the Odin and Vali fields, showed modest improvements, with further results anticipated in the December quarter. The company is also exploring oil prospectivity in ATP2021, with ongoing farm-out discussions. Despite the current challenges, Metgasco is focused on improving production rates and exploring new prospects to enhance its market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026