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Horizon Gold Ltd (AU:HRN)
ASX:HRN
Australian Market

Horizon Gold Ltd (HRN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HRN

Horizon Gold Ltd

(Sydney:HRN)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(80.72% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/13/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (zero revenue, ongoing losses, and persistent negative operating/free cash flow), despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with strong trend and positive momentum, but overbought indicators increase near-term risk. Valuation is also constrained by losses (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low leverage provides durable solvency and financing flexibility for a mineral explorer. During long exploration and development cycles this reduces near-term default risk, allows the company to fund drilling or survive commodity swings, and preserves options for non-dilutive financing.
Focused gold exploration model
A pure-play gold exploration and development model gives clear operational focus and a straightforward value path: discovery, resource definition, and potential monetisation. Structural exposure to gold prices and defined project milestones creates optionality for durable value inflection as deposits advance.
Improving free cash flow trend
A year-over-year improvement in free cash flow signals progress in reducing cash burn and better cash management. If this trend continues it can lengthen the operational runway, reduce frequency of external raises, and support incremental project advancement from internal resources.
Negative Factors
Zero revenue in 2025
Recording zero revenue underscores the absence of commercial operations and persistent reliance on non-operating activity or financing. Without revenue generation the company cannot self-fund growth, making project advancement dependent on balance-sheet resources or new capital raises over the medium term.
Persistent negative operating & free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow represent structural cash burn that depletes resources and forces recurring external financing. This constrains capital allocation to drilling and development, increases dilution risk, and heightens execution risk if market funding tightens.
Negative profitability and returns
Consistent operating losses and negative returns on equity indicate the company is not converting assets into profitable outcomes. This weak profitability profile limits reinvestment capacity, makes long-term sustainability contingent on external capital, and reduces investor confidence in project economics.

Horizon Gold Ltd (HRN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Horizon Gold Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHorizon Gold Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, and production of gold deposits in Australia. Its flagship project is the Gum Creek gold project covering an area of approximately 668 square kilometers located within the Southern Cross Province of the Youanmi Terrane in Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in West Perth, Australia. Horizon Gold Limited is a subsidiary of Zeta Resources Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyHorizon Gold Ltd makes money primarily through the exploration and potential development of gold resources. The company's revenue model hinges on discovering economically viable gold deposits, which can then be developed into producing mines. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold extracted from its mining operations, as well as potential joint ventures or partnerships with other mining companies that can provide funding or expertise for project development. Additionally, the company may generate income from the sale or optioning of exploration properties to other mining entities. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include the market price of gold, the success of its exploration activities, and strategic partnerships that enhance project viability and financial support.

Horizon Gold Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are weak: revenue fell to zero in 2025, gross profit is negative, and operating/net losses persist. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative across all provided years, indicating ongoing cash burn. The main offset is a strong, low-leverage balance sheet (debt-to-equity near zero), which supports near-term solvency but does not resolve profitability risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Financial performance remains weak and volatile. Annual revenue has been minimal and fell to zero in 2025, with negative gross profit and persistent operating losses (EBIT/EBITDA negative) across most years. Net income has also been consistently negative from 2021–2025, following an outlier profit in 2020, indicating limited operating scale and poor cost absorption.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength. Leverage is very low (debt-to-equity near zero in most years and ~0.015 in 2025), providing financial flexibility and reducing solvency risk. However, returns on equity are negative in recent years, reflecting ongoing losses and limited ability to generate profits from the asset base.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is pressured. Operating cash flow is negative every year provided (including 2025), and free cash flow is consistently deeply negative, indicating ongoing cash burn. While free cash flow improved versus the prior year in 2025 (less negative than 2024), the company still appears reliant on external funding or balance sheet resources to sustain operations and investment.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.0065.00K135.00K136.00K17.00K
Gross Profit-506.00K-508.00K-298.00K-66.00K-11.00K
EBITDA-1.60M-1.11M-1.71M-477.00K-1.04M
Net Income-972.00K-1.71M-2.14M-487.00K-1.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.30M44.10M40.75M41.97M36.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments503.00K219.00K238.00K211.00K1.27M
Total Debt500.00K0.0041.00K40.00K0.00
Total Liabilities14.77M12.15M11.94M11.50M11.56M
Stockholders Equity33.53M31.96M28.80M30.47M24.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.37M-2.59M-5.91M-6.20M-3.78M
Operating Cash Flow-791.00K-755.00K-646.00K-637.00K-1.25M
Investing Cash Flow575.00K-5.00M237.00K-6.37M-7.03M
Financing Cash Flow500.00K5.74M436.00K5.95M9.38M

Horizon Gold Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.83
Price Trends
50DMA
0.99
Positive
100DMA
0.87
Positive
200DMA
0.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
70.36
Negative
STOCH
69.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, below the 50-day MA of 0.99, and above the 200-day MA of 0.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.36 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:HRN.

Horizon Gold Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
AU$176.32M-4.29-8.73%
51
Neutral
AU$220.54M-16.72-2.97%42.74%
49
Neutral
AU$196.87M-5.69-18.74%14.63%
48
Neutral
$264.49M-6.58-13.03%
46
Neutral
AU$134.70M-7.49-31.98%-700.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HRN
Horizon Gold Ltd
1.36
0.97
246.94%
AU:GPR
Geopacific Resources Limited
0.06
0.04
175.00%
AU:KAI
Kairos Minerals
0.04
0.02
122.22%
AU:TTM
Titan Minerals Ltd
0.92
0.50
119.05%
AU:TOR
Torque Metals Ltd.
0.31
0.21
210.00%

Horizon Gold Ltd Corporate Events

Horizon Gold Plans Placement of 16.7 Million New Shares
Mar 3, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has notified the ASX of a proposed placement of up to 16,666,667 ordinary fully paid shares under an Appendix 3B. The new securities, to be issued on 12 March 2026, represent a capital-raising initiative that may strengthen the company’s funding position for its gold exploration and development activities and could lead to dilution for existing shareholders.

The placement reflects Horizon Gold’s ongoing use of equity markets to support its operational and growth plans within the gold sector. Investor response to the issue and subsequent quotation of the new shares on the ASX will be important in determining the company’s financing flexibility and market valuation in the near term.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold to Raise $10.2m via Non-Renounceable Entitlement Offer
Mar 3, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has launched a non-renounceable pro-rata entitlement offer to raise about $10.2 million through the issue of new fully paid ordinary shares at $1.20 per share. Eligible shareholders in Australia, New Zealand and Bermuda will be able to subscribe for one new share for every 20 shares held on the 9 March 2026 record date, with the new shares ranking equally with existing stock.

The company has determined that shareholders outside these jurisdictions are ineligible to participate, citing legal and regulatory constraints and the cost of compliance relative to the small number and value of affected holdings. The offer is not underwritten, meaning the final amount raised will depend on take-up by eligible investors, which could influence Horizon Gold’s funding flexibility and capital structure without diluting offshore holders via this specific offer.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Launches 1-for-20 Non-Renounceable Entitlement Offer at $1.20
Mar 3, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has launched a non-renounceable pro-rata entitlement offer to existing shareholders, priced at $1.20 per new share on a one-for-twenty basis, with the offer period running from 12 March 2026 to 26 March 2026. The capital raise is being conducted under section 708AA of the Corporations Act without a prospectus, and the company stresses that investors should rely on its existing ASX disclosures and obtain professional advice before deciding whether to participate.

The offer is only available to eligible shareholders, who must apply and pay via BPAY or EFT using the details on their personalised entitlement and acceptance form. Horizon Gold notes the document may not contain all information investors might require, will not be updated, and urges potential investors to conduct their own due diligence and consider the risk factors referenced in the materials before subscribing for new shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Raises A$30m to Fast-Track Gum Creek Exploration and Development
Mar 3, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has launched a A$30 million equity raising comprising a A$20 million institutional placement and a A$10.2 million non-renounceable entitlement offer at A$1.20 per share, attracting strong interest from leading gold investors. Major shareholder Zeta Resources and the company’s directors intend to take up their full entitlements, signalling confidence in the strategy and accounting for about 76% of the entitlement offer.

Proceeds will fund an 80,000-metre drilling campaign to expand resources at the Gum Creek Gold Project, completion of the feasibility study and permitting, and general working capital, leaving Horizon fully funded to a final investment decision. The enlarged exploration program, focused on both shallow oxide and high-grade underground targets along the Gidgee Shear Zone, is intended to unlock further resource upside and accelerate the company’s pathway to gold production, potentially strengthening its position in the Australian gold sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Seeks Trading Halt Ahead of Capital Raising Announcement
Mar 1, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has requested and been granted a trading halt on its securities by the ASX, with the halt to remain in place until either the start of normal trading on 4 March 2026 or the release of a pending announcement. The pause in trading comes as the company prepares to disclose details of a planned capital raising, signalling an imminent move to secure additional funding that could influence its project pipeline and balance sheet.

The company has stated it is not aware of any reason the halt should not be granted and has indicated there is no other relevant information to add at this stage. The trading suspension, authorised by the board, will be closely watched by investors as it may lead to changes in Horizon Gold’s capital structure and could affect existing shareholders depending on the size and terms of the capital raising.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Extends High-Grade Mineralisation at Gum Creek’s Kingfisher Prospect
Feb 22, 2026

Horizon Gold has reported significant diamond drilling results from the Kingfisher prospect at its Gum Creek Gold Project in Western Australia, including high-grade intercepts such as 4 metres at 11.35 grams per tonne gold and multiple broader mineralised zones at depth. The drilling confirms the company’s geological model at Kingfisher, extends high-grade mineralisation down plunge to the north of the existing resource, and supports plans for further deep infill and extensional drilling that could materially expand the current open pit and underground resource base and strengthen the project’s long-term development potential.

The latest seven-hole diamond program, totalling 3,745.2 metres, targeted high-priority down-plunge extensions to earlier standout intercepts and has already delivered strong results from the first four holes, with assays from the remaining holes still pending. Management says Kingfisher is shaping up to be substantially larger than previously envisaged, and together with ongoing drilling at the nearby Omega prospect, the company is building a pipeline of results that may enhance Gum Creek’s underground mining optionality and overall attractiveness to investors and potential partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Director Leigh Ryan Steps Down but Retains Indirect Equity Stake
Feb 2, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has notified the ASX that director Leigh Ronald Ryan ceased to be a director of the company on 2 February 2026, in accordance with listing rule disclosure requirements. While Ryan holds no Horizon securities in his own name, he retains an indirect interest through the Ryan Super Fund account, which holds 79,200 fully paid ordinary shares and 1.5 million options exercisable at $0.33 each expiring in November 2026, indicating that he maintains a financial exposure to the company despite stepping down from the board.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Appoints Scott Innes Williamson as Director with Performance Rights Package
Feb 2, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has appointed Scott Innes Williamson as a director, effective 2 February 2026. Upon his appointment, Williamson holds 3,500,000 performance rights in the company, expiring on 2 February 2031, with no additional indirect security interests or contract-related interests disclosed. The issuance of a substantial tranche of performance rights aligns the new director’s incentives with shareholder value creation and signals a long-term commitment to Horizon Gold’s strategic and operational objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Issues 3.5 Million Unquoted Performance Rights
Feb 2, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited, listed on the ASX under the code HRN, has notified the market of the issue of new unquoted equity securities in the form of performance rights. The company is issuing 3.5 million unquoted performance rights, effective 2 February 2026, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, indicating an equity-based incentive or compensation arrangement that could impact the firm’s capital structure and align interests between the company and eligible stakeholders over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Plans Issue of 3.5 Million Performance Rights
Jan 30, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has lodged a notice with the ASX for a proposed issue of 3.5 million performance rights, creating a new class of securities, with an expected issue date of 2 February 2026. The move, structured as a placement or other type of issue, signals the company’s use of equity-linked incentives to support its capital management and alignment of interests between the company and its stakeholders, although detailed terms and specific strategic objectives for the performance rights were not disclosed in the filing.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.91 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Reshapes Leadership as New CEO Targets Gum Creek Growth
Jan 30, 2026

Horizon Gold Limited has appointed experienced mining engineer and capital markets professional Scott Williamson as Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, effective 2 February 2026, as it prepares for the next growth phase at its Gum Creek Gold Project. Williamson brings more than two decades of operational, corporate and investor-facing experience across gold, base metals and nickel projects in Australia, Africa and Southeast Asia, most recently as Managing Director of Blackstone Minerals. As part of a broader management reshuffle, incumbent Managing Director Leigh Ryan will resign from the board and transition to General Manager – Exploration to focus on expanding Gum Creek’s resource base, while Peter Sullivan will move from Executive Chairman to Non-executive Chairman. The board positions the leadership changes as strengthening both corporate stewardship and technical focus, aiming to accelerate the project’s pathway to production and support continued resource growth for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.91 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Gold Lifts Gum Creek Resource and Advances Feasibility Study
Jan 29, 2026

Horizon Gold has reported an upgraded mineral resource estimate at its Gum Creek Gold Project to 37.97 million tonnes at 1.89 grams per tonne for 2.30 million ounces of gold, representing notable increases in both contained ounces and grade compared with the previous estimate. The company highlighted a substantial rise in indicated resources, a large free-milling component, and the fact that all resources sit on granted mining leases that remain open along strike and at depth, underscoring potential for further growth. Recent reverse circulation and diamond drilling at the Goldfinch, Robin, Kingfisher and Omega prospects has returned significant shallow intercepts and is targeting down-plunge extensions of prior high-grade hits, with several assay results still pending. Horizon also confirmed that work on the Gum Creek feasibility study is advancing on schedule toward completion in the first half of 2026, marking a key step in de-risking and progressing the project toward potential development for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HRN) stock is a Hold with a A$0.91 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Horizon Gold Ltd stock, see the AU:HRN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026