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Lucapa Diamond Co. Ltd. (AU:LOM)
ASX:LOM

Lucapa Diamond Co. (LOM) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Lucapa Diamond Co.

(Sydney:LOM)

Rating:36Underperform
Price Target:
The overall score reflects Lucapa Diamond Co. Ltd.'s significant financial challenges, marked by zero revenue, consistent losses, and negative cash flows. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and valuation metrics show unattractiveness due to negative earnings. The absence of positive guidance or corporate events further impacts the outlook.

Lucapa Diamond Co. (LOM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Lucapa Diamond Co. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucapa Diamond Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, and mining of diamond projects in Angola, Lesotho, Botswana, and Australia. It primarily operates Lulo Alluvial mine in Angola and the Mothae Kimberlite mine in Lesotho. The company was formerly known as Lonrho Mining Limited and changed its name to Lucapa Diamond Company Limited in October 2012. Lucapa Diamond Company Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucapa Diamond Co. Ltd. generates revenue through the mining, production, and sale of rough diamonds. The company operates its own mining projects, such as the Lulo diamond mine in Angola and the Mothae mine in Lesotho, which are rich in high-value diamonds. Lucapa sells its diamonds to international markets through auctions and tenders, often attracting premium prices for its larger and higher-quality stones. Additionally, partnerships with local governments and stakeholders in the regions where it operates help streamline operations and expand its mining capabilities, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Lucapa Diamond Co. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucapa Diamond Co. Ltd. faces significant financial challenges, with zero revenue in the latest year compared to $27.99 million previously. The company consistently reports negative EBIT and net income. Despite a high equity ratio and low debt, the declining asset base and negative cash flows underscore financial instability.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Lucapa Diamond Co. Ltd. has experienced a significant decline in revenues, with the latest year showing zero revenue compared to $27.99 million in the previous year. The company has consistently reported negative EBIT and net income, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. Gross profit margins are absent due to zero revenue, and net profit margins are deeply negative, reflecting operational and financial difficulties. The absence of positive revenue growth and persistent losses undermine the overall income statement performance.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals a high equity ratio of 95.74%, indicating a strong reliance on equity financing. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.01, suggesting minimal leverage, which is generally positive. Stockholders' equity has decreased over the years, reflecting the sustained losses. While the company maintains a low level of debt, the declining asset base and equity reflect financial instability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Lucapa Diamond Co. Ltd. has exhibited negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash outflows from core operations and insufficient funds to cover capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting worsening cash flow conditions. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, consistent with the net losses. Overall, the negative cash flow metrics highlight liquidity challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.0028.00M23.35M26.79M4.61M
Gross Profit
0.0037.00K-14.23M4.51M-2.20M
EBIT
-5.13M-10.52M-23.14M-3.93M-6.74M
EBITDA
-2.55M-10.73M-7.48M11.12M-3.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-20.49M-9.05M-10.30M4.50M-9.74M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
194.00K1.32M10.18M
Total Assets
67.66M81.73M158.45M127.10M109.32M
Total Debt
623.00K235.00K8.71M19.80M24.28M
Net Debt
429.00K-1.08M-1.48M12.46M20.17M
Total Liabilities
2.88M10.45M32.66M37.21M39.46M
Stockholders Equity
64.78M88.72M140.53M95.64M74.32M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-4.90M-7.97M-11.58M-11.58M
Operating Cash Flow
-2.71M-2.90M-5.16M
Investing Cash Flow
311.00K2.81M11.07M-12.76M
Financing Cash Flow
1.12M-5.46M-6.34M13.65M10.97M

Lucapa Diamond Co. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.01
Price Trends
50DMA
0.01
Negative
100DMA
0.02
Negative
200DMA
0.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
40.01
Neutral
STOCH
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, below the 50-day MA of 0.01, and below the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:LOM.

Lucapa Diamond Co. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$2.03B-1.27-21.09%3.98%2.91%-30.50%
AUODE
42
Neutral
AU$8.80M-31.27%22.73%
AULOM
36
Underperform
€6.45M-31.67%-100.00%-73.77%
DEPHO
€3.98M-76.62%
AUBDM
AU$32.69M-88.57%
AUNWF
42
Neutral
AU$83.72M
AUSCN
33
Underperform
AU$10.48M-134.74%-46.67%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:LOM
Lucapa Diamond Co.
0.01
-0.06
-80.00%
AU:ODE
Odessa Minerals Limited
DE:PHO
Gibb River Diamonds Limited
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:BDM
Burgundy Diamond Mines Ltd
0.02
-0.16
-88.89%
AU:SCN
Scorpion Minerals Limited
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:NWF
Newfield Resources Ltd.
0.09
-0.04
-30.77%

Lucapa Diamond Co. Corporate Events

Lucapa Diamond Reports Strong Q1 2025 Performance Amid Challenges
Apr 30, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company reported a strong start to 2025, with a 74% increase in diamond grade recovered and a 36% rise in revenue compared to the same period in 2024, despite challenges such as a local community blockade and the Angolan wet season. The company finalized the Lulo JV Mineral Investment Contract, increasing its stake to 51%, and identified promising exploration targets at its Merlin project, which could enhance its market positioning and stakeholder value.

Lucapa Diamond Company Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Details
Apr 29, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting, scheduled for May 29, 2025, in Perth, Australia. The company has opted not to send physical copies of the meeting notice, instead directing shareholders to access it online. Shareholders are encouraged to participate and submit proxy votes by May 27, 2025, to ensure their votes are counted.

Lucapa Diamond Announces AGM with Key Resolutions on Agenda
Apr 29, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 29, 2025, in Perth, WA. Key agenda items include the consideration of the company’s financial statements, the adoption of the Remuneration Report, the election of Mr. Miles Kennedy as a director, and the approval of a 10% placement capacity. These resolutions are crucial for the company’s governance and strategic direction, impacting shareholder interests and the company’s operational capabilities.

Lucapa Diamond Releases Corporate Governance Statement
Apr 22, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending December 31, 2024, which has been approved by the Board and is available on their website. The statement outlines the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, highlighting their commitment to transparency and accountability in management and oversight. This disclosure is crucial for stakeholders as it provides assurance of the company’s governance practices and compliance with regulatory standards.

Lucapa Diamond’s Lulo Resource Grows by 9% in Carats
Apr 15, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited announced an updated JORC Classified Inferred Alluvial Diamond Resource for its Lulo diamond concession in Angola, marking a 9% increase in carats to 249,000. This update, which represents the seventh consecutive year of resource growth, also includes a 15% increase in the diluted volume of gravel available for mining, ensuring at least eight years of production capacity. The average modelled diamond value stands at US$1,581 per carat, highlighting the continued high value of Lulo’s diamond output.

Lucapa Diamond Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Apr 2, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited announced the cessation of 1,092,034 performance rights due to the lapse of conditional rights that were not satisfied. This cessation may impact the company’s issued capital and could influence stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s operational performance and strategic direction.

Lucapa Diamond Company Issues Shares to Retain Key Talent
Mar 31, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited has issued 368,459 fully paid ordinary shares following the exercise of vested performance rights as part of its Incentive Plan. This move is aimed at retaining key employees by rewarding them upon achieving short-term performance goals, reflecting the company’s commitment to aligning staff incentives with business success and maintaining compliance with corporate regulations.

Lucapa Diamond Sets Date for 2025 AGM and Director Elections
Mar 28, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited has announced the anticipated date for its Annual General Meeting (AGM) to be held on or around May 29, 2025. The meeting will include the election of directors, with nominations closing on April 7, 2025. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing governance practices and provides stakeholders with an opportunity to participate in the company’s strategic direction.

Lucapa Diamond Sells Lulo Diamonds for $3.5M Amid Market Recovery
Mar 13, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited announced the sale of two Type IIa diamonds from the Lulo Alluvial Mine for a total of US$3.5 million at a tender in Angola. The sale, which averaged US$20,400 per carat, indicates a recovering diamond market, offering a promising outlook for the company in 2025. This positive development is expected to bolster Lucapa’s operations and market positioning, benefiting stakeholders by potentially increasing revenue and enhancing the company’s reputation in the global diamond industry.

Lucapa Diamond Company Releases 2024 Financial Report
Feb 27, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited released its financial report for the year ended 31 December 2024, detailing its operational and financial performance. The report provides insights into the company’s financial position, including statements of profit or loss, comprehensive income, and cash flows, which are crucial for stakeholders to assess the company’s financial health and future prospects.

Lucapa Diamond Co. Reports 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Divestment
Feb 27, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited reported its financial results for the year ending December 31, 2024, highlighting a rough diamond revenue of US$54.2 million and an average realized price per carat of US$1,980. The company divested its 70% stake in the Mothae Diamond Mine in Lesotho, which impacted its financials, as seen in the transition from a loss to a profit in discontinued operations. This strategic divestment, along with other financial maneuvers like a placement and share purchase plan, positions Lucapa to focus on its core operations and potentially improve its market standing.

Lucapa Resumes Mining at Lulo Diamond Mine Post-Blockade
Feb 20, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited announced the resumption of mining activities at the Lulo Alluvial Diamond Mine in Angola after resolving a blockade by local community leaders. Despite the disruption, diamond processing continued from stockpiled materials, and the company plans to adjust its mining strategy to mitigate the impact on operations. The company also reaffirmed its commitment to ongoing social programs within the local community.

Lucapa Diamond Announces Executive Compensation Adjustment
Feb 12, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice for Alex Kidman. The update reveals that Kidman has acquired 624,300 listed options, which are free attaching options to shares issued as part of his remuneration, approved at a recent general meeting. This change in director’s interest highlights the company’s ongoing adjustments to executive compensation and may impact stakeholder perception regarding corporate governance and incentive structures.

Lucapa Diamond Reveals Top Stakeholders in 2028 Options
Feb 6, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited has released its updated top holders report, indicating the primary stakeholders of its listed options expiring on February 6, 2028, priced at $0.06. HSBC Custody Nominees (Australia) Limited holds the largest share at 19.71%, followed by L39 Pty Ltd with 14.59%. This detailed disclosure provides insight into the company’s shareholder structure, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perceptions of Lucapa’s financial health and strategic direction.

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited to Quote New Securities
Feb 6, 2025

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited has announced the application for the quotation of 95,124,993 securities, which are set to expire on February 6, 2028. This move is part of previously disclosed transactions and could impact the company’s market position by potentially increasing liquidity and providing additional capital for its operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.